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美前财长喊话特朗普政府:想赢中国,发展清洁能源至关重要
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-04-27 14:10
"美国面临的最紧迫但被低估的能源挑战之一,是与中国的人工智能竞赛。美国当前处于领先地位,但中国正在大力投资并缩小差距。" 反观美国,"电力需求的增长速度已经超过了公用事业企业的产能建设速度。" 当地时间4月27日,美国前财长亨利·保尔森在英国《金融时报》上撰文称,美国若试图在与中国的人工智能竞赛中胜出,发展清洁能源至关重要,特朗普政 府必须实施清醒务实的国家能源战略。 保尔森曾于2006年至2009年担任小布什政府的财政部长,后于2011年创办保尔森基金会并担任主席。官网介绍称,该基金会致力于在中美两国推动可持续经 济增长、更清洁的环境和跨境投资。 保尔森此文的背景是当前人工智能发展对电力需求增长的强劲驱动。国际能源署日前发布报告称,到2030年,全球数据中心的电力需求将增加一倍以上,达 到每年约945太瓦时,略高于目前日本每年的总用电量。 "能源安全变得至关重要,"保尔森提到,近年来全球能源格局已经发生巨变。俄乌冲突导致天然气价格飙升,欧洲和其他能源尚未独立的地区为解决能源问 题,加速转向太阳能和风能。 在文章中,保尔森将中美能源发展现状做了对比。他表示,"中国政府的目标是主导未来技术,他们深知能源政策将是 ...
杨长利:核能是实现“双碳”目标、保障能源安全的重要战略选择
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 03:02
Core Viewpoint - Nuclear energy is a crucial strategic choice for China to achieve its "dual carbon" goals and ensure energy security, with a commitment to high-quality development and international cooperation in nuclear energy [1] Group 1: Global Nuclear Energy Landscape - As of 2024, there are 417 operational nuclear power units globally, with a total installed capacity nearing 400 million kilowatts and an annual generation of 2.8 trillion kilowatt-hours, accounting for 9% of total electricity generation [1] - There are 65 nuclear power units under construction worldwide, with an installed capacity of 72.6 million kilowatts, marking the highest level since 1990 [1] - Nuclear energy is recognized for its contributions to energy security, optimizing energy structure, and facilitating energy transition [1] Group 2: China's Nuclear Energy Development - By 2030, it is expected that China's operational nuclear power capacity will reach 110 million kilowatts, with current operational units numbering 58 and a total capacity of 60.96 million kilowatts [2] - China has 44 approved units under construction with a capacity of 52.35 million kilowatts, making it the world's largest nuclear power producer [2] - In 2024, China's nuclear power generation is projected to be 444.7 billion kilowatt-hours, representing 4.72% of the national total and equivalent to a reduction of 334 million tons of CO2 emissions [2] Group 3: Safety and Technological Advancements - China adheres to a "safety first" policy in nuclear power development, with over 600 operational years without any incidents rated at level 2 or above on the International Nuclear Event Scale (INES) [3] - The performance metrics of China's nuclear power units show that 82.18% meet excellent standards, 84.79% meet advanced standards, and 92.07% meet median standards [3] - China's third-generation nuclear technology is in mass construction, with the "Hualong One" design having 7 units in operation and 26 units approved for construction [3]
中国科学家:预计5年内点亮第一盏“核聚变灯”
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-04-27 02:41
Group 1 - The core vision of achieving nuclear fusion power generation in China is expected to be realized by 2030, with the first "nuclear fusion light" anticipated to be lit [1][2] - Nuclear fusion involves the combination of two lighter atomic nuclei under high temperature and density, releasing significant energy, with one cup of seawater providing energy equivalent to 300 liters of gasoline [2] - The construction of the compact fusion energy experimental device (BEST) is underway in Hefei, which aims to demonstrate fusion energy generation by 2027 [2] Group 2 - The "Good Hope Science Salon" aims to foster cross-disciplinary communication and promote the integration of future technologies and industries, with over 70 participants from various sectors discussing advancements in nuclear energy [3] - Discussions included the collaborative innovation between fission and fusion, the commercialization of nuclear fusion, and the investment logic surrounding it, highlighting the international community's focus on fusion energy as a solution to energy challenges [3]
美国储量全球第一,中国却95%靠进口,若美断供中国怎样应对?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 01:04
先说美国那"煤老板"的家底。人家38个州有煤,蒙大拿、怀俄明这些地方扒开土就能挖矿,阿拉巴契亚煤田的煤层躺得比炕还平,矿井平均深度90米,露天 开采跟挖红薯似的轻松。但美国人现在不稀罕烧煤,去年煤电占比掉到16%,页岩气发电成本比煤还便宜三成,德州的风车转得比矿车还勤快。他们宁可把 煤存着当战略储备,就像屯着茅台等升值,现在出口的煤九成卖给亚洲,但到咱这儿的量连零头都算不上。 再看咱们自己的账本。去年进口5.43亿吨煤,花出去3704个小目标,里头印尼占44%,俄罗斯18%,澳大利亚和蒙古各15%,剩下那8%才是美国、加拿大这 些"散客"。可能有老铁要拍大腿:这不扯呢吗?95%进口是咋算的? 这里头有门道——炼焦煤这种金贵货,咱们六成得靠进口,特别是钢厂用的主焦煤,山西老矿挖了百来年,好矿脉都快见底了。印尼的煤便宜是便宜,但热 值低得像掺了水;俄罗斯的煤倒是硬货,可西伯利亚的铁路冬天动不动就冻趴窝。 要说美国的煤真断了咋办?咱手里早捏着三四张牌。头一张是关税大棒,今年2月给美国煤加了15%的税,到岸价比澳洲煤贵出两百块,电厂老板们算盘一 打,扭头就找蒙古谈包矿。第二张牌是家里有矿心里不慌,新疆准东的煤田储量顶 ...
人民日报 | 新增装机连续3年全球第一,新型储能技术“多点开花”
文 | 人民日报 丁怡婷 具备毫秒级响应速度的飞轮储能系统,功能灵活的液冷一体式移动储能车,可提前超15分钟预报燃爆等事故的新型储能安全监测平台……在日前 举办的第十三届储能国际峰会暨展览会上,新型储能技术"多点开花",不少企业亮出"看家"产品。 会上发布的《储能产业研究白皮书2025》显示,2024年,我国新型储能新增装机连续3年保持全球第一,达到43.7吉瓦/109.8吉瓦时,占全球新 增装机的约六成。新型储能累计装机规模首次超过抽水蓄能,占比超56%。截至今年2月底,全国新型储能累计装机已超过7500万千瓦。 国家能源局能源节约和科技装备司相关负责人介绍,高可靠、高能效、长寿命的新型储能产品和技术供给能力不断提升,锂离子电池占据装机主 导的同时,压缩空气、液流电池、钠离子电池、重力储能、飞轮等非锂储能技术实现应用突破,技术多元化应用趋势凸显。 在展览会上,远景储能展出了8兆瓦时储能系统新品,内部由3300多颗电芯组成。"由于单颗电芯容量提升,相比市场主流的5兆瓦时储能系统, 电芯数量减少超过30%,容量提升约60%,全生命周期度电成本可降低约40%。"远景储能总裁田庆军介绍。 2024年,南网储能公司研 ...
中国自美进口油气显著下滑,LNG连续两月零进口
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 14:26
美国油气在中国进口油气总量中占比不高,中国对美油气进口没有依赖性,可在全球找到较多替代品, 中国买家已在转向。 美国是全球最大的原油生产国和液化天然气(LNG)出口国,在其对中国出口的商品中,石油和天然 气是最快受到关税影响的一批产品。 随着美国"对等关税"政策不断加码,中国亦祭出反制措施。截至目前,中国对原产于美国的原油和LNG 关税税率分别升至94%和99%。 第一财经记者采访获悉,今年以来,美国出口到中国的石油数量显著下滑;近两个多月内,更是没有一 船美国LNG抵达中国港口。 "自今年2月中国对美国LNG征收15%的反制性关税以来,中国已近两个半月没有进口美国LNG。"金联 创天然气分析师王亚飞告诉第一财经记者,2月我国自美国LNG进口量6.57万吨,环比减少12.85万吨; 进入3月下滑至0,而去年同期为进口41.25万吨;4月份据金联创船期数据,美国到货也为0。 LNG进口方面,行业人士也认为影响不大。据海关数据,2024年中国自美国进口LNG达433万吨,占 LNG总进口量约5.6%,在中国整体表观消费量中仅占不到1.4%。 卓创资讯天然气分析师冯海城解释称,一方面是因为美国出口设施建成时间较晚, ...
有事去不了!中国缺席重要会议,60多国期待落空,英国:都怪美国
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-22 02:35
前言 前不久,国际能源峰会在英国召开,为了准备这次会议,英国对超过75个国家发出了邀请,最终确定参加的有60多个。 作为全球清洁能源领头国家的中国,这次因为"日程冲突"婉拒了英国的邀请,面对这种情况,英媒直言对英国是个打击,而且还将怒火烧到了美国身上。 那么中国没有参加,英媒为何会将原因归咎于美国? 中方婉拒英国邀请 众所周知,新能源目前已经成为未来能源发展的新方向,各国也纷纷在研究自己的新能源产业,而能源峰会,也成为了每年各国展示成果的舞台。 前不久,英国伦敦可以说是热闹非凡,因为这次的能源峰会是由英国主办,而为了办好这场峰会,英国政府也是下了大功夫,一口气邀请了超过75个国家。 在英国看来,这次峰会他们肩上扛着非常重的使命,因为如今全球极端气候时有发生,能源安全与地缘政治风险问题加重,这对全球发展其实并不是什么好 事。 所以应该就想趁着这场峰会,想要找到各国对能源危机和气候挑战问题合作的契机,并商量出解决问题的办法。 在这种类型的峰会当中,中国一直都是关注的焦点,毕竟近些年中国在能源转型上做出了非常多的成果,而中国的可再生能源、电动汽车、电池技术等也在 全球处于领先位置。 根据国际能源署发布的报告,202 ...
刘煜辉最新发声再谈“东升西落”:珍惜每一次激烈博弈和碰撞中,中国核心资产“倒车接人”的机会
聪明投资者· 2025-04-20 14:34
" 中国 未来的 方略主要有几点 :更加开放,更加平衡,更加市场化。" 以上是中国首席经济学家论坛理事 刘煜辉 在今 天(4月20日)宁波银行私人银行投资策略会中分享的 最新观点。 对于所有事件的分析,都要结合背景回到最底层的目标,去解构其行为逻辑。 "从逻辑上推演,我坚定相信,只有'东升西落',中或最赢,没有其他结果。 " 刘煜辉用了近两个小时,将特朗普发动的这场仅仅一个星期就已经"到顶"的关税战进行了详细梳理。 "美联储代表的是犹太资本和金融资本利益,而犹太金融资本在西方意识形态中一定占据左翼,而不是 右翼。 所以,在左右翼资深对决的时代背景下,去看在美元资产遭到巨大抛售、美元信用受到危机时,美联储 仍然采取袖手旁观的态度,是可以理解的。" 从大背景来看,刘煜辉表示这是美西方一场史无前例的"党争"。 特朗普作为西方政治规则下的政治人物,其真实有效的政治时间可能只有一年半,因此, 他的第一性 目标是通过"关税战"向选票基本盘展现承诺,以及巩固权力,并在中选前证明他所代表的右翼势力在美 国权力系统中已经站稳脚跟。 但是,刘煜辉强调,真正决定社会走向的是其背后的资本意志。 因此,从第一性原理角度出发,最终还是要 ...
宝丰能源20250408
2025-04-15 14:30
Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the petrochemical industry, specifically focusing on polyethylene, polypropylene, and coal prices, as well as the company's operations in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Price Correlation**: The cost of polyethylene is mainly influenced by propylene prices, while propylene and naphtha prices are linked to crude oil prices. However, the correlation has weakened over the past two years, with naphtha supply being squeezed due to reduced overall oil demand [1] 2. **Historical Price Relationship**: Historically, crude oil prices have been about three times that of coal prices. Crude oil serves as a functional substitute for coal in various applications, which explains this relationship [2] 3. **Impact of Oil Price Decline**: A decline in oil prices is expected to exert downward pressure on coal prices, but the overall impact on profit margins may be mitigated by a decrease in costs [3] 4. **Energy Security**: The importance of domestic energy production routes has been emphasized, highlighting the strategic significance of energy security in the current environment [4] 5. **Market Dynamics**: The short-term impact of oil price fluctuations on product prices is expected to be less significant than the impact on crude oil prices. The market for products is anticipated to remain stable despite potential pressures [5][6] 6. **Cost Advantages**: Inner Mongolia's production costs are approximately 300 RMB lower than those in other regions, with expectations for further optimization as production stabilizes [7][8] 7. **Sales and Market Reception**: The company has not observed significant market pressure from increased production capacity, as they have established downstream channels and signed contracts to ensure smooth sales [9] 8. **Export Trends**: Polypropylene exports have been increasing, particularly to Southeast Asia and South America, where local production capacity is limited [10] 9. **Domestic Production Capacity**: Despite new domestic production, the overall import levels have remained stable, indicating that domestic production has not significantly displaced imports due to increasing demand [11][12] 10. **Future Production Plans**: The company is preparing for the approval of projects in Xinjiang and has plans for significant production capacity expansion in Inner Mongolia over the next five years [14][15] 11. **Market Confidence**: The company expresses optimism about its financial performance in 2023, driven by the gradual release of profits from the Inner Mongolia project and stable product pricing [17] Other Important but Potentially Overlooked Content - The company is actively monitoring the impact of external factors such as tariffs and market demand on its operations and pricing strategies [1][9] - There is a focus on the need for continuous investment in production capabilities to maintain competitiveness against international suppliers [13] - The company is also considering potential share buyback or increase plans in response to market conditions [16]