原标题：划重点！甘肃省委十四届九次全会要点梳理 员会第九次全体会议 州举行。全会以习 特色社会主义思想) 习贯彻党的二十届1 全面贯彻落实习近 肃重要讲话重要指 2025年工作,部署 全省发展重点任务, 坚定信心、乘势而. 新疆战士 如此带 ෆ්‍යා (ෆ්, 加 大 ) 肃、不断开创富民: 力谱写中国式现代化 XINGANSU 中国共产党 第十四届委员会第 "十四五"：极不寻 五年来,全' 托、感恩奋进,迎 前行。 推动综合经济实 现代化产业体验 科技创新水平 深化改革开放 基础设施建设 文化事业和文化) 民生保障水平 生态环境质量 主动创安主动创 党的领导和党的父 XINGANSU 中国共产党 第十四届委员会第 "十五五" 必须全面贯彻" 更加注重加强党 更加注重保障和 更加注重提升发 更加注重数智赋 更加注重激发市 更加注重主动创 全面深化改革质 开放合作能级 社会文明程度 人民生活品质 美丽甘肃建设水 社会治理效能 到2035年全省 体居民人均可支配 中国共产党 第十四届委员会第 台阶,经济实力、 技实力、区域竞争 人的全面发展、人 得更为明显的实质 与全国一道基本实 代化。 XINGANSU "十 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Transport of China is focusing on enhancing the quality of transportation services to support economic and social development, with specific goals set for 2026 and beyond [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators and Future Goals - In 2025, transportation fixed asset investment is expected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan, with new additions of over 2,000 kilometers of high-speed rail, approximately 8,000 kilometers of expressways, and about 900 kilometers of high-grade waterways [1] - The number of cross-regional passenger movements is projected to exceed 66 billion, with commercial freight volume expected to surpass 58 billion tons, both showing a year-on-year growth of around 3.5% [1] - For 2026, the focus will be on improving the national comprehensive transportation network, enhancing logistics efficiency, and fostering new productivity in the transportation sector [1] Group 2: Consumer Growth Areas - The small and micro car rental market is identified as a significant growth area, with the total number of small micro cars reaching 4 million and an expected annual growth rate of around 15% during the 14th Five-Year Plan [4] - The Ministry of Transport plans to address challenges in the car rental market by improving vehicle supply during peak times and enhancing the convenience of returning vehicles at transportation hubs [4] - The yacht and cruise consumption sectors are also anticipated to grow, with yacht registrations increasing at an annual rate of over 40% in the past three years, indicating a shift towards more accessible consumption [3] Group 3: Major Infrastructure Projects - The 14th Five-Year Plan has seen significant progress in the construction of a comprehensive transportation network, with major projects like the Shenzhen-Zhongshan Bridge and the Beijing-Harbin Expressway expansion completed [6] - The Ministry of Transport is planning to initiate several key projects during the 15th Five-Year Plan, including the Lion's Mouth Channel and Zhangjingao Yangtze River Bridge, to further enhance transportation infrastructure [7] - The overall investment in transportation fixed assets reached 18.8 trillion yuan, significantly improving the capacity and efficiency of the transportation system [6]

Core Insights - The global consumer market is experiencing a slow recovery since 2025, with consumer confidence in developed markets like Europe and the U.S. remaining low, leading to weaker performance in the consumer sector compared to broader market indices [2][3][4] Group 1: Market Performance - As of December 23, 2025, the S&P 500 Consumer Select Index has risen approximately 6%, lagging behind the S&P 500 Index's 16.9% increase; the European STOXX600 Consumer Index has decreased by 1.3%, while the STOXX600 Index has increased by 13.9%; the CSI 300 Consumer Index has dropped over 7%, compared to a 17.3% rise in the CSI 300 Index [2] - The consumer confidence index in the U.S. for December 2025 is reported at 52.9, below the market expectation of 53.4, reflecting a nearly 30% year-on-year decline, with about 47% of respondents indicating that high prices are straining their finances [3] Group 2: Economic Trends - The U.S. economy is exhibiting "K-shaped" characteristics, where high-income consumers are experiencing stronger consumption growth compared to low-income groups, leading to a widening gap in wages and wealth [3][4] - In Europe, the Eurozone consumer confidence index fell from -14.2 in November to -14.6 in December, indicating a continued trend of low consumer confidence below historical averages [4][5] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Analysts suggest that companies with strong brand power, pricing power, and refined operational capabilities will be more resilient in the challenging consumer landscape, with potential opportunities in service consumption, overseas markets, and personalized needs [2][6] - The focus for investors should be on selecting individual stocks within the consumer sector, as the market is expected to remain difficult, with structural pressures and cost fluctuations continuing to disrupt the market [6][7] - There is a growing emphasis on new consumer demands and models, particularly in overseas markets, where Chinese companies are leveraging manufacturing strengths to address local needs [6][7] Group 4: Future Outlook - The consumer sector is anticipated to face ongoing challenges in 2026, with a focus on wealth effect transmission and supply-side optimization as potential turning points for business operations [7][8] - Long-term investment strategies should consider changes in consumer structure, including new products related to emotional and health needs, new technologies, and new market channels [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference has outlined a comprehensive plan for economic work in 2026, emphasizing the implementation of more proactive macro policies and detailing eight key areas of focus, including building a strong domestic market and fostering new growth drivers [2][22]. Group 1: Methodology and Policy Direction - The conference introduced the "Five Musts" methodology, which includes fully tapping economic potential, integrating policy support with reform innovation, balancing market freedom with effective governance, combining investments in physical and human capital, and honing internal capabilities to face external challenges [3][24][26]. - The policy tone for 2026 is set to be "more proactive and effective," with a focus on maintaining continuity in fiscal and monetary policies, which is crucial for stabilizing market expectations and enhancing confidence [7][27]. Group 2: Key Focus Areas - The conference highlighted the importance of expanding domestic demand as a primary economic task, addressing the challenges posed by external uncertainties and the imbalance between supply and demand [9][29]. - Specific measures to boost consumption include implementing special actions to stimulate consumption, developing urban and rural income increase plans, and enhancing the supply of quality goods and services [10][30][31]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The conference aims to stabilize investment by increasing central budget investments, optimizing local government bond management, and leveraging new policy financial tools to invigorate private investment [12][33][34]. - Emphasis is placed on high-quality urban renewal as a dual approach to stabilize investment and improve living conditions [15][34]. Group 4: Innovation and New Growth Drivers - The conference stresses the need for innovation-driven growth, focusing on establishing international technology innovation centers in key regions and enhancing the role of enterprises in innovation [16][35]. - It also calls for the development of key manufacturing industry chains and the expansion of "Artificial Intelligence +" initiatives, indicating a shift towards a more supportive environment for technological advancements [17][36]. Group 5: Market Outlook and Capital Allocation - The market is expected to experience a structural shift, with a focus on technology, consumer sectors, and financial services as key areas for investment [18][39]. - Analysts suggest that the upcoming year may see a resurgence in growth-oriented stocks, particularly in sectors like AI applications, semiconductors, and renewable energy [19][38].

消费行业研究组 分析师：张婧 证券研究报告·行业点评报告 2025 年 12 月 23 日 江海证券研究发展部 执业证书编号：S1410525010001 行业评级：增持（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 -6.08 -4.75 -25.64 绝对收益 -2.53 -2.78 -8.23 数据来源：聚源 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 注：2025 年 12 月 22 日数据 -19% -10% -1% 8% 17% 26% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 2025-12 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 1. 江海证券-行业点评报告-食品饮料：白 酒批价短期企稳，线上渠道占比提升 – 2025.10.01 2. 江海证券-行业点评报告-食品饮料：中 报预告陆续发布，行业分化加剧 – 2025.07.16 3. 江海证券-行业点评报告-食品饮料：5 月白酒产量持续下降，啤酒产量同比增 1.3% – 2025.06.27 4. 江海证券-行业点评报告-食品饮料行 业：两会政策窗口临近，关注消费顺周期 板块 – 2025.02.14 5. 江海证券-行业 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Viewpoints - Real estate data continues to show weakness, with a focus on potential policy expectations in the future [6] - Cement shipments are experiencing seasonal declines, and glass prices are decreasing month-on-month [8] - For 2026, three main lines of focus are identified: stock chain, Africa chain, and AI chain [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Real Estate and Construction Data - From January to November, the sales of commercial housing decreased by 11.1% and the sales area by 7.8% year-on-year. In November alone, the sales value and area dropped by 25.1% and 17.3% respectively. The weak performance is attributed to a high base effect from last year's policy releases and weak actual demand [6][7] - New construction and completion data are also weak, with new housing starts down by 20.5% and completions down by 18.0% year-on-year from January to November [7] Cement and Glass Market - In December, cement demand weakened due to air pollution warnings, with an average shipment rate of 42% across key regions, down 1.7 percentage points month-on-month and 2.3 percentage points year-on-year. The average price of cement decreased by 0.2% month-on-month [8][25] - The domestic float glass market is seeing a downward price trend, with production capacity stable at 265 lines and daily melting capacity at 155,105 tons. Inventory levels are also being monitored closely [37][40] Future Outlook for 2026 - The stock chain focuses on optimizing demand and clearing supply, with a significant shift towards renovation demand expected to rise from 50% to nearly 70% by 2030. Recommended companies include Sanke Tree and Rabbit Baby [9] - The Africa chain highlights undervalued growth opportunities in the African market, with recommendations for companies like Keda Manufacturing and Huaxin Cement [9] - The AI chain emphasizes the upgrade of special electronic fabrics, with a focus on domestic leaders like Zhongcai Technology [9]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook on various sectors, particularly focusing on domestic consumption, export opportunities, AI glasses, paper industry recovery, and home furnishings [5][11][18][20]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes structural consumption opportunities driven by domestic demand expansion, highlighting sectors such as personal care, pet products, and IP-driven consumer goods [5][6]. - Export dynamics are shifting positively with reduced external disturbances and potential boosts from U.S. interest rate cuts, suggesting a new phase for Chinese companies in overseas operations [11][12]. - The AI glasses market is experiencing rapid product iterations, with major players like Meta and Alibaba leading the way, indicating a growing market for augmented reality glasses [16][17]. - The paper industry is expected to see demand recovery and price stabilization, with a focus on key players benefiting from this trend [18][19]. - The home furnishings sector is undergoing consolidation, with improved valuations anticipated as real estate policies stabilize, benefiting companies with strong dividend margins [20][21]. Summary by Sections Domestic Consumption - The report highlights the rise of domestic brands in personal care, recommending companies like Baiya and Dengkang for their strong offline channel competitiveness and product upgrades [6][7]. - In the pet products sector, companies like Yiyi and Yuanfei are noted for their robust growth and global expansion strategies [7][8]. - The IP-driven consumer goods market is gaining traction, with companies like Chuangyuan and Guangbo positioned to capitalize on emerging trends [8][9]. Export Opportunities - The report identifies key export players such as Yutong Technology and Yongyi, emphasizing their global supply chain advantages and potential for growth in overseas markets [11][12][13]. - Yongyi is particularly noted for its strategic overseas capacity expansion and the rising demand for ergonomic chairs driven by consumer trends [13][14]. AI Glasses - The report discusses the rapid development of AI glasses, with significant product launches from major brands, indicating a shift towards augmented reality applications [16][17]. - Companies like Kangnait Optical are highlighted for their potential benefits from the growing demand for integrated lens solutions in this market [16]. Paper Industry - The report anticipates a recovery in the paper industry, with key players like Sun Paper and Jiulong Paper expected to benefit from price stabilization and demand recovery [18][19]. Home Furnishings - The home furnishings sector is noted for its ongoing consolidation and potential valuation recovery, with companies like Gujia and Sophia highlighted for their strong market positions and dividend safety [20][21][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of real estate policy stabilization in driving demand for home furnishings, with a focus on companies that can leverage this trend [21][22].

Group 1: siRNA Drug Development - The core viewpoint is that siRNA drugs are transitioning from rare diseases to common diseases, driven by technological upgrades and product approvals, marking a new era in targeted therapy [3][4] - siRNA drugs are characterized by strong target expansion capabilities, robust research extensibility, long-lasting effects, and low likelihood of developing resistance, making them a focus for domestic pharmaceutical companies [3][4] - Since 2016, with advancements in the GalNac delivery system and fully modified applications, siRNA drugs have entered a rapid development phase, validating their value in rare diseases and gradually moving towards common disease research [3][4] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Opportunities - The market for small nucleic acid drugs is heating up, with multinational corporations (MNCs) actively engaging in business development (BD) transactions, indicating a sustained interest in this field [4] - Chinese companies are expected to shine in this area due to their engineering advantages, particularly in chemical synthesis, allowing for rapid iteration on leading technologies [4] - The commercialization process of siRNA drugs is focused on common diseases with clear biological mechanisms, where early movers are likely to gain significant commercial benefits [5] Group 3: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The efficiency and specificity of the GalNac delivery system present opportunities for breakthroughs in liver-targeted therapies and the exploration of previously challenging drug targets [5] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards addressing common diseases, with a focus on new disease areas and advancements in extrahaptic delivery systems [5] - The overall sentiment in the pharmaceutical sector is optimistic, with expectations of significant developments in the siRNA drug space, particularly in large indications such as cardiovascular diseases and chronic hepatitis B [3][4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the "China Gold First Gold Bar Festival" and the "China Gold" APP marks a significant step in the digital transformation of China Gold Group, aiming to enhance consumer services and stimulate domestic demand [1][3]. Group 1: Event Overview - The "China Gold First Gold Bar Festival" was inaugurated in Beijing with the theme "Gold Starts a New Journey, Gathering Future Light" [1]. - The event was supported by various stakeholders, including the China Gold Group, People's Daily, and the China Gold Association, highlighting a collaborative effort in the industry [1]. Group 2: Objectives of the APP - The APP aims to create a new consumption scenario that integrates online and offline experiences, responding to the national call for expanding domestic demand [1]. - It seeks to provide a comprehensive service system that includes purchasing, repurchasing, and exchanging gold, addressing consumer needs for convenience and safety [1]. - The initiative represents a shift from traditional product provision to a technology-driven comprehensive service model, positioning China Gold as an industry leader [1]. Group 3: Industry Impact - The APP and festival are seen as benchmarks for high-quality development within the industry, with potential to expand new spaces and inject new connotations into the gold consumption sector [2]. - The collaboration with People's Daily aims to enhance trust and transparency in investment, promoting a rational investment philosophy [2]. - The partnership is expected to provide safety solutions for the entire gold consumption industry chain, leveraging the strengths of both organizations [2]. Group 4: Future Vision - The APP will facilitate a full-channel closed loop for transactions, allowing for online ordering and offline pickup, thus upgrading physical stores into comprehensive service terminals [3]. - The ultimate goal is to enhance consumer experience and accessibility to gold's value and cultural significance, contributing to both consumer welfare and economic stimulation [3]. - The collaboration between state-owned enterprises and media is a practical response to the national strategy for expanding domestic demand and empowering the real economy [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the need for China to strengthen its internal capabilities to address external challenges, particularly in the context of a complex and uncertain global environment [1] - The article highlights the importance of focusing on domestic demand and innovation to enhance resilience against external uncertainties, advocating for a strong domestic market and the cultivation of new growth drivers [1] Group 2 - The article identifies a "strong supply and weak demand" contradiction, where supply is abundant but structurally imbalanced, leading to intensified competition in low-end products and insufficient high-end supply [3] - It points out that weak consumer growth is influenced by factors such as low expectations for income growth and inadequate service quality, alongside investment vitality issues and external demand pressures from a sluggish global economic recovery [3] Group 3 - The meeting proposes to "deeply implement special actions to boost consumption," including plans to increase residents' income share in national income distribution and enhance government spending on social welfare to stabilize income expectations [4] - It mentions that from January to November this year, the policy of replacing old consumer goods has driven sales exceeding 2.5 trillion yuan, benefiting over 360 million people, thus injecting momentum into consumption [4] Group 4 - On the supply side, the meeting calls for "expanding the supply of quality goods and services," emphasizing innovation-driven approaches and the acceleration of emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and green energy [5] - It also stresses the need for market-oriented reforms in resource allocation and the establishment of a unified national market to address mismatches between supply and demand across regions [5] Group 5 - The article concludes that the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" should focus on expanding domestic demand and strengthening the domestic circulation to effectively address the "strong supply and weak demand" contradiction [7] - It asserts that regardless of external environmental changes, a commitment to focusing on internal capabilities will help maintain and expand economic stability and progress towards modernization [7]