□四川日报全媒体评论员 陈露耘 张雨（一） 以历史主动精神抓落实，既源于对现实的深刻洞察，也来自面向未来的清醒认识。 （二） 今年是中国共产党成立105周年。回望百年党史和新中国发展史，历史主动精神贯穿始终并在重大 历史关头发挥巨大作用。 人勤春早。经过农历马年春节假期的休整，回到岗位的人们开始新的工作。 这是"十五五"开局之年的开局，有着不一样的新意。"十五五"时期在基本实现社会主义现代化进 程中承前启后，地位关键。作为中西部第一经济大省，实现"十五五"良好开局，对确保四川与全 国同步基本实现社会主义现代化具有重要意义。 去年四季度，四川省委贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神和中央经济工作会议精神，谋划迈步"十五 五"新征程，确保基本实现社会主义现代化取得决定性进展；部署立足今年开好局起好步，实 现"两个加快"的目标任务。今年2月初，四川省第十四届人民代表大会第五次会议对相关工作作出 了细化安排，可以说，"十五五"蓝图已绘就，开局年任务已清晰，关键在于以什么样的精神状态 抓落实。 答案其实早已写好。党的二十届四中全会号召："以历史主动精神克难关、战风险、迎挑战，集中 力量办好自己的事，续写经济快速发展和社会长期稳定 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of historical initiative spirit in navigating the current complex environment of opportunities and challenges, aiming for high-quality development and modernization in China [1][6]. Group 1: Historical Initiative Spirit - Understanding historical initiative spirit is rooted in recognizing objective historical laws and actively engaging with them to transition from passive adaptation to proactive leadership [2]. - The leadership of the Communist Party of China (CPC) is essential for ensuring historical initiative, guiding the nation through strategic planning and policy-making [3]. - The spirit of prioritizing the people is fundamental, as it recognizes the role of the populace as both creators of history and key drivers of social change [4]. Group 2: Practical Application of Historical Initiative - The historical initiative spirit is validated through practical achievements, showcasing the CPC's ability to lead the nation towards modernization and significant accomplishments [5]. - The current context requires the application of historical initiative to fulfill the responsibilities of the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps (XPCC) and achieve high-quality development [6]. Group 3: Economic Development and Achievements - The XPCC has seen significant economic growth, with a GDP of 339.56 billion yuan in 2021, marking a substantial increase from previous years [9]. - The XPCC's industrial sector has also expanded, with nearly 100 billion yuan in industrial added value in 2023, highlighting its role as a crucial economic driver [9]. Group 4: Social and Cultural Integration - The construction of a shared consciousness among various ethnic groups is vital for national unity and stability, with efforts to promote cultural exchange and mutual understanding [10][12]. - The XPCC's focus on improving people's livelihoods and ensuring equitable access to development benefits is central to its mission [12]. Group 5: Environmental and Sustainable Development - The XPCC is committed to ecological civilization, with significant progress in environmental governance and sustainable practices [10][13]. - Emphasizing green development, the XPCC aims to integrate ecological considerations into its economic strategies, promoting a harmonious relationship between nature and development [13]. Group 6: Collaborative Development - The XPCC is focused on fostering collaboration between military and civilian sectors, enhancing resource sharing and infrastructure development [14]. - This collaborative approach aims to create a cohesive framework for economic, social, and cultural integration, strengthening the overall development of the region [14].

Group 1: Macroeconomic Environment - The global economic system is entering a chaotic evolution phase characterized by non-linearity, bidirectionality, and high sensitivity due to intensified great power competition[1] - The global growth baseline remains resilient, supported by the acceleration of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and industrial transformation[1] - Global trade elasticity has been declining, with trade expansion significantly lagging behind GDP growth since the 2008 financial crisis, dropping below 1[3] Group 2: Security and Uncertainty - National security considerations are increasingly influencing resource allocation, with global military spending projected to reach $2.72 trillion in 2024, a 9.4% year-on-year increase, marking the highest level since the Cold War[3] - The World Uncertainty Index has risen significantly since 2018, indicating that global uncertainty has evolved from temporary fluctuations to a structural norm[4] Group 3: Asset Performance and Investment Strategy - In a critical chaos phase, both risk assets and safe-haven assets can yield positive returns, reflecting a dual pricing structure[7] - Despite rising macro uncertainty, risk assets still have a strong return potential, as evidenced by the MSCI Global Index achieving returns significantly above global GDP growth rates of around 3% from 2020 to 2025[7] - Safe-haven assets like gold continue to hold value, driven by multiple risk factors, indicating that hedging demand will persist in chaotic environments[8] - The asset allocation logic has shifted from a zero-sum game to a scenario where both risk and safe-haven assets can thrive simultaneously, necessitating a dynamic adjustment to investment strategies[11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of historical initiative and adapting to the times for national prosperity and rejuvenation [3][4][6] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen significant advancements in China's economic, technological, and comprehensive national strength, marking a solid step forward in Chinese-style modernization [4][6] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is positioned as a critical phase for consolidating foundations and making comprehensive efforts towards achieving modernization goals [5][8] Group 2 - The document highlights the dual nature of opportunities and challenges in the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, with a complex international environment and domestic development issues [6][7] - It outlines four prominent advantages of China's socio-economic development: the advantages of the socialist system, a large-scale market, a complete industrial system, and abundant talent resources [6][8] - The need for strategic planning and coordination in the formulation of the "15th Five-Year Plan" is emphasized, ensuring alignment with the central government's directives and effective implementation [9][12] Group 3 - The document stresses the importance of collective effort and unity in achieving national goals, highlighting that the achievements of the past century are the result of collective struggle [11][12] - It calls for a focus on the people as the foundation of modernization, emphasizing respect for labor, knowledge, talent, and creativity to stimulate societal innovation [12][13] - The necessity of maintaining strategic determination and confidence in the face of challenges is underscored, advocating for proactive engagement with historical trends and changes [7][10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the key strategies and goals outlined in the recent Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, focusing on the "15th Five-Year Plan" and its implications for China's economic and social development [3][4]. Group 1: Historical Context - The "15th Five-Year Plan" period is seen as a crucial transitional phase, building on the foundations laid during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and setting the stage for the "16th Five-Year Plan" [4]. - The international environment presents both strategic opportunities and risks, with the 20th National Congress emphasizing the coexistence of these factors [4][5]. Group 2: Main Goals - The primary goals for the "15th Five-Year Plan" include high-quality development, technological self-reliance, comprehensive deepening of reforms, social civilization, improved living standards, ecological progress, and national security [6][7]. - A notable target is to achieve a per capita GDP that reaches the level of middle-income countries by 2035, with an average annual GDP growth rate of at least 4.5% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [7]. Group 3: Specific Objectives - The plan emphasizes the importance of industry and technology, with a shift in focus from technological innovation to the establishment of a modern industrial system, highlighting the need for practical applications of innovation [8]. - Economic construction remains central, with a strong emphasis on expanding domestic demand and enhancing consumer spending, indicating a shift in policy focus towards improving living standards and consumption [9]. - The construction of a unified national market is prioritized, aiming to eliminate barriers and enhance the efficiency of resource allocation across regions [9][10]. - High-level opening-up is now positioned as a key objective, reflecting the need for China to engage more actively in global trade and investment amidst rising protectionism [10]. - The commitment to carbon neutrality goals remains firm, with plans to peak carbon emissions by 2030, coinciding with the end of the "15th Five-Year Plan" [10].

Group 1: Economic Strategy and Goals - The emphasis on "historical initiative spirit" reflects a proactive approach to challenges, shifting from "responding to challenges" to "fighting risks and facing challenges" in the 15th Five-Year Plan[1] - The reaffirmation of "economic construction as the center" highlights its critical role in the upcoming five years, maintaining a focus on high-quality development[2] - The goal for 2035 includes achieving a per capita GDP of at least $20,000, implying a need for approximately 4.4% average annual growth over the next decade[3] Group 2: Industrial and Technological Development - The focus on the real economy and maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing is crucial for building a modern industrial system[4] - The plan includes a shift towards advanced manufacturing, with new priorities such as aerospace and transportation, while emphasizing intelligent, green, and integrated development[4] - The call to "seize the high ground in technological development" indicates an increasing commitment to original innovation and key core technology breakthroughs[4] Group 3: Domestic Demand and Consumption - The strategy emphasizes expanding domestic demand, with a primary focus on boosting consumption and effective investment, aligning with previous plans[6] - The meeting indirectly addresses the issue of "involution" by highlighting the need to eliminate barriers to a unified national market[7] Group 4: Financial and Social Considerations - The meeting briefly mentioned real estate, focusing on promoting high-quality development in the sector, with further details expected in the full 15th Five-Year Plan[7] - There is a shift towards improving the income distribution system, indicating a focus on protecting legitimate income and regulating excessive income[7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the dialectical relationship between "acting promptly" and "persevering for the long term," which provides fundamental guidance for advancing initiatives and development [1][3][4] - "Acting promptly" highlights the importance of speed and efficiency, reflecting a proactive historical spirit necessary to seize opportunities in a rapidly changing world [1][3] - The urgency to act quickly is underscored by the need to respond to unprecedented challenges and opportunities in the current global landscape [1][2] Group 2 - "Persevering for the long term" stresses the value of endurance and strategic patience, warning against the pitfalls of seeking immediate results without considering long-term impacts [2][3] - Historical examples, such as the ecological achievements of the Saihanba people and the development of the Beidou satellite navigation system, illustrate the necessity of sustained effort over time [2][3] - The relationship between "acting promptly" and "persevering for the long term" is crucial for achieving high-quality development, requiring a balance between immediate action and long-term strategy [3][4] Group 3 - Establishing a correct view of performance is key to understanding the relationship between "acting promptly" and "persevering for the long term," as both are essential for high-quality development [4][5] - Current challenges include short-sighted behaviors among some officials, which can lead to ineffective projects and misaligned performance goals [4] - The need for a strategic layout that balances immediate actions with long-term goals is emphasized, particularly in the context of international competition and technological innovation [4][5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of historical initiative spirit for a nation's strength and rejuvenation, as highlighted by Xi Jinping [1][2][5] - The historical initiative spirit is identified as a unique ideological advantage of the Communist Party of China (CPC), crucial for its success over the past century [2][3] - The CPC's historical initiative spirit has been a consistent characteristic throughout various historical periods, enabling it to adapt and innovate [2][3][4] Group 2 - The reform and opening-up policy is described as a key strategy for the CPC to catch up with the times and seize historical initiative [4][5] - The CPC's leadership during the reform era is credited with rescuing the economy from the brink of collapse and establishing a path for socialism with Chinese characteristics [4][5] - The achievements of the CPC since the 18th National Congress are linked to a strong historical initiative spirit, which has driven comprehensive deepening of reforms [5][12] Group 3 - The historical initiative spirit is characterized by a deep understanding of historical self-awareness, clear judgment of historical subjects, and a strong emphasis on historical responsibility [7][11] - The CPC's ability to mobilize the people's historical initiative is seen as essential for achieving reform goals and fostering social consensus [9][10][16] - The CPC's historical responsibility and mission are highlighted as driving forces behind its proactive approach to reform and modernization [11][12][15] Group 4 - The need for a proactive approach in understanding historical trends and challenges is emphasized, particularly in the context of advancing reforms [13][14] - The CPC's commitment to maintaining a people-centered approach in reform efforts is underscored, ensuring that reforms address the needs and aspirations of the populace [16] - The integration of top-level design with grassroots exploration is advocated to enhance the effectiveness of reforms [16]