财政部 海关总署 税务总局 关于调整风力发电等增值税政策的公告 欢迎扫描下方二维码关注： 发布时间：2025-10-17 来源：国家税务总局 【文 号】 财政部 海关总署 税务总局2025年第10号 【成文日期】 2025-10-17 【是否有效】 全文有效 现就调整风力发电等增值税政策有关事项公告如下： 一、自2025年11月1日起至2027年12月31日，对纳税人销售自产的利用海上风力生产的电力产品， 实行增值税即征即退50%的政策。 二、2025年10月31日前已正式商业投产的核电机组，继续按照《财政部 国家税务总局关于核电行业税收政策有关问题的通知》（财税〔2008〕 38号）有关增值税规定执行；2025年10月31日前国务院已核准但尚未正式商业投产的核电机组，核力发电企业生产销售电力产品，自正式商业 投产次月起10个年度内，实行增值税先征后退政策，退税比例为已入库税款的50%，其他增值税规定继续按照《财政部 国家税务总局关于核电 行业税收政策有关问题的通知》（财税〔2008〕38号）执行。2025年11月1日后核准的核电机组，不再实行增值税先征后退政策。 三、现行规定与本公告不一致的，以本公告为准。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][21][26] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 61.635 billion yuan, an increase of 8.16% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.42% to 8.002 billion yuan. The decline in net profit is attributed to the pressure from the new energy business, which saw revenue growth without profit increase, as well as dilution effects from issuing REITs and market-oriented debt-to-equity swaps [1][7][15] - The company has a steady growth in installed capacity, with 26 operational nuclear units and a total capacity of 25 million kilowatts, alongside 19 units under construction or awaiting approval with a capacity of 21.859 million kilowatts [2][19] - Recent adjustments to VAT policies for nuclear and wind power are expected to have minimal short-term impact on nuclear profitability, as the actual VAT refunds are not anticipated due to prior input tax deductions [3][20] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total operating revenue of 61.635 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.16%, and a net profit of 8.002 billion yuan, down 10.42% [1][7] - The third quarter alone saw revenues of 20.662 billion yuan, up 5.72% year-on-year, but net profit fell by 23.45% to 2.336 billion yuan [1][7] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by an increase in power generation, while net profit decline is influenced by various factors including falling electricity prices and rising costs [1][15] Installed Capacity and Construction - As of September 30, the company has 26 operational nuclear units with a total capacity of 25 million kilowatts and 19 units under construction with a capacity of 21.859 million kilowatts [2][19] - The company also has 3,348.47 MW of operational renewable energy capacity, including 1,049.13 MW of wind power and 2,299.34 MW of solar power [2][19] Policy Adjustments - The recent VAT policy changes for wind and nuclear power are set to take effect from November 1, 2025, with a 50% immediate refund for offshore wind power sales. Existing nuclear units will continue under the previous policy, while new approvals post-November will not benefit from the same tax relief [3][20] Profit Forecasts - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 9.230 billion, 10.007 billion, and 11.089 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 5%, 8%, and 11% [4][21]

Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Finance announced a new policy reducing the VAT deduction for jewelry retailers from 13% to 6%, increasing gold procurement costs by approximately 7% [1] - The policy will be effective from November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, and is expected to lead to a preemptive purchasing trend before anticipated price increases [1] - Companies like Lao Pu Gold (06181) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) are expected to pass these costs onto consumers, with no long-term concerns regarding the impact on gross margins for gold jewelry stocks [1] Group 2 - Lao Pu Gold's recent price increase on October 26 is seen as sufficient to offset recent gold price rises, minimizing immediate profit margin risks [2] - The general industry trend of raising prices for weight-based products is expected to make Lao Pu Gold's offerings more attractive, potentially encouraging consumers to purchase gold jewelry in advance [2] - Both Lao Pu Gold and Chow Tai Fook maintain a "buy" rating, with a preference for Lao Pu Gold in the short term due to its recent price hikes and higher proportion of priced products [2]

Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Finance announced a new policy reducing the VAT deduction for jewelry retailers from 13% to 6%, increasing gold procurement costs by approximately 7% [1] - The policy will be effective from November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, and is expected to lead to a preemptive purchasing trend before anticipated price increases [1] - Companies like Lao Pu Gold (06181) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) are expected to pass these costs onto consumers, with no long-term concerns regarding the impact on gross margins for gold jewelry stocks [1] Group 2 - Lao Pu Gold's recent price increase on October 26 is seen as sufficient to offset recent gold price rises, minimizing immediate profit margin risks [2] - The general industry trend of raising prices for weight-based products is expected to make Lao Pu Gold's offerings more attractive, potentially encouraging consumers to purchase gold jewelry sooner [2] - Both Lao Pu Gold and Chow Tai Fook maintain a "buy" rating, with a preference for Lao Pu Gold in the short term due to its recent price hikes and higher proportion of priced products [2]

Group 1: Banking and Financial Regulations - The People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration have issued the "Management Measures for Bank Card Clearing Institutions," effective from November 1, which encourages risk information sharing among card clearing institutions [1] - The National Financial Regulatory Administration has announced the implementation of "reporting and operation integration" for non-auto insurance businesses, effective from November 1, emphasizing rate management and premium income oversight [5] Group 2: Tax and Consumption Policies - The Ministry of Finance and other departments have adjusted the VAT policy for offshore wind power, implementing a 50% VAT refund policy for electricity products sold from offshore wind power from November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027 [1] - A notification has been issued to improve duty-free shop policies to boost consumption, effective from November 1, focusing on optimizing tax refund policies, expanding product categories, and enhancing regulatory measures [4] Group 3: Transportation and Safety Standards - Three mandatory national standards for road traffic signs and markings will be implemented starting in November, applicable to various types of roads [3] Group 4: Health and Education Initiatives - The National Health Commission and other departments have announced free HPV vaccinations for girls aged 13 and above, starting from November 10, targeting those born after November 10, 2011 [9] - The "Law Popularization and Education Law" will be implemented from November 1, establishing lifelong legal education for citizens and integrating it into various educational systems [8] Group 5: Product Identification and Regulation - The "Lithium-ion Battery Coding Rules" will come into effect on November 1, assigning unique identification codes to newly produced battery products, facilitating lifecycle management and industry regulation [6][7]

Core Points - The Ministry of Finance, General Administration of Customs, and State Taxation Administration of China have jointly announced adjustments to the value-added tax (VAT) policy for wind power generation [1][2] - The adjustment reflects the achievement of policy goals, leading to the timely withdrawal of tax incentives for industries that no longer require them [1] - From November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, a 50% VAT rebate policy will be implemented for electricity products generated from offshore wind power [1] - The policy adjustment aims to enhance precision by retaining VAT incentives for offshore wind power while removing them for onshore wind power, aligning with the need for high-quality development of the marine economy [1] Industry Impact - The adjustments are focused on specific industries, regions, and entities, promoting a unified tax system and fair tax burden, which fosters a competitive market environment [2] - The changes are expected to improve the VAT system and support the upcoming implementation of the VAT law in 2026 [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply of lead is expected to increase, with some regenerative enterprises in Anhui planning to resume production and an expected increase in imported lead arrivals. The production of primary lead is expected to have limited growth in the short - term. The demand from downstream enterprises is still weak, with strong wait - and - see sentiment and cautious procurement. The overall demand is in a slow recovery stage. It is recommended to short - sell lead at high prices [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main Shanghai lead futures contract is 17,615 yuan/ton, up 455 yuan; the 3 - month LME lead quote is 1,995 dollars/ton, up 2 dollars. The spread between the November - December contracts of Shanghai lead is 50 yuan/ton, down 65 yuan. The Shanghai lead open interest is 115,683 lots, up 27,111 lots; the net position of the top 20 in Shanghai lead is - 3,686 lots, down 958 lots. The Shanghai lead warehouse receipts are 23,734 tons, down 1,243 tons. The SHFE inventory is 41,701 tons, up 1,785 tons; the LME lead inventory is 244,125 tons, down 3,175 tons. The spot price of 1 lead on SMM is 17,125 yuan/ton, up 125 yuan; the spot price of 1 lead in the Yangtze River Non - ferrous Market is 17,270 yuan/ton, up 60 yuan [2] 现货市场 - The basis of the lead main contract is - 490 yuan/ton, down 330 yuan; the LME lead (0 - 3) spread is - 39.73 dollars/ton, down 0.04 dollars. The price of 50% - 60% lead concentrate in Jiyuan is 16,396 yuan, down 75 yuan. The WBMS supply - demand balance of lead is 22,000 tons. The price of domestic recycled lead (≥98.5%) is 17,070 yuan/ton, up 60 yuan. The number of recycled lead production enterprises is 68, unchanged. The capacity utilization rate of recycled lead is 35.56%, down 2.32 percentage points; the monthly output of recycled lead is 224,200 tons, down 67,500 tons. The average weekly operating rate of primary lead is 81.64%, down 1.92 percentage points; the weekly output of primary lead is 39,100 tons, up 1,800 tons [2] Upstream Situation - The processing fee of 60% lead concentrate at major ports is down 90 dollars/kiloton. The ILZSG lead supply - demand balance is - 5,600 tons, down 5,100 tons. The global lead ore output is 379,900 tons, down 16,000 tons. The monthly lead ore import volume is 134,800 tons, up 12,700 tons [2] Industry Situation - The monthly refined lead import volume is 1,820.55 tons, down 1,596.29 tons; the monthly refined lead export volume is 2,752.22 tons, up 957.7 tons. The average price of waste batteries in the market is 9,991.07 yuan/ton, unchanged. The domestic average processing fee of lead concentrate to the factory is 380 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Downstream Situation - The monthly export volume of batteries is 49.68 million units, up 1.925 million units. The average price of lead - antimony alloy (for batteries, 2% antimony content) is 19,550 yuan/ton, down 200 yuan. The Shenwan industry index of the tertiary industry of batteries and other electrical cells is 1,978.98 points, down 23.88 points. The monthly automobile production is 3.227 million vehicles, up 474,600 vehicles; the monthly new - energy vehicle production is 1.333 million vehicles, up 157,000 vehicles [2] Industry News - Some regenerative enterprises in Anhui plan to resume production, and the supply is expected to pick up. The lead concentrate processing fee is currently stable, but the production rhythm of some smelters has changed greatly. Some smelters have maintenance plans, and the primary lead operating rate fluctuates slightly. The supply of waste batteries is still tight, and the recycling merchants are reluctant to sell. The profit of recycled lead has recovered, and the enterprises that stopped production in Anhui in October will resume production one after another [2] Viewpoint Summary - The supply of lead is expected to increase, while the downstream demand is weak, with strong wait - and - see sentiment. The overall demand is in a slow recovery stage, and it is recommended to short - sell lead at high prices [2]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic lead market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with lead futures showing significant price movements and positive market sentiment driven by various factors including inventory levels and production rates [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - On October 23, lead futures opened at 17,160.00 CNY/ton and reached a high of 17,760.00 CNY, marking a 3.12% increase [1] - The lead market is characterized by a strong performance, with expectations for continued upward movement in the short term [1] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Lead ore port inventories have increased, while lead concentrate treatment charges (TC) have stabilized, maintaining high operating rates for primary lead smelting [1] - The supply of recycled lead is tightening, with a recovery in profits for recycled lead smelting, leading to increased weekly operating rates [1][2] - Domestic and foreign lead inventories are on the rise, indicating a slowdown in demand [2] Group 3: Demand Factors - Downstream lead-acid battery manufacturers are experiencing a decline in inventory levels, with battery factory stocks dropping to 19.7 days and dealer inventories to 39.7 days, alleviating pressure on finished goods [1] - Despite the traditional peak season for battery production, demand remains cautious, with a slow recovery observed in the overall market [2] - Emerging storage demand is showing positive trends, partially offsetting weaknesses in traditional demand sectors [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement outlines adjustments to the value-added tax (VAT) policy for wind power generation and nuclear power, effective from November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, aiming to promote renewable energy and support the nuclear power sector [1][9]. Summary by Sections Wind Power VAT Policy - From November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, a VAT policy of immediate collection and 50% refund will be implemented for taxpayers selling electricity products generated from offshore wind power [1][9]. Nuclear Power VAT Policy - Nuclear power plants that officially commenced commercial operations before October 31, 2025, will continue to follow the existing VAT regulations as per the 2008 notice [1][9]. - For nuclear power plants approved but not yet operational by October 31, 2025, a VAT policy of prior collection and subsequent 50% refund will apply for ten years starting from the month after they begin commercial operations [1][9]. - Nuclear power plants approved after November 1, 2025, will not be eligible for the prior collection and subsequent refund VAT policy [1][9]. Policy Consistency - Any existing regulations inconsistent with this announcement will be superseded by this announcement, and previous notices regarding wind power VAT policy will be abolished effective November 1, 2025 [2][9].

Report Summary 1. Report Type and Date - Report type: Steel Daily Review [1] - Date: October 21, 2025 [2] 2. Research Team - Black Metal Research Team: Researchers include Zhai Hepan, Nie Jiayi, and Feng Zeren [3] 3. Market Conditions on October 20 3.1 Futures Market - **Prices and Trading Volume**: RB2601 closed at 3045 yuan/ton with a -0.03% change, trading 1,232,540 lots; HC2601 closed at 3215 yuan/ton with a -0.12% change, trading 539,570 lots; SS2512 closed at 12595 yuan/ton with a -0.16% change, trading 124,780 lots [5] - **Position Changes**: RB2601's open interest increased by 1,609 lots; HC2601's increased by 7,152 lots [5] - **Fund Flows**: RB2601 had a 0.15 - billion - yuan inflow; HC2601 had a 0.28 - billion - yuan inflow [5] 3.2 Spot Market - **Price Changes**: Some rebar and hot - rolled coil spot prices declined. Rebar prices in Nanjing and Hefei dropped 30 yuan/ton, and in other cities, 10 - 20 yuan/ton; hot - rolled coil prices in Zhengzhou dropped 30 yuan/ton, and in other cities, 10 - 20 yuan/ton [8] 3.3 Technical Indicators - Rebar 2601 contract's daily KDJ indicator showed a golden cross, and hot - rolled coil 2601's was close to a golden cross. Both contracts' daily MACD green bars narrowed [8] 4. Market Outlook 4.1 News and Policy - Trump's attitude towards China - US trade tariffs softened, which eased market concerns. He will meet with China in about two weeks and is optimistic about the negotiation. The US Treasury Secretary also said the meeting may lead to a broader trade agreement [9][10] 4.2 Fundamentals - **Supply and Demand**: In the past 6 weeks, the weekly output of five major steel products decreased slightly but remained high; weekly demand rebounded from the lowest since late February but was lower than the end - September level; social inventory of five major steel products decreased slightly from the highest since mid - April [10] - **Raw Materials**: In the past 2 weeks, iron ore inventories of 247 steel mills and imported sintered powder ore inventories of 64 sample steel mills dropped significantly; in the past 4 weeks, Australian and Brazilian iron ore shipments increased by 2.2% on top of a 3.7% increase in the previous 4 weeks, and arrivals increased by 11.9% after a 1.4% decrease in the previous 4 weeks; coke profit was briefly positive and then turned negative, and the first round of coke price increase was implemented on October 1; steel mills reduced coke inventories after the holiday; coking coal prices remained firm [11] 4.3 Forecast - Steel demand has seasonal improvement, but trade conflicts remain uncertain. Steel futures prices are expected to be more volatile, with a possible first - decline - then - rebound trend. Attention should be paid to market expectations before China - US trade negotiations, raw material prices after most steel mills' profits turn negative, and the impact of low temperatures on terminal demand [11] 5. Industry News - **Economic Growth**: The National Bureau of Statistics attributed the Q3 GDP growth slowdown to international trade protectionism and domestic economic structural adjustment [12] - **Policy Adjustment**: The Ministry of Finance, General Administration of Customs, and State Taxation Administration adjusted the VAT policy for wind power generation and nuclear power [13] - **Production Data**: From January to September 2025, national coke production was 377.16 million tons (up 3.5% YoY), pig iron production was 645.86 million tons (down 1.1% YoY), crude steel production was 746.25 million tons (down 2.9% YoY), and steel production was 1.10385 billion tons (up 5.4% YoY). In September, national coal production was 411.51 million tons (down 1.8% YoY), and industrial power generation was 826.2 billion kWh (up 1.5% YoY) [13] - **Real Estate**: From January to September 2025, national real estate development investment was 6.7706 trillion yuan (down 13.9% YoY), construction area was 6.4858 billion square meters (down 9.4% YoY), new commercial housing sales area was 658.35 million square meters (down 5.5% YoY), and sales volume was 6.304 trillion yuan (down 7.9% YoY) [13] - **Railway Transport**: In the first three quarters of 2025, national railway freight volume was 3.912 billion tons (up 2.8% YoY) [14] - **Corporate Performance**: Baotou Steel's semi - annual asset - liability ratio in 2025 decreased by 0.42 percentage points from the beginning of the year, and financial expenses decreased by 6.29% YoY [14] - **International Trade**: In September 2025, China exported 6.4 million tons of steel plates (down 6.1% YoY) and 1.68 million tons of steel bars (up 25.0% YoY). In September, the iron ore export volume of Port Hedland in Australia was 48.5673 million tons (down 0.48% YoY, up 9.58% MoM) [14] 6. Data Overview - The report presents various steel - related data charts, including prices, production, inventory, and capacity utilization, with data sources from Mysteel and the research and development department of CCB Futures [16][17][20]