尽管近期跌破面值的转债再现，但受访人士普遍认为，当前市场系统性风险可控，风险传导范围有限。 "三房转债本身资质偏弱、正股面临压力，其跌破面值更多体现为个体风险定价，而非系统性信用冲击。"排排网 财富研究总监刘有华向证券时报记者表示，当前是阶段性市场调整与结构性信用风险相互叠加的表现，并非全面 长期的趋势。高评级、资质优良的可转债仍有债底支撑，而资质较弱、临近退市的个券则更多反映了信用风险与 退市风险的集中释放。 近年来，随着优质银行转债的批量退出，存量转债信用评级整体呈现弱化趋势。Wind数据显示，截至12月17日， 评级低于AA-级转债的数量有130只，占比31.18%，而转债发行数量较高的2021年和2022年，该比例分别为23.76% 和23.43%。 证券时报记者 王军 近日，在A股市场接连调整背景下，可转债市场再次出现跌破面值情形。 12月16日，在正股下跌3.24%的情况下，三房转债直接跌破面值，成为近段时间以来首只跌破面值的可转债。12月 17日，三房巷的股价上涨0.96%，但三房转债的价格仍下跌0.47%，12月以来的累计跌幅超过10%。 三房转债的接连下跌并非孤立事件。宏图转债、蓝帆转债等在 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the convertible bond market, particularly the breach of par value by Sanfang Convertible Bond, reflects growing concerns over credit risk and indicates a structural adjustment within the market [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 16, Sanfang's stock price fell by 3.24%, leading to a 2.75% drop in the price of Sanfang Convertible Bond, which fell below the par value of 100 yuan, marking it as the first convertible bond to do so in recent times [1][2]. - The cumulative decline of Sanfang Convertible Bond exceeded 10% in December, despite a 1.44% rebound in the stock price on December 17, indicating persistent downward pressure on the bond [2]. - Other low-rated convertible bonds, such as Hongtu and Lanfan, have also seen significant declines, with Lanfan Convertible Bond dropping to 100.33 yuan and Hongtu Convertible Bond reaching a new low of 102.317 yuan [2]. Group 2: Credit Risk and Market Dynamics - The decline in low-rated convertible bonds is attributed to uncertainties regarding the underlying stocks' conversion capabilities and renewed concerns over credit risks, exacerbated by previous downward trends [2][3]. - The market consensus that convertible bonds serve as a safe investment has been challenged, with over a hundred convertible bonds breaching par value, prompting a reevaluation of credit risks and pricing logic [3][4]. - The overall credit rating of convertible bonds has weakened, with 130 bonds rated below AA- as of December 17, accounting for 31.18% of the total, compared to lower percentages in previous years [4][5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the recent breaches of par value, experts believe that systemic risks remain controllable, and the impact is limited to individual bonds rather than a widespread credit crisis [4][6]. - The market is expected to see a concentration of credit risk and valuation reassessment for low-rated bonds, which may lead to increased pressure on issuers to improve bond terms and cash flow management [6][7]. - Investors are advised to monitor key thresholds for underlying stocks and be vigilant about potential delisting risks as annual reports are released, particularly for bonds nearing default or facing regulatory scrutiny [8].

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the convertible bond market, highlighted by the first bond falling below par value, reflects concerns over credit risk and indicates a structural adjustment within the market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On December 16, the stock price of Sanfangxiang fell by 3.24%, leading to its convertible bond price dropping by 2.75% and falling below the par value of 100 yuan, marking it as the first convertible bond to do so in recent times [1][3]. - The decline in Sanfangxiang's convertible bond is part of a broader trend where several low-rated convertible bonds, such as Hongtu and Lanfan, have also seen significant price drops, with Lanfan's bond nearing par value [3][4]. - The market is currently experiencing a phase of adjustment, with weak credit quality bonds facing liquidity risks and a potential for further differentiation among bonds based on credit quality [3][6]. Group 2: Credit Risk and Valuation - The recent phenomenon of convertible bonds falling below par value is attributed to a combination of issuer credit risk pricing, equity market adjustments, and the failure of bond floor support [4][8]. - As of December 17, 130 convertible bonds rated below AA- accounted for 31.18% of the total, indicating a weakening trend in credit ratings compared to previous years [6][7]. - The decline in credit quality is linked to multiple factors, including industry-specific risks, policy adjustments, and the overall market environment, leading to a significant increase in rating downgrades since 2019 [7][8]. Group 3: Investor Considerations - Investors are advised to monitor the financial health of issuers, especially those nearing delisting thresholds, and to pay attention to bond terms such as conversion and redemption rights [10][11]. - The market is expected to see a decrease in the frequency of credit events following a concentrated risk clearing in 2024, with some bonds managing to convert or trigger strong redemptions [11].

Core Viewpoint - The convertible bond market is experiencing significant adjustments, with a notable decline in prices and concerns regarding credit ratings and potential delistings of underlying stocks [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 24, out of 533 convertible bonds, 492 have seen a decline, indicating a widespread downturn in the market [2]. - Specific examples include Guanghui Automobile's convertible bonds, which dropped over 30% in three trading days, and Lingnan Shares, whose stock price fell below RMB 1, raising delisting concerns [2]. Group 2: Credit Risk Concerns - The market is increasingly focused on credit risks associated with convertible bonds, particularly the risk of delisting [3][4]. - A number of companies, including Huafeng Shares and Shanying International, have had their convertible bond ratings downgraded due to poor financial performance and failure to meet new customer development expectations [3]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Price Decline - Multiple factors are contributing to the indiscriminate selling of low-priced convertible bonds, including concerns over small-cap stock adjustments, credit rating downgrades, and the risk of delisting for underlying stocks [2][4]. - The tightening of regulations regarding delistings has heightened fears that these risks may extend to the convertible bond market [2]. Group 4: Investment Strategy and Risk Assessment - Investors are advised to conduct thorough risk assessments across various dimensions, including financial indicators and the potential for price adjustments in convertible bonds [6]. - Key indicators to monitor include negative net assets, continuous losses, and low revenue, as well as any inquiries or concerns raised by exchanges or credit rating agencies [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent updates in credit ratings for convertible bonds, highlighting that while most ratings remain unchanged, some have been downgraded due to deteriorating company fundamentals, including losses, increased debt pressure, and worsening credit conditions [1][2]. Summary by Sections Credit Rating Updates - A total of 72 convertible bonds have updated their ratings this year, with 65 bonds maintaining their previous ratings, accounting for 90.28% [1]. - Seven convertible bonds have experienced downgrades, including Dongshi Convertible Bond, Fumiao Convertible Bond, and others, primarily due to continuous losses and increased debt pressure [2]. Specific Cases of Downgrades - Fumiao Convertible Bond's credit rating was adjusted from A+ to A due to the company's declining profitability and rising debt levels, with a significant increase in total liabilities expected by the end of 2024 [2]. - Dongshi Convertible Bond's rating was downgraded from B to CCC, indicating a rise in credit risk for the issuing company [3]. - Puli Pharmaceutical's credit rating was downgraded from BB to B+ following the termination of its stock and convertible bond listings due to significant financial discrepancies [3][4]. Market Impact and Risk Assessment - The overall credit risk exposure in the convertible bond market has influenced investors' risk assessments, although recent market recovery has alleviated some concerns [5]. - Historical data indicates that abnormal exits of convertible bonds are often linked to the issuing company's circumstances, with risks associated with both stock delisting and repayment pressures [5][6].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report conducts a comprehensive analysis of the convertible bond market, issuer financial performance, and credit risk based on the 2024 annual reports and Q1 2025 reports. With convertible bonds entering the peak redemption and repayment period in 2025, the importance of credit risk research has become prominent. Some industries face challenges such as price pressure, demand shortfalls, and supply - demand mismatches, leading to increased operating pressure, weakened profitability, and cash flow issues for some issuers, thus highlighting the need to focus on their credit risks [1][20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Convertible Bond Market Development Overview - **Issuance and Stock Situation**: In 2024, China's convertible bond issuance scale decreased year - on - year, with a total issuance of 38.757 billion yuan, a 72.78% decline. From January to May 2025, the issuance scale increased compared to the same period in 2024, reaching 25.923 billion yuan, a 156.40% increase. As of June 13, 2025, there were 484 outstanding convertible bonds, with a balance of 668.343 billion yuan. Private enterprises were the main issuers, with 383 convertible bonds and a balance of 388.428 billion yuan. Convertible bonds with lower credit ratings accounted for a relatively high proportion, indicating that some issuers had relatively weak creditworthiness [1][11][12]. - **Importance of Convertible Bond Credit Risk Research**: In recent years, the number of convertible bond credit risk events has increased. Since 2023, credit risk events have occurred in bonds such as Soute Convertible Bond, Hongda Convertible Bond, etc. With convertible bonds entering the peak redemption and repayment period in 2025, the importance of credit risk research has become more prominent [20]. 3.2 Financial Performance of Convertible Bond Issuers - **Profitability**: In 2024, the overall operating income and net profit of convertible bond issuers decreased year - on - year, but showed improvement in Q1 2025. In 2024, industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery turned from losses to profits, while industries like power equipment and building materials saw significant net profit declines. In Q1 2025, industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery continued to perform well, but industries like power equipment and coal had significant net profit declines [23][29]. - **Cash Flow**: In 2024, the overall operating net cash flow of convertible bond issuers decreased year - on - year. Industries such as communication, media, and construction decoration saw significant improvements, while industries like national defense and military industry and power equipment weakened significantly. In Q1 2025, the net outflow of operating cash flow decreased. In 2024, the overall net outflow of investment cash flow decreased, and the net inflow of financing cash flow decreased year - on - year. Industries such as power equipment, electronics, and basic chemicals had large net inflows of financing cash flow and were more dependent on external financing [2][3][49]. - **Debt Burden and Solvency**: At the end of 2024, the overall asset - liability ratio of issuers was 60.93%, an increase of 1.29 percentage points from the end of 2023. The total debt scale increased, and the short - term debt ratio decreased compared to the end of 2023. The overall solvency weakened at the end of 2024 [3]. 3.3 Summary of the Current Credit Risk Status of Outstanding Convertible Bonds - Some industries, including coal, steel, construction materials, and power equipment, face challenges such as price pressure, demand shortfalls, and supply - demand mismatches. Some issuers in these industries have increased operating pressure, weakened profitability, cash flow problems, increased debt burdens, and weakened solvency, requiring close attention to their credit risks [4][63][66].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent default of Hongda Convertible Bond, indicating a growing trend of credit risk in the convertible bond market, particularly among companies with weak fundamentals [1][2][4]. Group 1: Default Events - On February 25, Hongda Convertible Bond announced it could not repay the principal and interest due to insufficient liquidity, marking another instance of default [1][4]. - The company had previously announced similar defaults in December 2024 and June 2024, citing cash flow issues and large overdue debts [2][5]. Group 2: Company Background - Hongda Convertible Bond, originally known as Hongda Convertible Bond before delisting, was issued in December 2019 with a total scale of 2.427 billion yuan and a six-year term [5]. - The company primarily engaged in the production and sale of chemical products, including polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and caustic soda, and faced significant financial difficulties leading to a 26.07% decline in revenue in 2022 and a further 42.04% drop in the first three quarters of 2023 [5]. Group 3: Market Trends - The article notes a trend of increasing credit risk in the convertible bond market, with several bonds, including Hongda, Suote, and Landun, experiencing defaults [2][7]. - The shift from a historical norm of convertible bonds exiting the market through conversion to a growing concern over repayment risks has been observed since 2020, with multiple instances of defaults and bankruptcies [8]. Group 4: Risk Identification - Investors are advised to monitor key indicators such as revenue, net profit, and cash flow declines, as well as potential non-operational fund occupations by major shareholders, which may signal underlying credit risks [8].