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百利好丨金价短期承压,市场长期仍持看好态度
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 07:15
据21世纪经济报道,尽管黄金短期承压,但不少机构仍看好其长期涨势。瑞银预计,今年年底金价或达3500美元/盎司,若出现避险上行情景,有望升至 3800美元/盎司。 黄金一旦开启涨势,走势往往十分凌厉。 5月20日,现货黄金涨幅达1.86%,收盘报3289.29美元/盎司;COMEX黄金期货涨1.83%,收于3292.60美元/盎司。5月21日上午9点左右,现货黄金价格突破 3300美元/盎司关口,为5月9日以来首次。截至发稿,现货黄金价格报3306.84美元/盎司。 金价上涨主要源于美元进一步走弱,以及美国关税政策、俄乌停火局势的不确定性。周二美元再度疲软,受美联储对经济前景持谨慎态度影响。此前,穆迪 上周下调美国主权信用评级,致使美元周一遭大幅抛售。美元走弱,降低了其他货币计价买家购买黄金的成本。 在地缘政治与经济形势不明朗时,黄金被视为避险资产。 百利好特约分析师指出,目前关注黄金的关键在于货币政策方向,若预计货币政策将继续宽松,将对黄金形成支撑。 重要声明:上述内容及观点仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议,投资者据此操作,风险自担。 从长期看,驱动黄金走势的关键因素是美元和美国实际利率,这对瑞银的黄金展望极为 ...
港股主题基金密集上报;年内公募豪掷近100亿元参与定增
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-21 07:11
Group 1: Fund News - Several North Exchange funds have announced purchase limits, with the E Fund North Certificate 50 Index limiting purchases to 3,000 yuan starting May 19, and the Pengyang North Certificate 50 Index reducing the limit to 50,000 yuan from May 13 [1] - A total of 19 Hong Kong-themed funds have been reported since May, covering various sectors such as innovative drugs, cloud computing, consumption, and automobiles [1] - Public funds have invested nearly 10 billion yuan in private placements this year, with 21 public institutions participating in 31 A-share companies' private placements, totaling 9.785 billion yuan [1] Group 2: ETF Market Review - The market experienced a rise and then a pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.21%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.44%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.83%. The total trading volume reached 1.17 trillion yuan, an increase of 37.8 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] - Gold-related stocks performed strongly, with gold stock ETFs rising by as much as 4.85% [2] Group 3: ETF Performance - The top-performing gold stock ETFs include: - Code 159562: Gold Stock ETF, up 4.85% to 1.557 - Code 517520: Gold Stock ETF, up 4.63% to 1.423 - Code 159322: Gold Stock ETF, up 4.51% to 1.158 [3] - The S&P Consumer ETF led the decline, down 2.29% [4] Group 4: Industry Trends - The rising gold prices are driving new growth trends in the industry, with the investment value of gold products becoming more prominent. This is expected to boost sales of investment-grade gold bars and brands with high cost-performance ratios [5] - The improvement in consumer spending, advancements in gold craftsmanship, and the rise of domestic brands are expected to provide strong growth momentum for the gold and jewelry industry [5]
金价坐上"过山车",现在该抄底还是逃顶?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 05:26
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses the recent volatility in gold prices, likening it to a "roller coaster" and questioning whether investors should buy the dip or sell at the peak [1] - Gold prices have fluctuated significantly since April 2025, with a peak of over $3500 per ounce on April 22, followed by a decline to $3325 per ounce by May 9, representing a drop of over 9% [2] - Historical data indicates that gold price fluctuations are not uncommon, with notable increases and decreases occurring over the decades, such as the rise from approximately $35 per ounce in 1970 to nearly $900 per ounce in 1980, followed by a prolonged bear market [4] Group 2 - The historical patterns of gold price movements are closely tied to macroeconomic conditions, with demand for gold typically rising during economic downturns and falling during periods of economic prosperity [5] - Factors such as monetary policy and geopolitical tensions significantly influence gold prices, with recent events like U.S. tariff policies and conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine contributing to increased demand for gold as a safe haven [5][6] Group 3 - Technical analysis suggests that the rapid increase in gold prices in April led to overbought conditions, indicating a potential for short-term price corrections [7] - Profit-taking by investors following the price surge has created selling pressure, contributing to the recent declines in gold prices [8] Group 4 - Citibank has lowered its three-month gold price target from $3500 to $3150 per ounce, expecting prices to stabilize between $3000 and $3300 per ounce [9] - UBS forecasts a 12-month target price of $3500 per ounce, with potential scenarios ranging from $3200 to $3800 depending on geopolitical risks and economic conditions [9] - Goldman Sachs projects a year-end target price of $3700 per ounce, driven by expectations of Fed rate cuts and increased central bank gold purchases [10] Group 5 - Historical comparisons suggest that the current macroeconomic environment bears similarities to the 1970s, indicating that gold may experience a period of adjustment and consolidation following significant price increases [12] - The analysis of past price movements indicates that after a substantial rise, gold prices may stabilize or experience fluctuations for several months before resuming an upward trend [12] Group 6 - Investors are advised to adopt different strategies based on their investment horizons, with long-term investors encouraged to maintain a 15%-20% allocation to gold in their portfolios, while short-term traders should monitor technical levels for potential buying opportunities [14]
行业ETF风向标丨现货黄金价格盘中突破3300美元,黄金股ETF半日涨幅超3%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-21 05:11
每经记者|刘明涛 每经编辑|叶峰 5月21日,现货黄金价格盘中突破3300美元关键点位,为5月9日以来首次,这也令黄金股出现大涨。在ETF市场,黄金ETF和黄金股ETF均涨幅靠前,其中, 黄金股ETF(517520)半日涨幅达到3.24%,领涨整个ETF市场。 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅% | 现价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 517520 | 黄金股ETF | 3.24 | 1.40 | | 517400 | 黄金股票ETF | 3.04 | 1.11 | | 159321 | 黄金股票ETF | 3.03 | 1.08 | | 159562 | 黄金股ETF | 2.9 | 1.52 | | 159315 | 黄金股ETF基金 | 2.86 | 1.14 | | 159322 | 黄金股票ETF基金 | 2.8 | 1.13 | | ETF规模截止日: 5.20 | | | | ETF份额变化方面,今年以来,黄金股ETF份额整体呈现大幅增加态势,其中,黄金股ETF(517520)年内份额增加了13.84亿份,年内份额变动率为 89.3%,黄金股票ETF(517400)和黄 ...
金价如坐“过山车”!普通人要想投资黄金,这5点很关键
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 04:17
上周,国际金价创下自去年11月以来,最糟糕的一周。 最近几天,国际金价走势上蹿下跳。 5月12日,现货黄金大跌2.73%,盘中最多跌去118美元/盎司; 5月14日晚,现货黄金跌势不止,向下跌破3180美元/盎司; 5月17日,国际金价一度大跌超过2%,截至当天收盘,伦敦现货黄金、COMEX黄金期货分别下跌1.15%、0.65%。 | 3176.547 | | HEZE | 3250.100 | | 3249.788 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | -73.553 -2.26% | | 总量(kg) | 0.00 | 现手 | | O | | 最高价 3257.080 | | 持 仓 | O | 4 0.000 | | | | 最低价 | 3175.135 | 增 仓 | 0 | 0.000 | | | | 分时 五日 | | HK | 園く | 申示 月K | | | | 查加 | | | | 盘口 | | | | 3325.065 | | | | 2.31% 卖1 3177.205 0 | | | | | | | | ਤੇ 1 3176. ...
黄金突破3252后上涨,关注多头下一个目标,美元下跌,黄金不破此位置,仍有上涨空间?点击查看详细分析
news flash· 2025-05-21 03:08
黄金突破3252后上涨,关注多头下一个目标,美元下跌,黄金不破此位置,仍有上涨空间?点击查看详 细分析 黄金破位上行,今日重要位置在哪里? 相关链接 ...
金价狂飙!现货黄金上破3300美元大关
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 02:23
5月21日,现货黄金价格强势上破3300美元关键点位,为5月9日以来首次。地缘政治风险升温成为重要催 化剂,据媒体报道,美国情报机构监测到以色列可能对伊朗核设施采取行动,市场避险情绪显著提升,给 金价提供了避险买盘支撑。直接挂钩金价的上海金ETF(518600)开盘走高,资金交投活跃。 作为高效配置黄金资产的工具,上海金ETF(518600)及其场外联接基金(A类008986,C类008987,F类 021738)不涉及实物黄金交割,场内支持T+0灵活交易,是资金参与黄金行情的便捷工具。其中,F份额0 申购费,持有7天0赎回费,销售服务费低至0.01%。wind数据显示,上海金ETF(518600)过去三个月份额 分别增长2880万份、450万份、13140万份,连续获资金净流入。 全球黄金市场交易活跃度呈现爆发式增长,世界黄金协会最新数据显示,4月份全球黄金日均交易量环比 激增48%至4410亿美元。该机构发布的2025年第一季度报告显示,黄金的结构性需求保持不变,央行需求 仍是支撑金价的关键因素。 中信期货贵金属资深研究员朱善颖认为,对黄金而言,调整只是短期走势,中长线的多头趋势依然存在。 从短期来看,最 ...
世界黄金协会:4月黄金投资热情空前高涨 险资入场等多因素为金价提供长期稳固支撑
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 01:39
世界黄金协会发布4月中国黄金(600916)市场报告,当月黄金投资热情高涨。以美元计价的伦敦午盘金价(LBMA)上涨6%,创下2011 年以来最强势的4月涨幅;以人民币计价的上海午盘基准金价(SHAUPM)上涨6.9%,实现近19年来的4月份最高回报。推动4月金价的主 要因素包括:美元走软;地缘政治与经济不确定性走高;黄金ETF的强劲流入。长期来看,凭借本身稳健的回报表现,全球经济与地缘 政治风险的持续存在,叠加中国保险资金的入场,黄金投资需求将进一步获得稳固支撑。 4月上游实物黄金需求持续回暖 4 月,上海黄金交易所黄金出库量153吨,月环比增加27吨。我们认为4月黄金需求的强劲势头主要归因于:投资者大举购金,金条与金 币销售持续坚挺;中美贸易摩擦升级背景下,黄金稳坐中国表现最优资产之位;一季度金交所黄金出库量低于常态,而后金饰商为迎 五一假期进行补货。 4月黄金ETF需求激增 4 月,中国市场黄金ETF流入约490亿元人民币,已连续三个月保持强劲流入。资产管理总规模(AUM)激增至1580亿元人民币,双双刷 新记录高位。人民币金价的卓越表现、中美贸易摩擦引发的担忧、国内债券收益率因货币政策宽松预期而下以上 ...
黄金突然狂飙!突破3300美元
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-20 23:37
作 者丨李依农 杨雨莱 孙迟悦 编 辑丨和佳 江佩佩 深夜,金价再度狂飙! | | | | COMEXT .. | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | GC.CMX | | | | | | 3295.6 | | 昨结 | | 3284.6 | 1 - 2 | | 3293.0 | | +11.0 | +0.33% | 总手 | | 1.01万 | 现手 | | 1 | | 最高价 | 3307.9 | 寺 එ | | 0 | | | 4438.0 | | 最低价 | 3291.9 | 仓 | | -18.1万 | | | 5625.0 | | 分时 | הת | | 信く | | EK | | | | 3328.3 | | | | | | 18:16 | 3.15% | | 3302.7 | | | | | | | 2.36% | | 3226.6 | | | | | | | 0.00% | | 3124 | | | | | | | -3.15% | | 05-15 | 05-16 | | 05-19 | | 05 ...
全球最大黄金ETF--SPDR Gold Trust持仓较上日增加0.57吨,当前持仓量为921.6吨。
news flash· 2025-05-20 23:24
注:ETF持仓数据于北京时间周二至周六凌晨5点30分左右更新,数据为上 一日的持仓情况。 @ JIN10.COM 金十数据 | 一个交易工具 全球最大黄金ETF--SPDR Gold Trust持仓较上日增加0.57吨,当前持仓量为921.6吨。 2025-05-05 -4.87吨 -1.15吨( 2025-05-02 +1.15吨 2025-05-01 -2.87吨 2025-04-30 +0.86吨 2025-04-29 -8 -2 0 2 -6 -4 4 -10 减仓 增仓 ...