能源化工期权 2025-05-15 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （%） | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 原油 | SC2507 | 478 | 0 ...

表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （%） | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 铜 | CU2506 | 78,650 | 150 | 0.19 | 11.24 | 2.15 | 19.39 | 1.20 | | 铝 | AL2506 | 20,295 | 140 | 0.69 | 16.10 | 2.01 | 15.18 | -0.86 | | 锌 | ZN2506 | 22,800 | 280 | 1.24 | 21.91 | 4.85 | 10.49 | -0.71 | | 铅 | PB2506 | 17,025 | 105 | 0.62 | 3.26 | 0.57 | 3.07 | 0.02 | | 镍 | NI2506 | 125,540 | 1,140 | 0.92 | 13.66 | -2.33 | 6.31 | -0.86 | | 锡 | SN2506 | ...

农产品期权 2025-05-15 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要：油料油脂类农产品区间盘整，油脂类，豆类偏弱行情，农副产品维持震荡行情，软商品 白糖上升受阻回落，棉花延续弱势反弹形态，谷物类玉米和淀粉逐渐回暖上升后窄幅盘整。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （%） | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 豆一 | A2507 | 4,183 | 18 | ...

金属期权 2025-05-14 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要：（1）有色金属盘整震荡，构建做空波动率策略策略；（2）黑色系波动较大，适合构建卖 方期权组合策略；（3）贵金属多头趋势方向上高位震荡，构建牛市价差组合策略、做空波动率策略和现货避险策 略。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （%） | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 铜 | CU2506 | 78,650 | 770 | 0.99 | 9.09 | -3.42 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product options market shows diverse trends, with oilseeds and oils in a range - bound consolidation, some showing a weak trend, while agricultural by - products maintain a volatile pattern. Soft commodities like sugar face resistance in rising and then decline, and cotton continues a weak rebound. Grains such as corn and starch gradually recover and then consolidate in a narrow range [2]. - It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product futures have various price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the price of soybean No.1 (A2507) is 4,155, down 5 with a decline rate of 0.12%, and its trading volume is 13.38 million lots, down 4.06 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The PCR indicators of different agricultural product options vary. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.62 with a change of 0.10, and the open interest PCR is 0.68 with a change of 0.01 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Each option variety has corresponding pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 (A2507) is 4,500 and the support level is 4,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different agricultural product options shows different characteristics. For example, the implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 12.69% for at - the - money, and the weighted implied volatility is 14.99%, down 0.49% [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean No.1 and No.2**: The future soybean supply is relatively sufficient. The soybean No.1 shows a high - level consolidation pattern. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: The basis of soybean meal has changed, and the inventory has increased week - on - week. The market shows a weak short - term trend. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: The production of palm oil in Malaysia has increased. Palm oil shows a downward trend after a rebound. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - **Peanut**: The peanut market shows a rebound after a long - term weak trend. It is recommended to use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.5.2 Agricultural By - product Options - **Pig**: The pig market shows a range - bound pattern after a rise. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [11]. - **Egg**: The egg market shows a weak rebound and then a decline. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Apple**: The apple market shows a decline after a high - level breakthrough. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Jujube**: The jujube market shows a continuous decline. It is recommended to construct a bear spread strategy for directional trading and a short strangle strategy for volatility trading, as well as a covered call strategy for spot hedging [13]. 3.5.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar**: The sugar market shows a bullish volatile pattern. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - **Cotton**: The cotton market shows a rebound after a decline. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [14]. 3.5.4 Grain Options - **Corn and Starch**: The corn market shows a pattern of rising and then falling after a range - bound movement. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy [14].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, 8 new products were issued in the US, with Pacer launching two new products to expand its cash - flow product line, including a strategy product combining cash - flow factors and quality, and a rotation strategy product between its cash - flow ETF COWZ and the Nasdaq 100 [1][6]. - US stock ETFs continued to have some outflows last week, while international stock and bond products still had significant inflows, and the inflow of bond ETFs increased, with the risk preference of bond ETF funds rising [1][9]. - Since May, US Treasury bonds, especially long - term bonds, have performed weakly, with the decline of Treasury bond ETFs over 20 years exceeding 2%. However, the sentiment of funds has improved, and recently, bond ETFs have seen continuous inflows, while short - term bond products with stable performance have seen outflows [1][12]. - In March 2025, the total amount of non - money public funds in the US was $21.17 trillion, a decrease of $0.88 trillion compared to February 2025. From April 23 to April 30, US domestic stock funds had a total outflow of $10.2 billion, and the outflow has enlarged again, while the outflow of bond products has slowed down [1][14]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 US ETF Innovation Products: Pacer Issues Cash - Flow Rotation Strategy Products - Last week, 8 new products were issued in the US. Pacer issued two new products. One is a strategy product combining the representative cash - flow factor and quality, selecting 100 S&P 500 component stocks with at least 10 consecutive years of positive free cash flow and the highest free - cash - flow quality scores. The other is a rotation strategy product between its cash - flow ETF COWZ and the Nasdaq 100, which rotates based on momentum [6][7]. - VistaShares issued an options strategy product last week, selecting 20 - 50 stocks through quality criteria and then enhancing returns by selling options, with an annualized return of 15% currently [6]. - Invesco issued 3 new products last week. QQHG mainly invests in Nasdaq 100 stocks and adds an options strategy to control drawdowns, CTSK looks for undervalued stocks, and IMF selects assets with low correlation to traditional markets [7]. - YieldMax continued to expand its single - stock Covered Call strategy products last week, linked to the online brokerage Robinhood [7]. 3.2 US ETF Dynamics 3.2.1 US ETF Funds: Bond Product Inflows Increase - Last week, US stock ETFs continued to have some outflows, while international stock and bond products still had significant inflows, and the inflow of bond ETFs increased. Vanguard's S&P 500 ETF had significantly more inflows than the other two products, and Bitcoin ETFs also had inflows of over $1 billion. Credit - bond and long - bond ETFs had inflows, and CLO products have also attracted high attention recently [9]. - The inflow gap between the State Street's S&P 500 ETF and VOO in two weeks reached $12 billion. Corporate - bond ETFs had inflows and short - term bond ETFs had outflows, indicating an increase in the risk preference of bond ETF funds [11]. 3.2.2 US ETF Performance: Long - Term Bonds Continue to Decline - Since May, US Treasury bonds, especially long - term bonds, have performed weakly, with the decline of Treasury bond ETFs over 20 years exceeding 2%. However, the sentiment of funds has improved, and recently, bond ETFs have seen continuous inflows, while short - term bond products with stable performance have seen outflows [12]. 3.3 Recent Capital Flows of US Ordinary Public Funds - In March 2025, the total amount of non - money public funds in the US was $21.17 trillion, a decrease of $0.88 trillion compared to February 2025. In March, the S&P 500 fell 5.75%, and the scale of US domestic stock products declined by 6.55%, with the scale decline rate still higher than the stock decline rate [14]. - From April 23 to April 30, US domestic stock funds had a total outflow of $10.2 billion, and the outflow has enlarged again, while the outflow of bond products has slowed down [14].

2024年私募基金期权策略类产品净值出现大幅波动，期权策略指数创近几年最大回撤。我们以私募排排网中期权 策略指数为例进行分析，该指数主要通过选取市面上具有代表性的私募基金期权策略产品加权而得，基本能代表整个 私募基金期权策略类产品市场平均表现。 2017年至今，期权策略产品指数累计收益率85.2%，最大回撤6.16%，但近两年收益有明显放缓。其中，2024年 期权策略指数累计收益率仅有2.25%，且2月2日当周创出历史最大回撤。主要原因在于该周A股市场的大幅回落导致波 动率急剧放大，而期权策略产品一般以做空波动率、收取时间价值等卖方策略为主，波动率的快速放大对该类策略极 其不利。 备兑策略构建：持有标的指数现货，同时卖出虚值2%看涨期权，持有到期后自动换月，其中手续费加滑点取0.55 点/手。 图为2017年以来私募基金期权策略指数净值及动态回撤 期权PCR是Put-Call-Ratio的简称，PCR是指看跌期权与看涨期权之间的比值。一般而言，我们常见的PCR指标有 两个：成交量的PCR值和持仓量的PCR值。成交量PCR值，它衡量了过去某段时间不同类型合约的交易活跃程度；持 仓量PCR值，它则代表了过去某段时 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural products sector includes beans, oils, agricultural by - products, soft commodities, grains, and others. Each sector has options strategies and suggestions for selected varieties. The overall market shows different trends: oils and fats are in a range - bound or weakening trend, soft commodities like sugar and cotton have their own fluctuations, and grains like corn and starch are gradually warming up and then moving in a narrow range. It is recommended to construct option combination strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Various agricultural product futures have different price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the price of soybean A2507 is 4,171 with a 0.05% increase, and its trading volume is 22.73 million lots; the price of palm oil P2506 is 8,128 with a 0.99% increase, and its trading volume is 1.12 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of different agricultural product options are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For example, the volume PCR of soybean A is 0.67 with a 0.31 change, and the open interest PCR is 0.66 with a 0.04 change [4]. 3.3 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the maximum open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of option underlyings are analyzed. For example, the pressure level of soybean A2507 is 4,500 and the support level is 4,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different agricultural product options is presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean A is 15.05%, and the weighted implied volatility is 17.37% with a - 0.33 change [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Suggestions 3.5.1 Oils and Fats Options - **Beans (Soybean A, Soybean B)**: In May, the supply of domestic soybeans is expected to improve. The soybean A market has been in a high - level consolidation recently. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy to obtain time value and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Bean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: The domestic bean meal spot price has fallen during the holiday. The short - term US soybeans are under pressure due to the trade war. It is recommended to construct a bearish call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, Rapeseed Oil**: The domestic oil supply is relatively sufficient. The palm oil market has been falling recently. It is recommended to construct a bear spread strategy, a neutral call + put option combination strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - **Peanuts**: The domestic peanut price has been weak. It is recommended to use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.5.2 Agricultural By - product Options - **Pigs**: The pig price has been fluctuating in April. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [11]. - **Eggs**: The egg supply is expected to be in surplus in the future. The market has been in a weak downward trend recently. It is recommended to construct a bearish call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Apples**: The apple market has been highly volatile recently. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Jujubes**: The jujube market has been in a downward trend recently. It is recommended to construct a put bear spread strategy, a wide - straddle option combination strategy, and a covered call strategy for spot [13]. 3.5.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar**: The sugar production in Brazil has increased. The sugar market has been in a bullish consolidation recently. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - **Cotton**: The spinning and weaving factory operating rates are lower than last year. The cotton market has been in a low - level consolidation recently. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [14]. 3.5.4 Grain Options - **Corn and Starch**: The long - position and short - position holdings of CBOT corn futures have decreased. The corn market has been rising recently. It is recommended to construct a bullish call + put option combination strategy [14].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - For non - ferrous metals in a consolidation and oscillation state, construct a short - volatility strategy; for the black series with large fluctuations, construct a seller's option combination strategy; for precious metals in a high - level oscillation in the bullish trend direction, construct a bull spread combination strategy, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot hedging strategy [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1. Futures Market Overview - Copper (CU2506): The latest price is 78,140, up 560 or 0.72%, with a trading volume of 11.67 million lots (down 1.61 million lots) and an open interest of 17.97 million lots (up 0.06 million lots) [3]. - Aluminum (AL2506): The latest price is 19,570, up 90 or 0.46%, with a trading volume of 26.76 million lots (up 0.08 million lots) and an open interest of 19.27 million lots (down 0.21 million lots) [3]. - Other metals such as zinc, lead, nickel, etc., also have their respective price, trading volume, and open - interest changes [3]. 3.2. Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - PCR indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For example, the copper option has a trading volume PCR of 2.20 (up 1.19) and an open - interest PCR of 1.23 (up 0.09) [4]. 3.3. Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the maximum open - interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of each metal option are obtained. For example, the pressure level of copper (CU2506) is 80,000 and the support level is 70,000 [5]. 3.4. Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of each metal option is calculated. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper is 15.91%, and the weighted implied volatility is 21.95% (up 0.95%) [6]. 3.5. Strategy and Recommendations - **Non - ferrous Metals** - **Copper Options**: Construct a short - volatility seller's option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina Options**: Construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Other Non - ferrous Metals**: Each has corresponding directional, volatility, and spot - related strategies [9][10][11]. - **Precious Metals** - **Gold/Silver Options**: Construct a short - neutral volatility option seller's combination strategy and a spot - hedging strategy [12]. - **Black Series** - **Steel, Iron Ore, etc.**: Each has corresponding directional, volatility, and spot - related strategies. For example, construct a bearish put spread combination strategy for steel [13][14][15].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report analyzes the fundamentals, market trends, and volatility of various energy and chemical options, and provides corresponding strategy recommendations [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Energy and Chemical Option Classification - Energy and chemical options are mainly divided into five categories: basic chemicals, energy, polyester chemicals, polyolefin chemicals, and other chemicals [3] 3.2 Basic Chemicals Sector - **Methanol Options**: The price is under pressure and shows a weak and bearish trend. Implied volatility is above the historical average. A bearish combination strategy of call + put options is recommended [3] - **Rubber Options/Synthetic Rubber Options**: The market shows a weak consolidation and oscillation pattern under bearish pressure. Implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level. A bearish volatility - selling strategy is recommended [3] - **Styrene Options**: Affected by the Sino - US tariff war, downstream demand is weak. The market shows a large - fluctuation and weak trend. Implied volatility remains at a relatively high historical level. A volatility - selling option combination strategy is recommended [4] 3.3 Oil and Gas Sector - **Crude Oil Options**: OPEC+ increases supply, but exports do not increase significantly. The market shows a large - fluctuation pattern under bearish pressure. Implied volatility remains at a relatively high level. A volatility - selling strategy is recommended [4] - **Liquefied Gas Options**: The price has a short - term weak rebound under pressure. Implied volatility is above the historical average. A bearish call + put option combination strategy is recommended, and the position delta should be adjusted dynamically [4] 3.4 Polyester Chemicals Sector - **PX Options/PTA Options**: PTA load is decreasing, and inventory is decreasing year - on - year. The market shows a mild bullish trend under bearish pressure. Implied volatility remains at a relatively high level. A volatility - selling strategy is recommended [5] - **Ethylene Glycol Options**: Port inventory is increasing, and downstream inventory days are rising. The market shows a large - oscillation and short - term weak bearish trend. Implied volatility has risen rapidly to a relatively high historical level. A volatility - selling strategy is recommended [5] - **Short - Fiber Options**: Polyester load is high, but short - fiber load is slightly decreasing. The market shows a rebound pattern under bearish pressure. Implied volatility remains at a relatively high average level. A volatility - selling call + put option combination strategy is recommended [5] 3.5 Polyolefin Chemicals Sector - **Polypropylene Options**: Inventory shows different trends among producers, traders, and ports. The market shows a large - oscillation and weak pattern. Implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level. A bearish call + put option combination strategy is recommended, and the position delta should be adjusted dynamically [6] - **Polyethylene Options**: Producer and trader inventories are increasing. The market shows a weak consolidation pattern under pressure. Implied volatility has risen rapidly to a relatively high level. A bearish directional strategy is recommended [6] - **PVC Options**: Factory and social inventories are decreasing year - on - year. The market shows a weak bearish downward trend. Implied volatility remains at a relatively low level. A bearish directional strategy is recommended [6] 3.6 Data Summary - **Option Underlying Market Data**: Includes closing prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various option underlying assets [8] - **Option Volume, Open Interest, and Turnover Data**: Volume, open interest, and turnover data of various options, as well as their changes [9] - **Option Volume, Open Interest, and Turnover PCR Data**: PCR data and their changes of various options [10] - **Option Maximum Open Interest at Strike Prices**: Maximum open interest at strike prices, pressure points, and support points of various options [11] - **Option Implied Volatility Data**: Implied volatility, its changes, annual average, call and put implied volatilities, and historical volatility of various options [13]