对等关税
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美国商界、国会议员、前政府官员联手“围剿”特朗普,只为废除关税!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-11-04 00:24
Core Points - The U.S. business community, lawmakers, and former officials are pressuring the Supreme Court to rule against President Trump's use of emergency tariff powers, with around 40 legal briefs submitted opposing this policy [1][3] - Trump's legal team argues that stripping the president of tariff powers could push the U.S. back to economic disaster, while the U.S. Chamber of Commerce highlights the significant economic damage caused by the president's tariff policies [1][4] - The case may fundamentally impact the president's future agenda and could determine the allocation of over $50 billion in additional tariff revenue expected in 2025 [2] Group 1 - The Supreme Court justices will take several weeks to deliberate before making a final ruling, with few briefs supporting the president's position [3] - Lawmakers from both parties are signaling that the tariffs increase costs for American families and do not help in restoring lost manufacturing jobs [3] - The constitutional debate centers on the powers of Congress versus the president in imposing tariffs, a topic that has been contentious for over a century [3] Group 2 - Trump's legal team cites a Congressional Budget Office prediction that tariffs could reduce the deficit by $4 trillion over the next decade [4] - The case may challenge the legal basis for Trump's specific tariffs but will not affect existing tariffs on industries like automobiles and steel [4] - Foreign officials believe that even if the court limits the use of emergency powers, the administration will seek alternative legal avenues to impose tariffs [4]
美最高法院“对等关税”裁决在即,特朗普最新表态:不会亲自前往
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 10:28
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear a significant case regarding the "reciprocal tariffs" policy implemented by the Trump administration, which has raised concerns about the limits of presidential power in imposing tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) [2][3]. Group 1: Tariff Policy and Legal Framework - The Trump administration has imposed extensive tariffs on major trading partners under the IEEPA, with U.S. businesses paying nearly $90 billion in tariffs as of September 23, accounting for over half of the total tariff revenue for the fiscal year 2025 [2]. - The IEEPA allows the president to take action if there is an "unusual and extraordinary threat" to national security, which Trump argues is due to significant trade deficits [5][6]. - Legal challenges have emerged from businesses and state governments, arguing that the IEEPA does not explicitly grant the authority to impose tariffs, and that previous interpretations of the law do not equate "regulation" with "taxation" [6][7]. Group 2: Judicial Implications and Economic Impact - The case is seen as highly contentious, with analysts suggesting that the Supreme Court may issue a limited ruling that maintains presidential power but imposes restrictions on the declaration of national emergencies [8]. - If the IEEPA tariffs are deemed invalid, the government may need to refund the collected tariffs, which could have adverse effects on the U.S. economy, potentially lowering the effective tariff rate by 10 percentage points [8][9]. - The economic impact of Trump's tariff policy is expected to exacerbate the national budget deficit, as the negative effects on economic growth and higher consumer prices may outweigh anticipated tax revenues [9].
美最高法院“对等关税”裁决在即,特朗普最新表态:不会亲自前往
第一财经· 2025-11-03 10:19
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming Supreme Court hearing regarding the Trump administration's "reciprocal tariffs" policy, highlighting its potential implications for presidential powers and U.S. trade policy [3][4]. Group 1: Tariff Policy and Legal Framework - The Trump administration has imposed extensive import tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), with U.S. businesses paying nearly $90 billion in tariffs as of September 23, accounting for over half of the total tariff revenue for fiscal year 2025 [3][7]. - The IEEPA allows the president to impose measures if there is an "unusual and extraordinary threat" to national security, which Trump argues is due to significant trade deficits [7][9]. - Legal challenges have emerged from businesses and state governments, claiming that the IEEPA does not explicitly grant the authority to impose tariffs, and previous court rulings have deemed such tariffs illegal [8][9]. Group 2: Implications of Supreme Court Decision - Analysts suggest that the Supreme Court may issue a limited ruling, maintaining presidential powers while imposing restrictions on the declaration of national emergencies [10]. - If the IEEPA tariffs are ruled invalid, the government may need to refund billions in tariffs collected, which could negatively impact the U.S. economy [11]. - The potential ruling could also affect other tariff measures under different legal frameworks, which require more complex procedures and may limit the president's ability to impose tariffs quickly [12].
美国总统权力边界之战!最高法院裁决在即 特朗普关税悬于一线
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 10:01
Core Points - The U.S. Supreme Court will hold a hearing on the Trump administration's "reciprocal tariffs" policy, which is considered one of the most significant cases in its history [1][2] - Trump has stated that if the Supreme Court forces him to abandon the tariff policy, it could lead the country to a "third world" level [1] - The tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) have resulted in U.S. businesses paying nearly $90 billion, accounting for over half of the total tariff revenue for the fiscal year 2025 [1] Summary by Sections Presidential Authority on Tariffs - The discussion revolves around the boundaries of presidential power to impose tariffs, with the IEEPA allowing the president to act in response to significant threats to national security, foreign policy, or the economy [2] - Trump argues that the substantial trade deficit constitutes an exceptional threat to U.S. national security and economy [2] Legal Challenges - The policy has faced strong opposition from businesses and several state governments, leading to lawsuits claiming the tariffs violate constitutional principles [3] - Plaintiffs argue that the IEEPA does not explicitly mention "tariffs" or "taxes," and that previous presidents have not used this law to impose tariffs [3] Court Rulings and Implications - Previous rulings by the U.S. International Trade Court (CIT) and the Federal Circuit Court deemed the tariffs illegal, stating that the IEEPA does not grant unlimited taxing authority [4] - Analysts suggest that the Supreme Court may issue a limited ruling, maintaining presidential power but requiring defined limits and standards for declaring a national emergency [5] Economic Impact - If the IEEPA tariffs are ruled invalid, the U.S. government may need to refund the collected tariffs, which could negatively impact the economy [5] - A potential ruling could lower the effective tariff rate by 10 percentage points, but it would not eliminate all losses from the trade war, with GDP still projected to be 0.7% lower than pre-election forecasts [5][6] Broader Legal Context - Regardless of the Supreme Court's decision, tariffs imposed under other laws, such as the Trade Expansion Act, remain unaffected [6] - Other legal avenues for imposing tariffs involve more complex procedures and time constraints, which could limit the president's ability to act swiftly [6]
美国参议院通过决议,对政府关税政策说“不”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-10-31 23:06
Core Points - The U.S. Senate voted 51-47 to revoke the "national emergency" invoked by the government for implementing "reciprocal tariffs" in April, indicating a division within the Republican Party as all Democrats supported the measure and four Republicans also voted in favor [1][3] - Recent Senate resolutions aimed at eliminating tariffs on goods from Canada and Brazil are expected to face challenges in the House of Representatives, which previously passed a rule prohibiting legislation against U.S. tariff measures until March [3] - The Senate vote reflects growing discontent among U.S. lawmakers regarding aggressive tariff measures, with concerns about rising prices and economic pressure on American families, farmers, and manufacturers [3] Legislative Context - The House of Representatives is unlikely to vote on the recent tariff resolutions, and even if passed, they would face a presidential veto, requiring a two-thirds majority in Congress to override [3] - The Senate's actions are seen as a symbolic rejection of the government's trade policy, highlighting a potential shift in legislative attitudes towards tariffs [3] Economic Implications - Democratic Senator Wyden emphasized the economic strain on American households due to rising prices, while Senate Democratic Leader Schumer criticized the president for leaving families and small businesses to deal with the fallout from erratic tariff policies [3] - Republican Senator Paul expressed concerns about the potential economic disaster resulting from continued aggressive tariff measures [3]
美国参议院通过终止特朗普全面关税政策决议,释放什么信号?还没完?
第一财经· 2025-10-31 13:38
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Senate has passed a resolution to terminate President Trump's comprehensive tariff policy, reflecting growing bipartisan concerns over the economic impact of these tariffs [3][4][6]. Group 1: Legislative Actions - The Senate voted 51-47 to approve the resolution, which aims to end the national emergency declared by the President to implement global tariffs [3][4]. - This resolution follows two earlier votes aimed at canceling tariffs on Canada and Brazil, indicating a trend of legislative pushback against Trump's tariff policies [6][7]. - The House of Representatives is expected to struggle to pass the resolution, as the Republican leadership has set special rules to block such votes [6][7]. Group 2: Economic Implications - Senator Tim Kaine criticized the chaotic nature of Trump's tariff strategy, suggesting it leads to confusion and economic disruption [6]. - Concerns have been raised about the impact of tariffs on U.S. businesses, particularly in agriculture and manufacturing sectors, highlighting a divide within the Republican Party regarding support for Trump's policies [7][9]. - A legal challenge is underway, with several companies and states arguing that the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) are illegal and impose significant financial burdens on American businesses [9][10]. Group 3: Legal Context - The IEEPA allows the President to impose economic controls during a national emergency, but its application in this context is being contested in court [9][10]. - The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments regarding the legality of these tariffs, with businesses claiming that the President has overstepped his authority [9][10]. - The legal challenges emphasize that tariff decisions should fall under congressional authority rather than unilateral presidential action [10].
美国参议院通过终止特朗普全面关税政策决议,释放什么信号?还没完?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 10:38
Core Points - The U.S. Supreme Court will hold a hearing on November 5 regarding a case where American companies are suing the Trump administration over global tariffs [1][6] - The Senate passed a resolution to terminate Trump's comprehensive tariff policy, with a vote of 51-47, reflecting bipartisan opposition [1][3] - The resolution still requires approval from the House of Representatives, which is expected to be challenging [1][3] Group 1: Legislative Actions - The Senate has passed three resolutions aimed at canceling tariffs imposed on Canada and Brazil, as well as the broader global tariffs [3] - Senator Tim Kaine criticized the chaotic nature of Trump's tariff strategy, suggesting it leads to confusion and unpredictability [3] - The House Speaker has delayed the vote on Trump's tariff proposals until March 2026, indicating a lack of urgency in addressing the issue [4] Group 2: Legal Challenges - Seven companies and several states are urging the Supreme Court to reject the Trump administration's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose tariffs, claiming it is illegal [6][7] - The legality of tariffs imposed under IEEPA has been contested, with previous court rulings suggesting that the President does not have such broad authority [7] - Learning Resources, a company involved in the lawsuit, argues that the tariffs could lead to the bankruptcy of many small businesses and result in significant financial losses for American consumers [7] Group 3: Political Dynamics - The internal division within the Republican Party regarding Trump's tariff policies is evident, with some members voting against the tariffs, highlighting concerns about their impact on the economy [5] - The ongoing partisan conflict is complicating the legislative process surrounding tariffs, as some Republican senators openly oppose the measures [5] - The Vice President's lobbying efforts to garner support for Trump's policies have not fully succeeded, indicating a growing dissent within the party [5]
美政府对巴西加征50%关税措施遭参议院“象征性”否决,众议院会跟进吗?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 05:28
Core Points - The Senate passed a resolution aimed at overturning President Trump's tariffs on Brazil, which is seen as largely symbolic, as the House is unlikely to vote on it and Trump would veto it anyway [1][3] - The resolution was initiated by Senator Tim Kaine, who criticized the use of emergency powers to impose tariffs without Congressional approval, highlighting the negative impact on U.S.-Brazil trade [1][4] - The vote reflects growing unease within the Republican Party regarding the economic impact of Trump's tariff policies, particularly on agriculture and manufacturing sectors [4] Summary by Sections Legislative Action - The Senate voted 52-48 in favor of the resolution to overturn tariffs on Brazil, with five Republican senators joining Democrats in support [3] - The resolution is part of a broader effort to challenge Trump's tariff policies, with similar votes expected on tariffs against Canada later in the week [4] Economic Impact - The U.S. imports over $40 billion worth of goods from Brazil annually, including nearly $2 billion in coffee, supporting over 130,000 jobs related to U.S.-Brazil trade [1] - Concerns were raised about the uncertainty created by imposing tariffs based on non-trade-related issues, which could negatively affect businesses [3][4] Political Dynamics - The vote is seen as a test of support for Trump's tariff policies within the Republican Party, indicating potential fractures regarding trade strategy [4] - Senator Kaine emphasized the need to limit presidential power in imposing tariffs without Congressional oversight, reflecting broader concerns about executive authority [4]
葛红亮:东盟以合作韧性引领区域未来
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 23:15
Group 1 - The 47th ASEAN Summit and related meetings were held in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, focusing on the formal signing of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 upgrade protocol, amidst the backdrop of the U.S. government's "reciprocal tariffs" proposal [1][4] - ASEAN countries are significantly impacted by "reciprocal tariffs," yet they demonstrate unprecedented strategic autonomy and confidence, aiming to shape regional resilience and inclusive development while maintaining a multilateral economic order [1][2] Group 2 - The world is experiencing a significant transformation in the economic landscape, characterized by the end of traditional globalization, the rise of regionalization, and the emergence of new economic sectors influenced by technological revolutions [2][3] - ASEAN countries are positioned as crucial hubs in global economic cooperation, benefiting from their unique geographical advantages, which have attracted international capital and positioned nations like Vietnam and Malaysia as emerging production and trade centers [3][4] - ASEAN is enhancing its regional resilience and inclusivity through initiatives like the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and the completion of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 upgrade protocol, addressing external challenges such as "reciprocal tariffs" and "de-globalization" [4]
贸易协议“相当灵活”,未来面临不确定性,美国与东南亚四国“敲定”关税
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-10-27 22:47
Core Points - The article discusses the trade agreements signed by the United States with Malaysia, Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam during President Trump's visit to the ASEAN Summit, focusing on tariffs, supply chain diversification, labor protection, and environmental cooperation [1][2] - The agreements are perceived as more flexible and less legally binding, leading to potential uncertainties in their implementation [3] Trade Agreements - The U.S. has committed to maintaining a 19% tariff rate on exports to Malaysia, Thailand, and Cambodia, and a 20% tariff rate on exports to Vietnam, consistent with previous "reciprocal tariff" rates [1] - Malaysia has received tariff exemptions on 1,711 items, amounting to approximately $5.2 billion, which represents 12% of its total exports to the U.S. [1] Economic Cooperation - Malaysia is expected to invest $70 billion in the U.S. over the next decade, while Vietnam and Thailand have agreed to reduce nearly all import tariffs on U.S. goods [2] - The agreements include cooperation in critical minerals, with Malaysia committing not to ban exports of these minerals to the U.S. [2] Regional Dynamics - Southeast Asian leaders express caution regarding the agreements, emphasizing that the terms are better than previous commitments but do not compromise national sovereignty [2] - The agreements are largely viewed as part of the U.S. strategy to compete with China in the region, as China remains ASEAN's largest trading partner with a projected trade volume of $982.3 billion in 2024 [3]