Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 27.84 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 23.48 CNY [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 17.792 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.812 billion CNY, down 9.7% year-on-year [1]. - The wind power sector is expected to see continued growth, with the company’s market share increasing to 10.52% in 2024, up 1.18 percentage points year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing trend of larger wind turbine capacities, with its land-based turbines reaching up to 15MW and offshore turbines ranging from 8.5 to 16MW [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.187 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 26.58%, but a net loss of 191 million CNY, a significant decline of 171.96% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 16.9% and 10.18%, respectively, showing a slight increase in gross margin but a decrease in net margin compared to the previous year [3]. Market Outlook - The total installed wind power capacity in China is projected to reach 105-115GW in 2025, with a significant increase in offshore wind capacity expected [3]. - The company has secured over 24GW in orders by the end of 2024, indicating strong revenue growth potential [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a "Dual Sea Strategy," focusing on both domestic and international markets, with significant progress in offshore wind projects and overseas orders [9][10]. - The company has developed a full range of offshore wind turbine models and has successfully completed installations, positioning itself for future growth in this segment [10]. Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company are 24.33 billion CNY in 2025, 26.78 billion CNY in 2026, and 29.57 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 31.7%, 14.3%, and 10.4% [10][12].

三一重能 20250429 摘要 • 三一重能 2024 年营收 177.92 亿元，同比增长 19.1%，但归母净利润同 比下降 9.7%至 18.12 亿元，主要受政府补助减少和谨慎性资产减值影响。 综合毛利率提升至 16.9%，期间费用率降至 10.13%。 • 公司研发投入 7.77 亿元，占营收 4.37%，在陆上、海上及海外机型方面 取得突破，包括 131 米叶片下线和 15~16 兆瓦双馈发电机设计，35 兆瓦 级六自由度整机试验平台已投入运行，助力双海战略。 • 2024 年新增装机容量 9.15GW，同比增长 23.5%，国内市场占有率提升 至 10.52%，新增订单超 20GW，在手订单超 24GW。海上订单实现突破， 海外市场新签项目近 2GW，中亚地区获取吉瓦级绿地项目开发权。 • 三一重能通过发电设备实现发电量约 1,358 亿千瓦时，减少二氧化碳排放 7,287 万吨。发布气候行动白皮书，获 Equator 银牌认证，韶山叶片生产 基地获世界经济论坛灯塔工厂认证，践行绿色转型。 • 公司预计 2025 年国内外风电装机容量将达历史最高水平，同比增长约 30%。海外市场显著增长，尤其 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 17.79 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decline by 9.7% to 1.81 billion yuan [8] - The gross margin for 2024 is forecasted at 16.9%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company has achieved record high domestic new orders exceeding 20GW in 2024, with nearly 2GW of new project contracts signed overseas [8] - The company anticipates an improvement in wind turbine gross margins in the coming quarters due to increased shipment proportions of new models and cost reductions in the supply chain [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 14.939 billion yuan - 2024: 17.792 billion yuan - 2025: 21.474 billion yuan - 2026: 25.459 billion yuan - 2027: 28.769 billion yuan - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be: - 2023: 2.007 billion yuan - 2024: 1.812 billion yuan - 2025: 2.125 billion yuan - 2026: 2.658 billion yuan - 2027: 3.162 billion yuan - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023: 1.64 yuan - 2024: 1.48 yuan - 2025: 1.73 yuan - 2026: 2.17 yuan - 2027: 2.58 yuan [1][9]