证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2026 年 01 月 08 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20260108 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要指数涨跌不一。截止收盘，沪指下跌 0.07%，收 报 4082.98 点；深证成指跌 0.51%，收报 13959.48 点；创业板指跌 0.82%， 收报 3302.31；科创 50 指数涨 0.82%，收报 1455.17 点。总体上，全天个股 涨多跌少，Wind 数据显示，全市场 3730 只个股上涨，1588 只个股下跌，144 只个股收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 28003 亿元，较上个交易日小幅缩量 539 亿元。 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业涨多跌少，国防军工、传媒、建筑装饰、 房地产、建筑材料等行业领涨，涨幅分别为 4.18%、2.00%、1.76%、1.60%、 1.33%，非银金融、有色金属、通信、银行等行业领跌，跌幅分别为 2.81%、 1.56%、0.95%、0.89%。 概念板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前的概念板块为大飞机、 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.09% closing at 3968.84 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.58% to 13525.02 points. The ChiNext Index decreased by 1.23% to 3203.17 points, and the STAR 50 Index dropped by 1.15% to 1344.20 points. Overall, 2470 stocks rose while 2768 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 204.51 billion yuan, down by 9.72 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as defense and military, media, real estate, non-ferrous metals, and social services led the gains, with increases of 2.13%, 1.54%, 1.13%, 1.09%, and 1.04% respectively. Conversely, industries like telecommunications, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, electronics, comprehensive, and power equipment experienced declines, with drops of 1.35%, 1.10%, 1.02%, 0.93%, and 0.90% respectively [1]. Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included satellite navigation, Xiaohongshu platform, commercial aerospace, Pinduoduo partners, satellite internet, Kimi, large aircraft, selected air transport, top ten military industrial groups, Douyin Doubao, virtual humans, military information technology, internet celebrity economy, 6G, and WEB3.0. In contrast, sectors such as cross-strait integration, GPU, high send and transfer, consumer electronics OEM, optical modules (CPO), and copper-clad laminates saw corrections [2].

报 告 摘 要 乘势而起：市场新高趋势追踪 触及新高的个股、行业和板块可被视为市场的风向标。越来越多的研究表明动量、趋势跟踪策略的有效性。本报告旨在定期跟踪市场中创新高的个股及其 分布，以追踪市场趋势、把握市场热点。 截至2025年12月19日，上证指数、深证成指、沪深300、中证500、中证1000、中证2000、创业板指、科创50指数250日新高距离分别为3.45%、 4.26%、3.78%、5.03%、4.16%、2.16%、6.08%、14.98%。中信一级行业指数中轻工制造、有色金属、通信、国防军工、消费者服务行业指数距离 250日新高较近，食品饮料、综合金融、房地产、医药、建筑行业指数距离250日新高较远。概念指数中，十大军工集团、卫星导航、家居用品、卫星互联 网、金属非金属、航天军工、林木等概念指数距离250日新高较近。 见微知著：利用创新高个股进行市场监测 截至2025年12月19日，共620只股票在过去20个交易日间创出250日新高。其中创新高个股数量最多的是机械、电子、基础化工行业，创新高个股数量占 比最高的是国防军工、有色金属、轻工制造行业。按照板块分布来看，本周制造、科技板块创新高股票 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.15% closing at 3864.18 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.02% to 12907.83 points. The ChiNext Index rose by 2.14% to 3044.69 points, and the STAR 50 Index gained 0.99% to close at 1315.04 points. Overall, there were 1689 stocks that rose, while 3591 stocks fell, with 168 stocks remaining unchanged. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 17833 billion, a decrease of 288 billion from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the sectors that performed well included telecommunications, comprehensive, electronics, and retail, with gains of 4.64%, 1.79%, 1.58%, and 1.11% respectively. Conversely, the sectors that lagged included defense and military, social services, media, and petroleum and petrochemicals, with declines of 2.25%, 0.97%, 0.82%, and 0.80% respectively [1][2]. Concept Sector Performance - The leading concept sectors today included optical modules (CPO), optical communications, optical chips, SPD, cultivated diamonds, smart speakers, consumer electronics OEM, excavators, third-generation semiconductors, servers, GPUs, and MCU chips. In contrast, sectors such as the China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation system, aquatic products, aircraft carriers, the top ten military industrial groups, military information technology, military-civilian integration, large aircraft, and commercial aerospace experienced a pullback [2].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.05% closing at 3836.77 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.37% to 12585.08 points. The STAR 50 Index increased by 0.84% to 1296.6 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.31% to close at 2929.04 points. Overall, 4228 stocks rose while 1100 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 17,406 billion yuan, a decrease of 2,379 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as defense and military industry, media, computer, and social services saw significant gains, with increases of 4.31%, 3.49%, 2.41%, and 2.22% respectively. Conversely, industries like petroleum and petrochemicals, coal, banking, and food and beverage experienced declines, with decreases of 1.21%, 1.09%, 0.79%, and 0.56% respectively [1][2]. Concept Sector Performance - The leading concept sectors today included those related to the China Shipbuilding Industry, aircraft carriers, commercial aerospace, military information technology, and satellite internet, among others. Notably, sectors such as lithium mining and salt lake lithium extraction experienced a pullback [2].

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.45% closing at 3633.99 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.64% at 11177.78 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.66% at 2358.95 points [2][14] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 17341 billion, an increase of 1380 billion compared to the previous trading day [2] Industry Performance - Most of the Shenwan first-level industries experienced gains today, with the defense and military industry leading the way with a rise of 3.07%, followed by machinery equipment at 1.98%, coal at 1.89%, textile and apparel at 1.36%, and computer industry at 1.30% [2][16] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical and biological, construction materials, commercial retail, social services, and banking industries saw declines, with decreases of 0.65%, 0.23%, 0.23%, 0.19%, and 0.14% respectively [2][16] Sector Highlights - The top-performing concept sectors included continuous boards, the top ten military industrial groups, aircraft carriers, robotics, military-civilian integration, coal mining, industrial internet, chemical fibers, sensors, and machine vision [3] - Notable declines were observed in sectors such as Tibet revitalization, anti-cancer, and CRO [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.45% closing at 3633.99 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.64% at 11177.78 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.66% at 2358.95 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 17341 billion yuan, an increase of 1380 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Most of the Shenwan first-level industries experienced gains today, with the leading sectors being defense and military, machinery and equipment, coal, textile and apparel, and computer industries, which rose by 3.07%, 1.98%, 1.89%, 1.36%, and 1.30% respectively [1] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical and biological, building materials, commercial retail, social services, and banking sectors saw declines, with decreases of 0.65%, 0.23%, 0.23%, 0.19%, and 0.14% respectively [1] Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included continuous boards, top ten military industrial groups, aircraft carriers, robots, and military-civilian integration, among others [2] - Notable declines were observed in sectors such as Tibet revitalization, anti-cancer, and CRO [11]

Market Overview - The main indices showed slight declines today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.17%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.24% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, Environmental Protection, Media, and Light Industry Manufacturing performed well, while Communication, Comprehensive, and Electronics lagged behind [1] Concept Sector Performance - Overall, the Animal Vaccine, First Board, and Online Education concepts performed relatively well [1] - In contrast, the Rare Earth, Circuit Board, and the Top Ten Military Industry Group concepts showed weaker performance [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a positive trend today, with major indices mostly rising. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.37% to close at 3516.83 points, while the Shenzhen Component rose by 1.43% to 10873.62 points. The ChiNext Index saw a gain of 1.75%, closing at 2269.33 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index increased by 0.80% to 1005.65 points. Overall, 3535 stocks rose, 1609 fell, and 271 remained unchanged, with a total trading volume of 15,394 billion yuan, an increase of 973 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the leading sectors included defense and military, communication, electronics, pharmaceutical and biological, and comprehensive industries, with respective gains of 2.74%, 2.41%, 2.18%, 1.77%, and 1.42%. Conversely, the banking, transportation, environmental protection, public utilities, and construction decoration sectors experienced declines, with losses of 0.42%, 0.39%, 0.26%, 0.24%, and 0.19% respectively [1][2]. Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included circuit boards, CRO (Contract Research Organization), innovative drugs, aircraft carriers, first boards, medical services, board trading, large aircraft, continuous boards, wireless charging, the top ten military industrial groups, biological vaccines, photoresist, consumer electronics OEM, and 5G [2].

- The report tracks the market trend by monitoring stocks, industries, and sectors that have reached new highs, using a 250-day high distance metric[11][12][13] - The 250-day high distance is calculated as: $ 250 \text{ day high distance} = 1 - \frac{Closet}{ts\_max(Close, 250)} $ where Closet is the latest closing price and ts_max(Close, 250) is the maximum closing price in the past 250 trading days[11] - As of June 27, 2025, the 250-day high distances for major indices are: Shanghai Composite Index 1.88%, Shenzhen Component Index 9.71%, CSI 300 7.86%, CSI 500 7.38%, CSI 1000 5.07%, CSI 2000 1.91%, ChiNext Index 16.70%, and STAR 50 Index 12.30%[12][13] - The report identifies 832 stocks that reached a 250-day high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest numbers in the pharmaceutical, basic chemicals, and machinery industries[19][20] - The report also tracks "stable new high stocks" based on analyst attention, relative stock strength, trend continuity, price path stability, and new high sustainability, selecting 32 stocks such as Shenghong Technology, Shijia Photon, and Giant Network[26][28][29] - The selected stable new high stocks are mainly from the technology and large financial sectors, with the technology sector having the most new highs in the electronics industry and the large financial sector having the most new highs in the banking industry[29][30][32]