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【国泰第一时间20251212】中央经济工作会议点评
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 08:07
Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 in Beijing emphasizes the need to fully tap economic potential, combining policy support with reform and innovation, and focusing on both material and human investment to address external challenges [1][4]. Macroeconomic Policy - The conference calls for a more proactive macroeconomic policy that enhances forward-looking, targeted, and coordinated measures, aiming to continuously expand domestic demand and optimize supply [1][8]. - It stresses the importance of maintaining a necessary fiscal deficit and total debt scale while optimizing fiscal expenditure structure and addressing local fiscal difficulties [2][8]. - A moderately loose monetary policy is advocated, with a focus on promoting stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery, utilizing various policy tools to maintain liquidity [2][8]. Key Tasks - The conference outlines several key tasks, including: 1. Prioritizing domestic demand and building a strong domestic market, with initiatives to boost consumption and increase central budget investment [3][9]. 2. Fostering innovation and enhancing new growth drivers, including improving intellectual property protection in emerging fields [3][9]. 3. Promoting coordinated development and urban-rural integration, while ensuring a stable real estate market and managing local government debt risks [3][9]. Overall Attitude - The conference reflects a more optimistic and determined attitude towards future economic challenges, shifting from a focus on recognizing difficulties to consolidating and expanding economic stability [4][10]. - There is a strong emphasis on structural adjustments and reforms, with a focus on quality and efficiency improvements in macroeconomic governance [4][10]. Future Outlook - The outlook for the A-share market suggests a favorable environment for investment as policy and liquidity converge positively, with expectations for a spring market rally [6][12]. - The bond market is also expected to benefit from the conference's outcomes, with a focus on maintaining fiscal policy stability and potential interest rate cuts in early 2024 [6][12].
浙商宏观:会议在明年重点任务中首要提及消费,或指向消费作为核心逆周期变量的初步尝试
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 07:35
核心观点 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。在12月政治局会议的指导精神下开展工作部署。我们认 为在经济工作稳中求进的同时,整体政策取向把握两条主线: 一是更好统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争,二是加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度。 如果国际经贸斗争超预期,则政策取向将加大逆周期调节力度;如果外部环境和外需基本稳定,则更侧 重于跨周期调节。 内容摘要 >>一、坚持内需为主导 >>二、创新驱动壮大新动能 会议强调"坚持创新驱动,加紧培育壮大新动能"。2026年作为十五五开局之年,有望进一步加快发展新 质生产力。"十五五"建议稿对新兴产业和未来产业的发展方向做出指引,在新兴产业方面,加快新能 源、新材料、航空航天、低空经济等战略性新兴产业集群发展;在未来产业方面,推动量子科技、生物 制造、氢能和核聚变能、脑机接口、具身智能、第六代移动通信等成为新的经济增长点。 会议提出,制定一体推进教育科技人才发展方案。我们认为教育要更好地为"新质生产力"服务,培养与 科技创新相适应的人才。科技创新已成为影响产业变革的最大变量,这些都对教育的学科专业设置提出 了更高要求。 投资于人将与科技创新相结合,重点培育科技人才,响应 ...
拆壁垒 反内卷 一盘棋:全国统一大市场加速推进丨大象评论
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 06:51
政策探微·经济新象——中央经济工作会议系列评论 评论员 邱延波 市场如流水,如果壁垒高筑,则死水一潭;如果拆墙疏通,便奔流不息。 12月10日至11日,中央经济工作会议在北京举行。会议确定了明年经济工作重点任务,提出"制定全国 统一大市场建设条例,深入整治'内卷式'竞争"。 这不是空洞的口号,而是实打实的行动指南。这一步棋,旨在用法治的利剑斩断隐性壁垒,让市场规则 像阳光一样普照每个角落。 想想看,过去一些地方为了护着自家企业,搞出"政策洼地",结果呢?市场被切割得七零八落,资源重 复浪费,企业跨省迁移像过五关斩六将一样艰难。现在,通过"五统一、一开放"的框架——统一市场基 础制度、统一市场基础设施、统一政府行为尺度、统一市场监管执法、统一要素资源市场,并持续扩大 开放——这一切都将迎来转机。 举个简单的例子,统一大市场不是要把全国变成一个大工厂,而是要把全国变成一个大操场——规则一 样、哨子一样、起跑线一样,谁腿长谁就跑前面。以前那种各自为政、小院高墙,将不复存在。 "五统一、一开放"听着像文件语言,其实翻译成大白话就八个字:规则统一,机会均等。 产权保护不 再分国企民企、外企内企;招标投标不再暗藏"本地优 ...
魏建国:做强国内大市场 重构经贸新格局
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-12 04:57
纵深推进全国统一大市场建设从何处发力?服务业扩大开放将如何重塑市场格局?内外贸一体化发展,外贸企业如何进一步拓 市场、增订单?围绕上述热点经济问题,商务部原副部长、中国国际经济交流中心资深专家咨询委员会委员魏建国近日接受中 国经济网记者专访。 全国统一大市场关系你我生活 记者:"十五五"规划建议将"全国统一大市场建设纵深推进,超大规模市场优势持续显现"列为主要目标之一。如何看待全国统 一大市场带来的发展机遇?纵深推进全国统一大市场建设从何处发力? 魏建国:把全国统一大市场看成"暴富机会",是过于简单化、功利化的解读。全国统一大市场建设本质上是一场深刻的系统性 改革,并非一张能让人瞬间"逆天改命的彩票"。 全国统一大市场建设的最终目的,是让资金、技术、人才、数据等生产要素按照市场规律"动"起来、"转"起来、"跑"起来。这些 生产要素在"跑"的过程中,要实现最佳配置,达到"投入最小、产出最大、效益最优"的目标,还要创造更高的价值,实 现"1+1>3"甚至更好的效果。 结构方面,产业结构与消费结构不匹配的问题需要引起重视。我国已经进入后工业化社会,速度比其他国家快,但消费型社会 的进度相对滞后,产业结构与消费需求脱 ...
中央经济工作会议:深入整治“内卷式”竞争!
Xin Hua She· 2025-12-12 03:26
中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行,会议明确:坚持改革攻坚,增强高质量发展动力活力。 制定全国统一大市场建设条例,深入整治"内卷式"竞争。制定和实施进一步深化国资国企改革方案,完 善民营经济促进法配套法规政策。加紧清理拖欠企业账款。推动平台企业和平台内经营者、劳动者共赢 发展。拓展要素市场化改革试点。健全地方税体系。深入推进中小金融机构减量提质,持续深化资本市 场投融资综合改革。 坚持"双碳"引领,推动全面绿色转型。深入推进重点行业节能降碳改造。制定能源强国建设规划纲要, 加快新型能源体系建设,扩大绿电应用。加强全国碳排放权交易市场建设。实施固体废物综合治理行 动,深入打好蓝天、碧水、净土保卫战,强化新污染物治理。扎实推进"三北"工程攻坚战,实施自然保 护地整合优化。加强气象监测预报预警体系建设,加紧补齐北方地区防洪排涝抗灾基础设施短板,提高 应对极端天气能力。 中央经济工作会议在北京举行 习近平发表重要讲话 李强作总结讲话 赵乐际王沪宁蔡奇丁薛祥李希出席会议 会议指出,明年经济工作在政策取向上,要坚持稳中求进、提质增效,发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效 应,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,提升宏观经济治 ...
2025年中央经济工作会议,定调明年经济工作
Xin Hua She· 2025-12-12 02:02
中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在 北京举行。习近平总书记出席会议并发表 重要讲话,总结2025年经济工作,分析当 前经济形势,部署2026年经济工作。 "十四五"即将圆满收官 新华社权威速览 2025年中央经济工作会议 BITCE 4 STOLE 今年是很不平凡的一年。以习近平 同志为核心的党中央团结带领全党全 国各族人民迎难而上、奋力拼搏,坚 定不移贯彻新发展理念、推动高质量 发展,统筹国内国际两个大局,实施 更加积极有为的宏观政策,经济社会 发展主要目标将顺利完成。我国经济 顶压前行、向新向优发展,现代化产 业体系建设持续推进,改革开放迈出 新步伐,重点领域风险化解取得积极 进展,民生保障更加有力。过去5年, 我们有效应对各种冲击挑战,推动党 和国家事业取得新的重大成就,"十 四五"即将圆满收官,第二个百年奋 斗目标新征程实现良好开局。 做好新形势下经济工作 新的认识和体会 必须 充分挖掘经济潜能 业I须坚持政策支持和改革创新 并举 必须 做到既"放得活"又"管 得好" 必须坚持投资于物和投资于人 紧密结合 业I须以苦练内功来应对外部挑战 明年经济工作的 总体要求 要以习近平新时代中国特色社会 主义 ...
一图看懂|2025年中央经济工作会议,与去年相比有这些新动向
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-12-12 01:53
新京报贝壳财经记者对比往年内容发现,本次会议在政策取向上突出"稳中求进、提质增效",并提出"发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应"。会议强调,要 着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期,传递出明年经济工作将更注重结构优化、风险化解与民生实质改善的新信号。 新京报记者 任娇 董怡楠 任婉晴 编辑 陈莉 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议指出,我国经济发展中老问题、新挑战仍然不少,外部环境变化影响加深,国内供强需弱矛盾突出, 重点领域风险隐患较多。这些大多是发展中、转型中的问题,经过努力是可以解决的,我国经济长期向好的支撑条件和基本趋势没有改变。要坚定信心、 用好优势、应对挑战,不断巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头。 | | 财政与金融的配合,以政府投资 央预算内投资规模,优化实施 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 台湾 | 有效带动社会投资。及早谋划 | "两重"项目,优化地方政府专 | | | "十五五"重大项目。大力实施 | 项债券用途管理,继续发挥新型 | | | 城市更新。实施降低全社会物流 | 政策性金融工具作用,有效激发 | | | 成本专项行动。 | 民间投资活力。高质量推进城市 ...
2025年中央经济工作会议,与去年相比有这些新动向
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-12-12 01:36
新京报记者任娇董怡楠任婉晴编辑陈莉 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议指出,我国经济发展中老问题、新挑战仍然不少,外部环境变化影响加深,国内供强需弱矛盾突出, 重点领域风险隐患较多。这些大多是发展中、转型中的问题,经过努力是可以解决的,我国经济长期向好的支撑条件和基本趋势没有改变。要坚定信心、 用好优势、应对挑战,不断巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头。 新京报贝壳财经记者对比往年内容发现,本次会议在政策取向上突出"稳中求进、提质增效",并提出"发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应"。会议强调,要 着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期,传递出明年经济工作将更注重结构优化、风险化解与民生实质改善的新信号。 | | י הנפטל ( 1 ביני ( 1 ביני 1 ( 1 ב 1 - | A UHARA TESSEN | | --- | --- | --- | | | 间有效沟通、协商反馈机制,增 增量、盘活存量。 | | | | 强政策合力。 | | | | 必须统筹好总供给和总需求的关 因地制宜发展新质生产力,纵深 系,畅通国民经济循环。必须统 | 推进全国统一大市场建设,持续 | | 新质量量7 | ...
承前启后开新局 提质增效谱新篇
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-12 00:40
Core Viewpoint - The meeting of the Central Political Bureau on December 8 outlined the economic work for 2026, emphasizing a strategic approach to high-quality development and modernization in China, marking a transition from the "14th Five-Year Plan" to the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Performance and Achievements - The meeting acknowledged significant achievements in economic and social development during the "14th Five-Year Plan," highlighting a stable economic operation with progress in new productive forces and reforms [3]. - It emphasized the historical accomplishments of the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, including enhanced hard and soft power, which lays a solid foundation for the second centenary goal [3]. Group 2: Strategic Direction for the "15th Five-Year Plan" - The meeting set the tone for the "15th Five-Year Plan," focusing on balancing short-term growth with long-term structural adjustments, which is crucial for achieving mid- to long-term development goals [4]. - The core message of "stability while seeking progress, and improving quality and efficiency" reflects a shift in focus from mere growth speed to sustainable and quality-driven development [5][6]. Group 3: Macro Policy Adjustments - The meeting called for a more proactive macro policy approach, advocating for a combination of active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies to enhance economic governance [6]. - Market analysts expect the economic growth target for 2026 to be around 5%, necessitating sustained policy support, particularly in technology innovation and green transformation [6]. Group 4: High-Quality Development Framework - The meeting outlined "eight persistences" as a comprehensive action framework for high-quality development, emphasizing the importance of domestic demand, innovation, reform, and green transformation [7][8]. - It highlighted the need to enhance consumer capacity and willingness, promote innovation in strategic emerging industries, and deepen international cooperation [7][8]. Group 5: Governance and Leadership - The meeting stressed the importance of the Party's centralized leadership as a fundamental guarantee for implementing economic policies, ensuring alignment with the central government's decisions [9]. - It called for practical measures to address public concerns, such as employment and social security, while maintaining a focus on risk management in key areas [9]. Group 6: Future Economic Outlook - The strategic deployment from the meeting aims to address current challenges while fostering new productive forces for future advantages, ensuring a solid start for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [10].
【“打通全国统一大市场堵点卡点”热点问题探析④】破壁突围推进内外贸一体化
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-12 00:30
Core Viewpoint - The integration of domestic and foreign trade is crucial for promoting economic development, expanding domestic demand, and stabilizing enterprises, serving as both a strategy to address complex international trade environments and a strategic choice for building a new development pattern [1] Group 1: Challenges in Market Transition - The push for integrated trade requires support for foreign trade enterprises to expand into domestic markets and guidance for domestic trade enterprises to explore international markets, presenting both opportunities and challenges [2] - Communication and coordination costs during market transitions are significant concerns for enterprises, with foreign trade offering more predictable order quantities compared to domestic trade [2][3] - Differences in consumer demand and product matching between domestic and international markets necessitate adjustments in production strategies [2][3] Group 2: Operational and Regulatory Barriers - There are prevalent issues such as low marketing capabilities and insufficient after-sales service among domestic trade enterprises venturing abroad, compounded by a lack of familiarity with local political, cultural, and legal environments [3][4] - The disconnection between export and domestic sales highlights challenges such as supply-demand mismatches, high market transition costs, and a lack of unified standards and certification systems [4] Group 3: Policy and Institutional Support - Efficiently connecting domestic and international markets can promote reform and development internally while fostering cooperation externally, enhancing China's integration into global supply chains [5] - The international standard conversion rate in China has reached 86% as of September 2025, surpassing the target set in the National Standardization Development Outline [5][6] - The establishment of cooperation zones for small and medium-sized enterprises aims to enhance support for these businesses in utilizing both domestic and international markets [6][7] Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Recommendations - The integration of domestic and foreign trade is expected to become a key engine for building an open economy, with over 2200 leading enterprises in this area and approximately 87,000 large-scale industrial enterprises engaged in integrated operations [10] - Recommendations include accelerating product adaptability, innovating marketing strategies, and expanding trade agreements to enhance cooperation with more countries [8][9]