Group 1 - Several floating rate funds have been announced today, with total establishment sizes exceeding 600 million yuan, including E Fund Growth Progress exceeding 1.7 billion yuan [1][2] - The established floating rate funds have begun building positions, with some funds showing significant movements shortly after their establishment [1][4] - The cumulative establishment size of five floating rate funds has surpassed 6 billion yuan [3] Group 2 - New funds established in the second quarter have shown notable building actions, with over 1,000 million yuan in total establishment size for stock and mixed funds [5][6] - Among the new funds, some have already exceeded 50% in stock asset allocation within a short time frame [6] - The top holdings of newly established funds indicate a concentration in the banking sector, benefiting from recent strong performance in that sector [6][7]

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown a rebound since April 7, with the Wind偏股混合型基金指数 rising over 11% as of June 17, indicating a recovery in active equity products [1][2] - Nearly 70% of active equity funds have turned positive in returns, with 3,079 out of 4,462 funds reporting gains, a significant increase from 10.8% on April 7 [2][3] - The top-performing funds are heavily invested in the pharmaceutical sector, with six out of the top ten funds focusing on this area, driven by Hong Kong innovative drug stocks [3][5] Group 2 - The top fund, 长城医药产业精选A, has achieved a 75.69% return year-to-date, followed closely by 中信建投北交所精选两年定开A and 永赢医药创新智选A with returns of 74% and 70.8% respectively [3] - The performance of the pharmaceutical sector is attributed to the strong showing of Hong Kong innovative drug stocks, which constitute a significant portion of the holdings in these funds [3][6] - Despite recent market corrections in popular sectors like innovative drugs and new consumption, industry experts believe that the long-term value remains intact, with ongoing support from national policies and market demand [5][6] Group 3 - The innovative drug sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 59.18%, while other sectors like humanoid robots and new consumption have also performed well, with gains exceeding 20% [5] - Recent corrections in these sectors are viewed as technical adjustments rather than a sign of a downturn, with analysts suggesting continued investment interest in innovative drugs due to their long-term growth potential [6][7] - The new consumption sector is experiencing a temporary pullback, but the underlying market conditions remain strong, as evidenced by positive consumption data during the recent 618 shopping festival [6][7]

Core Insights - The active equity funds have shown a dramatic contrast in performance amidst rising capital market volatility, with the first "doubling fund" emerging in the year, igniting market enthusiasm, while new fund issuance remains relatively subdued [1][3] - As of June 13, the "Huitianfu Hong Kong Advantage Selected Mixed A/C" fund achieved a year-to-date return exceeding 100%, becoming a market highlight, while 16 active equity funds have returns over 70% [3][4] - Despite strong performance from some funds, the new issuance of active equity funds has been lackluster, with a total of 299.16 billion yuan raised in new funds this year, accounting for only 6.56% of the total public offering new issuance [5][6] Fund Performance - The first "doubling fund" appeared in the active equity market, with the "Huitianfu Hong Kong Advantage Selected Mixed" fund showing a year-to-date increase of over 100% [3] - Other notable funds include "Changcheng Medical Industry Selected Mixed" with over 87% return and "Yongying Medical Innovation Smart Selection" with over 79% return [3] - The overall average return for active equity funds this year is 2.87%, with a significant disparity of 132.35 percentage points between the best and worst performers [3][4] Fund Issuance - A total of 89 new active equity funds were established this year, with the largest fund being "Oriental Red Core Value Mixed" at 19.91 billion yuan [5][6] - 32 active equity funds had issuance sizes below 1 billion yuan, indicating a trend towards smaller fund launches [5] - The failure of the "Shenwan Lingshin Vision Growth Mixed" fund to meet fundraising conditions highlights challenges in the current market environment [6] Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the key to breaking the current stagnation in new fund issuance lies in enhancing asset allocation capabilities and improving net value performance [7][8] - The recent reforms in public funds emphasize the alignment of fund company income with investor returns, which may enhance the attractiveness of existing products and instill confidence in new offerings [8] - Future issuance of active equity funds may improve as market conditions stabilize and investor confidence returns, with a focus on optimizing product design and enhancing service quality [8][9]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Brinson Attribution Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model is used to decompose the excess returns of active equity funds into stock selection and sector allocation contributions, providing insights into the sources of fund performance [16][19][22] - **Model Construction Process**: The Brinson model calculates excess returns as follows: $ R_{excess} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} (W_{i,f} - W_{i,b}) \cdot R_{i,b} + \sum_{i=1}^{n} W_{i,f} \cdot (R_{i,f} - R_{i,b}) $ - $ W_{i,f} $: Fund weight in sector $ i $ - $ W_{i,b} $: Benchmark weight in sector $ i $ - $ R_{i,f} $: Fund return in sector $ i $ - $ R_{i,b} $: Benchmark return in sector $ i $ The first term represents the allocation effect, and the second term represents the selection effect [16][19] - **Model Evaluation**: The model highlights that stock selection contributes more significantly to excess returns than sector allocation, with stock selection accounting for 83.17% of the total contribution on average [16][22] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Brinson Attribution Model - Average stock selection contribution: 5.38% per half-year [22] - Probability of positive stock selection returns: 69.12% [23] - Probability of positive sector allocation returns: 53.66% [23] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Fund Stability Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the stability of a fund's sector allocation and its impact on outperforming benchmarks [10][12] - **Factor Construction Process**: Funds are categorized into 16 groups based on static and dynamic sector allocation characteristics: - Static categories: Highly diversified, diversified, concentrated, highly concentrated - Dynamic categories: Highly stable, stable, rotational, highly rotational The average probability of outperforming benchmarks is calculated for each group [10][12] - **Factor Evaluation**: Funds with highly stable and diversified sector allocations have the highest probability of outperforming benchmarks, exceeding 73% on average [12][14] 2. Factor Name: Style Consistency Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the consistency of a fund's style (e.g., large-cap value) and its correlation with performance [27][30] - **Factor Construction Process**: Funds are classified based on their style consistency over time: - Long-term stable allocation - Majority-time allocation - Partial-time allocation - Rare-time allocation The probability of outperforming benchmarks is calculated for each group [27][28] - **Factor Evaluation**: Funds with long-term stable large-cap value styles have the highest probability of outperforming benchmarks, reaching 79.77% [28][30] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Fund Stability Factor - Highly diversified-highly stable funds: - Probability of outperforming benchmark: 73.12% - Probability of outperforming benchmark +10%: 57.29% [12] 2. Style Consistency Factor - Long-term stable large-cap value funds: - Probability of outperforming benchmark: 79.77% - Probability of outperforming benchmark +10%: 69.05% [28]

Core Viewpoint - The TOP 100 active equity fund manager list has consistently outperformed the Wind偏股基金指数 for four consecutive years, indicating the value of excellent active equity fund managers [1][2]. Group 1: Performance of Fund Managers - The TOP 100 list includes fund managers who have shown the ability to outperform their peers, with a specific focus on those managing Hong Kong stocks [4][9]. - The performance of the Hong Kong fund managers from the TOP 100 list yielded a return of 22.89% as of May 28, 2025, compared to the Hang Seng Index's 17.45% and the active Hong Kong fund index's 13.61% [9]. - Despite the success of individual fund managers, the overall active equity funds in the Hong Kong market struggle to outperform the index, similar to trends in other mature markets [9][10]. Group 2: Notable Fund Managers - Zhang Feng from 富国基金 has over 25 years of experience and has built a strong reputation in the Hong Kong market, with his fund 富国中国中小盘 being one of the top performers [12][13][14]. - Ning Jun, also from 富国基金, has a broad investment style and has managed funds that have consistently performed well, including 富国沪港深业绩驱动 [20][24]. - Bai Yang from 大成国际 has a strong academic background and has received multiple awards for his performance, managing funds that rank well in the Hong Kong market [33][41]. - Luo Jiaming, with 18 years of experience in Hong Kong, has a quality-focused investment style, but his recent performance has been disappointing due to market conditions [43][49]. - Xiong Xiaoya from 南方基金 has shown promising results with her growth-oriented investment style, although her team's recent changes may impact future performance [56][59]. - Zhang Jintao from 嘉实基金 has a value-oriented investment approach and has managed funds with solid performance, although his large management scale may affect focus [63][66]. Group 3: Market Insights - The Hong Kong market is characterized by concentrated liquidity, making it challenging for active fund managers to consistently outperform the index [9]. - The article emphasizes the importance of selecting fund managers with proven track records and the ability to navigate the complexities of the Hong Kong market [4][9].

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of public funds has led to a diverse range of fund products, making it challenging for investors to select suitable options. FOF funds, acting as "professional buyers," reflect market risk preferences and strategy adjustments, providing valuable insights for investors [2][3]. Group 1: FOF Fund Preferences - The top three actively managed equity funds favored by FOF funds in Q1 include Dachen Gaoxin C managed by Liu Xu (37 FOF funds), Fuguo Stable Growth C managed by Fan Yan (26 FOF funds), and Huaxia Innovation Frontier managed by Tu Huanyu (21 FOF funds) [5][6]. - Liu Xu is characterized as a value investor focusing on safety margins and long-term stock selection, while Fan Yan is known for her diversified holdings and strong drawdown control, earning her the title of "earthquake master" [7]. - Tu Huanyu adopts a technology growth style, focusing on TMT and new energy sectors, resulting in higher volatility compared to Liu Xu and Fan Yan [7]. Group 2: Fund Performance and Characteristics - Fuguo Stable Growth C and Jing Shun Chang Cheng Quality Evergreen C saw significant institutional buying in Q1, with shares increasing by 18.0373 million and 9.6018 million, respectively [10]. - Jing Shun Chang Cheng Quality Evergreen C, managed by Fan Yan, has consistently outperformed benchmarks and peers, achieving a year-to-date return of 8.17% and a total return of 44.39% over three years [13][12]. - The fund's strategy shifted towards technology sectors, significantly increasing allocations to electronics and communications, which contributed to a net value increase of over 40% in 2024 [15][14]. Group 3: Institutional Preferences - The top ten actively managed equity funds by FOF fund holdings, excluding those with high self-company holdings, include Huaxia Innovation Frontier with a market value of 4 billion yuan and 21 FOF funds [28][29]. - The fund manager Tu Huanyu focuses on long-term investment returns in TMT, new energy, and pharmaceuticals, achieving a cumulative return of 48% since he began managing the fund in March 2020 [30][31]. - The maximum drawdown for Huaxia Innovation Frontier during Tu Huanyu's tenure reached -44.5%, indicating a high level of volatility [33].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The market overestimates the proportion of active equity funds underperforming their benchmarks. Selecting a benchmark that matches the fund manager's style can significantly reduce the proportion of funds with performance 10% lower than the benchmark [3][19] - The S&P 500 is the most widely - chosen benchmark for active equity funds in the US, and Russell style indices are also highly recognized [24][25] - In the short - term, banks, non - banks, and food and beverage are under - allocated industries, while electronics, media, and machinery are over - allocated industries. Active equity funds in Hong Kong still prefer growth - oriented industries [3][38][43] - When selecting a performance comparison benchmark, factors such as index style suitability, market recognition, stability, investment opportunities, and long - term viability should be considered [3] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Market Overestimates the Proportion of Active Equity Funds Underperforming Their Benchmarks 3.1.1 Problems of Directly Selecting Broad - based Indices as Benchmarks - The two simple calculation methods currently used in the market may not have reference value for the future. The data on the proportion of funds underperforming benchmarks in the past has randomness and cannot reflect the true ability of active equity funds [10][11] - If fund managers choose broad - based indices as benchmarks without changing their investment strategies, the probability of their performance being more than 10% lower than the benchmark in three years is uncontrollable. Selecting a benchmark that matches the investment style is more important [16][19][20] 3.1.2 Benchmarks Used by Overseas Active Equity Funds - In the US, the S&P 500 is the most widely - chosen benchmark, with a scale proportion of over 40% in all active products investing in the US. Russell style indices such as Russell 1000 Growth and Russell 1000 Value are also highly recognized [24][25] - Different types of US active funds have different benchmark selection preferences. For example, the S&P 500 is commonly chosen for large - cap core products, while Russell 2000 is dominant in small - cap core products [26] 3.2 Short - term Market Transaction Expectations 3.2.1 Industry and Stock Dimensions: Under - allocation of Finance and Traditional Consumption, Over - allocation of Technology and Growth - Balanced style funds under - allocate non - banks, banks, and food and beverage, and over - allocate media, automobiles, and machinery. Growth style funds under - allocate food and beverage, transportation, and public utilities, and over - allocate electronics, power equipment, and machinery. Value style funds under - allocate banks, non - banks, and building decoration, and over - allocate power equipment, real estate, and pharmaceutical biology [33][34][35] - Different industry - themed funds also have different over - and under - allocation situations. Overall, banks, non - banks, and food and beverage are industries with large under - allocation amounts, while electronics, media, and machinery are industries with large over - allocation amounts [38] 3.2.2 Hong Kong Stock Allocation: Over - and Under - allocation Relative to the Hang Seng Index - In Hong Kong stocks, under - allocated industries include banks, non - banks, and commerce and retail, while over - allocated industries include pharmaceutical biology, media, and electronics. Active equity funds in Hong Kong still prefer growth - oriented industries [43] 3.3 How to Select Performance Comparison Benchmarks for Active Equity Funds 3.3.1 Indices Currently Issued by Mainstream Index Companies - Active equity funds commonly choose broad - based indices, industry - themed indices, and SmartBeta products as performance comparison benchmarks. The top 5 most - tracked indices are usually broad - based indices such as the CSI 300, CSI 800, Hang Seng Index, CSI 500, and CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Composite [46] - Mainstream index companies issue three types of indices: broad - based indices, SmartBeta indices, and industry - themed indices, covering multiple markets and strategies [49] 3.3.2 Indices More Likely to Generate Excess Returns - Three factors affect a fund's excess returns: investment ability, investment breadth, and investment opportunities. Indices with wider coverage and more investment opportunities can generate higher excess returns, but their Beta may be weaker [53][57] 3.3.3 How to Select Broad - based Indices - From multiple perspectives such as industry allocation deviation, standard deviation of component stock returns, and stock - selection tolerance, the CSI A500 index is more in line with the investment styles of most fund managers [61]

金融工程丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 科技主题行情催化下， 部分相关绩优基金规模快速增长 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 与 2024 年四季报相比，今年一季度主动权益基金增持最多的四个行业为金属材料及矿业 （1.16pct）、汽车（1.05 pct）、机械设备（0.69 pct）和电子（0.69 pct）。从主动调仓角度来看， 主动加仓最多的四个行业分别是机械设备（0.70 pct）、金属材料及矿业（0.69 pct）、汽车（0.62 pct）和电子（0.59 pct）。剔除行业主题基金影响后，主动加仓最多的四个行业分别是金属材料 及矿业（0.98pct）、食品饮料（0.64pct）、电子（0.58pct）和传媒互联网（0.54pct）。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 覃川桃 杨凯杰 SAC：S0490513030001 SFC：BUT353 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 31 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2025 年一季度主动权益基金净值规模加权 ...

本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 市场概览:2025Q1除了纯债型基金外，主要基金指数均录得正收益，主动 权益基金跑出超额。从总规模上来看，今年一季度公募基金总规模保持 稳定，主动权益基金规模微涨，结构上变化不大。类固定收益基金仍然 占比较重，达68.8%，而主动权益基金规模占比仅11%，有较大的发展空 间。 SAC 执业证书编号： 主动权益基金持仓分析：共重仓持有2638家上市公司，持股总市值约为 2.96万亿元，增长2.18%，股票仓位略有提高，重仓持有港股市场的市值 大幅增加。重仓行业方面，通信行业在本季度退出了前十大重仓行业， 而有色金属则新晋跻身前十大重仓行业之列，与内需消费息息相关的商 贸零售和轻工制造板块在行业下跌时市值在逆市增长，或指向基金逆市 增持。重仓持有的个股方面，腾讯控股跃升为第一大重仓个股，美的集 团和立讯精密出现逆市减仓。 基 金 专 题 集中度分析：行业和个股集中度更高，具体来看前十大重仓个股占比从 18.41%提升至20.14%，前十大重仓行业占比从70.19%提 ...

Core Insights - Despite a volatile overall market in the first quarter of 2025, public funds demonstrated strong resilience, with a notable recovery in the performance of actively managed equity funds [3][4] - The report indicates that 74.97% of the 8097 funds achieved positive returns, with 166 funds exceeding a 20% return and 989 funds surpassing a 10% return [3] - Growth style funds outperformed in the first quarter, with median returns of 14.49% for mid-cap growth and 13.31% for small-cap growth, while large-cap value funds lagged with a median return of approximately 1.50% [3] Fund Performance - The first quarter saw a strong correlation between fund performance and changes in fund size, with better-performing funds attracting more investment [4] - As of the end of the first quarter, the total market fund management scale reached 31.61 trillion yuan, a 9.60% increase year-on-year, while the scale of actively managed equity funds decreased by 5.16% to 3.49 trillion yuan [4] Billion Club Changes - The number of actively managed equity funds with assets exceeding 100 billion yuan decreased from 27 to 26 in the first quarter, with new entrants replacing some previous members [5] - Notable new members include the Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Select and Penghua Carbon Neutrality Theme funds, which have shown strong performance [5][8] Top Performing Funds - The Penghua Carbon Neutrality Theme fund achieved a remarkable return of 60.26%, leading the performance rankings, while the Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Select fund recorded a return of 52.32% [8][10] - The net subscription amounts for these funds were estimated to exceed 7 billion yuan, with significant increases in their total assets [10] Fund Manager Rankings - The top ten fund managers in the actively managed equity fund sector maintained relative stability, with slight internal ranking changes [14] - As of the end of the first quarter, the largest actively managed equity fund was the E Fund Blue Chip Select, managed by Zhang Kun, with a total asset value of 389.08 billion yuan [10][14] Scale Growth - Several fund managers, including those from Fortune Fund and China Europe Fund, reported significant net increases in fund management scale, indicating a positive trend in the sector [15][16] - The scale of the China Europe Medical Health fund, managed by Ge Lan, reached 311.79 billion yuan, making it one of the largest actively managed equity funds [16]