丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 央行发布 CIPS 新规，关注跨境支付投资机遇 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 7 月 4 日，中国人民银行发布关于《人民币跨境支付系统业务规则（征求意见稿）》（简称《业 务规则（征求意见稿）》）公开征求意见的通知，拟进一步健全参与者管理机制，提高 CIPS 参 与者管理水平。《业务规则（征求意见稿）》的发布或将加速我国跨境金融系统建设，中国跨境 支付企业或将受益于新的跨境支付体系的建立，迎来更大的发展空间。建议关注中国跨境支付 产业链相关标的，重点关注跨境支付平台标的。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 陈耀文 SAC：S0490520030004 SAC：S0490525070002 SFC：BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 央行发布 CIPS 新规，关注跨境支付投资机遇 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 7 月 4 日，中国人民银行发布关于《人民币 ...

Group 1 - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has established a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economy development, focusing on key work arrangements and cross-departmental coordination [1] - The State Council Tariff Commission has decided to impose anti-dumping duties on imported brandy from the EU starting July 5, 2025, for a period of five years [5] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has conducted research in Guangdong and Zhejiang provinces, emphasizing the need to stabilize expectations, activate demand, optimize supply, and mitigate risks in the real estate market [6] Group 2 - The National Energy Administration reported that the national maximum electricity load reached 1.465 billion kilowatts on July 4, an increase of approximately 200 million kilowatts from the end of June and nearly 150 million kilowatts year-on-year, setting a historical high [8] - The China Academy of Information and Communications Technology announced that domestic smartphone shipments in May 2025 totaled 23.716 million units, a year-on-year decline of 21.8%, with 5G smartphones accounting for 89.3% of the total [9] - A total of 57 A-share listed companies have released performance forecasts for the first half of 2025, with 13 companies expecting a net profit increase of over 100% year-on-year [10] Group 3 - Sanan Optoelectronics announced that its 400G optical chip products have achieved mass shipments, while 800G optical chip products have achieved small batch shipments [11] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's merger and acquisition review committee has approved China Shipbuilding's share swap merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, making it the largest publicly listed shipbuilding company globally with over 18% of the global market order backlog [15]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China has released a draft for public consultation regarding the rules for the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), aiming to enhance participant management and adapt to the system's growth [1][2] - The draft emphasizes the establishment of a robust risk management framework for operational institutions, including monitoring and managing various types of risks [2] - CIPS has seen significant growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 35% in transaction volume and 30% in transaction value from 2022 to 2024 [3] Industry Developments - The draft rules are designed to support the expansion of CIPS participants, which have increased to 174 direct participants and 1,509 indirect participants as of May 2025, covering 120 countries and regions [3] - CIPS has processed over 675 trillion yuan in various payment transactions since its launch, indicating its growing importance in cross-border payments [3] - The recent signing of agreements with six foreign institutions marks a significant expansion of CIPS's reach into Africa, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Singapore [3] Company Implications - Major banks like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China are directly involved in CIPS, leveraging their global networks to enhance cross-border payment capabilities [4][5] - Payment technology companies like Yika are also positioning themselves in the cross-border payment space, focusing on e-commerce and B2B solutions [5] - Bank of China Hong Kong, as an early participant in CIPS, benefits from direct access to the system, reducing costs and improving efficiency in cross-border RMB clearing [5]

Market Overview - On July 4, U.S. markets were closed for Independence Day, leading to a risk-off sentiment in global markets, with S&P 500 futures down 0.6% and European blue-chip index STOXX 50 falling over 1% [2] - The 10-year German bond yield decreased by 0.8 basis points, while the UK bonds saw a weekly increase of 5 basis points [2] - Gold prices rose nearly 0.6% amid increased risk aversion, while WTI crude oil dropped by 1.5% due to OPEC+ expected production increases [2] Key News - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced reciprocal measures against the EU's restrictions, impacting procurement of medical devices [6] - Trump signed 12 trade letters, shifting from complex negotiations to unilateral actions, creating uncertainty in global markets [6] - Musk announced the formation of the "American Party" aimed at avoiding U.S. bankruptcy, with plans to participate in the 2026 midterm elections [7] - Alibaba and Meituan engaged in a fierce competition in the food delivery sector, with Meituan reporting over 1.2 billion orders in a single day [8] - OPEC+ agreed to increase production by 548,000 barrels per day in August, exceeding expectations [8] Domestic Companies - Hon Hai's Q2 report met market expectations, with a 15.8% year-on-year revenue increase to NT$1.8 trillion, driven by strong demand for AI servers and iPhones [11] Overseas Macro - The passage of the "Big Beautiful Bill" is expected to lead to a surge in U.S. Treasury issuance, potentially pushing the 10-year yield above 5% [12] - The U.S. government is betting on short-term financing to cover a trillion-dollar deficit, raising concerns about market liquidity [12] Industry Insights - The PCB industry is expected to benefit from increased demand for AI and infrastructure investments [15] - The semiconductor sector is seeing advancements in domestic production capabilities, particularly in AI chip manufacturing [15] - The pharmaceutical sector anticipates a recovery in demand for medical devices and strong growth in profits for certain companies [15]

Group 1 - The article highlights the importance of weekly announcements from Sunday to Thursday, which include significant stock market updates such as suspensions, increases or decreases in holdings, investment wins, acquisitions, earnings reports, unlocks, and high transfers [1] - A company has systematically laid out its strategy around stablecoin ecosystems and has partnered with Huawei to launch over 30 fintech solutions [1] - Another company supports digital RMB payment collection across multiple commercial scenarios, integrating digital currency, mobile payments, data elements, and artificial intelligence [1] - A company in the chip, commercial aerospace, humanoid robotics, and intelligent driving sectors is expected to see its net profit increase by nearly two times year-on-year in the first half of the year [1]

- The report discusses the market performance of various indices, including the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, which performed well with a rise of 0.58%[6] - The report highlights the performance of sector indices, noting that the banking, comprehensive finance, media, steel, and pharmaceutical industries performed well, with returns of 1.85%, 1.13%, 0.72%, 0.52%, and 0.41%, respectively[7] - The report provides data on market sentiment, including the number of stocks that hit their daily limit up and down, with 41 stocks hitting the limit up and 13 stocks hitting the limit down at the close of trading[12] - The report includes information on the financing and securities lending balance, which stood at 18,591 billion yuan as of July 3, 2025, with a financing balance of 18,464 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 127 billion yuan[16] - The report discusses the premium and discount rates of ETFs, noting that the innovative drug ETF Huatai Bairui had the highest premium at 0.92%, while the Kechuang New Materials ETF Huatai Bairui had the highest discount at 0.74%[20] - The report provides data on block trading, noting that the average daily transaction amount over the past six months was 1.2 billion yuan, with the transaction amount on July 3, 2025, being 1.8 billion yuan and the average discount rate over the past six months being 5.75%[23] - The report discusses the annualized discount rates of stock index futures, noting that the annualized discount rates of the main contracts of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 stock index futures were 3.86%, 5.27%, 15.75%, and 14.40%, respectively, on July 4, 2025[25] - The report provides data on institutional attention and the Dragon and Tiger list, noting that the stocks with the highest net inflows from institutional seats were Shenzhou Cells, Xice Testing, Longyang Electronics, Guangsheng Tang, Nanling Technology, Rejing Biology, Desheng Technology, Yihong New Materials, Xuedilong, and Canning Power[27][30][33] - The report includes data on the net inflows and outflows of stocks from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, noting that the stocks with the highest net inflows were Beijing New Pharmaceuticals, Hengbao Shares, Bomin Electronics, Longyang Electronics, Guangsheng Tang, and Shenzhou Cells[34]

Group 1 - The current investment landscape requires attention to the resonance between policies and industries, with a focus on three short-term hotspots: the financial technology sector driven by the upcoming implementation of Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation on August 1, the benefits for leading companies from photovoltaic supply-side reforms, and opportunities arising from the intensive rollout of innovative drug policies [1][5] - The A-share market showed a notable divergence from the Hong Kong market, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.32% to 3472.32 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.25% and 0.36% respectively, indicating a mixed performance across different sectors [2] - In the A-share market, the banking sector led with a 1.84% increase, while the innovation drug sector saw multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, reflecting market recognition of financial stability and policy dividends [3][4] Group 2 - The photovoltaic sector in the Hong Kong market rebounded strongly due to expectations of supply-side reforms, with Xinyi Energy surging by 15%, while the biopharmaceutical sector also saw significant gains, such as Rongchang Bio rising over 15% due to supportive policies for innovative drugs [3][4] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is focusing on addressing low-price competition in the photovoltaic industry, while the National Healthcare Security Administration has released measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, providing substantial support in areas such as research data and insurance coverage [4] - The sales revenue of high-tech manufacturing industries increased by 12.1% year-on-year in the first five months, with intelligent equipment manufacturing growing by 19.4%, indicating strong momentum for industrial upgrades [4]

Core Insights - "义支付" has achieved a cross-border payment amount of 2.58 billion USD by the end of June 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 47% [1] - The platform supports 26 mainstream currencies and operates in over 170 countries and regions, facilitating the transition of Yiwu from "buying globally" to "paying globally" [1] - The acquisition of the internet payment license has significantly benefited small commodity businesses in Yiwu, enhancing their operational efficiency and reducing costs [2] Group 1 - "义支付" has opened over 20,000 cross-border RMB accounts and processed over 8.5 billion RMB in cross-border RMB payment transactions in its first complete accounting year under the management of 小商品城 [3] - In 2024, "义支付" achieved a total cross-border collection of over 4 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 233%, with a net profit of 61.04 million RMB, up 274.67% [3] - The platform has launched several product upgrades and convenience services based on user demand and is actively collaborating with banks to support local collection accounts in Africa [3] Group 2 - "义支付" has established partnerships with multiple foreign banks and domestic banks like Bank of China and Minsheng Bank to enhance its cross-border settlement capabilities [1] - The platform allows businesses to receive payments in their local currencies, such as Japanese Yen, and choose the optimal timing for currency exchange, thus reducing operational complexity and exchange costs [2] - The development of "义支付" is part of a broader strategy to create a financial service ecosystem that includes internet payment, credit, and factoring licenses [2]

Domestic News - The People's Bank of China is soliciting public opinions on the "Rules for Cross-Border Payment System Business" to better meet the needs of CIPS business development [1] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development aims to stabilize expectations, activate demand, optimize supply, and mitigate risks to promote a recovery in the real estate market [1] - China plans to shorten the originally scheduled two-day China-Europe leaders' meeting, with both sides agreeing to prepare for a new meeting and maintain communication on specific arrangements [1] International News - Ukrainian President Zelensky discussed air defense issues with Trump and agreed to enhance "sky defense" capabilities [2] - Trump announced plans to issue a tariff letter on Friday, with a floating range of 10%-70%, effective from August 1 [2] - The U.S.-Switzerland trade agreement may include guarantees on drug tariffs [2] - Indian officials stated that a trade agreement with the U.S. would only be reached by July 9 if it aligns with their interests [2] - India proposed retaliatory tariffs on U.S. auto parts tariffs at the World Trade Organization [2] - German Chancellor Merz discussed trade issues with U.S. President Trump [2] Industry News - National electricity load exceeded 1.4 billion kilowatts, setting a new historical high [3] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China established a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economy [3] - The EU will allocate €852 million to six electric vehicle battery projects [3] - Market news indicates that the U.S. plans to impose AI chip restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand [3] - U.S. Defense Secretary Hegseth reportedly paused arms shipments to Ukraine again [3] - OPEC+ has moved its policy meeting to Saturday, expected to agree on an increase of 411,000 barrels per day in August [3] - A survey showed that OPEC's crude oil production in June increased by 270,000 barrels per day compared to May, reaching 27.02 million barrels per day [3]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China has released a draft for public consultation regarding the rules for the Renminbi Cross-Border Payment System (CIPS), detailing account management, funding, and settlement processes [1] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes the importance of promoting stable and healthy development in the real estate market, urging local authorities to implement precise policies [2] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is pushing for a new round of mineral exploration strategies to enhance the resource security of important metal minerals [3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce announced the imposition of anti-dumping duties on imported brandy from the European Union starting July 5, 2025 [6][7] - Insurance funds have been actively acquiring shares in the steel industry, with 15 out of 46 A-share steel companies now held by insurance capital, marking a notable trend in investment [8] - The National Energy Administration reported that the national electricity load reached a historical high of 1.465 billion kilowatts on July 4, driven by high temperatures, indicating strong demand in the power sector [15]