学思践悟习近平同志在闽金融论述与实践启示 福建红色金融历史积淀深厚，红色金融文化基因发展传承。19世纪20至30年代，中国共产党人在闽西苏 区筚路蓝缕、以启山林，开创了中国革命金融事业的先河，先后创办了闽西首家红色银行（蛟洋农民银 行）、首批红色信用合作社（永定太平区信用合作社）、首家股份制商业银行（闽西工农银行），邓子 恢、曹菊如、赖祖烈、黄亚光等一大批革命先驱走上了红色金融事业的舞台，为苏区金融事业发展奠定 了制度基础、资金基础和人才基础。习近平总书记曾深情地说，"闽西，我很熟悉"，强调要"确保革命 传统和优良作风薪火相传"。 乘改革开放东风，在经济体制转轨的时代背景下，福建经济金融先行先试走在全国前列。改革开放是党 和人民事业大踏步赶上时代的重要法宝。改革开放初期，中国探索建立社会主义市场经济体制。1979 年，党中央、国务院决定在深圳、珠海、汕头、厦门试办经济特区，福建省成为最早实施对外开放的省 份之一。1992年，党的十四大正式确立了建设"社会主义市场经济体制"的目标，经济发展迈入快车道。 1985年6月至2002年10月，习近平同志先后在厦门、宁德、福州和福建省委、省政府工作，在此期间， 习近平同 ...

党的二十大以来，习近平总书记着眼于中华民族伟大复兴的战略全局，系统提出了走好中国特色金融发 展之路的重大命题。《习近平经济文选》第一卷(以下简称《文选》)等重要著作集中收录了总书记关于 金融发展的系列重要论述，深刻揭示了金融与国家治理现代化、经济高质量发展之间的内在逻辑，为时 代金融工作提供了根本遵循。 在《走好中国特色金融发展之路》篇章中，习近平总书记明确指出要做到"八个坚持"。其中，"坚持党 中央对金融工作的集中统一领导"位列首位，是中国特色金融发展之路最本质的特征，是我国金融发展 最大的政治优势和制度优势。这一原则如"定海神针"，确保了我国金融事业在波涛汹涌的全球经济浪潮 中始终沿着正确的航向破浪前行。深刻领会并系统阐释这一核心原则，对于做好新时代金融工作、加快 建设金融强国具有重大而深远的意义。为此，本文立足于对习近平总书记关于金融工作重要论述的深入 学习贯彻，聚焦"坚持党中央对金融工作的集中统一领导"，从其根本立场、本质特征以及现代化治理架 构三个维度，进行系统性阐释。 党领导金融工作的根本立场 （一）党领导金融工作始终坚持以人民为中心的根本价值取向。金融的本质是为实体经济服务，其发展 成果最终要由 ...

转自：北京日报客户端 中共中国建设银行股份有限公司委员会关于二十届中央第三轮巡视整改进展情况的通报 根据中央统一部署，2024年4月15日至7月20日，中央第九巡视组对中国建设银行股份有限公司（以下简 称建设银行）党委开展了常规巡视。2024年10月18日，中央巡视组向建设银行党委反馈了巡视意见。按 照巡视工作有关要求，现将巡视整改进展情况予以公布。 一、党委履行巡视整改主体责任情况 建设银行党委把落实中央巡视整改作为重大政治任务，坚决贯彻落实习近平总书记和党中央关于巡视整 改的决策部署，从严从实抓好巡视整改工作，以实际行动坚定拥护"两个确立"、坚决做到"两个维护"。 （一）提高政治站位，强化履职政治担当 中央巡视反馈意见后，建设银行党委严肃对待、深刻反思，以强烈的责任感使命感，全力以赴抓好巡视 整改工作。 深化思想整改。把学习贯彻习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想贯穿巡视整改全过程，严格落实"第一 议题"、党委理论学习中心组学习制度，系统学习习近平总书记关于巡视工作和金融工作重要论述，深 学细悟习近平总书记重要讲话和重要指示批示精神，深入贯彻习近平总书记对建设银行增强"三个能 力"重要批示要求，不断深化对金融 ...

建设银行党委把落实中央巡视整改作为重大政治任务，坚决贯彻落实习近平总书记和党中央关于巡视整 改的决策部署，从严从实抓好巡视整改工作，以实际行动坚定拥护"两个确立"、坚决做到"两个维护"。 根据中央统一部署，2024年4月15日至7月20日，中央第九巡视组对中国建设银行股份有限公司（以下简 称建设银行）党委开展了常规巡视。2024年10月18日，中央巡视组向建设银行党委反馈了巡视意见。按 照巡视工作有关要求，现将巡视整改进展情况予以公布。 一、党委履行巡视整改主体责任情况 （一）提高政治站位，强化履职政治担当 中央巡视反馈意见后，建设银行党委严肃对待、深刻反思，以强烈的责任感使命感，全力以赴抓好巡视 整改工作。 深化思想整改。把学习贯彻习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想贯穿巡视整改全过程，严格落实"第一 议题"、党委理论学习中心组学习制度，系统学习习近平总书记关于巡视工作和金融工作重要论述，深 学细悟习近平总书记重要讲话和重要指示批示精神，深入贯彻习近平总书记对建设银行增强"三个能 力"重要批示要求，不断深化对金融工作政治性、人民性的认识，从政治上看问题、从政治上抓整改。 深入学习贯彻中央政治局会议审议巡视情况综 ...

Group 1 - The core argument is that both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are expected to enter a super bull market lasting over 20 years, driven by the transformation of China's economic growth model [20][21][35] - The current market dynamics are characterized by a "long bull market" rather than a "crazy bull market," emphasizing gradual growth and adjustments [4][52] - The role of the state, referred to as the "visible hand," is crucial in guiding the market, learning from past experiences to avoid excessive leverage and ensure stability [5][51][63] Group 2 - The characteristics of the Hong Kong market include embracing national development and benefiting from the reallocation of social wealth from safe assets to equities [15][70][72] - The ecological environment in Hong Kong is improving, with a shift from a focus on risk-averse assets to growth-oriented investments, particularly in technology and new consumption sectors [74][84] - The investment logic in Hong Kong is transitioning from foreign-led offshore market dynamics to a more localized onshore market driven by domestic and regional investors [84][87] Group 3 - The transformation of China's economic model is essential for high-quality development, moving away from debt-driven growth to a focus on innovation and direct financing [23][29][30] - The capital market is expected to play a pivotal role in revitalizing assets and optimizing resource allocation, similar to the role of real estate in the past [32][34][60] - The long-term bull market is anticipated to be supported by the continuous influx of domestic capital and the gradual improvement of the investment environment [19][19][66]

Market Dynamics - Since the beginning of 2024, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have alternated in performance, with Hong Kong stocks stabilizing in Q1 driven by the internet sector, followed by new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals in Q2, leading to a compression of the AH premium to approximately 120 by June 2025 [2] - In July and August, A-shares continued to perform strongly while Hong Kong stocks faced pressure from tightening liquidity and competition in the platform economy [2] Funding Environment - The liquidity situation is improving, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority passively injecting liquidity in April and May, leading to a temporary drop in HIBOR to near zero; however, by late June, excess liquidity was being withdrawn, and HIBOR rose rapidly to around 4% in August [3] - The Hong Kong dollar has moved away from the 7.85 weak-side guarantee, and the HIBOR-SOFR overnight interest rate spread has returned to a normal range of about 0.36%, indicating that the most stringent phase of the funding environment is likely over [3] Fundamental Outlook - The consensus EPS forecast for the Hang Seng Index for 2025 was revised down from 6.7% in early July to 2.35% by the end of August, primarily due to lowered profit expectations in the platform economy and increased competition in food delivery [4] - However, earnings expectations for sectors such as materials and healthcare within the Hong Kong Stock Connect have been significantly upgraded, and regulatory constraints on unfair competition are expected to reduce price wars in instant retail [4] - With the release of mid-year reports and a shift in outlook for Q4 towards "AI empowerment and efficiency recovery," the internet sector is anticipated to see a rebound in expectations [4] Long-term Framework - The long-term bullish logic for A/H shares is supported by policies and wealth migration, emphasizing a balance between an effective market and proactive government intervention [5] - The dynamic balance aims to stabilize the market while enhancing capital market functions through measures such as mergers and acquisitions, registration system deepening, and attracting long-term capital [5] Structural Changes in Funding - There is a noticeable acceleration in the entry of long-term funds such as social security, insurance, and wealth management into the market, with a clear trend of increased allocation to ETFs and institutional investments [7] - The decline in deposit and wealth management yields has created an "asset shortage" environment, suggesting that both residents and institutions have room to increase their equity allocation [7] Industry and Sector Trends - Emerging sectors such as AI computing chains, semiconductor equipment and materials, military technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and humanoid robots are advancing from technology to commercialization [8] - This trend is beneficial for platform-based internet companies in AI commercialization as well as for hard technology and its upstream supply [8] External Variables and Capital Inflow - Historically, there is a strong negative correlation between the US dollar index and the Hang Seng Index; if the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle in September and the dollar weakens in Q4, the previously high short-selling ratio in Hong Kong stocks may trigger a short-covering rally [9] - The potential for overseas capital to flow back into A/H shares is expected to increase [9] September Outlook - The market may experience fluctuations due to external interest rates and internal expectations, but the tightest phase of the funding environment has passed, and the fundamental narrative of "AI empowerment" is set to unfold [10] - Valuations and risk premiums remain attractive, suggesting that in a "fluctuating-upward" rhythm, sectors such as technology internet (AI), innovative pharmaceuticals, high-dividend stocks, and cyclical leaders with "anti-involution" characteristics are more cost-effective main lines [10] Strategy and Allocation - The strategy focuses on capturing rebound opportunities and the main line of "qualitative change," with a shift from "price wars" to "AI efficiency" in the internet/technology sector [10] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is viewed positively, with September being a key window for positioning [10] - In the new consumption sector, performance is prioritized, emphasizing differentiation [10] - High-dividend and "anti-involution" sectors are also highlighted, with a focus on selecting companies with stable cash flow and sustainable dividends [10] Valuation Insights - The forecasted PE for the Hang Seng Technology Index is approximately 20.3 times, which is around 30% lower than levels seen since July 2020 [11] - The Hang Seng Index's TTM PE is about 12.3 times, significantly lower than that of the S&P 500, Nikkei, and European stocks [11] - The risk premium of the Hang Seng Index relative to 10-year government bonds is about 6.4%, making it attractive to global capital [11] Core Logic - Following the mid-year reports, the impact of "involution" is weakening, and the narrative for Q4 is shifting towards "AI empowerment," with a focus on commercialization and efficiency [12] - The direction includes AI applications, advertising efficiency improvements, and collaboration in cloud and computing services [12] - The strategy emphasizes holding quality leaders with strong execution capabilities during the concentrated period of academic and medical insurance directory catalysts in Q3 and Q4 [12]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a decline, with 2,990 stocks falling and 2,295 rising as of September 4, indicating mixed performance in the market [1] - The communication, electronics, and defense industries led the decline, while retail, banking, and coal sectors showed gains [1] Market Adjustment and Future Outlook - According to a report from Founder Securities, the A-share market has seen a 4.6% decline since September 2, which is considered a normal short-term adjustment [2] - Historical analysis shows that previous bull markets in A-shares have experienced similar short-term corrections, with significant declines in trading volume during these periods [2] - Multiple positive factors are expected to support the long-term upward trend of the Chinese capital market, including a stable economic outlook, low valuations, and increasing dividends and buybacks [2] Market Sentiment and Policy Implications - Minsheng Securities highlighted the importance of market stability and inclusivity, suggesting that recent military parades have influenced market sentiment [3] - The focus will shift towards the intersection of overseas volatility and domestic policy expectations, especially with the anticipated easing of U.S. monetary policy and the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" [3] Long-term Bull Market Potential - According to Zhang Yidong from Industrial Securities, both A-shares and H-shares are expected to enter a prolonged bull market, driven by China's unique financial development path [4] - The shift of social wealth from safe assets to the stock market is seen as a key variable for mid-term market trends, with policies encouraging long-term capital inflow [4] Capital Flow and Market Dynamics - Zhang Yidong noted that the sustained profitability of the Chinese stock market could attract global capital back to A-shares and H-shares, especially with a potential weakening of the U.S. dollar [5] - The recent increase in market liquidity, driven by institutional participation and public fund reforms, is expected to support the A-share market [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to experience a long-term bullish trend, with both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks anticipated to enter a "super long bull" phase, driven by improving liquidity and fundamental factors [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - Since the beginning of 2024, the Hong Kong stock market has gradually rebounded, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index both rising approximately 50% over the past 20 months [1]. - As of September 4, 2025, the Hang Seng Index has been fluctuating around the 25,000-point mark, drawing significant market attention regarding its future direction [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Economic Factors - The liquidity environment in Hong Kong, which has been tightening since June 2025, is expected to improve, with the Hong Kong dollar's exchange rate moving away from the 7.85 weak-side guarantee range [1]. - The interest rate spread between the USD SOFR and the Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) has decreased to 0.36% as of August 28, 2025, indicating a return to a normal historical range [1]. Group 3: Earnings Forecasts - Since July 2025, earnings forecasts for Hong Kong stocks have been continuously revised downwards, with the expected year-on-year growth rate for the Hang Seng Index's EPS dropping from 6.7% in early July to 2.35% by August 31, 2025 [2]. - Key sectors such as materials and healthcare have seen significant upward revisions in earnings expectations, particularly following Alibaba's mid-year earnings report, which alleviated some pressure on internet giants [2]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The expectation of a long-term bull market in Chinese stocks is reinforced by the strengthening of both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, supported by a positive feedback loop between the stock market, the economy, and policy expectations [3]. - The shift of social wealth from safe-haven assets to the stock market is a critical variable for the mid-term market outlook, with policies encouraging long-term capital inflows into the market [3]. Group 5: Investment Strategies - The market is expected to continue a slow upward trend, with short-term momentum driven by the revaluation of the Hang Seng Tech Index and global capital allocation needs [5]. - Specific investment strategies include focusing on technology stocks, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumption sectors, with an emphasis on performance as a key factor [8][9][10].

Group 1 - The negative factors constraining the Hong Kong stock market since July are nearing an end, including tightening liquidity and the internet subsidy war, which are showing signs of improvement [1] - In the medium to long term, the Chinese stock market is expected to follow a path of financial development with Chinese characteristics, with both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks likely to experience a prolonged bull market [1] - This positive outlook is supported by high-quality economic development in China, the allocation of social wealth towards the stock market, breakthroughs in AI technology, and the potential for global capital repatriation [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the expectation of a long-term bull market in Chinese stocks, driven by the strengthening of both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with a focus on China's unique financial development path [1] - The long-term bull logic is supported by a positive feedback loop between the Chinese stock market, the economy, and policy expectations, aligning with the strategic opportunities of high-quality economic development and Chinese-style modernization [1] - The importance of balancing an effective market with proactive government intervention is highlighted, aiming to create a stable economic order that avoids the extreme volatility seen in 2014-2015, thus achieving a steady upward trend in the market [1] Group 2 - The formation of a MACD golden cross signal indicates positive momentum for certain stocks, suggesting potential investment opportunities [2]