这个神话的第一个桥段，叫做"最初的匮乏"。全世界的历史教科书里面都有一个"原始人"的形象：以采 摘和狩猎为生的旧石器时代的人类，因为技术低下，不会生产，而不得不为了填饱肚子终日觅食，即使 如此，也有上顿没下顿，更不要说有什么储备或者富余了。这种原始经济被冠以"维生经 济"（subsistence economy）的称呼。 而当代的"去增长"呼声之所以会越来越大，是因为有一些继承了卢梭一身反骨的进步怀疑论者，提出了 一个更激进的问题：我们认为可以为之牺牲很多东西的那个"增长"是真正意义上的增长吗？我们以为财 富在增长的时候，它真的在增长吗？ ta们提出了一个惊世骇俗的观点：我们之所以能算出不断增长的财富，是因为我们没有减去这件事情需 要付出的代价。而这并不是出于疏忽或者认知上面的不足，这是进步观得以建立的一个先决条件——我 们选择不做减法，才可以保证财富增长。 这样的情况下，财富的增长是一个伪装成事实的神话。 01. 原始人比现代人更"匮乏"吗？ 大家有没有想过一个问题：经济发展一定是一件好事吗？ 很多人都听说过"负增长"的说法，那么"去增长"呢？对于今天世界上大多数人来说，负增长（negative growt ...

#报告 高盛：对9月中国经济数据、第三季度GDP以及四中全会的预测 https://t.co/mRgjtbvh8ONone (@None):None ...

Core Argument - The speaker advocates for recognizing the intrinsic value of nature beyond monetary terms, emphasizing the interdependence between nature and economics, termed "natureomics" [7][9][10] - The speaker highlights the need to shift from solely valuing Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to incorporating a "green development index" or "green domestic product" that accounts for the value of nature [7][8] - The speaker stresses the importance of listening to and learning from local communities and indigenous people in order to effectively preserve nature [5][9] Examples and Studies - A study in Walmart showed that butterflies contribute to 23% of Walmart's value through pollination of apples, flowers, fruits, and nuts, illustrating the economic significance of biodiversity [16] - Bees and butterflies contribute to 35% of turnover in the food section, and up to 60% in some cases, further emphasizing the economic value of pollinators [17] - The speaker mentions the concept of "natural wealth of nations" and the need to value nature to incorporate it into economic models [21] Initiatives and Programs - The speaker introduced the subject "natureomics" to promote the interdependence between nature and economics [9][10] - The speaker is involved in running a forum simultaneously in multiple universities (IIT, Royal Global, Cotton University, and Guwahati University) to promote nature-related discussions [24] - The speaker mentions a program called "project karma yogi" that trains Indian Administrative Service (IAS) officers, with the hope of including "natureomics" as a subject [26][27] Call to Action - The speaker encourages valuing nature and integrating it into economic considerations [7][8] - The speaker promotes recognizing and rewarding individuals who contribute to preserving nature, such as the professor who discovered 120 fish species in Manipur [11][12] - The speaker encourages students to seek knowledge and not be afraid to challenge existing economic models [20]

🚨 ALERT: IMF says global public debt is expected to approach 100% of global GDP by 2029, the highest since 1948.As debt mounts and trust in fiat fades, is Bitcoin the hedge the world needs? https://t.co/1SVBtuJ0pZ ...

The IMF said that global public debt is on track to exceed 100% of GDP by the end of this decade, its highest level since 1948, in the aftermath of World War II https://t.co/WJ3WZm80J6 ...

So, I think everybody's trying to figure out what to make of this market right now. I want to ask you not about an investment but a trade. Right now, it seems like one of the more attractive uh trades in the market right now with the government shutdown, trade tensions, also questions about the labor market would be VIX futures.Do you see it that way as well or are you seeing some other opportunities with all this volatility. >> Right. I I might say that that trade is happening uh in spite of those um seemi ...

Core Viewpoint - The Spanish government, led by Prime Minister Sanchez, has no plans to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP, currently standing at 2.1%, which meets NATO requirements [1] Group 1: Government Position - Prime Minister Sanchez stated that Spain's defense spending is currently at 2.1% of GDP, aligning with NATO's expectations [1] - The government does not intend to raise defense expenditure to 5% of GDP, despite external pressures [1] Group 2: International Relations - U.S. President Trump suggested that Spain should be considered for expulsion from NATO due to its refusal to significantly increase military spending [1] - Trump also threatened to impose trade penalties on Spain through tariffs as a form of punishment for its defense spending stance [1]

Federal Reserve Policy & Economic Uncertainty - The market perceives the Federal Reserve (Fed) as divided and cautious due to uncertainties surrounding inflation, labor market, government shutdown, and tariffs [1][2] - The Fed's debate needs resolution, which is a key focus for markets [3] - The Fed faces challenges in justifying policy moves without reliable economic data, especially given its data-dependent stance [5][6] - The Fed is considering a pause in policy adjustments due to data limitations caused by events like government shutdowns [5][6] - The Fed is aware of the debate surrounding the concentration of GDP growth in the AI sector but considers overall growth from consumers [12][13] - The Fed acknowledges the AI sector's contribution to GDP growth but questions its sustainability, which is unlikely to drive major decisions at this stage [14] Data & Economic Indicators - The Fed can use alternative data sources like state data and private sector indices to compensate for missing official economic reports [5][9] - Bank of America research indicates credit card spending is up over 2% for the week ending October 4th [8] - Earnings reports from companies like Delta Airlines and PepsiCo can provide insights into inflation and consumer spending [9] - Private sector economic reports may also be affected by the lack of incoming government data [9] - Atlanta Fed GDPNow tool estimates GDP growth at 38% [11]

Economic Growth - The GDP growth rate for Q3 is expected to be around 4.8%, with a cumulative growth rate of approximately 5.1% for the first three quarters[3] - The manufacturing investment growth rate from January to September is projected to be 4.0%, which is the first time since 2021 that it may fall below the GDP growth rate[1] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show a month-on-month increase of about 0.2% and a year-on-year decrease of around -0.2% in September[11] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is anticipated to decline by approximately -0.2% month-on-month, with a year-on-year improvement from -2.9% to -2.5%[12] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment growth is expected to drop to -0.2% for the first nine months, with real estate investment declining by 13.2%[18] - Retail sales growth is projected to be around 3.2% in September, influenced by high base effects from durable goods[21] Policy Adjustments - Recent policy adjustments include changes to real estate purchase restrictions in major cities and the introduction of new policy financial tools totaling 500 billion yuan to support project capital[2][5] - The government aims to enhance economic monitoring and timely policy adjustments based on economic conditions[1]

The circular flow model of economics shows how money moves through an economy in a constant loop from producers to consumers and back again, factoring into a nation’s GDP. https://t.co/vg80yepUZw ...