智通财经APP获悉，瑞银财富管理亚太区投资总监办公室发表报告指，金价或有进一步的上涨空间，到 2026年中，金价或将达到每盎司3900美元。该行预计黄金有望继续受益于实际利率下降、美元走软以及 投资需求在地缘政治风险持续下保持强劲。 瑞银财富管理表示，在美联储可能进一步宽松政策和通胀仍然高企的情况下，美国实际利率有望进一步 下降，利好黄金。尽管最近几周中国对黄金的投资需求因其国内股市上涨而疲软，但随着金价持续上 涨，该行预计中国黄金ETF持仓量或将恢复。 该行同时预计，美联储或在2026年一季度前再降息75个基点，且美国经济不会陷入衰退。在亚洲，额外 货币和财政支持措施正陆续出台，科技供应链继续受益于AI需求，预计随着人民币回升以及出口商将 大量美元收入汇回本国，亚洲货币有望进一步走强。 瑞银财富管理预计，由于美联储潜在降息幅度大于其他央行，以及人民币有望回升，亚洲货币在未来12 个月兑美元或平均升值4%。投资者应考虑对冲投资组合中的美元敞口，并分散投资于澳元和欧元等其 他货币。 对于中国股市，该行认为，涨势尚未达到巅峰，随着家庭大量额外储蓄逐渐流入市场，机器人等创新板 块的估值可能继续重估，中国科技股仍是该 ...

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs raised the earnings per share forecast for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by approximately 4% based on better-than-expected average daily trading volume [1] - The target price for HKEX was increased by 11%, from HKD 450 to HKD 500, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 40 times for 2026 [1] - Despite the upward revision of earnings estimates, HKEX's stock price remains about 20% lower than its peak in 2021, even as average daily trading volume in cash equities has reached a historical high of over HKD 200 billion [1] Group 2 - The number of IPO applications is nearing the peak levels of 2021, but the pace of new listings is still in the mid-cycle [2] - Key market activity indicators, such as turnover rate and the ratio of small to large-cap stock trading, are above the historical 90th percentile, yet the market's valuation relative to GDP is at historical average levels [1][2] - The average year-on-year growth in earnings per share for HKEX is projected to reach 42% from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, with a 29% growth expected in Q2 2025, which is 3 to 4 times the normal growth rate [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the meeting is the recognition of the evolving characteristics of global industrial and supply chains, which are shifting towards "nearshoring," "localization," and "diversification" [1] - It is suggested that China will develop a parallel system of high-end core industrial chains with Europe and the United States, alongside a cross-sectional system of low-value-added basic industrial chains [1] - There is a recommendation to enhance policy coordination to attract more medium- to long-term capital into supply chain-related sectors, aiming to stabilize market expectations and strengthen market confidence to support enterprise development [1] Group 2 - The meeting emphasizes the need for increased national subsidy policies to stimulate consumption scenarios [1] - It is proposed that these subsidies could help drive down actual interest rates [1]