A股主要股指早盘表现 商业航天概念继续大涨 作为近期盘面最强热点，商业航天概念在年末最后一个交易日维持强势。早盘，多只商业航天概念股冲击涨停，其中，顺灏股份开盘两 分钟封住涨停，股价创历史新高，本月累计涨幅达到128%；中国卫星、北斗星通等均收获涨停。 今日早盘，A股市场整体窄幅震荡，AI硬件等部分热点题材出现调整，拖累创业板指跌超1%。截至午间休市，上证指数报3962.24点，跌 0.07%；深证成指、创业板指分别下跌0.67%和1.10%。 商业航天概念在年末最后一个交易日维持强势，顺灏股份（002565）开盘两分钟封住涨停，股价创历史新高。 顺灏股份早盘走势 消息面上，据国家国防科工局网站消息，日前，国家国防科工局党组理论学习中心组召开扩大会议，会议强调，要解放思想、革新理 念，以新思路、新举措加快推动航天事业高质量发展，持续提升科技创新能力，加快推动可重复使用火箭、重型火箭、国际月球科研站 等重点任务实施，助力实现高水平科技自立自强。 12月26日，上交所发布商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准审核指引，着力推进符合指引标准的商业火箭企业在科创板发行上市， 以更大力度支持突破关键核心技术的科技型企业发 ...

12月31日上午，A股三大股指集体下跌。截至午间收盘，沪指跌0.07%，深证成指跌0.67%，创业板指跌1.1%。 AI智能体概念板块强势拉升 AI应用端持续拉升。上午，AI语料、智谱AI、Kimi概念等AI大模型板块强势拉升。 个股方面，蓝色光标录得20cm涨停，德生科技、利欧股份、掌阅科技录得10cm涨停，雷神科技涨超14%，汉得信息涨近9%，易点天下、值得买等冲高。 | 序号 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅▼ | 年初至今 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 蓝色光标 | 11.52 | 20.00% | 73.91% | 414亿 | | 2 | 福石控股 | 6.76 | 14.58% | 42.62% | 65亿 | | 3 | 易点天下 | 41.33 | 12.49% | 47.15% | 195亿 | | ব | 值得买 | 45.52 | 11.13% | 36.51% | 91亿 | | 5 | 宣亚国际 | 18.28 | 11.06% | 15.77% | 33亿 | | 6 | 掌阅科技 | 22.12 | 10. ...

12月31日午间收盘，沪指跌0.07%，深成指跌0.67%，创业板指跌1.1%。沪深两市半日成交额1.31万亿 元。从板块来看，AI应用端持续拉升，万事利、德生科技、蓝色光标等多股涨停。商业航天概念反复 活跃，雷科防务3连板，顺灏股份、北斗星通、长江通信涨停。机器人概念局部活跃，锋龙股份5连板， 五洲新春3连板续创历史新高。下跌方面，福建板块下挫，鹭燕医药跌停，平潭发展、合兴包装、海峡 创新大跌。截至收盘，沪指跌0.07%，深成指跌0.67%，创业板指跌1.1%。 上证报中国证券网讯 12月31日午间收盘，沪指跌0.07%，深成指跌0.67%，创业板指跌1.1%。沪深两市 半日成交额1.31万亿元。从板块来看，AI应用端持续拉升，万事利、德生科技、蓝色光标等多股涨停。 商业航天概念反复活跃，雷科防务3连板，顺灏股份、北斗星通、长江通信涨停。机器人概念局部活 跃，锋龙股份5连板，五洲新春3连板续创历史新高。下跌方面，福建板块下挫，鹭燕医药跌停，平潭发 展、合兴包装、海峡创新大跌。截至收盘，沪指跌0.07%，深成指跌0.67%，创业板指跌1.1%。 ...

Research Views - The stock index is expected to continue oscillating within the range established since October. The third - quarter cumulative year - on - year revenue growth rate of CSI 1000 is about 2.6%, which supports its current valuation and reduces the risk of liquidity. The Spring Rally may be less intense this year due to the lack of necessary conditions [1]. - The bond market is expected to remain strong in the short term. The central bank will maintain a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026 but will be cautious about interest rate cuts. The bond market's oscillating pattern is difficult to change [1][2]. Price Changes Stock Index Futures | Variety | 2025 - 12 - 30 | 2025 - 12 - 29 | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH | 3,035.4 | 3,038.0 | - 2.6 | - 0.09% | | IF | 4,622.2 | 4,610.2 | 12.0 | 0.26% | | IC | 7,381.0 | 7,336.6 | 44.4 | 0.61% | | IM | 7,459.2 | 7,439.0 | 20.2 | 0.27% | Stock Indexes | Variety | 2025 - 12 - 30 | 2025 - 12 - 29 | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SSE 50 | 3,036.6 | 3,034.6 | 1.9 | 0.06% | | CSI 300 | 4,651.3 | 4,639.4 | 11.9 | 0.26% | | CSI 500 | 7,458.9 | 7,430.6 | 28.3 | 0.38% | | CSI 1000 | 7,597.3 | 7,594.2 | 3.1 | 0.04% | Treasury Bond Futures | Variety | 2025 - 12 - 30 | 2025 - 12 - 29 | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TS | 102.49 | 102.48 | 0.01 | 0.01% | | TF | 105.82 | 105.84 | - 0.025 | - 0.02% | | T | 107.94 | 107.98 | - 0.035 | - 0.03% | | TL | 111.83 | 111.82 | 0.01 | 0.01% | [3] Market News - The Shanghai Composite Index oscillated within a narrow range throughout the day, while the ChiNext Index showed relatively stronger performance. There were 1,734 rising stocks, 65 daily limit - up stocks, and 3,306 falling stocks. The Shanghai Composite Index closed slightly lower, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.49%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.63% [1][4]. - The liquid - cooled server concept stocks, AI intelligent agent concept stocks, and robot concept stocks performed actively. The commercial aerospace concept stocks first rose and then fell. PEEK materials, consumer electronics, and digital currency sectors led the gains, while Hainan, retail, photovoltaic wind power, and shipping port sectors led the losses [4]. Chart Analysis Stock Index Futures - The report provides charts of the trends and basis of IH, IF, IM, and IC contracts, including their closing prices over time and the relationship between futures and spot prices [6][7][8][9][10]. Treasury Bond Futures - Charts show the trends of treasury bond futures contracts, treasury bond spot yields, basis of different - tenor treasury bond futures, inter - period spreads, inter - variety spreads, and capital interest rates [13][14][15][16][17][19]. Exchange Rates - The report presents charts of the central parity rate of the US dollar and euro against the RMB, forward exchange rates of the US dollar against the RMB, the US dollar index, euro - US dollar exchange rate, pound - US dollar exchange rate, and US dollar - Japanese yen exchange rate [23][25][27][29][31].

北交所今日上市的新股N蘅东光大幅高开超1000%。智谱AI概念盘初爆发，德生科技（002908）直线拉 升涨停。 12月31日早盘，A股三大指数集体高开。开盘后小幅震荡，截至发稿，三大指数均翻红。 | 名称 | 序号 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 10 | 3970.76 | 5.64 | 0.14% | | 深证成指 | 2 | 13623.39 | 19.32 | 0.14% | | 万得全A | 3 | 6424.04 | 2.96 | 0.05% | | 科创综指 | 4 | 1645.57 | 2.99 | 0.18% | | 创业板指 | 5 | 3249.71 | 6.80 | 0.21% | | 北证50 | 6 | 1447.26 | -3.38 | -0.23% | | 沪深300 | 7 | 4663.02 | 11.74 | 0.25% | | 中证500 | 8 | 7480.01 | 21.08 | 0.28% | | 中证800 | 9 | 5138.47 | 13.35 | 0.26% | ...

Group 1: Stock Market Performance - The new stock N Hengtong opened significantly higher, exceeding 1000%, trading at 350 yuan, and remained up over 966% at the time of reporting [4] - The A-share market saw all three major indices open higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3970.76, up 0.14%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13623.39, also up 0.14% [3] - Various sectors such as education, retail, real estate, semiconductors, automotive, consumer electronics, and AI glasses were active at the market opening, while sectors like shipbuilding, diversified finance, and precious metals saw declines [3] Group 2: AI and Technology Sector - The Zhipu AI concept sector experienced a surge, with Desheng Technology hitting the daily limit, and other companies like BlueFocus and Hand Information showing significant gains [7] - Zhipu AI updated its Hong Kong IPO details, confirming the issuance of 37.42 million new shares at a price of 116.20 HKD per share, with a potential total of 43.03 million shares if the over-allotment option is exercised [9] Group 3: Education Sector - The education sector was active, with Kevin Education hitting the daily limit and other companies like Zhonggong Education and Dou Shen Education also rising [10] - The Ministry of Education announced plans to further promote AI in education, with a policy document expected by 2026 to establish a future-oriented education system [10] Group 4: Robotics and Industrial Sector - The robotics sector showed repeated activity, with companies like Wanxiang Qianchao and Wuzhou Xinchun achieving multiple consecutive gains [11] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with other departments, issued a plan to accelerate the application of AI in key areas of the automotive industry, promoting the large-scale use of intelligent robots [11] Group 5: Mining and Materials Sector - Zijin Mining announced an expected net profit of approximately 51 to 52 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 59% to 62%, attributed to increased production and rising sales prices of key minerals [11] - The long-term storage concept saw gains, with Hefei Urban Construction hitting the daily limit, and other companies in the sector also performing well [12]

12月31日，指数高开低走；截至9：44，沪指跌0.02%，深成指跌0.21%，创指跌0.51%。 盘面上，教育板块盘初活跃，凯文教育涨停；长鑫存储概念集体高开；商业航天概念再度走强，雷科防务3连板。 下跌方面，化学纤维、影视院造纸等板块跌幅居前。 焦点股方面，新股N新广益高开近200%，报65元；北交所新股N蘅东光高开超1000%，报350元。 东方证券指出，今日是本年度最后一个交易日，预计市场不会出现较大波动，热点仍会围绕机器人、商业航天、 能源金属等近期核心板块展开，也会延续到元旦后。 热门板块 1、长鑫存储概念大面积高开 3、商业航天概念再走强 早盘长鑫存储概念集体高开，合肥城建一字涨停，上峰水泥、合百集团、朗迪集团、精测电子、精智达涨幅靠 前。 点评：消息面上，上交所官网12月30日晚间显示，中国第一、全球第四的DRAM厂商长鑫科技申报科创板IPO获上 交所受理，拟募资295亿元。 | | 半导体(01801081) 6993.12 -65.63 -0.93% | | (+) 板块 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 最新价 | 主力净流入 | 涨跌幅 | | ...

昨日市场午后震荡上扬，沪指收出十连阳。从板块来看，机器人概念持续爆发，AI应用端表现活跃，商业航天概念整体冲高回落；下跌方面，海南、零售 等板块跌幅居前。 Wind数据显示，在12月30日的非货币ETF市场中，华夏中证细分有色金属产业ETF份额增加14.54亿份，净流入额27.03亿元；汇添富中证AAA科创债ETF份 额增加0.15亿份，净流入额15.02亿元；富国中证AAA科技创新公司债ETF份额增加0.12亿份，净流入额12.08亿元。 | 证券代码 证券简称 | | 涨跌幅 基金份额变化 净流入额 基 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (%) | (亿份) | (亿元) ( | | | 551520.SH 汇添富中证AAA科创债ETF | 0.04 | | 15.02 | 0.15 | | 159200.SZ 富国中证AAA科技创新公司债ETF | 0.02 | | 12.08 | 0.12 | | 511070.SH 南方上证基准做市公司债ETF | -0.04 | | 11.07 | 0.11 | | 563800.SH 广发中证A500ETF | ...

Group 1: Automotive Industry - Chinese automotive manufacturers are expected to surpass Japanese manufacturers in global new car sales by 2025, with an estimated 17% year-on-year growth in 2023, reaching approximately 27 million vehicles sold [2] - Japan's automotive sales are projected to remain flat compared to last year, slightly below 25 million vehicles, indicating a significant shift in market leadership [2] - In 2023, China became the world's largest automotive exporter with 4.91 million vehicles exported, marking a pivotal moment in the global automotive landscape [2][3] - The rise of Chinese domestic brands is attributed to increased recognition both domestically and internationally, alongside intense competition within the Chinese automotive industry [2] Group 2: Aviation Industry - 吉祥航空 and 春秋航空 announced orders for a total of 55 Airbus A320 series aircraft, valued at approximately $8.2 billion, to be delivered between 2028 and 2032 [4] - The orders are seen as a coordinated purchase strategy to secure better pricing, reflecting a trend in the aviation sector towards bulk purchasing [4] - The domestic aviation market is characterized by high passenger load factors but low ticket prices, aligning with the operational strategies of 吉祥航空 and 春秋航空 [5] Group 3: AI Industry - Meta has acquired AI startup Manus for several billion dollars, marking its third-largest acquisition to date [6] - Manus focuses on practical AI applications, providing tools for tasks such as resume screening and travel planning, which enhances user experience in AI applications [6][7] - The acquisition is expected to bolster Meta's capabilities in AI product applications, an area where it has previously been less competitive [7] Group 4: Robotics Industry - 宇树科技 opened its first offline store in Beijing, allowing customers to experience and purchase robotic products directly [8] - The store aims to reduce consumer apprehension towards complex technology by providing hands-on experiences and facilitating immediate purchases [8][9] - The offline presence is part of a broader strategy to explore various business models, including rentals and experiences, as the robotics market matures [9] Group 5: Semiconductor Industry - 中芯国际 plans to acquire 49% of 中芯北方 for approximately 40.6 billion yuan, aiming to enhance asset quality and business synergy [12] - The acquisition reflects a trend of consolidation within the Chinese semiconductor industry, focusing on high-quality development rather than mere scale [12][13] - Full control over 中芯北方 is expected to stabilize cash flow and improve operational efficiency for 中芯国际 [12] Group 6: Precious Metals Market - Silver prices experienced a significant intraday drop of 16%, while gold and palladium also saw notable declines, despite strong annual performance [14][15] - The fluctuations in precious metal prices are attributed to speculative trading in the Chinese futures market, impacting global prices [14] - Industrial demand has driven silver prices up throughout the year, with both gold and silver expected to achieve their best annual performance since 1979 [15]

证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 31 日 星期三 【A 股市场大势研判】 沪指日线"十连阳" 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3965.12 | 0.00% | -0.16 | | | 深证成指 | 13604.07 | 0.49% | 66.97 | | | 沪深 300 | 4651.28 | 0.26% | 11.91 | | | 创业板 | 3242.90 | 0.63% | 20.29 | | | 科创 50 | 1359.87 | 1.01% | 13.55 | | | 北证 50 | 1450.64 | -0.40% | -5.81 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万一级涨幅前五 | | | 申万一级跌幅前五 | 热点板块 n | 涨幅前五 | 热点板块跌幅前五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 石油石化 | 2.63% | 商贸零售 | - ...