北京商报讯（记者 李海媛）10月27日，长城证券发布2025年第三季度报告。前三季度，长城证券实现营业收 入41.21亿元，同比增长44.61%，归母净利润19.31亿元，同比增长75.83%。 | | 本报告期 | 本报告期比上年同 | 年初至报告期末 | 年初至报告期末比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 期增減 | | 上年同期增减 | | 营业总收入(元) | 1.261.989.457.23 | 45.45% | 4.120.987.989.34 | 44.61% | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利 | 545.948.592.39 | 44.99% | 1.930.593.049.00 | 75.83% | | 润(元) | | | | | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除 | 547,746,336.67 | 45.97% | 1.926.639.750.86 | 76.44% | | 非经常性损益的净利润(元) | | | | | | 经营活动产生的现金流量净 额(元) | | | 11,007,962,502.64 | -21.86% | | 基本每股 ...

Group 1: Earnings Growth - The expected earnings growth for listed securities firms in Q3 is projected to be 20% quarter-on-quarter and over 51% year-on-year[1] - In the first half of the year, the earnings of listed securities firms increased by 51.5% year-on-year, with Q1 and Q2 growth rates of 53% and 50% respectively[1] - The average daily trading volume of A-shares in the first three quarters was 1.62 trillion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 104.6%, with Q3 showing a significant increase of 208.8%[1] Group 2: IPO and Fundraising - The total IPO fundraising amount in A-shares for the first three quarters was 77.3 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 62%[1] - Total equity fundraising reached 896.2 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.4 times, with a notable increase of 84% when excluding state-owned banks' directed placements[1] - The top three firms in A-share IPO underwriting amounts were CITIC, Guotai Junan, and Huatai[1] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - The CSI 300 index rose by 17.9% in the first three quarters, with small-cap indices, especially the ChiNext and Sci-Tech 50 indices, increasing by over 50%[1] - The current price-to-book ratio of the A-share securities industry index is 1.45, which is at the 44th historical percentile over the past 10 years, indicating a relatively low valuation[1] - The strong performance in Q3 is expected to support further valuation increases for the securities sector[1] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The securities sector is rated as having high investment value, with leading firms expected to benefit from favorable market conditions[1] - Buy ratings are maintained for CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and CICC, reflecting confidence in their performance[1]

美银证券发布研报预计，中国券商2025年三季度平均净利润按季增9%、同比增21%，经纪业务驱动显 著，推动整体表现。美银证券预计，中金公司、中信建投净利同比增幅或超100%。美银证券将中国券 商股2025至2026年的盈利预测上调0%至13%，预计主要上市中国券商2025至2026年平均盈利增长30%， 看好中金、中信证券等，认为其盈利与估值均有提升空间。 ...

美银证券将券商股2025至2026年的盈利预测上调0%至13%，预计主要上市券商2025至2026年平均盈利 增长30%。该行对2025至2026年A股日均成交额预测上调14%至18%，料为1.6万亿至1.7万亿元。充裕的 市场流动性继续支持市场上升，四中全会、十五五规划以及潜在的监管宽松政策将是值得关注的关键催 化剂。该行的首选股包括中金、中信证券和广发证券，预计2025至2026财年盈利增长强劲，股本回报率 持续改善。 美银证券发表报告，预期内地券商2025年第三季平均净利润按季增长9%，按年增长21%，受强劲的经 纪业务费用增长支持，股票交易收入可能超出预期，推动整体表现。中金公司和中信建投证券预计将领 跑同行，第三季度净利润料分别按年增长258%和116%。 ...

就行业格局而言，头部公司竞争愈发激烈。就营业收入而言，上半年，中信证券以约330.39亿元的营收 摘得行业榜首，国泰海通则以约238.72亿元的营收紧随其后。但就净利润而言，上半年，国泰海通以约 157.37亿元的净利润登顶行业第一；中信证券以约137.19亿元的净利润罕见位居行业第二，国泰海通打 破了中信证券多年来中期净利润连续排名行业第一的纪录。 此外，就总资产规模而言，随着券商并购重组的落地，两家万亿元级别的"航母"券商资产规模逐渐靠 齐。截至今年6月末，中信证券总资产约18077.31亿元，继续保持行业第一；并购重组完成后的国泰海 通同期总资产约为18046.19亿元，与中信证券仅相差31亿元左右。 展望未来，东吴证券分析师孙婷表示，考虑到今年三季度以来A股市场交投活跃，上调证券行业全年的 盈利预测。从长期角度来看，在中国资本市场高质量发展以及券商重资产业务能力和效率持续提升的背 景下，未来上市券商估值仍存在上升空间。此外，资本市场改革预期持续强化，且政策鼓励优质券商通 过并购做优做强，预计大型券商优势仍显著，行业集中度有望持续提升。(完) （文章来源：中国新闻网） 中新社北京9月4日电 (记者陈康亮 ...

Core Insights - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates a strong performance in the securities industry for the first half of 2025, with significant growth in trading volumes and net profits for listed brokerages [1][3][7] Group 1: Market Performance - In H1 2025, the average daily trading volume of stock funds reached 15,703 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63% [1][2] - The number of new investor accounts in the Shanghai market averaged 2.35 million per month, up 32% year-on-year [1][2] - The financing and securities balance stood at 1.85 trillion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year [1][2] Group 2: IPO and Refinance Activity - The number of IPOs in H1 2025 was 51, raising 37.4 billion yuan, representing increases of 15% and 16% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The amount raised through refinancing reached 725.5 billion yuan, a significant increase of 509% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Financial Performance of Brokerages - The 50 listed brokerages reported a total revenue of 27.22 billion yuan, a 29% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 11.24 billion yuan, up 64% year-on-year [3][4] - The average return on equity (ROE) for these brokerages was 3.39%, an increase of 0.54 percentage points year-on-year [3] Group 4: Revenue Breakdown - Brokerage commission income rose to 59.2 billion yuan, a 47% increase year-on-year, while investment banking revenue increased by 18% to 15.7 billion yuan [4][5] - Investment net income for the brokerages reached 117.8 billion yuan, reflecting a 51% year-on-year increase [5] Group 5: Dividend and Valuation Insights - Cash dividends from brokerages increased by 40% year-on-year, with an average dividend yield of 1.30% as of August 29, 2025 [6] - The static valuation of the CITIC Securities II index was 1.63x PB, indicating potential for upward movement in ROE and valuations for major brokerages [8] Group 6: Future Outlook - The industry net profit is projected to grow by 32% year-on-year for 2025, driven by active market trading and growth in various revenue streams [7][8] - Major brokerages are expected to benefit from ongoing capital market reforms and consolidation trends, enhancing their competitive advantages [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant growth in net profit and revenue, driven by its investment and brokerage businesses [1][2]. Financial Overview - In H1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 6.47 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 48.3% - Operating revenue reached 15.4 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 30.7%, while revenue excluding other businesses was 15.5 billion yuan, growing by 35.1% - Total assets and net assets stood at 815.84 billion yuan and 150.95 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 18.4% and 7.3% - The company's operating leverage was 4.2x, slightly up by 0.2x year-on-year [1]. Business Structure - The company maintains a balanced approach between light capital and capital business, with brokerage, asset management, and investment being the main revenue sources - In H1 2025, revenue from brokerage, investment banking, asset management, net interest, and net investment income was 3.92 billion, 320 million, 3.67 billion, 1.06 billion, and 6.24 billion yuan, respectively - The revenue composition was 25% from brokerage, 2% from investment banking, 24% from asset management, 7% from net interest, and 41% from net investment, with light capital and capital business accounting for 51% and 48% respectively [1]. Profit Drivers - The investment and brokerage sectors provided significant growth momentum, with respective increases of 59.3% and 42.0% in H1 2025 - Net interest income and asset management revenue also saw steady growth, increasing by 18.5% and 8.4% year-on-year - Despite a slight decline of 4.8% in investment banking revenue due to tightening policies, there was a marginal recovery in Q2 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.6% [2]. Investment Recommendations - Given the sustained high market sentiment, the company has revised its profit forecasts upward, expecting net profits of 13 billion, 14.8 billion, and 16.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 35%, 14%, and 13% - The corresponding price-to-book ratios are projected to be 1.1, 1.0, and 0.9 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [2].

国信证券公告，2025年上半年营业收入为110.75亿元，同比增长51.84%。归属于上市公司股东的净利润 为53.67亿元，同比增长71.00%。基本每股收益为0.49元／股，同比增长88.46%。 ...

Industry Rating - The report maintains a "Leading" investment rating for the securities industry, indicating strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a robust growth in Q2 earnings for the securities industry, with a year-on-year profit increase of 65%-80% for A-share listed brokers, averaging 72% [4][5]. - The average daily trading volume in A-shares for H1 2025 reached 1.36 trillion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 58.8% [4]. - The report emphasizes that the current valuation of the securities sector remains attractive, with the A-share securities industry index trading at a price-to-book ratio of 1.38, below the historical median of 1.52 [4]. Valuation Summary - The report provides a detailed valuation overview for key companies in the securities sector, including: - CITIC Securities (6030 HK): Buy rating, target price of 30.00 HKD, current price 25.65 HKD, with a potential upside of 17.0% [2][17]. - Huatai Securities (6886 HK): Buy rating, target price of 20.00 HKD, current price 16.40 HKD, with a potential upside of 22.0% [2][31]. - CICC (3908 HK): Buy rating, target price of 22.00 HKD, current price 18.94 HKD, with a potential upside of 16.2% [2][17]. - CITIC Construction Investment (6066 HK): Buy rating, target price of 14.00 HKD, current price 11.80 HKD, with a potential upside of 18.6% [2][17]. Performance Trends - The report notes that the performance of the securities industry has significantly improved compared to the previous year, with major indices showing positive trends [3][12]. - The report indicates that the IPO fundraising in A-shares has seen a recovery, with a total of 374 million RMB raised in H1 2025, marking a 15% year-on-year increase [4][10]. Financial Forecasts - The report projects a 19% year-on-year growth in overall profits for the securities industry in 2025, driven by favorable market conditions and strong performance from leading brokers [4][19]. - Specific forecasts for CITIC Securities include a projected net profit of 25.8 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting an 18.9% increase from the previous year [21][28]. Conclusion - The report concludes that the securities industry is well-positioned for continued growth, supported by strong earnings, favorable market conditions, and attractive valuations, maintaining a positive outlook for key players in the sector [4][19].