Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Core Views - Today, at 9 am, a news conference will be held to introduce "a package of financial policies to support market stability and expectation management," and it is expected that a series of favorable policies will be released [7]. - The short - term trend of soybean meal is weak, but the downside space is limited. The 09 contract has priced in some negative factors, and there is still trading time left. Attention should be paid to the May USDA supply - demand report, US trade negotiations, and US soybean weather [8]. - Industrial silicon is still bearish in the short term. High inventory pressures will cause futures prices to continue to test the cost line of upstream factories, and the strategy is to short on rallies [11]. - The spot price of polysilicon is expected to decline, and the short - term trend of the futures is weak. The supply - demand pattern is weak on both sides, and the price may have a short - term rebound in mid - to late May [12]. - The trend of styrene is weak. After the May Day holiday, the prices of crude oil and pure benzene declined, and the terminal orders of styrene decreased. Attention should be paid to shorting opportunities on the futures [13]. Summaries by Directory Pre - market Insights - There will be a news conference at 9 am today by the central bank, CSRC, etc. to introduce financial policies, and favorable policies are expected to be released [7]. Recommended by the Director - **Soybean Meal**: Short - term trend is weak, but the downside space is limited. Negative factors have been priced in, and the 09 contract still has trading time. Attention should be paid to relevant events [8]. - **Industrial Silicon**: Short - term bearish. High inventory, high weekly production, and weak downstream demand will lead to price declines. The strategy is to short on rallies [11]. - **Polysilicon**: Spot price is expected to decline, and the short - term futures trend is weak. The supply - demand pattern is weak on both sides, and there may be a short - term rebound in mid - to late May [12]. - **Styrene**: Trend is weak. After the holiday, the prices of crude oil and pure benzene declined, and the terminal orders decreased. Attention should be paid to shorting opportunities [13]. Commodity Research Morning Report - **Precious Metals**: Gold data is better than expected, and silver is oscillating downward. The trend intensity of gold is 1, and that of silver is - 1 [19][23]. - **Copper**: The spot price is firm, supporting the futures price. The trend intensity is 1 [25][27]. - **Aluminum and Alumina**: Aluminum has insufficient upward momentum, and alumina is consolidating at a low level. The trend intensity of aluminum is - 1, and that of alumina is 0 [28][30]. - **Zinc**: Oscillating. The trend intensity is 0 [31][32]. - **Lead**: Under short - term pressure. The trend intensity is - 1 [34]. - **Nickel and Stainless Steel**: Nickel prices are back in a narrow - range oscillation, and the downside and upside spaces are converging. The spot price of stainless steel has declined to repair the basis, and there is still support below. The trend intensity of both is 0 [36][38]. - **Tin**: The price weakened during the holiday. The trend intensity is - 1 [40][44]. - **Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon**: The weak state of industrial silicon continues, and the fundamentals of polysilicon are still weak. The trend intensity of both is - 1 [46][48]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The supply - demand surplus continues, and the weak pattern may be difficult to change. The trend intensity is 0 [49][51]. - **Iron Ore**: The expectation is volatile, and the price is in a wide - range oscillation. The trend intensity is 0 [52][53]. - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: The demand expectation is poor, and the prices are fluctuating at a low level. The trend intensity of both is 0 [56][60]. - **Silicon Ferrosilicon and Manganese Ferrosilicon**: The prices are dragged down by costs and are trending weakly. The trend intensity of both is - 1 [62][66]. - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Affected by policy expectations, the prices are oscillating at the bottom. The trend intensity of both is 0 [67][69]. - **Steam Coal**: There is a strong wait - and - see sentiment, and the price is oscillating weakly. The trend intensity is 0 [70][72]. - **Glass**: The price of the original sheet is stable. The trend intensity is 0 [73][74]. - **Para - Xylene, PTA, and MEG**: Para - xylene is in a positive carry trade for the monthly spread, and the processing margin is expanding. The strategy for PTA is to go long PTA and short SC, and for MEG, it is to go long PTA and short MEG [76][77].

Core Insights - The large-scale power outage in Spain and Portugal on April 28 has raised concerns about energy security and the reliability of electrical infrastructure in Europe [1][2][3] Group 1: Incident Overview - The power outage led to significant disruptions, including transportation paralysis, medical emergencies, and a near-total halt of social activities [2] - Initial investigations revealed three prior power failures in Spain before the major outage, with the last incident occurring just 19 seconds before the blackout [2] - The outage resulted in estimated insurance losses of between €100 million and €300 million for Spain, with supermarkets alone facing losses of €53 million due to disrupted cold chains [2] Group 2: Causes and Investigations - The Spanish government and experts have denied that the reliance on renewable energy sources was the cause of the outage, despite media speculation [4][5] - The Deputy Prime Minister emphasized that all potential causes are being investigated, analyzing over 750 million data points [3][4] - Various theories regarding the cause of the outage include atmospheric disturbances, cyberattacks, and disruptions in the Spain-France grid interconnection [5][6] Group 3: Infrastructure and Future Risks - Experts have highlighted the need for investment in electrical grid modernization and infrastructure to prevent similar incidents in the future [6][7] - A survey indicated that 44.2% of respondents believe modernizing the grid is crucial, while 41.7% advocate for increased investment in critical infrastructure [6] - The incident has prompted warnings from U.S. officials about potential large-scale outages in the U.S. this summer, citing aging infrastructure and rising electricity demand [7][8]

【环球时报驻德国特约记者 青木】欧洲智慧能源展览会7日至9日在德国慕尼黑展览中心举行。来自全 球约3000家参展商在19个展厅和一个室外展区展示面向未来能源行业的最新创新和解决方案。中国共有 约850家企业参展。 路透社上周表示，光伏行业的顶级制造商已面临低价和对美出口关税的双重压力。 目前，许多中国企业正加强与欧洲的合作。宁德时代在德国和匈牙利新建的两座工厂已投入运营。远景 动力在西班牙建设的超级电池工厂于去年7月举行奠基仪式。该工厂将成为欧洲首个磷酸铁锂电池超级 工厂。派能科技首座海外工厂3月在意大利帕多瓦举行开业仪式，该公司陆续在荷兰、英国、德国、意 大利等国家建立子公司。 多名德国行业专业人士对《环球时报》特约记者表示，欧洲能源转型离不开中国。被认为主导欧盟电池 旗舰项目的瑞典电池巨头"北伏电池"的破产就是一次教训。他们认为，中国在光伏、电池等新能源领域 建立了一条从原材料到终端产品的完整价值链，具备其他国家没有的优势。 "中国绿色能源发展迈向里程碑"，德国新闻电视台最近称赞道，今年第一季度，中国风光发电装机容量 首次超过火电。中国在可再生能源扩张方面也处于全球领先地位。特别是考虑到美国政府放弃气候保 ...

新华社德国慕尼黑5月6日电 专访｜关税"筑墙"挡不住合作步伐——访德国巴伐利亚州副州长艾旺格 新华社记者李函林 "从巴伐利亚州的立场出发，我们坚决反对任何形式的惩罚性关税。"德国巴伐利亚州副州长兼州经济、 发展和能源部长胡贝特·艾旺格日前接受新华社记者专访时表示，贸易壁垒只会损害全球经济，巴伐利 亚州企业和民众更希望看到开放、公平、稳定的国际合作。 在他看来，主要经济体不应陷入相互加征关税的恶性循环，而应以规则为基础，通过对话和协商解决分 歧。"美国对贸易伙伴加征关税，往往会引发报复性措施。理想的做法是各方推动更开放和自由的贸易 环境，这将有助于促进各国间的合作与共同繁荣。" 作为德国经济最发达的联邦州之一，巴伐利亚州长期重视对华经贸关系。这里不仅是宝马、西门子、奥 迪、安联等跨国企业总部所在地，也是众多中国企业在欧洲发展布局的重点区域。目前，约有500家中 国企业在巴州投资运营，超过2000家本地企业与中国保持直接业务往来。 艾旺格认为，德中经济合作应超越地缘政治干扰，持续向互利共赢的方向深化发展。他说，中国一直是 巴伐利亚州非常重要的贸易伙伴。中国企业在新产品开发和新商业模式落地方面非常高效，基础设施建 ...

【环球时报特约记者 陈欣】特朗普政府的2026财年预算提案到底释放了什么信号？美国各界议论纷纷。白宫当地时间2日向国会提交了美国政府 2026财年预算提案，其中国防支出增加13%，国土安全支出增加近65%，非国防可自由支配支出将削减23%。美联社3日表示，该提案寻求对国内 优先事项进行全面重组。彭博社则称，特朗普政府预算案的轮廓凸显其试图通过国会控制支出的力度，以及他试图实施的一系列行政措施。目 前，该预算提案面临来自两党以及多个利益相关方的质疑，其过于精简的内容也让部分媒体仅将其视为一份"愿望清单"，并不认为其将获得国会 认可。 国家安全开支将超 1 万亿美元 据英国《金融时报》4日报道，白宫管理和预算办公室提交的预算提案概述了美国总统特朗普在"可自由支配"支出方面的优先事项。它不包括社会 保障、医疗保险和联邦债务利息等长期"强制性"支出。 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）3日报道称，总体而言，白宫提交的2026财年预算为1.7万亿美元，较上一年度下降7.6%。彭博社称，国家安全经费 将增至1.01万亿美元，比上一年增长13%，创下新纪录。国土安全部是特朗普打击非法移民、加强边境安全和驱逐无证移民的核心部门，该 ...

Group 1: Energy Supply and Consumption - The National Energy Administration reported that energy supply is sufficient, consumption is growing, and the overall supply-demand situation is relaxed with stable prices showing a downward trend [1] - In the first quarter, renewable energy accounted for 90% of new installed capacity, with an increase of 76.75 million kilowatts, representing a year-on-year growth of 21% [1] - Renewable energy generation reached 816 billion kilowatt-hours in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%, making up 35.9% of total electricity generation [1] Group 2: Nuclear Energy Development - The operational and approved nuclear power installed capacity in China exceeds 120 million kilowatts, with a projected nuclear power generation of 450.9 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, accounting for 4.5% of total generation [1] - The government plans to support the development of advanced nuclear technologies, including fourth-generation reactors and small modular reactors [1] Group 3: Hydrogen Energy Sector - Hydrogen energy is a key focus, with a projected production and consumption scale exceeding 36.5 million tons in 2024, making China the world's largest producer [2] - Over 600 renewable energy electrolysis hydrogen production projects are planned, and more than 540 hydrogen refueling stations have been established [2] - Approximately 24,000 fuel cell vehicles have been promoted as part of the ongoing demonstration applications [2] Group 4: Investment in Energy Sector - Energy investments have shown rapid growth, with a 12.9% year-on-year increase in investment in key energy projects in the first two months [2] - Investments in offshore wind, new energy storage, power grids, and nuclear power are growing quickly [2] Group 5: Support for Private Enterprises - The National Energy Administration has issued a notice to support private enterprises in enhancing development momentum and fair market participation [3] - Private enterprises account for over 80% of operators with more than 10,000 charging facilities, indicating their significant role in the energy sector [3] - New nuclear power projects approved recently have at least 10% shareholding from private enterprises, highlighting their increasing involvement in energy infrastructure [3]

文 | 赶碳号科技 2024年，Boviet Solar宣布启动该项目。项目位于美国北卡州皮特县，分两期，总占地为100万平方英尺（约合140亩），一期约为40万平方英尺。 另外，该公司预计二期计划将于2026年下半年投产，再投资1亿美元，扩建60万平方英尺厂房，主要生产太阳能电池。两期工程竣工后，博维特园区将拥 有超过100万平方英尺的制造和研发空间。这是北卡罗来纳州有史以来最大的清洁能源制造项目之一。 据当地官员介绍，博威特一期工程将创造460个本地技术岗位。二期工程预计将新增908个岗位，使直接就业岗位总数超过1300个，并在该地区创造近2000 个间接就业岗位。这对于皮特县的经济、房地产市场和劳动力培训项目来说都是利好消息。 明知山有虎，偏向虎山行！中国光伏企业正勇敢地走出去。4月24日，博威合金在美国的2GW组件工厂正式投产。该工厂主要将生产Boviet的Gamma系列 单面和Vega系列双面光伏组件，面向美国的住宅、商业、工业和公用事业客户。 因为项目重大，该州州长乔什·斯坦与商界领袖和民选官员共同出席了博维特太阳能公司位于格林维尔的新太阳能组件工厂的盛大开业典礼。 该工厂位于美国北卡罗来纳州的格 ...

十大讲话要点： 1、谈接班人： 计划在年底退休，阿贝尔在各方面都做好了担任伯克希尔哈CEO的准备，将建议董事会在年底前任命阿贝尔为公司CEO。 2、谈对公司的持股 ：无意出售伯克希尔的任何一股股票，但会逐步捐赠出去。 3、谈关税问题： 关税政策"让75亿人不满"，美国应该寻求与世界其他国家进行贸易，不应该把贸易当成武器，通过加征关税激怒全球，这是 一个重大错误，这种做法已经扰乱了全球市场。 4、谈美国财政政策： 美国的财政问题令我害怕，但这也不是美国独有的问题。美国的财政赤字是不可持续的，可能会变得无法控制，担心政 府作出的决定会导致美元走弱。 5、关于美国的经济前景： 不会为美国的现状感到沮丧，美国的财政政策是我最担忧的问题，但这也不是美国独有的问题。 6、谈美股大幅波动： 与历史上的大崩盘相比，过去几十天的下跌根本不算什么。 7、谈人工智能： AI将会成为一夜改变游戏规则的工具，我们要改变做事的方式评估风险，对风险进行评价。我不会把所有的东西绕着AI进行 投资和发展；如果AI里面有选择的话，应该让阿吉特·贾恩来选择。 8、谈日本市场： 不会卖掉手里的5家日本贸易公司股票，在未来50年我们希望公司是由它们经 ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting will focus on Warren Buffett's response to recent U.S. tariff policies and the future investment strategies of the company, especially in light of Buffett's impending retirement and the significance of his successor, Greg Abel [1][2]. Group 1: Succession Confirmation - The long-standing question of who will succeed Buffett has been resolved, with Greg Abel confirmed as the next CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, following a hint from Charlie Munger during the 2021 online shareholder meeting [2][3]. Group 2: Profile of Greg Abel - Greg Abel, who will lead a $700 billion empire, is characterized by his intelligence and approachable demeanor, having grown up in a modest family in Edmonton, Canada, where he displayed early entrepreneurial skills [3][4]. - Abel's leadership style is marked by a blend of wisdom and humility, earning him respect and trust within the board [3][4]. Group 3: Energy Empire Builder - Abel's journey with Berkshire began in 2000 after the acquisition of CalEnergy, where he demonstrated remarkable potential by expanding the company through strategic acquisitions, ultimately leading to the formation of Berkshire Hathaway Energy (BHE) [4]. - Under Abel's leadership, BHE has achieved annual revenues of $270 billion, positioning it among the top ten in the Fortune 500, showcasing his strategic vision and cautious decision-making [4][5]. Group 4: Recent Performance and Challenges - Despite Abel's steady leadership, Berkshire's performance has lagged behind the S&P 500 over the past decade, contrasting sharply with its historical outperformance from 1965 to 2003 [5]. - The company faces challenges related to a diversifying shareholder base and the need to maintain its competitive edge in a rapidly changing market environment [5][8]. Group 5: Future Vision - Abel emphasizes a balance between maintaining the company's legacy and pursuing innovation, particularly in sustainable development and renewable energy, positioning BHE as a leader in wind energy [6][8]. - His attention to detail and operational efficiency, along with a proven track record in navigating complex negotiations, suggest a strong capability to lead Berkshire into the future [6][7]. Group 6: The Path Ahead - As Buffett's era comes to a close, the question remains whether Abel can replicate Buffett's success, with his ability to balance tradition and innovation being crucial for Berkshire's future [8].

美国曾幻想将中国从"神坛"上拉下，然而中国始终稳如泰山，面对美国暂停油气进口，我们的能源供应几乎未受影响，反而让特朗普的能源大亨们心痛不 已。这一反制策略精准而强硬，而美国为何如此焦虑？中国是如何做到毫不畏惧的呢？ 今年2月，中国对美国的原油和天然气加征关税，初期税率在10%到15%之间，而到了4月，这一数字直接跃升至145%。这一强硬措施使得美国的能源出口几 乎无缘进入中国市场，按照常理，这种情况下国内能源供应应该会出现一些波动，但实际情况却令人惊讶。4月28日，国家发展改革委副主任赵辰昕在新闻 发布会上简洁地表示"没有影响"，看似简单的表态，实际上透露着中国在能源领域的雄厚底气。 据透露，中国从美国进口的油气量大幅下降，液化天然气（LNG）已连续两个月零进口。然而，这点美国的油气量对中国庞大的能源体系来说，根本不算 什么。全球市场上的供应商多如牛毛，沙特、俄罗斯、卡塔尔、澳大利亚等国都能随便提供所需。3月和4月，全球经济疲软，原油需求下降，油价也出现下 滑，中国趁机大举采购，库存堆得满满的。国际能源署数据显示，到2025年初，全球原油供应将依然保持宽松，而OPEC的减产策略又为中国的能源采购提 供了足够的 ...