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宏观金融数据日报-20251110
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-11-10 05:40
Report Summary 1. Core View - In the short term, the macro - level is in a relative policy window period. The A - share market lacks a clear upward mainline, trading volume remains low, and stock indices continue to fluctuate and are in an accumulation phase. The US government's continuous shutdown risks increase the adjustment pressure on US stocks and impact the domestic equity market, but the impact is mainly at the A - share opening stage, and the intraday trend can be repaired by domestic liquidity and market sentiment, providing space for short - term stock index operations. In the long - term, the market is expected to have further upward space, but the pace will be gradual. Key factors such as overseas liquidity release or substantial improvement in domestic fundamentals will drive the market upward [6]. 2. Data Summary 2.1 Currency Market | Variety | Closing Price | Change from Previous Value (bp) | | --- | --- | --- | | DR001 | 1.33 | 1.55 | | DR007 | 1.41 | - 1.24 | | GC001 | 1.20 | - 12.00 | | GC007 | 1.47 | - 0.50 | | SHBOR 3M | 1.58 | - 0.35 | | LPR 5 - year | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 1 - year Treasury Bond | 1.40 | - 0.04 | | 5 - year Treasury Bond | 1.59 | 0.53 | | 10 - year Treasury Bond | 1.81 | 0.77 | | 10 - year US Treasury Bond | 4.11 | 0.00 | Last week, the central bank conducted 495.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases and 700 billion yuan of 91 - day outright reverse repurchases in the open market. There were 2068 billion yuan of reverse repurchases and 700 billion yuan of 91 - day outright reverse repurchases due, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1572.2 billion yuan. This week, 495.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature, with 78.3 billion, 117.5 billion, 65.5 billion, 92.8 billion, and 141.7 billion yuan maturing from Monday to Friday respectively [4]. 2.2 Stock Index Market | Variety | Closing Price | Change from Previous Day (%) | | --- | --- | --- | | CSI 300 | 4679 | - 0.31 | | IF Current Month | 4673 | - 0.2 | | SSE 50 | 3038 | - 0.21 | | IH Current Month | 3039 | - 0.1 | | CSI 500 | 7328 | - 0.24 | | IC Current Month | 7292 | - 0.2 | | CSI 1000 | 7542 | - 0.13 | | IM Current Month | 7493 | 0.1 | | IF Trading Volume | 86450 | - 22.4 | | IF Open Interest | 257486 | - 2.7 | | IH Trading Volume | 37804 | - 26.6 | | IH Open Interest | 90943 | - 5.5 | | IC Trading Volume | | - 19.9 | | IC Open Interest | 240492 | - 3.6 | | IM Trading Volume | 187617 | - 7.8 | | IM Open Interest | 356424 | 1.9 | Last week, the CSI 300 rose 0.82% to 4678.8, the SSE 50 rose 0.89% to 3038.3, the CSI 500 fell 0.04% to 7327.9, and the CSI 1000 rose 0.47% to 7541.9. Among the Shenwan primary industry indices, power equipment (5%), steel (4.4%), basic chemicals (3.5%), banks (2.8%), and comprehensive (2.6%) led the gains, while computer (- 2.5%), medicine and biology (- 2.4%), automobile (- 1.2%), food and beverage (- 0.6%), and household appliances (- 0.5%) led the losses. The daily trading volumes of A - shares last week were 1910.4 billion, 1753.4 billion, 1718.3 billion, 1860 billion, and 1833.1 billion yuan respectively, with the average daily trading volume decreasing by 260.55 billion yuan compared to the previous week [5]. 2.3 Stock Index Futures Premium and Discount | | Current Month Contract | Next Month Contract | Current Quarter Contract | Next Quarter Contract | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IF Premium/Discount | 3.77% | 3.78% | 3.13% | 3.23% | | IH Premium/Discount | - 0.45% | 0.04% | 0.34% | 0.58% | | IC Premium/Discount | 14.91% | 12.17% | 10.13% | 10.16% | | IM Premium/Discount | 19.55% | 15.71% | 12.96% | 12.36% | Note: The values in brackets are the annualized premium/discount rates (green indicates premium, red indicates discount) [7].
中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净回笼648亿元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-20 01:25
每经AI快讯,10月20日,中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净回笼648亿元。 ...
央行开展1883亿元7天期逆回购操作,净回笼5946亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 02:25
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 188.3 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate [1] - A total of 782.9 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos matured today, resulting in a net withdrawal of 594.6 billion yuan [1]
央行公开市场开展1827亿元7天期逆回购操作,操作利率1.40%
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-09-01 09:39
经济观察网 央行公告称,9月1日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了1827亿元7天期逆回购操作,操作利 率1.40%,投标量1827亿元,中标量1827亿元。数据显示,当日2884亿元逆回购到期,据此计算,单日 净回笼1057亿元。 ...
宏观金融数据日报-20250806
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-06 09:17
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The seven - department joint guidance on financial support for new industrialization has made relevant beneficiary sectors perform strongly. Current stock index valuations are still supported. For example, although the P/E ratio of CSI 300 has returned to the median, the ERP is still at a historical high (74.25% quantile). With Huijin shoring up liquidity, valuation factors are expected to continue to play a role. The strategy is to go long on stock indices opportunistically this week [7] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Money Market - DROO1 closed at 1.31 with a - 0.03bp change, DR007 at 1.44 with a - 0.73bp change, GC001 at 1.55 with a 24.00bp change, and GC007 at 1.49 with a 3.00bp change. SHBOR 3M was at 1.56 with a - 0.10bp change, and LPR 5 - year remained at 3.50 with no change [4] - 1 - year Treasury bond was at 1.37 with a 0.24bp change, 5 - year at 1.57 with a - 0.49bp change, 10 - year at 1.70 with a - 0.89bp change, and 10 - year US Treasury at 4.22 with a - 1.00bp change [4] - The central bank conducted 1607 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday at an operating rate of 1.40%. With 4492 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal was 2885 billion yuan. This week, 16632 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open market, with maturities of 4958 billion, 4492 billion, 3090 billion, 2832 billion, and 1260 billion yuan from Monday to Friday respectively [4] - In July, the SLF had a net withdrawal of 3 billion yuan, MLF a net injection of 1000 billion yuan, PSL a net withdrawal of 2300 billion yuan, short - term reverse repurchases a net injection of 1880 billion yuan, and outright reverse repurchases a net injection of 2000 billion yuan. There were no open - market Treasury bond transactions in July [4][5] 3.2 Stock Market - CSI 300 closed at 4103, up 0.8%; SSE 50 at 2791, up 0.77%; CSI 500 at 6303, up 0.66%; and CSI 1000 at 6787, up 0.71%. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 15961 billion yuan, an increase of 975 billion yuan from the previous day. Most industry sectors closed higher, with communication equipment, consumer electronics, plastic products, insurance, auto parts, banking, transportation equipment, and wind power equipment sectors leading the gains, while the traditional Chinese medicine sector led the losses [6] - IF volume was 80521, up 4.4%; IF open interest was 255640, up 0.4%. IH volume was 40737, up 5.8%; IH open interest was 92725, up 0.7%. IC volume was 72420, down 15.1%; IC open interest was 215144, down 0.8%. IM volume was 155305, down 17.9%; IM open interest was 329938, down 2.1% [6] 3.3 Futures Market (Stock Index Futures Basis) - IF basis for the current - month contract was 7.52%, 0.00% for the next - month contract, 0.01% for the current - quarter contract, and 3.25% for the next - quarter contract. IH basis for the current - month contract was 1.74%, - 0.08% for the next - month contract, - 0.20% for the current - quarter contract, and - 0.19% for the next - quarter contract. IC basis for the current - month contract was 21.91%. IM basis for the current - month contract was 17.79%, 12.61% for the next - month contract, 11.73% for the current - quarter contract, and 11.29% for the next - quarter contract [8]
央行公开市场净回笼215亿元
news flash· 2025-06-23 01:28
Core Points - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 220.5 billion yuan for a 7-day term at an interest rate of 1.40%, which remains unchanged from previous rates [1] - A total of 242 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos matured today, resulting in a net withdrawal of 21.5 billion yuan [1]
中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净回笼1833亿元
news flash· 2025-06-17 01:26
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 197.3 billion yuan with a 7-day maturity, resulting in a net withdrawal of 183.3 billion yuan on the same day [1][4] - On the same day, 198.6 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos and 182.0 billion yuan of 1-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) were due [1][4] - The interest rate for the 7-day reverse repurchase operation was set at 1.4% [4]
中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净回笼6820亿元
news flash· 2025-05-06 01:30
| MLF到期 | 日期 | 类别(全部) | 量(亿) | 期限 | 利率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-05-06 | 逆回购到期 | 10870 | 7天 | | | 2025-05-06 | 逆回购 | 4050 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-30 | 逆回购到期 | 1080 | 7天 | | | 2025-04-30 | 逆回购 | 5308 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-29 | 逆回购到期 | 2205 | 7天 | | | 2025-04-29 | 逆回购 | 3405 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-28 | 逆回购到期 | 1760 | 7天 | | | 2025-04-28 | 逆回购 | 2790 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-27 | 逆回购 | 900 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-25 | 逆回购到期 | 2505 | 7天 | | 中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净回笼6820亿元 金十数据5月6日讯,中国央行今日开展4050亿元7天期逆回购操作,因今日 ...
中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净回笼505亿元
news flash· 2025-04-14 01:26
中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净回笼505亿元 金十数据4月14日讯,中国央行今日开展430亿元7天期逆回购操作,因今日有935亿元7天期逆回购到期,当日实现净回笼505亿 元。看公开市场资金流向,到"数据库-中国央行数据"查看 I MLF 逆回购到期 | MLF到期 | 逆回购 票据 | 日期 | 类别(全部) | 量(亿) | 期限 | 利率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-04-14 | 逆回购到期 | 935 | 7天 | | | 2025-04-14 | 逆回购 | 430 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-11 | 逆回购 | 285 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-10 | 逆回购到期 | 2234 | 7天 | | | 2025-04-10 | 逆回购 | 659 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-09 | 逆回购到期 | 2299 | 7天 | | | 2025-04-09 | 逆回购 | 1189 | 7天 | 1.5 | | 2025-04-08 | 逆回购到期 | 649 | 7天 | | | 2025 ...