Group 1 - Climate change is a pressing challenge, prompting a global shift towards a low-carbon energy system dominated by renewable energy sources [1][2] - The Fourth Meteorological Economy Forum focused on the impact of climate change on the energy sector and the need for improved meteorological services to support the transition to renewable energy [1][2] - The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) reported that global renewable energy capacity reached 4,448 GW in 2024, an increase of 585 GW from the previous year, highlighting the rapid growth of wind and solar energy [2] Group 2 - As of the end of 2024, China's renewable energy capacity reached 1.889 billion kilowatts, accounting for approximately 56% of the total installed capacity, indicating a significant shift in the energy structure [3] - Extreme weather events are increasingly threatening energy infrastructure, with a 1°C increase in summer peak temperatures leading to a 4.5% rise in maximum grid load [3] - Sunshine Power, a leading solar energy company, has developed all-scenario solutions to address challenges posed by extreme weather conditions, demonstrating strong environmental adaptability [3][4] Group 3 - Research indicates a growing trend of extreme power shortages in global wind and solar systems due to climate change, necessitating targeted climate resilience strategies [4] - The World Meteorological Organization emphasizes the importance of integrating meteorological information into renewable energy development decisions to enhance resilience against extreme weather [4] - The electric power industry is exploring the construction of smart meteorological platforms to improve power forecasting, disaster warning, and operational optimization [4][6] Group 4 - Meteorological service provider Moji Weather has launched a "predictive meteorological service" product for wind and solar companies, incorporating large language models for automated decision-making [5] - Technological advancements are providing strong support for building a climate-resilient new energy system [6]

Core Viewpoint - China has made significant advancements in various environmental technologies and is a global leader in renewable energy equipment supply, including 70% of wind power equipment and over 80% of photovoltaic components [1][3]. Group 1: Climate Change and Global Cooperation - Climate change is impacting economic and social development at an unprecedented pace, necessitating international cooperation and adherence to established legal frameworks such as the Paris Agreement [1][2]. - The upcoming COP29 conference faces challenges due to geopolitical conflicts and differing obligations among developed countries regarding funding and technology transfer [2]. - Recent extreme weather events highlight the urgent need for collective action against climate change, as global greenhouse gas concentrations and sea levels continue to rise [2]. Group 2: China's Renewable Energy and Technological Innovation - As of July 2023, China's total installed renewable energy capacity reached 2.17 billion kilowatts, accounting for nearly 60% of the country's total power generation capacity [3]. - China is the fastest-growing country in terms of forest resources and has established the world's largest carbon market [3]. - Technological innovation is crucial for addressing climate change, with China focusing on breakthroughs in renewable energy, energy storage, smart grids, and hydrogen technologies [3]. Group 3: Green Transition and International Collaboration - The Chinese government aims to promote green transformation in industries, enhance energy efficiency, and develop a comprehensive low-carbon standard system [4]. - China is committed to deepening international cooperation in environmental governance and actively participating in the development of global green technology standards [4][5]. - The fourth China Ecological and Environmental Industry Service "Dual Carbon" Strategic Forum emphasizes the role of technology in achieving sustainable urban and low-carbon park development [5].

Core Insights - The UK is deepening bilateral investment and cooperation with China in the field of science and technology, highlighted by its role as the guest country at the 25th China International Investment and Trade Fair [1] - As of July 2025, the UK is projected to have invested over $35 billion in China, while China's direct investment in the UK exceeds $32 billion [1] - UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) plays a significant role in facilitating over 800 joint projects with China, investing approximately £440 million over the past 18 years [4] Investment and Cooperation - The UK is China's third-largest foreign investment source in Europe and the second-largest destination for Chinese direct investment [1] - The UKRI has established a strong partnership with China, focusing on mutual benefits in research and innovation [7] - The UKRI's annual budget exceeds £8 billion, supporting international scientific collaboration through joint funding and academic exchanges [2] Research Areas and Potential - Key areas for future collaboration include artificial intelligence, climate change, healthcare, and sustainable agriculture [5] - The UKRI emphasizes the importance of producing publicly accessible scientific outcomes that address global challenges [8] - There is a focus on health-related research, particularly in infectious diseases, non-communicable diseases, and the impacts of climate change on health [9] Future Prospects - UKRI is exploring new funding opportunities to enhance the scale and impact of UK-China research cooperation [9] - The organization aims to strengthen dialogue and collaboration between researchers from both countries, promoting joint projects and talent mobility [9] - UKRI is committed to translating research outcomes into practical applications that generate economic value, fostering mutual growth and development [9]

气候变化已经成为人类面临的最严峻挑战之一，面对气候变化，当下全球能源体系正加速向以可再生能源为主的低碳模式转型。9月11日，2025年中国国际 服务贸易交易会系列主题论坛之一——第四届气象经济论坛正式举行，论坛以"气候变化与绿色能源发展"为主题，秉持开放协作理念，吸引了来自政、研、 产、协多方人士参与，共同探讨气候变化对能源领域的影响及对策。其核心关切在于，一方面，气候变化倒逼能源转型加速，另一方面，向可再生能源转型 还需要更好的气象服务。 气候变化并非遥远的预警，而是每个人切身的体验。 与此同时，新能源自身的"靠天吃饭"属性，也让电力系统面临挑战。据国家统计局发布的数据，截至2024年底，全国可再生能源装机达到18.89亿千瓦，约 占我国总装机的56%，随着风电、光伏在能源结构中占比提升，以及极端天气气候事件频率更高、强度更大、范围更广，能源基础设施正面临更多威胁。 研究表明，在夏天的用电高峰期，最高气温每增加1度，电网最高负荷增加约4.5%。今年夏季，中国最大电力负荷达到15.1亿千瓦，气温较往年同期偏高是 主要因素之一。此外，台风、暴雨、高温等极端天气，也威胁着电网基础设施的安全。 种种挑战下，技术端已 ...

Core Insights - The fourth Meteorological Economic Forum was held on September 11 in Beijing, focusing on "climate change and green energy development" to explore collaborative paths for climate change and green energy [1][7] - The forum highlighted the need for international cooperation in enhancing energy systems' climate resilience and promoting global green low-carbon development [1][2] Group 1: Climate Change and Energy Transition - The global installed capacity of wind and solar energy has reached 31%, with extreme weather becoming a key factor affecting the stability of power systems [1] - The energy sector accounts for three-quarters of global greenhouse gas emissions, necessitating prioritization of climate action through increased renewable energy investment [2] - China aims to achieve significant reductions in carbon emission intensity through optimizing industrial structure and developing renewable energy [2][3] Group 2: Technological Innovation and Collaboration - The Global Energy Internet Development Cooperation Organization and the China Meteorological Administration have jointly released a long-term forecast for global renewable energy generation, addressing a technical gap in the field [1] - The forum emphasized the importance of integrating meteorological data with power systems to enhance renewable energy absorption and grid resilience [2][5] - The event featured discussions on innovative practices in renewable energy supply stability under extreme weather conditions [6] Group 3: Achievements and Future Goals - By the end of 2024, China's cumulative installed capacity of renewable energy is expected to reach 1.41 billion kilowatts, accounting for 42% of the national total [3] - The forum initiated a case collection activity to showcase local government and enterprise achievements in promoting green transformation and the "Two Mountains" concept [3][5] - Experts at the forum called for interdisciplinary research to support global climate governance and the achievement of carbon neutrality [4][5]

Group 1 - The fourth Meteorological Economic Forum was held on September 11 in Beijing, focusing on the theme of "Climate Change and Green Energy Development" to explore paths for the synergistic development of climate change and green energy [1][24] - The forum gathered representatives from domestic and international organizations, experts, and corporate representatives to discuss topics such as climate change response, energy transition, and the construction of a beautiful China [1][24] Group 2 - The global installed capacity of wind and solar energy has reached 31%, with extreme weather becoming a key factor affecting the stability of power systems [3][10] - Research indicates that for every 1°C increase in maximum temperature, the peak electricity load increases by 4.5% [3] - The Global Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization is actively conducting collaborative research on energy meteorology and has partnered with the China Meteorological Administration to release the "Global New Energy Generation Annual Forecast 2025" [3][10] Group 3 - The energy sector accounts for three-quarters of global greenhouse gas emissions, necessitating prioritization of climate action through increased investment in renewable energy and enhanced climate services [5][10] - China has significantly reduced carbon emission intensity through industrial restructuring and the development of renewable energy, maintaining a leading position in global wind and solar installed capacity [8][14] Group 4 - The forum featured keynote speeches from prominent figures, emphasizing the need for interdisciplinary research on climate systems and the importance of technological innovation in achieving carbon neutrality [15][16] - The forum initiated the "Exploring Beautiful China Climate Ecology Chapter" case collection activity to showcase local government and enterprise achievements in promoting green transformation [11][20] Group 5 - The forum included a roundtable discussion on "Climate Change and Green Development," inviting representatives from leading institutions to explore collaborative paths for climate change and green energy [24][26] - The fifth Global Meteorological Services and Equipment Exhibition showcased advanced meteorological data applications and technologies that support low-carbon transitions in various sectors [27]

多地干旱问题加剧 《2023—2025年全球干旱热点地区报告》聚焦非洲、地中海沿岸、拉丁美洲、东南亚等地区，分析了干 旱如何加剧贫困、饥饿、能源危机以及生态问题。 根据报告，非洲部分地区正经历严重干旱，东部和南部非洲超过9000万人面临严重饥饿威胁；因水位大 幅下降，2023年10月至2024年1月，巴拿马运河日均通航量锐减，对全球贸易造成严重影响；亚马孙河 流域2023年和2024年创纪录的低水位导致大量鱼类死亡，同时影响数十万人饮水和交通运输。 伊拉克南部美索不达米亚沼泽地区长期干旱少雨，一些湿地出现干涸。 本报中东中心分社 伊纳斯·易卜拉欣摄 《联合国防治荒漠化公约》秘书处等机构不久前发布的《2023—2025年全球干旱热点地区报告》显示， 在气候变化及土地和水资源持续承压的背景下，2023年以来全球经历了一些有记录以来范围最广、破坏 性最强的干旱事件，全球正面临严峻的干旱挑战。报告呼吁各国加强干旱防范能力建设，包括建立更强 大的早期预警系统，强化对干旱及其影响的实时监测，建造有韧性的基础设施，深化国际合作等，协力 应对干旱问题。《联合国防治荒漠化公约》秘书处执行秘书易卜拉欣·蒂奥表示，干旱的威胁已经来 ...

Core Insights - A recent study published in the journal Nature Microbiology indicates that global warming poses a significant threat to Prochlorococcus, a crucial oxygen-producing marine microorganism, with potential population reductions of up to 51% by 2100 under moderate to high warming scenarios [1][5]. Group 1: Impact of Climate Change - Prochlorococcus, a vital cyanobacterium found in 75% of the sunlit surface oceans, contributes approximately 20% of the world's oxygen through photosynthesis [3]. - Predictions suggest that sea surface temperatures in many tropical and subtropical regions may frequently exceed 30°C by 2100, endangering marine ecosystems [3][5]. - Previous assumptions indicated that Prochlorococcus would expand its distribution with rising ocean temperatures, but these estimates were primarily based on laboratory data [3]. Group 2: Research Findings - The study analyzed a decade of data collected from ships traversing the tropical and subtropical Pacific Ocean from 2010 to 2023, revealing that the growth and division rates of Prochlorococcus are temperature-dependent [5]. - Contrary to earlier predictions, the study found that the division rate of Prochlorococcus sharply declines when sea surface temperatures exceed 28°C [5]. - Simulations indicate that under representative concentration pathways 4.5 and 8.5, Prochlorococcus productivity could decrease by 17% to 51% compared to current levels in future moderate and high warming scenarios [5][7]. Group 3: Research Limitations - The authors acknowledge that their field sampling may have missed rare heat-tolerant Prochlorococcus strains, and the ship-based data may not adequately represent some hotter tropical regions [7].

近期，多个太平洋岛国暴发10年来最大规模和最严重的登革热疫情。世界卫生组织表示，截至目前，太 平洋地区共报告2.35万例疑似登革热病例，经实验室确诊的病例超过1.6万例，该地区感染率已达到2016 年以来的最高水平，其中斐济、萨摩亚和汤加受影响情况最为严重。一些国家宣布进入紧急状态，并采 取措施加强应对登革热疫情。 斐济是今年太平洋地区疫情最严重的国家，累计确诊病例超过1.4万例，疑似病例超过1.1万例。萨摩亚 已有近8000人被诊断出患有登革热，其中儿童病例占到70%以上，并报告有6人死亡。汤加自2月宣布疫 情发生以来，已报告800多例感染病例和3例死亡病例。"今年是登革热疫情的又一个高峰，情况十分严 重。"世界卫生组织太平洋技术支持主任马克·雅各布斯说。 登革热是一种由伊蚊传播的病毒性疾病，会导致高烧、剧烈头痛、关节和肌肉疼痛、皮疹，严重情况下 甚至可能致命。全球气候变化导致的气温升高、降雨增加和湿度升高等，为伊蚊创造了理想的繁殖条 件。太平洋共同体副总干事保拉·维维利表示，登革热疫情具有季节性，"然而，由于气候变化，传播季 节正在延长，一些地区全年都面临登革热风险。"新西兰国家水资源与大气研究所分析，近 ...

棕榈油近况与展望 20250910 摘要 棕榈油市场近期虽回调，但中期上涨空间大。消息真空期市场信心不足， 止盈盘离场致价格波动。美豆油价格下行空间有限，或引发国际豆棕价 差反弹，棕榈油性价比有望再提升。 美国和巴西生物燃料政策增加美豆油投料，导致豆油出口缩水，推高国 际豆棕价差，利好棕榈油出口。印尼 B40 政策及潜在 B50 政策支撑棕 榈油中长期需求。 马来西亚和印尼未来供需趋紧。马来西亚产量或继续回落，印尼打击非 法种植园增加产量风险。两国库存整体下降，对价格形成支撑。 印度植物油库存偏低，存在补库需求。印尼出口税费上调减弱竞争力， 马来西亚出口数据表现良好。印度后续补库支撑依然存在。 印尼打击非法种植园影响显著，涉及千万吨级别产量。B40 政策提振国 内消费，明年或执行 B50 政策。印尼库存压力较小，有助于整体供需趋 紧。 全球气候变化可能在 2026 年一季度对棕榈油生产造成滞后性冲击，进 一步收紧供需关系，对价格形成支撑及提振作用。 预计 2026 年全球棕榈油产量增速将显著放缓。印尼产量增量有限，伐 木种植园经营权移交存在风险。全球棕榈油产量增长缺乏亮点。 Q&A 棕榈油价格自 2025 年 ...