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迎峰度夏将至,重视煤价后置下的火电机会
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 09:41
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 电力 迎峰度夏将至,重视煤价后置下的火电机会 本周行情回顾:本周(4.21-4.25)上证指数报收 3,295.06 点,上涨 0.56%, 沪深 300 指数报收 3786.99 点,上涨 0.38%。中信电力及公用事业指数 报收 2894.72 点,上涨 2.06%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.68pct,位列 30 个 中信一级板块涨跌幅榜第 8 位。 本周行业观点: -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-03 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 电力 沪深300 作者 分析师 张津铭 执业证书编号:S0680520070001 邮箱:zhangjinming@gszq.com 分析师 高紫明 执业证书编号:S0680524100001 邮箱:gaoziming@gszq.com 投资建议:电力公司业绩陆续发布,基本面支撑与市场风格共振,重视电 力投资机会布局。迎峰度夏将至,本周煤价下跌至 665 元/吨附近,成本 超预期下跌支撑度电盈利改善,重视火电超额机会,建议关注重点火电标 的 ...
华能国际(600011):火电盈利显著改善,持续推进新能源发展
Guoxin Securities· 2025-03-28 03:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huaneng International is "Outperform the Market" [5][3]. Core Views - The company's operating revenue decreased by 3.48% year-on-year to 245.55 billion yuan in 2024, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 20.01% to 10.135 billion yuan, driven by lower fuel costs and the expansion of renewable energy [1][7]. - The company added 9.69 GW of controllable power generation capacity in 2024, with a focus on renewable energy, aiming for a 45% share of low-carbon clean energy capacity by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][19]. - The company is optimizing its coal power structure and enhancing its gas power generation capabilities, which is expected to stabilize coal power profitability despite declining electricity prices [2][21]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Huaneng International achieved operating revenue of 245.55 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.48% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.135 billion yuan, an increase of 20.01% [1][7]. - The average on-grid electricity price for the company's power plants in China was 494.26 yuan per megawatt-hour, down 2.85% [1][7]. - The company’s coal procurement price decreased by 8.27% year-on-year, and the domestic power generation fuel cost fell by 9.69% [1][7]. Renewable Energy Development - The company added 9.69 GW of controllable power generation capacity in 2024, including 2.65 GW of wind power and 6.77 GW of solar power, bringing the total controllable capacity to 145.13 GW by the end of 2024 [2][19]. - The proportion of low-carbon clean energy capacity reached 35.82%, with plans to increase this to around 45% by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][19]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin improved to 15.14%, an increase of 3.03 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin rose to 5.75%, up 2.18 percentage points [14]. - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 50.53 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.06% year-on-year increase, primarily due to lower fuel procurement costs [15]. Future Outlook - The company plans to invest 69.35 billion yuan in capital expenditures in 2025, with a significant portion allocated to renewable energy projects [15][20]. - The expected net profit for 2025-2027 is projected to be 11.93 billion yuan, 12.66 billion yuan, and 13.34 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.76, 0.81, and 0.85 yuan [3][21].