后市展望： 周三，市场三大指数震荡拉升，沪指六连阳。三大指数集体高开，沪指高开 0.01%， 深成指高开 0.07%，创业板指高开 0.07%。随后指数震荡走弱，三大指数一度翻绿。截至 午盘收盘，三大指数窄幅震荡，三大指数集体翻红。盘面上，商业航天概念持续走强；福 建板块再度走强；半导体板块表现活跃。午后，指数震荡走强，最终三大指数均收红。总 体上个股涨多跌少，国防军工、电子、建筑材料、轻工制造和机械设备等行业表现靠前； 农林牧渔、煤炭、食品饮料、银行和传媒等行业表现靠后。概念指数方面，太赫兹、商业 航天、同花顺果指数、卫星导航和大飞机等板块表现靠前；乳业、动物疫苗、猪肉、养鸡 和芬太尼等板块表现靠后。 证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 25 日 星期四 【A 股市场大势研判】 沪指六连阳 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3940.95 | 0.53% | 20.97 | | | 深证成指 | 13486.42 | 0.88% | 117.43 | | | 沪深 300 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.66% closing at 3583.31 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.46% at 11041.56 points, the ChiNext Index up by 0.50% at 2334.32 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index rising by 1.22% to 1049.41 points [1][14] - Overall, there were 3875 stocks that increased in value while 1310 stocks declined, with 230 stocks remaining unchanged. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 14986 billion, a decrease of 998 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the leading sectors included defense and military, machinery and equipment, non-ferrous metals, textile and apparel, and media, with respective increases of 3.06%, 1.93%, 1.87%, 1.37%, and 1.28%. The sectors that experienced declines were commerce and retail, petroleum and petrochemicals, social services, comprehensive, and building materials, with decreases of 0.46%, 0.36%, 0.21%, 0.13%, and 0.06% respectively [1][14] Concept Sectors - The top-performing concept sectors today included continuous boards, military-civilian integration, large aircraft, aircraft carriers, and gold and jewelry, among others. Notable sectors that saw declines included film and television, dairy, and photovoltaic rooftops [2][11]

Group 1 - The market experienced a general decline, with financial and cyclical sectors performing the best, while the STAR 50, consumer, and CSI 2000 indices lagged behind [3][9] - Among industries, non-ferrous metals, petroleum and petrochemicals, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery showed the highest gains, while household appliances, food and beverage, and building materials performed the weakest [11][12] - The relative PE of the ChiNext index to the CSI 300 decreased, and the relative PB also declined [16] Group 2 - The overall valuation of broad market indices fell, with the current valuations of major indices above the 50% historical percentile level, while the ChiNext index is at a low valuation compared to the past year [24] - Valuation differentiation is evident across industries, with financial real estate valuations above the 50% historical percentile, while materials, equipment manufacturing, industrial services, transportation, consumption, and technology are at or below the 50% level [26] Group 3 - The current valuation of the food and beverage, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and public utilities sectors is relatively cheap, indicating potential investment opportunities [37] - The PB-ROE perspective shows that non-bank financials, public utilities, agriculture, food and beverage, and social services have lower PB-ROE ratios, suggesting they may be undervalued [40] Group 4 - Current popular concepts such as autonomous driving, cultivated diamonds, third-generation semiconductors, digital currency, 6G, robotics, central state-owned enterprises, and large aircraft are at historically high valuation percentiles over the past three years [43]