Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 15.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.5%, while net profit reached 330 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%. However, the estimated net profit for Q3 2025 is 24 million, down 83% from 143 million in the same period last year [1][2]. Industry Overview - The cement industry is expected to face continued pressure in 2025, with national cement production in the first three quarters of 2025 at 1.259 billion tons, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2%. In September alone, production was 154 million tons, down 8.6% year-on-year [1]. - In the Guangdong and Guangxi markets, cement production growth rates for the first three quarters were -2.3% and -1.8%, respectively, which is better than the national average [1]. Company Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's total cement and clinker sales were 39.43 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 10%, indicating a decline greater than the industry average. The average price was 232 yuan per ton, down 6 yuan year-on-year [1]. - Concrete sales increased by 26% to 10.46 million cubic meters, with an average price of 296 yuan per cubic meter, down 38 yuan year-on-year [1]. - Aggregate sales reached 58.59 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 27%, with an average price of 34.7 yuan per ton, down approximately 2 yuan year-on-year [1]. Financial Metrics - The company's overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 16.9%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from 15.2% in the same period of 2024. This increase was primarily due to a decrease in the cost of cement product sales compared to 2024, although it was partially offset by a decline in gross margins for aggregates and other segments [2]. - The gross margins for cement products, concrete, and aggregates were 17.1%, 14.7%, and 25.4%, respectively, compared to 12.6%, 12.4%, and 38.6% in 2024 [2]. - Operating expenses, particularly management fees, have increased overall [2]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that supply-side governance will provide price recovery elasticity. The cement industry is focusing on overproduction governance, which may lead to the elimination of some production capacity. Strict adherence to approved production capacity could optimize production order and improve actual capacity utilization [2]. - For 2025-2026, the expected net profits are 510 million and 830 million, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 21 and 13 times, respectively, with a buy rating [2].

Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 61.3 billion yuan for the third quarter, a year-on-year decrease of 10.06%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue was 20 billion yuan, down 11.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.94 billion yuan, up 3.4% year-on-year [2] - The cement industry is facing dual pressure from the real estate and infrastructure sectors, with national cement production continuing to decline [2] Group 2 - National fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) for the first three quarters of 2025 was 37.15 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5%, with real estate development investment down 13.9% [2] - National cement production for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.259 billion tons, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2%, with September's production at 154 million tons, down 8.6% year-on-year [2] - The company is expected to outperform its peers in terms of sales performance in 2025 due to its comprehensive competitiveness and regional advantages [2] Group 3 - The cement industry is focusing on supply-side management to address overproduction, which may lead to a price recovery and improved production order [3] - The company, as a leading enterprise in the industry, is expected to play a positive role in policy execution and benefit from price pressures in the East China region [3] - Cement demand is gradually stabilizing, with infrastructure expected to provide marginal support amid a backdrop of steady growth [3] Group 4 - The company's projected performance for 2025-2026 is 83 billion and 100 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15 and 12, indicating a buy rating [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 61.3 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 10.06%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.3 billion yuan, an increase of 21% [3][11]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 20 billion yuan, down 11.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.94 billion yuan, up 3.4% year-on-year [3][11]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 83 billion yuan and 100 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios (PE) of 15 and 12 times [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for Q3 2025 was 20 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.4% decline year-on-year, while net profit increased by 3.4% to 1.94 billion yuan [3][11]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 61.3 billion yuan, down 10.06% year-on-year, with a net profit of 6.3 billion yuan, up 21% [3][11]. Market Conditions - The core downstream sectors of real estate and infrastructure are under dual pressure, with national cement production continuing to decline. In the first three quarters of 2025, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 37.15 trillion yuan, down 0.5% year-on-year, while real estate development investment fell by 13.9% [11]. - The company is expected to outperform its peers in terms of sales performance due to its comprehensive competitiveness and location advantages [11]. Industry Outlook - The cement demand is gradually stabilizing, with infrastructure expected to provide marginal support for growth. Some regions may see a stabilization in demand due to accelerated construction of key projects [11]. - The company is positioned as a leading enterprise in the Yangtze River Delta, which is expected to benefit from price recovery due to supply-side reforms [11].

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Summary] 公司披露 3 季报：实现收入 151 亿，同比下降 4.5%；净利润 3.3 亿，同比增长 7.3%。测算 25Q3 公司归属净利润 0.24 亿，同期为 1.43 亿；同比下降 83%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 范超 李金宝 SAC：S0490513080001 SAC：S0490516040002 SFC：BQK473 SFC：BVZ972 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨华润建材科技（01313.HK） [Table_Title] 基本面承压，叠加管理费用增加，盈利下滑 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% 就公司层面来看：1、公司 2025 年前 3 季度水泥和熟料合计销量 3943 万吨，同比下降 10%，水泥销量降幅大于行业，体现出公司积极维护市场价格体系的自律担当；价格 232 元/吨，同比下降 6 元/吨；2、混凝土销量 1046 万方，同比增长 26%；价格 296 元/方， 同比下降 38 元/方；3、骨料销量 5859 万吨，同比增长 27%；价格 34.7 元/吨，同比下 降约 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 54.9 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -1.18 billion yuan, an increase of 68.5% year-on-year [2][5]. - The expected performance for 2025-2026 is projected at 4 billion and 14 billion yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 103 and 30 times, respectively [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue was 18.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 12.9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -260 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.6% [13]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company sold 144.1 million tons of cement, a decrease of 12.8% year-on-year, which is greater than the industry average decline [13]. - The company managed to reduce costs in cement and concrete, leading to a reduction in operating losses despite the decline in revenue [13]. Market Conditions - The core downstream sectors, real estate and infrastructure, are under dual pressure, with national cement production continuing to decline [13]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, national fixed asset investment (excluding farmers) was 37.15 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5%, while real estate development investment fell by 13.9% [13]. Industry Outlook - The report anticipates that supply-side governance will provide price recovery elasticity, with expectations for improved production order and increased price levels if production strictly adheres to approved capacities [13]. - The company, as a leading player in the industry, is expected to play a positive role in policy execution and has significant marginal price elasticity due to its low profit levels [13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 35.98 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.40%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.922 billion yuan, an increase of 72.99% year-on-year [2][4]. - The analysis indicates that the company's cement and clinker revenue per ton increased to 251 yuan, a rise of 13 yuan per ton year-on-year, while the cost per ton decreased to 203 yuan, a drop of 14 yuan per ton year-on-year, resulting in a gross profit of 39 yuan per ton, an increase of 18 yuan per ton year-on-year [6]. - The company is expected to achieve profits of 0.9 billion yuan and 1.4 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-earnings ratios of 46 and 29 times [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company sold 80.62 million tons of cement, a decrease of 14.63% year-on-year, and 9.9 million tons of clinker, a decrease of 14.59% year-on-year [12]. - The overall cement demand in the first half of 2025 was weak, with national infrastructure investment growing by 4.6% year-on-year, while real estate development investment fell by 11.2% [12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in regions like Africa and Central Asia, where market conditions are more favorable compared to the domestic market [12]. - The report anticipates that supply-side reforms will provide price recovery elasticity, potentially improving production order and real capacity utilization [12].