Core Insights - Consumer spending increased in September, indicating a likely strong economic growth in the third quarter [1] Group 1 - The rise in consumer spending is expected to be a precursor to robust economic growth [1]

Although the overall market is flat today, some momentum names staging a strong comeback such as quantum computing stocks and the Buzz ETF. So, are investors once again willing to take on riskier parts of the markets. Joining me now is Paulson Perspectives author Jim Pollson and Ariel Investments vice chairman Charlie Babrinskoy.Guys, welcome. Jim, you're concerned about economic growth here. What what's the impact potentially in the markets.Yeah, I I think that um I think the economy is fairly weak awardly ...

Learn which countries are among the top 25 economies in the world. The United States has had the largest GDP for over a century, but China's has grown rapidly. https://t.co/h9MBmZDOBd ...

经济数据本来是手段，为的是帮助人们更好了解经济，制定宏观政策，结果在运行了近百年之后，居然变成了目的，一切都只为做高GDP。 今年9月，劳工部将美国24年的非农新增就业人数，下修了91万，平均每月7.6万，创下自2000年以来最高。 具体而言，原本统计的数字是176万，修正后变成了85万，2倍误差，这种统计质量还不如跳大绳瞎猜呢。一项调查显示，90%以上的经济学家，不再相信白 宫发布的经济数字。 顺带辟个谣。网上说什么，「宋朝GDP占全球80%」，「清朝占3/4」，全是假的。 包括GDP在内，当前人们使用的绝大部分经济统计指标，都是在二战后才发明的，即凯恩斯主义宏观经济学的内容。过去几千年里，统治者只在乎人口和财 政数字，还统计的一塌糊涂。 更重要的是，有什么样的经济方式，才有什么样的统计指标。 比如，中国两千年的大部分时间里，一直是自给自足的小农经济，何来GDP。因为GDP=商品数量*价格，而农民们产的粮食和小手工品，除了缴税，全自 己用了，根本不是商品。 换言之，只有在合作分工的市场经济下，才有GDP一说。 同理，看今天好多人傻傻比，韩国GDP是朝鲜的60倍，这绝对低估了后者实力。俊男靓女在韩国是GDP， ...

Economic Data & Analysis - The US Commerce Secretary suggests that the Democratic shutdown, rather than tariffs, negatively impacted private sector job numbers and small businesses [3] - Deportation policies are also cited as a factor suppressing private job numbers, with an expectation of rebalancing and regrowth [4] - The US Commerce Secretary anticipates a superb GDP growth exceeding 4% next year, driven by construction projects [4] - The US Commerce Secretary claims prices remain stable unless tariffs exceed 15%, with suppliers and distributors absorbing the costs [6] - Inflation is reported to be below 3% [6] Trade & Tariffs - The report suggests tariffs are not the primary cause of economic concerns [3][6][7] - Some businesses are struggling with tariffs, higher costs, and uncertainty [5] - Factory activity shrank in November, with tariffs cited as a reason in a manufacturing report [5] Future Outlook - The US Commerce Secretary predicts significant growth in factory construction and AI building next year [7] - Plans to reduce the price of power in America are expected to further stimulate the economy [8]

South Africa's GDP increased 0.5% in the three months through September https://t.co/a9ymY4fgSX ...

Core Insights - The economic landscape of China's prefecture-level cities is undergoing subtle adjustments, with notable changes in the GDP rankings for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by policies supporting regional coordination and new productivity cultivation [1][5] Group 1: GDP Rankings and Growth Rates - Suzhou remains the top city with a GDP of 19,930.21 billion, showing a growth rate of 7.83% compared to the previous year [3] - Quanzhou has surpassed Nantong to claim the third position with a GDP of 9,812.31 billion, achieving a growth rate of 6.35%, which is 2.37 percentage points higher than Nantong's 3.98% [4][5] - Linyi has reached a significant milestone by exceeding a GDP of 5,000 billion for the first time, recording 5,150.06 billion with a growth rate of 6.72% [5] Group 2: Key Drivers of Economic Growth - Quanzhou's growth is attributed to its strategic location as a core area of the Maritime Silk Road and advancements in the textile industry, including a project that improved order response speed by 40% [4] - Yancheng's 6% growth is driven by its position as the largest offshore wind power base in China, with a significant contribution from a local wind turbine manufacturer [5] - Linyi's economy is bolstered by a dual focus on commerce logistics and digital economy, with a robust online wholesale market and a comprehensive logistics network [5] Group 3: Other Notable Performers - Jinhua leads with a remarkable growth rate of 17.21%, fueled by the explosive growth of cross-border e-commerce in Yiwu [7] - Wenzhou and Tangshan also show double-digit growth, driven by innovation in the private sector and upgrades in traditional industries, respectively [7] - The rankings reflect the dynamic nature of local economies, emphasizing the importance of strategic positioning in terms of location, industry, and policy [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - Overseas, the US economy still shows resilience, with the GDPNow model predicting a 3.9% annualized quarterly GDP growth rate in Q3, driven by personal consumption and net exports. Consumption momentum is slowing, and attention should be paid to the released CPI and non - farm payroll data. Driven by rising interest - rate cut expectations and Russia - Ukraine peace - talk expectations, overseas risk assets generally recovered last week [2]. - Domestically, the November PMI and October industrial enterprise profits further confirm the weakening of the economic fundamentals in Q4. The manufacturing PMI is 49.2, remaining in the contraction range for eight consecutive months. The construction and service industries are also in the contraction range. October industrial enterprise profits declined, with manufacturing and public utilities being the main drags. A - shares had a weak rebound with shrinking volume last week, and short - term shocks are expected to be weak [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Overseas Macro - **US Retail in September**: US retail sales were weaker than expected in September. Retail sales increased 0.2% month - on - month (expected 0.4%, previous 0.6%), and core retail sales increased 0.3% month - on - month, in line with expectations. Durable goods consumption was divided, and non - durable goods still showed some resilience but with obvious structural differences [4][5]. 2. Domestic Macro - **October Industrial Enterprise Profits**: From January to October 2025, industrial enterprise revenues were 113.37 trillion yuan, with a 1.8% year - on - year increase. Total profits were 5950.29 billion yuan, a 1.9% year - on - year increase, significantly lower than September's 3.2%. The single - month profit growth rate in October dropped to - 5.5%. Upstream mining profits decreased less, while mid - and downstream profits cooled significantly. Enterprises were accumulating inventory, and profit margins were the main drag on profits [9][10]. - **November Manufacturing PMI**: The November manufacturing PMI was 49.2, still in the contraction range. Supply and demand improved synchronously, with external demand improving significantly. Prices rose, and finished - product inventory decreased. The service industry's prosperity declined, and the construction industry was still struggling [12][13]. 3. Performance of Major Asset Classes - **Equities**: A - shares, Hong Kong stocks, and overseas equities showed different trends last week. For example, the Wande All - A Index rose 2.90%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.40%, and the Nasdaq Index rose 4.91% [23]. - **Bonds**: Yields of domestic and overseas bonds changed last week. For example, the 1 - year Chinese Treasury bond yield decreased by 0.42 basis points, and the 2 - year US Treasury bond yield decreased by 4.00 basis points [26]. - **Commodities**: Commodity prices generally rose last week. For example, the South China Commodity Index rose 1.99%, COMEX gold rose 4.34%, and COMEX silver rose 14.37% [27]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index declined, and exchange rates of major currencies against the RMB changed. For example, the US dollar against the RMB decreased by 0.43% [30]. 4. High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Domestic**: The report provides charts of high - frequency data such as the congestion index of 100 cities, subway passenger volume in 23 cities, and commercial housing transaction area in 30 cities [32]. - **Overseas**: The report provides charts of high - frequency data such as Redbook commercial retail sales and unemployment insurance claims in the US [37]. 5. This Week's Important Economic Data and Events - This week, important economic data and events include China's November RatingDog manufacturing PMI, euro - zone November CPI, and US November ISM manufacturing PMI [46].

India’s latest GDP data — the strongest in six quarters — has doused hopes of an interest-rate cut at the RBI’s policy review this week. Read what could move markets today for free with your email. https://t.co/mxv2BGB9aI ...

Core Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission predicts that China's GDP will exceed 140 trillion yuan by 2025, marking a significant milestone in the country's economic history [1][12] - China's GDP growth rate is projected to be around 5% in 2024, nearly double the global average of approximately 3%, positioning China among the top economies in terms of growth [1][10] - In terms of global contribution, China accounts for about 17% of the world's economy while contributing nearly 30% to global economic growth, indicating its increasing influence on the global stage [4][12] Economic Growth and Projections - By 2024, China's GDP is expected to reach approximately 134.9 trillion yuan, translating to about 18.92 trillion USD, with a slight increase to around 18.95 trillion USD in 2025 [2][4] - The nominal growth rate in yuan terms is anticipated to be around 3.5%, despite the depreciation of the yuan against the dollar affecting the USD-denominated GDP figures [2][4] Global Economic Position - China is projected to contribute 26% to global GDP growth in 2024, leading all major economies, with India and the US following at 15.2% and 11.3% respectively [4][12] - The increase in GDP from 134.9 trillion yuan in 2024 to 140 trillion yuan in 2025 represents an economic output greater than the entire annual GDP of Poland [4][12] Sectoral Developments - High-tech manufacturing in China is expected to grow by 8.9% in 2024, significantly outpacing overall industrial growth [5] - The electric vehicle sector continues to thrive, maintaining its position as the global leader in production and sales for ten consecutive years [5] - The semiconductor self-sufficiency rate has surpassed 70%, reflecting advancements in domestic production capabilities [5] Trade and Employment - China's total goods trade is projected to reach a record 43.8 trillion yuan in 2024, with a notable increase in trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [6] - The country added 12.56 million urban jobs in 2024, indicating a robust employment landscape across various sectors [6] Comparative Analysis - In 2025, the US GDP is expected to exceed 30.4 trillion USD, with a growth rate of around 2%, while Germany, Japan, and India are projected to have GDPs of 5 trillion USD, 4.4 trillion USD, and over 3 trillion USD respectively [7] - The combined GDP of China and the US will surpass the total GDP of all countries ranked third to twentieth, highlighting the significant economic weight of these two nations [7] Future Considerations - Despite the positive growth indicators, challenges such as income disparity, environmental issues, and an aging population remain pressing concerns for China's economic future [9][14] - The transition towards a more balanced and sustainable growth model is underway, with a focus on domestic consumption and innovation in high-tech industries [11][12]