Core Viewpoint - The German government, led by Vice Chancellor Olaf Scholz, has issued a stern warning regarding the new tariffs proposed by the United States, indicating potential decisive countermeasures if trade negotiations fail [1] Group 1 - The German government is prepared to consider "decisive countermeasures" in response to the U.S. tariffs [1] - Vice Chancellor Olaf Scholz's statement reflects the seriousness of the trade negotiations between Germany and the United States [1] - The warning comes amid ongoing tensions regarding trade policies and tariffs [1]

Group 1 - The German federal government issued a stern warning regarding the new tariff threats posed by U.S. President Trump [1] - German Vice Chancellor and Finance Minister Scholz stated that the government would consider "decisive countermeasures" if trade negotiations fail [1]

Market Performance - On July 11, all three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.63%, Nasdaq down 0.22%, and S&P 500 down 0.33% [1] - Large tech stocks performed better than the overall market, with Nvidia rising 0.48% to a new all-time high, and Google, Amazon, and Tesla all increasing by over 1% [2] Individual Stock Movements - Notable stock movements included Google (Alphabet) at $181.26 (+1.43%), Amazon at $224.99 (+1.23%), and Tesla at $313.50 (+1.17%), while Facebook (Meta Platforms) fell by 1.32% [3] - Among Chinese concept stocks, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.43%, with Baidu down over 1% and BYD ADR down 1% [3][4] Commodity Prices - Gold, silver, and crude oil prices increased, with silver rising over 3.7% to a peak of $38.41 per ounce, the highest level since September 2011, and year-to-date silver has gained over 32%, outpacing gold [4][5] Trade and Tariff Implications - The recent U.S. tariff threats have raised concerns about rising consumer prices, with President Trump announcing a 50% tariff on all goods imported from Brazil starting August 1 [5][6] - Analysts suggest that high tariffs on Brazilian goods will increase living costs for U.S. consumers [6] Federal Reserve Outlook - Federal Reserve officials indicated that the new tariff threats could delay interest rate cuts, with Chicago Fed President Goolsbee stating that the tariffs complicate the inflation outlook [7] - Goolsbee emphasized the need for clearer information before making decisions on interest rates, despite political pressures [7]

Group 1 - The Bloomberg Dollar Index increased by 0.2%, with a cumulative rise of over 0.7% for the week [1] - The US dollar appreciated by 0.2% against the Canadian dollar [2] - The British pound fell by 0.6% against the US dollar, marking the second consecutive month of contraction in the UK economy, leading to the worst eight-month decline for the pound [2]

Core Viewpoint - The potential new tariff threats may delay interest rate cuts according to the Chicago Federal Reserve President and 2025 FOMC voting member Goolsbee [1] Group 1 - Goolsbee's comments highlight concerns regarding the impact of tariffs on monetary policy decisions [1] - The statement suggests that external economic pressures, such as tariffs, could influence the timing of interest rate adjustments [1] - The remarks indicate a cautious approach to future monetary policy in light of evolving trade dynamics [1]

Core Viewpoint - The latest tariff threats may delay interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as indicated by Goolsbee [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring the impact of tariffs on the economy, which could influence monetary policy decisions [1] - Goolsbee emphasized that the uncertainty surrounding tariffs is a significant factor in the Fed's decision-making process [1] - The potential for delayed interest rate cuts could affect market expectations and economic growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee indicated that new tariff threats may delay interest rate cuts [1] Group 1 - The potential for new tariffs introduces uncertainty in economic conditions, which could impact the timing of monetary policy adjustments [1] - Goolsbee's comments suggest that external factors, such as trade policies, are influencing the Fed's decision-making process regarding interest rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that it is currently difficult to determine whether new tariff threats will undermine the prospects for inflation moderation [1] Group 1 - The uncertainty surrounding the impact of new tariffs on inflation is highlighted, indicating potential challenges for economic stability [1]

加拿大总理卡尼10日晚对美国总统特朗普新的关税威胁作出回应，表示将加强与世界各地贸易伙伴的关 系，以应对美方关税威胁。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Trump's decision to impose a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods escalates trade tensions between the U.S. and Brazil, leading to a significant drop in Brazilian assets [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Brazilian assets experienced a sharp sell-off, with the Brazilian real falling nearly 3% against the dollar and the largest U.S.-listed ETF tracking Brazilian stocks dropping nearly 2% in after-hours trading [2][3]. - The American Depositary Receipts of Embraer, a key Brazilian exporter to the U.S., plummeted by 9% in after-hours trading [6]. Group 2: Impact on Key Industries - The 50% tariff is expected to severely impact several critical export sectors in Brazil, including steel products, transportation equipment (mainly aircraft and parts), specialized machinery, and non-metallic minerals [6][8]. - Analysts express concerns that these tariffs could render exports unfeasible, indicating a deterioration in the overall institutional relationship between the two countries [6]. Group 3: Political Context - The tariff decision is politically charged, linking it to the judicial proceedings against former Brazilian President Bolsonaro, which Trump claims is a form of political persecution [7]. - The historical partnership between the U.S. and Brazil may be at risk due to this decision, despite differing ideologies of their current leaders [7]. Group 4: Trade Dynamics - The U.S. is Brazil's second-largest trading partner, and the imposition of such high tariffs could have significant repercussions on Brazil's economy, which currently has a trade deficit with the U.S. [8]. - In 2024, Brazil is projected to import approximately $44 billion worth of U.S. products while exporting around $42 billion, contrasting with other countries that have faced similar tariffs [8].