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山海:黄金强的不可理喻,等待9月月线收官!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 02:27
Core Viewpoint - The gold and silver markets are experiencing unprecedented strong upward trends, with daily price increases reaching extreme levels [2][4]. Gold Market Summary - Gold continues to maintain a bullish trend, with a trading strategy focused on buying on dips rather than predicting tops [4]. - On Monday, gold prices rose from 3760 to 3840, marking an increase of 80 USD in a single day [4][5]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3750 and 3715, with aggressive buying recommended if prices dip to these levels [4][5]. - The market is advised to be cautious as the end of September approaches, with potential for a significant correction if prices fall below 3800 [5]. Silver Market Summary - International silver prices have reached new highs at 47.2, with a focus on buying on dips and not predicting tops [6]. - Support for silver is noted at 46, and if prices unexpectedly drop below this level, a significant correction may occur [6]. - The domestic silver market is advised to maintain a cautious stance, with recommendations to stay out of the market until after the holiday [6]. Oil Market Summary - The international oil market is advised to avoid overly bullish positions unless prices stabilize above 66, with a potential range of 66 to 61.5 for trading [6]. - Recent performance indicates a bearish trend, with a significant drop to around 63, suggesting a cautious approach to new positions [6]. Domestic Fuel Market Summary - The domestic fuel market saw successful exits from long positions at 3000, with current prices around 2900, indicating a likely range-bound trading environment [7]. - Recommendations suggest waiting for price corrections before entering new trades, with a focus on short-term trading strategies [7].
山海:今天黄金是否能重复上周五大涨的走势?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 01:58
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently in a bullish trend with high-level fluctuations, maintaining strong support at 3715 despite a recent drop to around 3722 [1][2] - The recent high point for gold reached 3792, indicating that the upward momentum remains strong, and the market is not expected to peak at 3800 [2] - Traders are advised to wait for pullbacks to key support levels, such as 3750 and 3715, before entering long positions to maximize profits [2][3] Group 2: Silver Market Insights - International silver prices have reached a new high of 45.2, with a strong upward trend, but traders are cautioned against chasing prices at this level [3] - Support for silver is identified at 44.5, and if prices pull back to this level, it may present a buying opportunity [3] - The domestic silver market is also experiencing upward movement, with a focus on maintaining positions without attempting to short the market [3] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - International crude oil prices are on the rise, with a temporary high of 65.2, and traders are advised to take profits on long positions if prices reach 66 [4] - The domestic fuel oil market has shown significant gains, reaching around 2960, with a target of 3000 in sight [4] - Traders are encouraged to adjust positions as the market approaches the 3000 target, with a focus on maintaining bullish sentiment [4]
张德盛:9.25黄金回落后继续看上涨,积存金行情走势分析操作
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 07:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing fluctuations due to a strong rebound in the US dollar and rising US Treasury yields, which have made gold more expensive for holders of other currencies [2][3] - On September 25, gold was trading around $3740 per ounce, having dropped 1.25% to a low of $3717.63 on September 24, closing at $3735.88, reflecting a decline of approximately 0.75% from the previous trading day [2] - The dollar index rose about 0.65% on September 24, reaching a near two-week high, which has suppressed demand for gold [2] Group 2 - Technical analysis suggests that gold is expected to trade within a range of $3717 to $3780, with a recommendation to wait for pullbacks before entering long positions [3] - Key support levels are identified at $3715 and $3680, while resistance levels are at $3780 and $3800 [3] - Domestic gold prices, such as the Shanghai gold contract, have also shown a downward adjustment, with the contract dropping from 862 to 852, indicating a potential for further adjustments [3]
山海:不用怀疑,黄金调整之后继续看上涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 03:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes a bullish outlook on gold, suggesting that after recent adjustments, there is still potential for upward movement, but caution is advised against chasing prices too aggressively [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is currently in a bullish trend, with recent adjustments showing a low of 3717 and a high of 3780, indicating a potential trading range for the day [5]. - The article suggests that traders should wait for pullbacks to key support levels (3715 and 3680) before entering long positions, rather than chasing highs [5][6]. - The technical indicators show a consolidation phase, with Bollinger Bands tightening and moving averages converging, suggesting a period of high-level fluctuation [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has experienced a pullback after reaching a high of 44.5, with current support at 43.5. The article advises against chasing prices and suggests monitoring the support level for potential rebounds [7]. - If silver holds above 43.5, there may be opportunities for long positions, but a break below this level could indicate a further decline [7]. Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil prices have risen to a high of 45, with a target of 66 for the week. The article advises against chasing prices and suggests holding onto profitable positions [8]. - Domestic fuel oil has also seen an increase, currently around 2915, with a target of 3000. Traders are encouraged to adjust positions as they approach this target [8].
山海:黄金中期调整走完,维持多头强势看涨不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 02:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that gold is expected to maintain a bullish trend despite short-term adjustments, driven by geopolitical instability and central bank purchases [2][6] - Gold reached a high of 3707 before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and subsequently adjusted to 3628 after the announcement, confirming the predicted price movements [2][5] - The analysis suggests that gold and silver will continue to show bullish trends in the upcoming week, with specific price levels to watch for potential adjustments and breakout points [5][7] Group 2 - Domestic gold contracts (e.g., Shanghai Gold) have shown resilience, with successful exits from positions before the Federal Reserve's decision, and are now positioned for potential gains [6] - International silver has recently broken previous highs, indicating strong upward momentum, but caution is advised against chasing prices without a pullback [7] - Crude oil has been trading within a narrow range, with specific resistance and support levels identified for potential trading strategies [8]
贺博生:9.19黄金原油晚间行情涨跌趋势分析及美盘最新独家操作建议指导
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 10:51
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current price of spot gold is around $3657.90 per ounce, experiencing narrow fluctuations [2] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 25 basis points was initially seen as a positive for gold, but the ambiguous statements from Chairman Powell cooled expectations for aggressive future cuts [2] - The rise in U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger dollar have put additional pressure on gold prices, with the dollar index increasing by 0.4% to 97.347 [2] - Gold's recent trading range has been between $3633 and $3672, with a notable two consecutive daily declines for the first time since the rise from $3311 [3] - Key support and resistance levels for gold are identified at $3615 and $3672, respectively, with a bullish trend expected to continue after a mid-term adjustment [5] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - Brent crude oil futures have slightly decreased to $67.43, while WTI futures are at $63.53, with both benchmarks expected to record a second consecutive week of increases [6] - The unexpected increase of 4 million barrels in U.S. distillate inventories has raised concerns about demand, countering the positive impact of the Fed's rate cut [6] - The oil market is currently facing a "dual game," balancing the Fed's easing policies against rising inventory data and weak macroeconomic indicators [6] - Short-term oil price trends are characterized by a weak and volatile consolidation pattern, with key support at $62.30 and resistance between $64.0 and $65.0 [7]
山海:黄金陷入震荡状态,周尾盘看反弹力度!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 02:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the bullish trend for gold remains intact despite significant adjustments, indicating a high-level consolidation within a bullish trend [2][4] - Key support and resistance levels for gold are identified at 3615 and 3672, respectively, with the market expected to maintain a bullish trend as long as it stays above 3615 [2][4] - The recent price movement of gold saw a decline from 3707 to 3628, a drop of nearly 80 USD, but the overall outlook remains positive due to global geopolitical instability and poor economic conditions [2][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading strategies suggest exiting all long positions before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with specific price levels for potential long positions set at 830 and 820 [3] - The Shanghai gold market is projected to see upward movement towards 840, with a focus on maintaining long positions as long as the trend remains unchanged [3] Group 3 - The silver market is also in a bullish trend, with key levels to watch at 41 and 40.5, indicating potential for further upward movement if these levels hold [5] - The domestic silver market has shown resilience, with a focus on maintaining long positions as long as the support level at 9700 is not broken [5] Group 4 - The international crude oil market is experiencing a range-bound trading pattern between 64.6 and 63.3, with no significant price movements observed [6] - Domestic fuel oil is expected to have upward potential, with a focus on buying opportunities around 2750, while monitoring resistance levels at 2850 and 3000 [6]
贺博生:9.18黄金暴涨暴跌最新行情走势分析,原油晚间独家操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 09:55
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices are currently stabilizing above $3,650 after reaching a record high of $3,707.35, with a slight decline of 0.8% to $3,659.79 per ounce following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut [2][3] - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance supports non-yielding assets like gold, but a rebound in the dollar limits further price increases [2] - Year-to-date, gold has risen by 39%, with a monthly increase of over 6%, but market reactions to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments have led to profit-taking among investors [2][3] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The bullish trend for gold remains intact, but there are risks of adjustments in the medium term, suggesting traders should wait for pullbacks to enter long positions [3][5] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3,620 and $3,635, with resistance levels at $3,675, $3,690, and $3,710 [5] - The market is expected to experience a range-bound adjustment, with a focus on maintaining positions around critical support levels [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices are stable, with Brent crude at $67.87 per barrel and WTI at $63.95, influenced by the Fed's rate cut which raises demand expectations [6] - Despite the Fed's easing policy, an unexpected increase in U.S. refined oil inventories indicates fluctuations in downstream demand [6] - The oil market is balancing between supportive monetary policy and inventory pressures, with global demand showing moderate growth but significant regional differences [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The oil market is currently in a weak consolidation phase, with short-term trends indicating a potential for upward recovery after recent declines [7] - Key resistance levels for oil are set at $65.0 to $66.0, while support levels are identified at $62.5 to $61.5 [7] - The MACD indicator suggests increasing bearish momentum, but there is still potential for a recovery towards the main upward trend [7]
张德盛:9.13下周黄金还会涨吗?积存金行情预测买卖操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 06:23
Group 1 - The current gold market is experiencing fluctuations, with expectations of a high-level sweep before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next week [2] - Gold is expected to maintain a bullish trend as long as it stays above the key support levels of 3580 and the last wave's starting point [2] - The short-term downward pressure is evident below 3674, with a focus on the 3640-3643 area for potential trading strategies [2] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading emphasizes not chasing high prices and waiting for pullbacks to enter long positions, with specific support levels identified for both Shanghai gold and accumulated gold [2] - Recent trading has shown that Shanghai gold and accumulated gold have rebounded at their respective support levels of 830 and 820, indicating potential profit opportunities for traders [2] - The overall trend remains bullish, and traders are advised to take profits near 840 for Shanghai gold and 830 for accumulated gold while maintaining a positive outlook [2]
山海:黄金保持多头强势,关注晚间CPI数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 02:42
Group 1 - The market for gold and silver has shown limited movement, with gold reaching a high of 3658 and silver at 41.3, indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum [2] - Today's focus is on the impact of the CPI data on gold and silver, which may alter their current strength [3] - Gold is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with support levels at 3635 and 3620, and resistance at 3660 and 3675 [4] Group 2 - The international silver outlook remains unchanged, with a potential adjustment space if it does not break 41.5, while short-term strategies suggest a buy at 40 support [5] - Domestic gold contracts (Hushen Gold) are expected to continue their upward trend, with support at 830 and a target of 840 [4] - International crude oil is experiencing a low-level rebound, with a focus on resistance levels at 64 and 66 [6]