截至12月22日，沪指在2024年大涨12.67%的基础上，年内再涨16.87%，年K线大概率两连阳。行情催化 下，主动权益基金迎来业绩爆发，不仅出现近40只主动权益基金（只统计初始基金）年内收益翻倍，永赢 科技智选A更是斩获约219%的年度收益，成为2008年以来首只"两倍基"，新"牛基"的亮眼表现再度点燃市 场热情。 热闹背后，一个更深层的命题值得深思：那些曾在A股历史牛市中闪耀的昔日"牛基"，今又何在？回顾A股历 程，2006年—2007年的"周期牛"、2014年—2015年的"杠杆牛"、2019年—2021年的"核心资产牛"，每一轮都催 生过一批顶流"牛基"与投资明星。然而潮水退去，有的穿越多轮牛熊成"常青树"，有的却在风格切换与规模重 压下光环褪色。 "牛基"众生相 据证券时报基金研究院统计，能够穿越多轮牛熊的基金凤毛麟角。三轮牛市中年化收益率排名前十的30只基金 中，仅5只后续表现持续亮眼，长期收益率稳居同类前列；其余25只基金后续表现同类排名均值超过50%，逐 渐回归平庸。 具体来看，2006年至2007年牛市中的一只大盘精选基金，自2008年以来年化收益率达9.12%，同类排名位居前 3%，在 ...

Core Insights - The performance of actively managed public equity funds in 2025 has reached historic highs, with nearly 60 funds achieving over 100% returns and the first fund since 2008 surpassing 200% returns [1][2][5] - The return of active management capabilities is attributed to a combination of favorable market conditions and improved research capabilities, although high concentration risks remain a concern [1][8] Performance Highlights - As of December 12, 2025, the top-performing fund, Yongying Technology Smart Selection A, achieved a return of 218.40%, significantly outperforming the second-place fund by over 50 percentage points [2] - If this fund's returns increase by 7.84% in the remaining trading days, it will surpass the previous record set in 2007, becoming the highest annual return in public fund history [2] Historical Context - In the years leading up to 2025, active equity funds have shown strong performance, but none achieved returns exceeding 200% [3][4] - The highest annual returns prior to 2025 were 182.27% in 2006 and 171.78% in 2015, with a notable decline in the number of "doubling funds" in recent years due to market structure changes [3][4] Market Dynamics - The current market environment is characterized by structural trends, with high concentration in specific sectors such as technology and new energy, which have driven fund performance [7][9] - The active management strategy has proven effective, but it also carries inherent risks due to high portfolio concentration, which can lead to significant performance declines during sector pullbacks [8][9] Industry Trends - The number of funds achieving over 100% returns has increased significantly in 2025, indicating a resurgence in active management capabilities [5][10] - The industry is moving towards a more systematic approach to research and investment, reducing reliance on individual fund managers and enhancing overall performance stability [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The investment landscape is shifting away from reliance on star fund managers towards a more team-based and platform-oriented investment approach, driven by recent market challenges and regulatory changes [1][4][6]. Group 1: Investor Sentiment and Market Trends - Investors are increasingly skeptical of star fund managers, with many unable to name top-performing managers, indicating a significant shift from previous bull markets [2][3]. - During the last bull market from 2019 to early 2021, many star fund managers gained popularity due to exceptional performance in sectors like consumption and new energy, but subsequent market downturns have led to substantial losses for many of these funds [2][3]. - Data shows that out of 13 billion-yuan active equity funds established in 2021, 7 experienced a net asset value decline of over 50%, with 11 still not recovering [2][3]. Group 2: Departure of Star Fund Managers - A notable trend in the public fund industry is the mass departure of star fund managers, with 307 leaving in 2023 alone, marking a five-year high [4][6]. - The departure of these managers often triggers investor redemptions, creating liquidity pressures for successors and potentially leading to further declines in fund values [5][6]. Group 3: Regulatory Changes and Industry Response - Regulatory bodies have emphasized the need for the industry to move away from the "star fund manager phenomenon" and adopt a more integrated, team-based investment research framework [6][7]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has issued guidelines promoting a platform-based, integrated, and multi-strategy investment research system, which is seen as a way to diminish the reliance on individual star managers [6][7]. Group 4: Evolution of Investment Strategies - Fund companies are increasingly recognizing that a platform-based, integrated, and multi-strategy research system is essential for sustainable growth in active investment [8][9]. - Companies like China Europe Fund and Tianhong Fund are implementing reforms to enhance their investment research systems, focusing on professional, standardized, and digitalized approaches to improve efficiency and product quality [8][9]. - The shift from individual star managers to a collaborative platform model is expected to create a more resilient and trustworthy industry ecosystem, ultimately benefiting investors [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant decline in the net asset values of actively managed equity funds, particularly those established between 2020 and 2022, with many funds currently valued below 1 yuan, indicating substantial losses for investors [1][4][5]. Fund Performance - As of August 29, 2023, there are 817 actively managed equity funds with net values below 1 yuan, with 726 of these funds established between 2020 and 2022, accounting for over 88% [1] - The overall scale of 648 equity funds has shrunk by over 1 trillion yuan, with the number of investors dropping from approximately 51.12 million to 24.05 million, a decline of over 50% [2][6] - Specific funds, such as the "Open Vision" fund, have seen a cumulative loss of 22.48% since inception, despite a 20.11% return this year [4] - Another fund, "Innovative Trend," has recorded a 66.15% increase this year but still shows a cumulative loss of nearly 24% since its establishment [4] Fund Size and Investor Base - The total scale of 78 equity funds has decreased from 202.72 billion yuan to 59.23 billion yuan, a reduction of over 70% [7] - The number of investors in these funds has also significantly decreased, with total accounts dropping from 5.20 million to approximately 2.56 million, a decline of over 50% [7][8] - For mixed equity funds, 648 out of 723 funds have net values below 1 yuan, with 89.63% established in the same period [5] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Despite a recent market rally, investor confidence in actively managed equity funds remains low, with a shift towards passive funds like ETFs [10] - The industry is undergoing a transformation, moving away from extreme thematic investments and focusing on improving research mechanisms and investor experiences [10]

Core Insights - The public fund industry is experiencing an unprecedented "talent migration" in 2025, with 231 fund managers leaving their positions, marking a five-year high [2] - The departure trend is characterized by a significant increase in well-known fund managers and a prevailing shift from public to private funds [2][5] Group 1: Talent Migration - A total of 231 fund managers have left 108 public fund institutions this year, surpassing the 210 departures in the same period of 2024 and reaching the highest level since 2018 [2] - Notable fund managers such as Zhai Xiangdong, Bao Wuke, and Zhou Haidong have transitioned from public to private fund sectors [2] - Eight companies, including Yongying Fund and Shenwan Hongyuan Fund, reported more than five departures each [2] Group 2: Industry Changes - The transformation of the public fund industry ecosystem is a core driver of talent outflow, influenced by regulatory changes aimed at reducing reliance on star managers [2] - The reform of the public fund compensation system is accelerating, with new regulations linking fund manager pay to long-term performance and prohibiting short-term incentives [2] Group 3: Private Fund Dynamics - Private funds offer a more flexible incentive mechanism, with an average commission rate of 15%-20%, compared to the 3%-5% management fee split in public funds [3] - Among the 863 private fund managers with public backgrounds, only 36 work for firms managing over 10 billion, indicating a pyramid-like distribution and challenges for star managers in the private sector [3] - The market environment is changing, with a 3.2% average return for private funds this year, compared to 4.8% for public equity mixed funds [3] Group 4: Differentiated Strategies - Some former public fund managers are exploring differentiated paths, such as forming teams to create private funds focused on "fixed income plus" strategies, leveraging their previous collaborative research experience [4] Group 5: Industry Evolution - The talent migration is reshaping the competitive landscape of China's asset management industry, with public funds moving towards a more robust research and investment system [5] - The entry of star fund managers into private funds brings brand effects but also management risks [5] - The industry is moving towards a more rational development cycle, emphasizing the stability of research systems and the sustainability of investment strategies over the allure of star managers [5]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund industry is accelerating the trend of "de-starring" fund managers, with an increasing number of co-managed products emerging, reflecting a shift towards team collaboration among fund managers [2][3]. Group 1: Fund Manager Changes - Since July, 109 public fund institutions have seen changes in over 400 fund products, indicating a significant turnover in fund management [1][2]. - As of July 30, 457 fund products have experienced changes in fund managers, covering various types such as passive index funds and mixed equity funds [2]. - The changes in fund managers are primarily categorized into dismissals and new appointments, with a trend towards co-management for complementary advantages [2]. Group 2: Advantages of Co-Management - Co-management of fund products is seen to reduce decision-making biases, enhance decision-making scientificity, and support stable fund operations [1][3]. - The team management approach allows for broader asset coverage, risk diversification, and mitigates the impact of individual decision-making errors [3]. - The "old brings new" model in co-management is beneficial for building talent pipelines within institutions [3]. Group 3: Expanding Investment Capabilities - Fund managers are encouraged to expand their investment capabilities to better capture industry rotation opportunities, especially in a rapidly changing market [4]. - For instance, a fund manager who previously focused on the renewable energy sector has diversified into new consumer and internet sectors, indicating a shift in strategy [4]. - The core competencies of fund managers are identified as stock selection ability, continuous tracking of corporate dynamics, and deep value assessment capabilities, which are crucial for long-term competitive advantage [4].

Group 1 - The core point of the news revolves around the speculation regarding the departure of star fund manager Zhai Xiangdong following the announcement of the appointment of a co-manager, Lu Wenkai, for the fund "Zhaoshang Advantage Enterprise Mixed" [2][5] - Zhai Xiangdong's management performance has been notable, achieving a return of 115.81% since taking over the fund in April 2022, with the fund's scale growing from less than 40 million to over 10 billion by Q4 2024 [3] - However, the fund's scale decreased by nearly 20% from 10 billion to 8 billion in Q2 2025 due to underperformance in certain sectors, which Zhai attributed to not participating in high-performing segments [3] Group 2 - The personnel changes at Zhaoshang Fund have been significant, with a new general manager and three vice presidents appointed in 2023, alongside a notable turnover of 10 fund managers, ranking fourth in the industry [4] - The industry is shifting towards a "de-starization" approach, emphasizing team-based operations over individual influence, as evidenced by the increasing number of fund managers transitioning from public to private funds [4][5] - The market's speculation about Zhai Xiangdong's potential departure is influenced by an unwritten "rule" in the industry where co-management precedes resignation, raising concerns about talent retention at Zhaoshang Fund [5]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund industry is experiencing a significant wave of fund manager changes, driven by various factors including market conditions, industry competition, incentive mechanisms, the trend of "de-starring," and personal career planning [2][12]. Group 1: Fund Manager Changes - As of June 24, nearly 200 public fund products have announced fund manager changes this month, indicating a trend of frequent adjustments within the industry [2][5]. - The changes in fund managers can be categorized into three main types: new appointments, simultaneous appointments and dismissals, and departures [6][10]. - The increase in fund manager dismissals is attributed to work needs and performance evaluations, with companies adjusting their fund manager assignments based on product style and performance benchmarks [9][11]. Group 2: Industry Changes - The public fund industry is gradually moving away from reliance on "star fund managers" and is transitioning towards a team-based and institutionalized approach [14]. - Talent mobility within the industry is accelerating, with competition shifting from mere salary comparisons to diverse dimensions such as equity incentives and differentiated assessments [14]. - The industry is evolving from extensive growth to high-quality development, emphasizing long-term performance, risk management, and effective communication with investors [14]. Group 3: Team Management Model - The implementation of a team management model for fund managers is expected to increase, as highlighted in the new regulations aimed at enhancing core investment research capabilities [15]. - The team management model allows for resource integration and improved investment quality, while also posing challenges such as decision-making conflicts and coordination costs [16][17]. - This model reduces dependency on individual fund managers and enhances the stability of performance, but it requires careful management to avoid potential pitfalls [17].

Core Viewpoint - The departure of fund manager Zhou Haidong from Huashang Fund marks a significant event in the industry, reflecting broader trends of "de-starring" and fee reform within the fund management sector [1][9]. Group 1: Zhou Haidong's Departure - Zhou Haidong has resigned from his position as fund manager for six funds due to personal reasons and will not take on any other roles within Huashang Fund [1][3]. - Zhou was recognized as a "dark horse" fund manager, achieving both performance and scale growth, with management assets exceeding 35 billion yuan at one point [1][5]. - His management style focused on a diversified investment approach, which helped him avoid losses during market downturns [7]. Group 2: Fund Management Transition - Following Zhou's departure, other experienced fund managers will take over the management of the funds he previously oversaw, ensuring continuity in management [4]. - Huashang Fund has emphasized its commitment to building a robust research and investment team, having trained a team of 65 members with an average of 8.59 years of experience [10]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The fund management industry is experiencing a shift towards index funds, which are gaining popularity due to lower fees and reduced reliance on individual fund managers [10][11]. - The trend of "de-starring" fund managers is becoming more common, with several notable fund managers leaving their positions in recent years [9]. - The industry is entering a "thin profit, high sales" phase, which may lead to a less exciting investment environment unless active equity funds can regain their footing [11].