史诗级15连阳之后，市场走到了一个微妙关口！朋友们，我是帮主郑重。所有人都知道调整随时会来， 但所有人也都相信，场外虎视眈眈的资金会让下跌空间有限。一根中阴线，究竟是风险，还是机会？ 眼下就像一场击鼓传花的游戏。资金刻意压着券商这个"定盘星"，然后疯狂在商业航天、脑机接口这些 前期热点里轮动。这造成了两个结果：一是行情看起来很热，但指数滞涨；二是给了量化资金完美 的"收割"温床。请问你：你是在享受题材狂欢，还是已经开始感到焦虑，怕接到最后一棒？ 我的核心观点是：这种靠老热点内卷的行情，已经进入瓶颈。市场急需一个新板块来 "破局"——它必 须能分流资金、带动人气，还不会引发指数大跌。 历史经验给出了一个可能的答案：北交所。每一轮行情末期，北交所个股常有亮眼表现，它盘子小、人 气旺，或将成为激活市场的关键钥匙。 策略因此非常清晰： 第一， 对于主板：阳线越多，越要谨慎。严控仓位，绝不追高老热点，等待一次像样的调整。 第二， 关注"破局者"：将目光投向北交所，寻找其中符合新兴产业方向、有业绩支撑的个股，进行小 仓位试盘，静候风来。 记住，涨跌轮回是永恒法则，在别人狂欢时寻找下一站，才是超额收益的来源。 ...

Core Insights - The North Exchange 50 index increased by 0.22% to close at 1,496.28 points on January 7, 2026, with a trading volume of 275.48 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 4.09% [1][2] - The overall valuation of the North Exchange is at 47.70 times earnings, which is higher than the valuations of the ChiNext and STAR Market [1][8] - The sectors with the largest gains include Oil & Petrochemicals (+6.0%), Nonferrous Metals (+5.4%), and Communications (+1.6%), while the sectors with the largest declines include Computers (-2.2%), Defense & Military (-1.8%), and Pharmaceuticals & Biology (-1.5%) [1][2] Trading Performance - On January 7, 2026, the North Exchange had a total market capitalization of 903.09 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 549.77 billion yuan [1] - The trading volume was 10.35 billion shares, indicating a recovery compared to the average daily trading volume of 19.40 billion yuan from the previous week [1][5] Stock Performance - Among the 287 listed companies, 95 saw an increase in stock price, while 187 experienced a decline. The top gainers included Jiaxian Co. (+25.68%), Huitong New Materials (+16.83%), and Jiuling Technology (+8.29%) [1][6] - The largest declines were observed in Jinhao Medical (-14.76%), Tianming Technology (-12.58%), and Guoyuan Technology (-11.59%) [1][7] Valuation Insights - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for North Exchange companies is 47.70 times, with the highest sector being Nonferrous Metals at 130.5 times, followed by Household Appliances at 90.9 times and Food & Beverage at 82.3 times [1][8] - The P/E ratios for STAR Market and ChiNext are 76.06 times and 45.01 times, respectively, indicating that the North Exchange maintains a higher valuation compared to these markets [1][9] Sector Analysis - The North Exchange shows a mixed performance across various sectors, with significant gains in Oil & Petrochemicals and Nonferrous Metals, while sectors like Computers and Pharmaceuticals are underperforming [1][10] - The distribution of listed companies across sectors indicates a diverse market presence, with a notable concentration in sectors such as Machinery and Chemicals [1][11]

Core Insights - The North Exchange 50 index increased by 1.82% to close at 1,493.04 points on January 6, 2026, with a trading volume of 259.89 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.97% [3][4][6] - The overall valuation of the North Exchange is at 47.74 times earnings, which is higher than the valuations of the ChiNext and STAR Market [3][10] - The sectors that performed well include non-ferrous metals (+11.1%), home appliances (+4.5%), computers (+4.4%), and machinery (+3.0%), while the pharmaceutical sector saw a decline of 0.5% [3][4] Trading Performance - On January 6, 2026, the North Exchange had a total market capitalization of 903.76 billion yuan, with 396.77 billion shares listed, of which 253.49 billion shares were tradable [3][4] - The average daily trading volume for the previous week was 194.04 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in trading levels on January 6 [3][4] Stock Performance - Among the 287 listed companies, 264 saw an increase in stock prices, while 21 experienced declines. Notable gainers included Hanxin Technology (+29.99%) and Tianli Composite (+29.99%), while Jin Hao Medical saw a significant drop of 14.57% [3][8][9] - The top ten stocks by market performance on January 6 included Hanxin Technology, Tianli Composite, and Beiyikang, with respective market capitalizations of 30.35 billion yuan, 95.63 billion yuan, and 39.80 billion yuan [8][9] Valuation Analysis - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for companies on the North Exchange is 47.74 times, with the highest sector being non-ferrous metals at 126.1 times, followed by home appliances at 92.8 times and food and beverage at 81.7 times [3][10] - The valuation of the North Exchange continues to be higher than that of the ChiNext, which has a P/E ratio of 44.85 times [3][10] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector showed the highest increase in stock prices, reflecting strong market interest and potential growth opportunities [3][4] - The pharmaceutical sector, in contrast, faced challenges, as indicated by the decline in stock prices, suggesting potential issues within the industry [3][4][9]

北交所日报 北交所日报（2026.01.05） 2026 年 01 月 05 日 核心观点 分析师 范想想 ：010-8092-7663 ：fanxiangxiang_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130518090002 张智浩 ：zhangzhihao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130524100001 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026-01-05 资料来源：iFinD，中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 1. 【银河北交所】2026 年度策略_ 小而美"到"小 美久到，推动北证高质量发展 2. 【银河北交所】小十五五到：北交所引领中而企业 再进阶 北交所日报 资料来源：iFinD，中国银河证券研究院 图2：北证与 A 股各行业当日涨跌幅（算数平均/%/ 2026.01.05） -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 北交所算数平均涨跌幅 A股算数平均涨跌幅 3. 【银河北交所】2025 年度中期策略_并购协同促 新格局，提质扩容迎新供给 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限 ...

Core Insights - The North Exchange 50 index experienced a decline of 0.70%, closing at 1,440.43 points on December 31, 2025, with a trading volume of 206.88 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.00% [1][2][5] - The overall valuation of companies listed on the North Exchange is approximately 45.86 times earnings, which is higher than the valuations of companies on the ChiNext and Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1][8][9] - The most significant gainers in the North Exchange included companies in the communication sector, with a notable increase of 878.16% for the new stock Hengtong Light [1][6][7] Industry Summary - The North Exchange saw mixed performance across various industries, with the communication sector leading gains at +176.1%, while the oil and petrochemical sector faced the largest decline at -3.6% [1][2][10] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the non-ferrous metals industry was the highest at 111.4 times, followed by food and beverage at 78.6 times and communication at 77.8 times [1][8][9] - The trading activity was notably high for stocks such as Hengtong Light and Tianli Composite, which had significant turnover rates of 53.79% and 39.78%, respectively [1][6][7] Company Performance - Among the top gainers, Hengtong Light (878.16%), Tianming Technology (29.96%), and Lifan Holdings (24.94%) showed remarkable increases in stock prices [1][6] - Conversely, the largest decliners included Guandao Retreat (-21.82%), Dapeng Industry (-12.57%), and Fengguang Precision (-10.52%) [1][7] - The market capitalization of Hengtong Light reached 210.34 billion yuan, with a P/E ratio of 77.47 times, indicating strong investor interest [1][6]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the North Exchange 50 index experienced a slight decline of -0.40%, closing at 1,450.64 points on December 30, 2025, with a trading volume of 190.85 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.18% [2][3]. Market Performance - The North Exchange's overall market capitalization is 851.06 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 521.85 billion yuan. The total number of listed shares is 39.676 billion, with 25.354 billion shares available for circulation [2]. - The North Exchange's daily trading volume decreased compared to the previous week, where the average daily trading volume was 199.76 billion yuan [2]. Industry Analysis - Among the industries, the automotive sector showed the highest increase at +3.1%, followed by environmental protection at +1.0% and electronics at +0.9%. Conversely, the largest declines were seen in non-ferrous metals at -5.7%, defense and military at -3.9%, and beauty and personal care at -2.8% [2][3]. - The report highlights that 287 companies listed on the North Exchange had mixed performance, with 106 companies rising, 6 remaining flat, and 175 declining [2]. Stock Performance - The top-performing stocks included Tianming Technology (+30.00%), Fengguang Precision (+17.58%), and Chunguang Intelligent (+10.95%). In contrast, the largest declines were seen in Guangdao Tui (-29.49%), Tianli Composite (-11.71%), and Hongyu Packaging (-8.32%) [7][8]. - The report notes that the average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the North Exchange is 45.43 times, which is higher than the P/E ratios of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (71.40 times) and the Growth Enterprise Market (43.56 times) [2][9]. Valuation Insights - The highest average P/E ratio among industries on the North Exchange is in non-ferrous metals at 108.1 times, followed by food and beverage at 80.0 times and telecommunications at 76.2 times [2][9]. - The report indicates a continuous high valuation for the North Exchange compared to other boards, suggesting a potential area for investment consideration [2][10].

Trading Activity - The average daily trading volume on the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) decreased by 2.56% to 185.22 billion CNY, compared to 190.07 billion CNY in the previous week[8][11] - The trading volume of the BSE accounted for only 0.84% of the total market, remaining below 1%[12][11] Index Performance - The BSE 50 Index fell by 4.91% during the week, continuing its downward trend since reaching a peak of 1670.01 on September 8, resulting in a total decline of 14.21%[13][39] - Other major indices also experienced declines, with the ChiNext Index leading the drop at -5.71%[19][13] Sector Analysis - Most sectors on the BSE showed negative median returns, with the transportation sector leading gains at 2.27%, while the non-ferrous metals sector had the largest decline at -8.08%[18][24] - The computer industry had the highest median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 125.15, followed by light industry manufacturing at 100.02, indicating relatively high valuations[18][24] New Listings and IPOs - One new stock was listed and one was in the process of going public during the week, with the newly listed stock, Changjiang Nengke, seeing a first-day price increase of 281.31%[35][36] New Third Board Activity - The trading volume on the New Third Board increased significantly, with the innovative tier and basic tier seeing weekly trading amounts of 12.55 billion CNY and 1.89 billion CNY, respectively, marking increases of 121.03% and 158.21% from the previous week[31][32]

Trading Activity - The average daily trading volume on the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) decreased by 14.71% to 27.244 billion yuan, falling below 30 billion yuan[7] - The trading volume on the BSE accounted for 1.08% of the total market, down from 1.38% the previous week[12] - The average turnover rate for BSE stocks was 28.41%[8] Index Performance - The BSE 50 Index experienced a decline of 1.43% during the week, following a record high the previous week[12] - Other major indices showed mixed performance, with the ChiNext Index rising by 2.34% while the BSE 50 Index fell[12] Sector Analysis - Among 24 sectors, only 4 sectors had a positive median return, with the environmental protection sector leading at 6.08%[18] - The construction materials sector had the largest median decline at -6.65%[18] - The computer sector had the highest median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 146.10 times, indicating high valuation compared to other sectors[18] New Listings and IPOs - Two new stocks were offered for subscription, and one stock was listed during the week[35] - The newly listed stock, Shichang Co., saw a first-day average price increase of 304.65% compared to its issue price[35] New Third Board Activity - The trading volume on the New Third Board increased by 33.83%, with the innovative tier and basic tier seeing transaction amounts of 1.963 billion yuan and 380 million yuan, respectively[31]

Core Insights - The North Exchange 50 index increased by 1.28% to close at 1574.25 points on August 29, 2025, with a trading volume of 12.96 billion shares and a total market capitalization of 907.98 billion yuan [3][4][5] - The overall trading volume on the North Exchange was 32.295 billion yuan, which is a decrease compared to the average daily trading volume of 41.701 billion yuan from the previous week [4][5] - The sectors that performed well included Beauty Care (+3.7%), Defense and Military Industry (+3.0%), Power Equipment (+2.4%), and Building Materials (+1.5%), while sectors that declined included Communication (-3.0%), Environmental Protection (-2.1%), Electronics (-1.8%), and Media (-1.1%) [4][5] Company Performance - Among the 274 listed companies on the North Exchange, 148 saw their stock prices rise, 4 remained flat, and 122 experienced declines [4] - The top gainers included Rongyi Precision (+29.95%), Derui Lithium Battery (+19.11%), and Jiezong Technology (+16.53%) [4][9] - The top decliners were Shuguang Shuchuang (-8.87%), Zhixin Electronics (-7.34%), and AVIC Taida (-7.29%) [4][10] Valuation Metrics - The overall valuation of the North Exchange is at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 53.88 times, which is higher than the P/E ratios of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (69.26 times) and the Growth Enterprise Market (42.90 times) [4][13] - The highest average P/E ratio among sectors on the North Exchange is in the Computer sector at 193.6 times, followed by Light Industry Manufacturing (122.4 times) and Social Services (83.7 times) [4][13]

Market Performance - On August 27, 2025, the North Exchange 50 index decreased by 2.60%, closing at 1550.44 points[3] - The overall trading volume on the North Exchange was 32.872 billion CNY, with a turnover rate of 5.59%[3] - Compared to the previous week, the average daily trading volume decreased from 41.701 billion CNY[3] Index Comparison - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3800.35 points, down by 1.76%[3] - The CSI 300 index closed at 4386.13 points, down by 1.49%[3] - The STAR 50 index increased slightly by 0.13%, closing at 1272.56 points[3] Sector Performance - Only the communication sector saw an increase of 0.7%, while the largest declines were in construction materials (-3.9%), beauty care (-3.9%), textiles and apparel (-3.8%), and basic chemicals (-3.7%)[3] - Among 273 listed companies, 34 saw an increase, 1 remained flat, and 238 experienced a decline[3] Stock Highlights - The top gainers included *ST Guandao (+30.00%), *ST Yunchuang (+17.10%), and Digital Human (+12.84%)[3] - The largest declines were seen in Xinzhi Biological (-9.92%), Tianrun Technology (-8.28%), and Hengtou Kaiyuan (-7.81%)[3] Valuation Metrics - The overall valuation of the North Exchange is at a P/E ratio of 53.90 times, which is higher than the ChiNext's 41.39 times[3] - The highest sector P/E ratio is in electronics at 259.3 times, followed by computers at 155.4 times[3] Risk Factors - Risks include lower-than-expected policy support, insufficient technological innovation, intensified market competition, and market volatility[3]