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贺博生:9.18黄金暴涨暴跌最新行情走势分析,原油晚间独家操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 09:55
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices are currently stabilizing above $3,650 after reaching a record high of $3,707.35, with a slight decline of 0.8% to $3,659.79 per ounce following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut [2][3] - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance supports non-yielding assets like gold, but a rebound in the dollar limits further price increases [2] - Year-to-date, gold has risen by 39%, with a monthly increase of over 6%, but market reactions to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments have led to profit-taking among investors [2][3] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The bullish trend for gold remains intact, but there are risks of adjustments in the medium term, suggesting traders should wait for pullbacks to enter long positions [3][5] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3,620 and $3,635, with resistance levels at $3,675, $3,690, and $3,710 [5] - The market is expected to experience a range-bound adjustment, with a focus on maintaining positions around critical support levels [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices are stable, with Brent crude at $67.87 per barrel and WTI at $63.95, influenced by the Fed's rate cut which raises demand expectations [6] - Despite the Fed's easing policy, an unexpected increase in U.S. refined oil inventories indicates fluctuations in downstream demand [6] - The oil market is balancing between supportive monetary policy and inventory pressures, with global demand showing moderate growth but significant regional differences [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The oil market is currently in a weak consolidation phase, with short-term trends indicating a potential for upward recovery after recent declines [7] - Key resistance levels for oil are set at $65.0 to $66.0, while support levels are identified at $62.5 to $61.5 [7] - The MACD indicator suggests increasing bearish momentum, but there is still potential for a recovery towards the main upward trend [7]
张德盛:9.13下周黄金还会涨吗?积存金行情预测买卖操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 06:23
Group 1 - The current gold market is experiencing fluctuations, with expectations of a high-level sweep before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next week [2] - Gold is expected to maintain a bullish trend as long as it stays above the key support levels of 3580 and the last wave's starting point [2] - The short-term downward pressure is evident below 3674, with a focus on the 3640-3643 area for potential trading strategies [2] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading emphasizes not chasing high prices and waiting for pullbacks to enter long positions, with specific support levels identified for both Shanghai gold and accumulated gold [2] - Recent trading has shown that Shanghai gold and accumulated gold have rebounded at their respective support levels of 830 and 820, indicating potential profit opportunities for traders [2] - The overall trend remains bullish, and traders are advised to take profits near 840 for Shanghai gold and 830 for accumulated gold while maintaining a positive outlook [2]
山海:黄金保持多头强势,关注晚间CPI数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 02:42
Group 1 - The market for gold and silver has shown limited movement, with gold reaching a high of 3658 and silver at 41.3, indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum [2] - Today's focus is on the impact of the CPI data on gold and silver, which may alter their current strength [3] - Gold is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with support levels at 3635 and 3620, and resistance at 3660 and 3675 [4] Group 2 - The international silver outlook remains unchanged, with a potential adjustment space if it does not break 41.5, while short-term strategies suggest a buy at 40 support [5] - Domestic gold contracts (Hushen Gold) are expected to continue their upward trend, with support at 830 and a target of 840 [4] - International crude oil is experiencing a low-level rebound, with a focus on resistance levels at 64 and 66 [6]
方华富:黄金周线大阳破高,下周先看强势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 22:36
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold price fluctuated between 3437 and 3600 this week, with a notable increase in volatility after breaking the 3500 level, indicating strong bullish sentiment [1] - The weekly closing showed a significant bullish trend, with the mid-range support remaining firm, suggesting continued upward movement in gold prices [1] - Daily analysis indicates a series of upward movements from Monday to Wednesday, followed by a single-day pullback on Thursday, and a resurgence on Friday, establishing 3510 as a new upward starting point [1] - The trend remains strong, but the risk of rapid declines increases with the rising prices, necessitating caution in trading strategies [1] - The focus for next week is on maintaining a bullish outlook while being vigilant, with key levels to watch being 3555/3566 for potential bullish positions and 3532/3544 as critical support [1] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - The oil market experienced a decline this week, aligning with previous expectations, with a focus on bearish positions around the 65/66 levels [2] - The weekly performance showed a downward trend, and the outlook for next week suggests continued bearish sentiment with potential rebounds to set up further short positions [2] - The anticipated target for this downward movement is between 57 and 60, where consideration for bullish positions may be revisited [2] - Temporary support was noted at 61.30, with expectations for rebounds to 63.20/64.20 to establish additional short positions [2]
山海:黄金强弱走势变化,关注非农数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 02:18
Group 1 - The focus is on the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which is expected to have a limited impact on gold prices if the actual data aligns closely with market predictions [2][4] - Gold has shown a bullish trend, with a significant increase of over $200, but recent adjustments indicate potential volatility around key support and resistance levels [4][5] - Silver has faced resistance at $41.5, and its future performance will depend on the non-farm data, with a critical support level at $40 [5][6] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has mirrored international trends, with significant price movements in contracts like the Shanghai Gold (2512) and Rongtong Gold, indicating a potential peak in the current uptrend [5] - The strategy for trading gold involves cautious short positions ahead of the non-farm data, with specific price levels to watch for potential reversals [5][6] - The international silver market is also under scrutiny, with a focus on the $41.5 resistance and $40 support, which will dictate future price movements based on the non-farm data [5][6]
山海:黄金保持震荡上行走势,等待趋势力度!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 01:53
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold maintains a bullish trend, with expectations for a breakout above 3355, potentially reaching 3375 if the breakout occurs [3][4][5] - The recent trading week has seen gold experience wide fluctuations, with significant competition between bulls and bears, but the bullish sentiment remains stronger [3][5] - Technical indicators suggest a clear upward trend on the daily chart, with Bollinger Bands tightening and moving averages converging, indicating potential for higher prices, possibly reaching 3400 [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices are expected to continue rising, with recent closing prices for Shanghai gold (2512 contract) around 779 and Rongtong gold around 773, indicating a bullish outlook [4][5] - The trading range for gold this week has been between 3310 and 3358, with a focus on whether it can break above 3355 to confirm the bullish trend [5][6] - Silver has shown stronger performance than gold, currently trading above 38, with expectations for a potential rise to 38.5 [5][6] Group 3 - International silver prices have also increased, closing around 38, with a focus on the previous high of 38.5 for potential resistance [6] - Domestic fuel oil (2512 contract) has shown effective upward movement, closing around 2770, with expectations for further gains if it can stabilize above 2800 [7] - Crude oil prices are being monitored closely, with a key support level at 61.2, and current prices around 63.3, with potential for further gains if it breaks above 63.5 [6]
山海:黄金空头一日游,市场多头趋势仍然占优!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 02:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold maintains a bullish trend, with potential upward movement, particularly focusing on the resistance level at 3360 [4][5][6] - After a significant drop on Tuesday, gold rebounded on Wednesday, reaching a high of 3352, indicating a reversal and confirming the bullish trend [4][5] - Silver is following gold's trend, rebounding from 36.9 to a current high of 38, with expectations of further increases towards 38.5 [2][6] Group 2 - The analysis suggests that the low point for gold this week is likely around 3310, with expectations that it will not break this level in the coming days [4][5] - Technical indicators show a strong bullish sentiment, with daily candlestick patterns indicating a continuation of the upward trend [5][6] - The domestic gold market is also expected to follow a bullish trend, with projections for the Shanghai gold contract to reach around 785 [6][7] Group 3 - For international crude oil, the focus is on a key support level at 61.2, with expectations of a rebound if this level holds [7] - The current price of crude oil is around 63.2, with a resistance level at 63.5, which, if broken, could lead to further increases towards 66 [7] - Domestic fuel oil remains weak but is expected to stabilize and potentially rise to 3000 if a rebound occurs [7]
山海:黄金不必纠结方向,继续看低位震荡反弹!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 02:01
Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that gold is expected to maintain a low-level oscillation rebound, with a focus on short-term trading strategies until a clear breakout occurs [4][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold experienced a wide range of fluctuations, opening lower and then rising, with a minimum of 3323 and a maximum of 3358, before settling around 3326 [3]. - The current trend is identified as a bullish one, but the strength of the upward movement is under pressure due to a stronger dollar [4]. - The key resistance level for gold is set at 3360; if this level is broken, further upward movement is anticipated [4][5]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver showed limited upward momentum, peaking at 38.2 before retreating, with a focus on maintaining a bullish trend above the support level of 37.5 [5][6]. - The target for silver is set at 38.5 and potentially 39 if upward momentum is strong enough [5]. Domestic Gold and Silver Contracts - The domestic gold contract (沪金) is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with targets of 785 and 790 depending on market strength [5]. - The domestic silver contract (沪银) is also projected to remain bullish as long as it stays above the support level of 9200, with potential targets of 9400 and 9550 [6]. Crude Oil Market Analysis - Crude oil rebounded from a support level of 62, with a current price around 63.2, indicating a low-level oscillation [6]. - The focus is on whether the 62 support level holds; if it breaks, further declines may occur, potentially reaching 58 [6]. Fuel Oil Market Analysis - Domestic fuel oil is currently weak but is expected to hold above 2800, with potential for upward movement if a rebound occurs [7].
山海:没有意外,黄金走出预期的上涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 03:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold and silver continue to rise strongly, with gold reaching 3385 and silver reaching 37.5, aligning with previous expectations [1][2] - Gold is expected to continue its upward trend, targeting 3400 and potentially 3430, with support levels identified at 3370 and 3360 [2][3] - The domestic gold market shows significant gains, with the Shanghai gold contract (2512) reaching a high of 788, and the suggested buy levels at 770 and 765 proving profitable [3][4] Group 2 - International silver is approaching a critical point at 37.5, with previous support at 36, and a potential for a strong upward movement if it breaks above 37.5 [3][4] - The Shanghai silver contract (2512) has risen to 9120, with previous buy levels at 9020 yielding profits, and targets set at 9300 and 9500 [4] - International crude oil continues to decline, with a focus on the 65 low point, which will determine future trading strategies [4]
黄金显现双顶信号,空头能否进场?站稳这一支撑仍是多头趋势!V助理团实时分析市场走势,点击获取当天智囊团私人服务,领取黄金分析>>
news flash· 2025-07-31 15:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market trend of gold, indicating a potential double top signal for bearish positions while emphasizing the importance of maintaining support levels for a bullish trend [1] Market Analysis - The analysis suggests that if gold prices can hold above certain support levels, the bullish trend may continue, despite the emerging bearish signals [1] - The article highlights the significance of real-time market analysis and the availability of expert insights for investors looking to navigate the gold market [1]