Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in domestic fuel prices marks the first "three consecutive increases" in retail fuel prices this year, with gasoline and diesel prices rising by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton respectively, leading to higher costs for consumers and logistics companies [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The adjustment will result in a price increase of approximately 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 0.2 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.19 yuan for 0-octane diesel, translating to an additional cost of around 8 yuan for filling a 50-liter tank [1]. - For logistics companies, the average fuel cost per 100 kilometers for a fully loaded 50-ton vehicle will increase by about 7.6 yuan, while for city vehicles consuming 7 to 8 liters per 100 kilometers, the cost will rise by approximately 1.3 yuan [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The upcoming "OPEC+" meeting on July 6 is expected to finalize oil production increases, with a decision to raise output by 411,000 barrels per day starting in July, reflecting a strong willingness to adjust production based on market conditions [2]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has indicated that the global oil supply is projected to exceed demand significantly, with supply potentially reaching 107.2 million barrels per day by 2030, surpassing expected demand by 1.7 million barrels per day [3]. - Despite the potential for short-term upward pressure on oil prices due to seasonal demand in the U.S. and ongoing tariff negotiations, the overall outlook suggests that high remaining production capacity and economic demand constraints will limit price increases [3].

国家发展改革委7月1日发布的公告显示，按照现行成品油价格形成机制，自2025年7月1日24时起，国内 汽、柴油价格（标准品，下同）每吨分别上涨235元和225元。这是今年以来成品油零售限价首次实现"三 连涨"。 据金联创测算，本次调价落地后，折合92号汽油上调0.18元/升，95号汽油上调0.2元/升，0号柴油上调 0.19元/升。按油箱容量为50升的小型家用车来算，加满一箱油约多花8元左右，终端用户用油成本将继续 增加。 金联创成品油分析师马建彩表示，本计价周期内，消息面令国际原油市场波动较大，原油价格走势急涨急 跌。首先，美国能源信息署数据显示，美国原油库存大幅减少；以伊冲突持续升级后，市场担心局势恶化 影响石油供应，国际油价连续上涨。随后，地缘冲突缓和，国际油价大幅下跌，油价基本回落至冲突之前 的水平。此后，美国原油库存减少以及投资者对旺季能源需求存向好的预期，令国际油价再小幅反弹。 本次调价对和物流企业来说，成本有所增加。隆众资讯数据显示，对满载50吨货物的物流运输车辆而言， 平均每行驶一百公里，燃油费用增加7.6元左右。按市区每100公里耗油7升至8升的车型来算，平均每行 驶一百公里，费用增加1.3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The retail price of refined oil in China is expected to increase due to fluctuating international crude oil prices influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with specific price adjustments set for July 1 [2][3]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - As of June 30, the reference crude oil price change rate was 5.41%, leading to an expected increase of 235 yuan per ton for gasoline and 225 yuan per ton for diesel, translating to an increase of 0.18 yuan, 0.19 yuan, and 0.19 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel respectively [2]. - After the upcoming price adjustment, the national standard price for 92-octane gasoline in Zibo will rise from 7.14 yuan per liter to approximately 7.32 yuan per liter, while 95-octane gasoline will increase from 7.66 yuan per liter to around 7.85 yuan per liter [3]. Group 2: Cost Implications - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will cost an additional 9 yuan. For a small private car running 2,000 kilometers per month with an 8L/100km fuel consumption, the total fuel cost will increase by about 13 yuan before the next price adjustment window [3]. - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 kilometers per month with a fuel consumption of 38L/100km will see an increase in fuel costs of approximately 337 yuan before the next price adjustment window [3]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Short-term oil prices are expected to remain volatile, primarily influenced by the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, with a focus on US-Iran negotiations. However, unless a significant conflict arises, oil prices are unlikely to return to previous highs [3]. - Following a decrease in geopolitical risks, oil prices have returned to levels prior to the conflicts, but summer demand in the US is expected to provide support for prices, indicating that international oil prices may continue to fluctuate in the upcoming period [3]. Group 4: Future Price Adjustment Schedule - The next price adjustment window for refined oil will open on July 15, 2025, at 24:00 [4].

【导读】国内成品油价格最新调整：汽、柴油每吨分别上涨 235 元、 225 元 中国基金报记者 晨曦 就在今晚，油价又要涨了！ 7 月 1 日下午，国家发展改革委发布消息称，根据近期国际市场油价变化情况，按照现行成 品油价格形成机制，自 2025 年 7 月 1 日 24 时起，国内汽、柴油价格（标准品，下同）每 吨分别上涨 235 元和 225 元。 | | | 2025年成品油发改委调价幅度汇总 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 单位:元/吨 | | 项目 | 日期 | 汽油 | 柴油 | | 上调 | 1月2日24时 | 70 | 70 | | | 1月16日24时 | 340 | 325 | | | 4月2日24时 | 230 | 220 | | | 6月3日24时 | 65 | 60 | | | 6月17日24时 | 260 | 255 | | | 7月1日24时 | 235 | 225 | | F | 2月19日24时 | -170 | -160 | | | 3月5日24时 | -135 | -130 | | | 3月19日24时 | -280 | -27 ...

国家发展和改革委官网7月1日消息，即日24时起，国内汽、柴油价格每吨分别上调235元、225元。至 此，国内成品油价格现已经历十三轮调整，呈现"六涨五跌两搁浅"格局。 涨跌互抵后，年内汽、柴油价格整体分别较2024年底下跌95元/吨、90元/吨。 全国大多数地区柴油价格将升至7.1元-7.3元/升，92号汽油零售价升至7.5元-7.6元/升，仍保持在8元以下 水平。 据隆众资讯测算，本次调价对应的92号汽油、95号汽油、0号柴油每升将分别上调0.18元、0.19元、0.19 元。全国大多数地区柴油价格将升至7.1元-7.3元/升，92号汽油零售价升至7.5元-7.6元/升，仍保持在8元 以下水平。 本轮油价上调意味着，今晚过后私家车主和物流企业用油成本将有所增加。隆众资讯测算，以油箱容量 50升的普通私家车计算，本轮调价后，车主们加满一箱油将多花9元左右；市区百公里耗油7-8升的车型 平均每行驶一百公里，燃油费用将增加1.3元左右；而对满载50吨的大型物流运输车辆而言，平均每行 驶一百公里，燃油费用将增加7.6元左右。 本轮计价周期内，国际原油价格先涨后跌，均价收涨。金联创成品油分析师马建彩分析称，调价周期前 ...

国家发展改革委：自2025年7月1日24时起，国内汽、柴油价格(标准品，下同)每吨分别上涨235元和225 元。 ...

经济导报记者｜刘勇 从需求端来看，目前美国夏季出行高峰仍在推进，传统旺季提振燃油需求，需求季节性增强。此外，美 国与欧洲及日本的关税新政谈判也在推进，进展相对积极，也释放积极信号，需求方面或有改善。 今年以来，国内油价已经历12轮调整，分别为"五涨五跌两搁浅"。本轮调价过后，2025年的调价格局将 变为"六涨五跌两搁浅"。 本次调价对于私家车主和物流企业来说成本将小幅增加。以油箱容量50升的普通私家车计算，此次调价 后，私家车加满一箱油将多花9元左右；按市区百公里耗油8升的车型，平均每行驶100公里燃油费用增 加1.44元左右。对满载50吨百公里油耗40升的大型物流运输车辆而言，平均每行驶100公里燃油费用多 花7.6元左右。 展望后市，在地缘局势缓和及OPEC+增产的背景下，国际油价存利空压力。整体来看，预计下一轮成 品油调价（窗口将在7月15日24时开启）下调的概率较大。 7月1日，国内成品油调价窗口如期打开。经济导报记者获悉，7月1日24时将上调汽柴油零售限价，其中 汽油每吨上调235元，柴油每吨上调225元。折合升价，92号汽油每升涨0.18元，95号汽油及0号柴油每 升涨0.19元。至此，国内成品油 ...

Group 1 - Domestic oil prices are expected to increase for the sixth time this year, with the new pricing window opening on July 1 [1] - As of this year, there have been twelve pricing adjustments, resulting in five increases, five decreases, and two unchanged periods [1] - If the current adjustment is implemented, the pricing pattern will shift to six increases, five decreases, and two unchanged periods by 2025 [1] Group 2 - The National Healthcare Security Administration will hold a press conference to introduce measures supporting the high-quality development of innovative drugs [2] Group 3 - The "National Network Identity Authentication Public Service Management Measures" will be implemented starting July 15, 2025, allowing individuals to apply for online identity credentials [3] Group 4 - The "Regulations on the Registration Management of Individual Industrial and Commercial Households" will take effect on July 15, providing a framework for individual businesses to transition to corporate status [4] Group 5 - The "Tax Payment Credit Management Measures" will be implemented starting July 1, 2025, optimizing credit evaluation indicators for tax payments and allowing for credit repair under certain conditions [5] Group 6 - The mandatory national standard for "Hygienic Requirements for Disposable Sanitary Products" will be enforced starting July 1, establishing health risk classifications and safety requirements for various sanitary products [6] Group 7 - A total of 406.5 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos will mature today, with an operation rate of 1.40% [7] Group 8 - Economic data such as the Eurozone's June CPI and Indonesia's May trade balance will be released [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that domestic refined oil prices are expected to rise, with gasoline and diesel prices projected to increase by 600 yuan per ton, translating to an increase of approximately 0.49 to 0.51 yuan per liter [1] - If the price adjustment is implemented, the price of 92-octane gasoline may rise to the range of 7.5 to 7.7 yuan per liter, while 95-octane gasoline could enter the "8 yuan era" [1] - The increase in oil prices is attributed to ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, which have led to tight international oil supply and strong global demand [1] Group 2 - The next round of retail price adjustments for refined oil is scheduled for July 1, 2025 [2]

车友们，2025年6月26日，今天是星期四，农历六月初二，在国内成品油市场，按照2025年汽柴油调价安排，下半年首次（2025年第13次）油价调整将于7月 1日调价，距离本次最终调整还有5天时间，大家互相提醒，油价又要变价了，加油恐又要多花钱，具体分析如下： 【国内油价变化】按照油价形成机制，本月下旬前，原油市场重心上移，本月汽柴油2次调价，6月3日以及6月17日，国内油价逆势连涨，汽柴油统计大涨 325元以及315元/吨，年内油价冲低反弹，全国92,95号汽油上涨0.26~0.28元/升！ 进入2025年第13次调价周期，本轮计价周期内，受原油价格短暂冲高，国内汽柴油开局大涨，且，涨幅持续走扩，上周五，本轮周期第3个工作日，国内原 油变化率13.02%，汽柴油统计涨价610元/吨，倘若，油价涨幅落地，这也将创下2025年最大上涨，且，年内油价降幅全面抹平！ 不过，由于上周五以及本周初，国际油价大降超16%，此前3个工作日，国内油价涨幅显著下降，昨日，汽柴油上涨幅度减少至415元/吨，本轮周期内，油 价涨幅累计下降近200元/吨！ 从最新消息了解，按照汽柴油形成机制，2025年6月26日，本轮周期第7个工作日 ...