Report Industry Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Overweight", indicating an expected increase of over 10% compared to the benchmark index in the next 6 - 12 months [67] Core View of the Report - In 2025, the market is driven by incremental funds from institutional liability - side changes, expected to bring 3 trillion yuan in incremental funds. The upward trend of A - shares will continue in the second half of the year. Active equity products will enter a new golden age, and mid - to high - volatility products are likely to attract incremental funds [5][15] Summary According to the Directory 1. Three Rounds of Market Review Driven by Funds: Individual Stock Era, Group - Holding Era, and Active Management Era - From 2014 - 2015, it was the individual stock era driven by retail investors and leverage. Policy encouraged capital market development, with IPO restart, Shanghai - Hong Kong Stock Connect launch, and liquidity release. Leverage and retail investors drove up market turnover and margin trading. Individual stocks and the index outperformed active equity funds [16][20] - From 2019 - 2021, it was the group - holding era of public funds. Core assets like Maotai Index and Ningzuohe aligned with industrial trends. Public funds had a positive feedback loop of new issuance, pricing power, and performance. Active equity funds outperformed the index, and non - heavy - held stocks by public funds performed the weakest [16][25] - In 2025, it is the active management era. Driven by institutional allocation, active equity funds are emerging, with their median returns comparable to individual stocks and outperforming the index [16] 2. The Rise of Active Management: Difficulty in Achieving Excess Returns through Heavy - Holding and Group - Holding, and Alpha Creation through Stock - Picking Ability - In this round of the market, heavy - held stocks by funds have not obtained significant excess returns. As of July 24, 2025, the top 5 heavy - held stocks by institutions only had a 3% excess return, compared to 75% in 2015 and 84% in 2020 [30][31] - The proportion of A - shares held by funds and the concentration of fund holdings are at a low level in the past five years. The proportion of fund - held market value decreased from 14% in 2021 to 7% - 8% in Q1 2025, and the concentration indicators such as CR100 and CR50 have also declined [34] - Fund heavy - held companies are shifting towards small - and medium - market - capitalization enterprises. The proportion of companies below 30 billion yuan in fund holdings increased from 8% in Q4 2020 to 14% in Q2 2025 [35] 3. Three Factors Resonate to Push up the Bottom Central System of A - shares - In terms of funds, major institutional types in 2025 are expected to bring 3 trillion yuan in incremental funds into the market, including 816.2 billion yuan from insurance, 326.8 - 584.8 billion yuan from wealth management, 939.1 billion yuan from public funds, and 583.3 billion yuan from trusts [42][44] - From the perspective of stock - bond ratio, non - bank funds prefer equity assets. With the decline of broad - spectrum interest rates, the 10 - year Treasury yield cannot meet the return requirements of liabilities. Since the beginning of this year, the scale of fixed - income + funds has expanded significantly, indicating strong demand for equity - like asset allocation [45] - A - share earnings are at the bottom. As of Q1 2025, the year - on - year growth rate of the net profit attributable to the parent of all A - shares (ex - finance) turned positive, mainly due to the low - base effect and cost management. Structural improvement is more worthy of attention [51] 4. Taking Fixed - Income + as an Example, What are the Institutional Preferences? - In terms of strategy selection, in bear markets, low - volatility products have a higher probability of achieving excellent performance, while in bull markets, high - volatility products have a higher probability of achieving excellent performance. In the current market, high - volatility products among the top 20% in performance ranking account for over 60% [54][59] - In terms of fund flow, during the 2019 - 2021 bull market, high - volatility products with excellent performance had a higher probability of net subscriptions. In 2025, funds are still in the transition from bear - market thinking to bull - market thinking, similar to 2019. Mid - to high - volatility products are likely to attract incremental funds [54][59]

Group 1: Market Overview - The public fund scale has reached a new high of 34.39 trillion yuan as of the end of June, marking the first time it has surpassed this threshold [3][4] - The stock market is steadily rising, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching 3600 points, indicating a vibrant market environment [2][12] Group 2: Public Fund Trends - The growth of public funds is driven by the acceleration of index investment, a surge in demand for "fixed income plus" products, and a restoration of trust in actively managed equity funds [3][9] - The number of public fund products has rapidly increased, reaching 12,905 by the end of June, with projections indicating it has surpassed 13,000 [5][6] Group 3: Fund Performance - Bond funds have emerged as the main attraction, with a monthly scale increase of 507.87 billion yuan in June, while equity funds also saw significant growth due to market rebounds [5][6] - The top fund companies are expanding their market share, with E Fund leading at 2.16 trillion yuan in management scale, followed by Huaxia Fund surpassing 2 trillion yuan [6][7] Group 4: ETF Development - ETFs are becoming a competitive advantage for leading fund companies, with several achieving substantial growth in management scale [7][8] - New players are entering the ETF market, indicating a competitive landscape with ongoing innovation and product development [9][10] Group 5: Private Fund Strategies - Private funds are adopting offensive strategies focused on new trends in consumption, technology, and economic changes while maintaining defensive measures [12][18] - Optimism among large private funds is growing, with many increasing their positions significantly in the current market [13][17] Group 6: Investor Behavior - Investor behavior is showing signs of divergence, with some actively buying into rising funds while others remain cautious due to past experiences of losses [22][23] - Frequent trading and chasing high returns are identified as detrimental behaviors that can erode long-term returns for investors [24][25] Group 7: Future Outlook - The future growth of public funds is expected to be driven by index investment, the rise of "fixed income plus" products, and a potential rebound in actively managed equity funds [10][11] - The industry is encouraged to innovate in product offerings and focus on performance to meet investor demands and enhance competitiveness [11][26]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: 博道远航 (Bodao Yuanhang) - **Model Construction Idea**: The product employs an enhanced model based on the average performance index of偏股混合型基金 (partial equity hybrid funds). The fund manager uses quantitative methods to replicate the underlying stock holdings of the 885001 index and then enhances it further [43][43]. - **Model Construction Process**: - The model first replicates the stock holdings of the 885001 index using quantitative techniques. - Enhancements are applied to the replicated portfolio to achieve superior performance while maintaining a controlled deviation from the benchmark [43][43]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates significant and stable excess returns over the 885001 index, with a high information ratio and low relative drawdowns [43][43]. 2. Model Name: 兴业聚利 (Xingye Juli) - **Model Construction Idea**: The product adopts a "process-to-result management" approach, setting偏股基准 (partial equity benchmark) and enhancing it while keeping deviations under control [57][57]. - **Model Construction Process**: - The benchmark is first established based on the偏股基准. - Enhancements are applied to the benchmark portfolio, with a focus on maintaining a relatively low deviation and incorporating moderate timing strategies [57][57]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model achieves stable excess returns over the 885001 index, though its lower average position results in occasional underperformance during strong market uptrends [57][57]. 3. Model Name: 信澳宁隽智选 (Xinao Ningjun Zhixuan) - **Model Construction Idea**: This product belongs to the "Index Plus" series, aiming to achieve higher excess returns with relatively loose deviation constraints. It targets the 885001 index as its benchmark [70][70]. - **Model Construction Process**: - The model allows for a certain degree of deviation from the benchmark to capture higher excess returns. - It incorporates港股 (Hong Kong stocks) allocation, which is particularly relevant in the current environment where active equity funds are increasing their exposure to Hong Kong stocks [70][70]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates high and stable excess returns over the 885001 index, though it experiences relatively higher maximum relative drawdowns during sharp market uptrends [70][70]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. 博道远航 (Bodao Yuanhang) - **Excess Return**: 12.65% over the 885001 index [43][43] - **Information Ratio (IR)**: 1.46 [43][43] - **Maximum Relative Drawdown**: -3.41% [43][43] 2. 兴业聚利 (Xingye Juli) - **Excess Return**: 9.24% over the 885001 index [57][57] - **Information Ratio (IR)**: 0.95 [57][57] - **Maximum Relative Drawdown**: -4.84% [57][57] 3. 信澳宁隽智选 (Xinao Ningjun Zhixuan) - **Excess Return**: 11.26% over the 885001 index [70][70] - **Information Ratio (IR)**: 1.07 [70][70] - **Maximum Relative Drawdown**: -7.29% [70][70]

Core Insights - The Chinese public fund industry is becoming increasingly competitive, with Manulife Fund leveraging its unique advantage of foreign ownership and localized research capabilities to achieve significant growth in both scale and performance [1][2] - As of June 30, 2025, Manulife Fund's total public fund scale reached approximately 95.4 billion yuan, a 20% increase from the beginning of the year, contrasting with an average growth rate of about 5% among the top 20 companies in the fund industry [1] Group 1: Growth Drivers - Manulife Fund's growth is primarily driven by two pillars: proactive product layout and industry innovation practices, including the approval of the first open-ended floating management fee rate active equity fund in the industry [1][2] - The company has diversified its product lines, enhancing competitiveness and increasing the willingness of institutional and individual investors to allocate funds [1] Group 2: Investment Performance - Over 80% of Manulife Fund's equity products recorded positive returns in the first half of 2025, with three products rated five stars and ten rated four stars by Galaxy Securities [2] - As of June 30, 2025, Manulife Fund ranked 13th among 124 comparable companies in terms of active stock investment capability over the past two years [2] Group 3: Differentiated Competitive Advantage - Manulife Financial Group's extensive experience in global pension management supports the company's operations, managing over $300 billion in pension assets globally and ranking first in the Hong Kong MPF market [3] - The company has established a differentiated advantage in pension investment, with all four of its pension target funds achieving positive returns [3] Group 4: Asset Allocation and Wealth Management - In 2025, Manulife Fund successfully secured overseas asset allocation mandates, enhancing its comprehensive wealth management capabilities [4] - The company has focused on analyzing asset attributes and allocation values from a global perspective, aiming to seize both medium- and short-term tactical allocation opportunities [4] Group 5: Research and Investment Team - Manulife Fund has built a robust investment research team with an average experience of over 12 years among its 24 fund managers, ranking third in the industry for active equity investment capability in 2024 [5] - The company emphasizes long-term sustainable investment capability over short-term scale growth, optimizing its investment decision-making process through a structured research framework [5] Group 6: Future Outlook - Manulife Fund plans to continue leveraging its foreign ownership advantage to deepen its focus on equity investment, fixed income, pension investment, and ESG fields, providing more diversified asset allocation tools for investors [6]

主动权益基金情绪偏乐观， 证券研究报告 银行行业配置达到历史高位 —— 量化市场追踪周报（2025W30） 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 4 月 27 日 金工研究 [Table_ReportType] 金工定期报告 [Table_Author] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 吴彦锦 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523090002 联系电话：+86 18616819227 邮 箱：wuyanjin@cindasc.com 周君睿 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523110005 联系电话：+86 19821223545 邮 箱：zhoujunrui@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 量化市场追踪周报(2025W30)：主动权益基金情绪 偏乐观，银行行业配置达到历史高位 [Table_ReportDate] ...

Group 1 - The number of actively managed equity funds with assets exceeding 10 billion yuan has decreased from 27 to 24 year-on-year, indicating a shrinking market for these funds [1][2][6] - The largest fund remains the E Fund Blue Chip Select managed by Zhang Kun, with a current size of 34.943 billion yuan, down 3.965 billion yuan from the previous quarter [1][2] - Other notable funds such as the China Europe Medical Health and the Fortune Tianhui Select Growth have also seen reductions in size, with current assets of 30.801 billion yuan and 23.544 billion yuan respectively [1][2] Group 2 - In contrast to the decline in actively managed equity funds, many ETFs, money market funds, and bond funds have experienced significant inflows, with total public fund assets increasing by 2.11 trillion yuan in the second quarter [6][7] - Three ETFs, specifically the Huaxia CSI 300 ETF, Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF, and E Fund CSI 300 ETF, each saw growth exceeding 30 billion yuan in a single quarter, highlighting strong demand for broad-based ETFs [7][8] - The overall market for public funds reached a total size of 33.73 trillion yuan by mid-year, with money market funds, bond funds, and stock funds contributing significantly to this growth [6][7] Group 3 - Some actively managed funds have bucked the trend and increased in size, such as the Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Select Fund, which grew by 2.327 billion yuan in the second quarter, reaching a total of 13.845 billion yuan [3][6] - The divergence between actively managed products and passive index products is becoming more pronounced, reflecting a shift in investor risk preferences and a growing demand for stable performance [8]

金融工程 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2025 年 7 月 23 日 主动权益基金 2025 年二季 度配置分析 主动权益基金仓位处于历史高位， TMT 、金融 板块配置显著提升 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 金融工程 证券分析师: 郭策 (8610)66229239 ce.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300522080002 证券分析师: 李腾 (8610)66229367 teng.li@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300522080001 ◼ 仓位监控：截止到 2025Q2，主动权益基金仓位中位数为 90.63%，与上 一季度相比有所提升，自 2020 年以来持续围绕在 90%仓位震荡，目前处 于历史高位。 ◼ 板块配置：2025Q2 配置比例最高的三个板块分别为 TMT、港股和机 械，占比分别为 23.37%、20.41%和 19.68%。与近五年历史均值相比， 2025Q2持仓占比高于历史均值的板块有港股、TMT、金融、地产基建和 其它，超配比例分别为 9.67%、4.65%、1.69%、1.53%和 0. ...

导读：曾经有人问我们，如何衡量一位基金经理是否优秀？我们的回答是：能否持续跑赢市场。身处风格两三年轮换一 次的A股市场，一年跑赢市场并不难，难的是持续多年战胜指数。投资者希望基金经理获得可持续的超额收益，即真正 的pure Alpha，而非高波动的smart Beta。 此前出台的《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》，强调了长期跑赢业绩比较基准和风格稳定的重要性。这与我们观察 基金经理的视角不谋而合。通过足够长的周期，剥离掉基金经理超额收益中的风格（运气）部分，为大家找到持续有超 额收益的主动权益基金。 以此为标尺，我们以截至今年6月末市场上成立运作三年以上的3600余只主动权益类基金为样本，从中找出连续三年、 五年甚至更长时间持续跑赢市场的基金。最终， 广发多因子(002943)进入了我们的视野，它的历史成绩是"连续七年战 胜沪深300指数、中证800和万得偏股混合型基金指数"，而这样的基金全市场只有2只。 广发多因子由杨冬和唐晓斌共同管理。除广发多因子外，杨冬参与管理的广发价值领航、广发瑞誉、广发均衡成长这3 只基金，均于7月创下净值新高。从持仓看，4只基金的配置各有差异：广发多因子的行业更分散，风格更均衡 ...

在二季度调仓换股的过程中，表现亮眼的光模块板块、创新药板块以及此前低配的银行板块获得主动权益基金较多增持。其中，光模块板 块中的中际旭创、新易盛，PCB板块中的沪电股份位居主动权益基金增持榜前三。 腾讯控股蝉联头号重仓股 主动权益基金持股集中度有所下降 今年二季度，A股市场走出"V形"反转行情，季初受特朗普关税政策冲击，沪深两市一度大幅调整，在"国家队"护盘作用下，市场迅速企 稳，热点轮番演绎，季末站稳3400点之上。 在这一过程中，主动权益基金也积极调仓换股，把握结构性行情，刚刚披露的全部公募基金二季报揭开了主动权益型基金的最新调仓动 向。 天相投顾数据显示，今年二季度，纳入统计的5277只积极投资偏股型基金的前三大重仓股保持不变，分别是腾讯控股、宁德时代、贵州茅 台。 【导读】基金二季度重仓股出炉，这些个股获集体增持 中国基金报记者 若晖 随着公募基金2025年二季报披露，主动权益基金最新重仓股也随之出炉。 天相投顾数据显示，二季度末，腾讯控股继续蝉联主动权益基金头号重仓股，宁德时代及贵州茅台继续位居第二、第三大重仓股。 值得注意的是，尽管前三大重仓股保持不变，但公募基金抱团趋势有所减弱。前二十大重仓股中 ...

智通财经7月21日电，今年以来，创新药板块逐步积累投资热度，主动权益基金中诞生出来的3只翻倍 基，全部出自创新药板块。其中，长城医药产业精选以119.66%的回报领跑今年以来的主动权益基金； 永赢医药创新智选、中银港股通医药净值亦同步狂飙，年内回报分别达106.37%、105.43%。（记者 沈 述红） 年内已诞生3只主动权益"翻倍基" 全部来自创新药 ...