Group 1: Precious Metals - The precious metals sector is experiencing a correction due to the CME raising margin requirements, leading to a decrease in speculative sentiment and a drop in prices for silver, platinum, and palladium, with gold also following suit [1] - Short-term outlook remains positive for precious metals, driven by potential political events in the Americas around New Year's that may trigger safe-haven demand, alongside inflows into ETFs due to interest rate cuts [1] - Long-term view suggests that the process of de-dollarization will continue, and investors are encouraged to hold positions despite market volatility [1] Group 2: Copper - Copper prices have risen, with a supply-demand tightness expected in 2026 due to lowered production forecasts from Freeport and Teck Resources, alongside anticipated increases in U.S. government spending [2] - The recommendation is to buy on dips, as current adjustments in copper prices present buying opportunities [2] Group 3: Aluminum - The aluminum sector is expected to benefit from the implementation of a national subsidy plan in 2026, which aims to stimulate demand for consumer goods [2] - Supply disruptions are anticipated due to maintenance at the Mozal aluminum plant, while demand is constrained by high prices and environmental production limits [2] - Overall, the recommendation is to buy aluminum and aluminum equities on dips, given the expected supply disturbances and potential demand growth [2] Group 4: Cobalt - Cobalt prices have increased across the board, with significant rises in electrolytic cobalt and other cobalt products due to tight supply conditions and increased trading activity [3] - The domestic raw material supply remains structurally tight, providing solid support for prices [3] Group 5: Lithium - Lithium prices have surged, driven by favorable signals from domestic new energy vehicle subsidies and anticipated production resumption from major suppliers [3] - The recommendation is to buy on dips, as the market is expected to maintain a downward inventory trend amid stable demand [3] Group 6: Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include Xingye Silver Tin, Xiyu Co., Huaxi Nonferrous, New Jinlu, Dazhong Mining, Guocheng Mining, Zhongkuang Resources, Shengda Resources, Chifeng Gold, Zijin Gold International, Zhaojin Gold, Shenhuo Co., and Zijin Mining [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - Precious metals are recommended to be held firmly due to their continued price increase, driven by a decrease in the US CPI and expectations of interest rate cuts in 2026, which enhances the probability of a soft landing. Industrial precious metals like silver and platinum are favored, while gold is expected to underperform in the short term. The long-term trend of de-dollarization is anticipated to continue, and investors are advised to hold low-cost positions despite market volatility [5] - Copper prices are expected to rise again due to a soft landing scenario, with LME copper increasing by 2.75% this week. The anticipated supply-demand tightness in 2026, coupled with increased fiscal spending expectations from the US government, suggests that price adjustments should be viewed as buying opportunities [6] - Aluminum prices have increased by 2.80%, supported by low inventory levels and resilient demand from sectors like automotive and electronics, despite December being a traditional off-peak season. Investors are encouraged to buy aluminum and related equities on dips [6] - Tin prices have surpassed 340,000 yuan/ton, driven by reduced macroeconomic uncertainty and speculative trading, although high prices have led to stagnant spot transactions. A significant inventory buildup is noted, and while short-term price corrections may occur, the long-term price center is expected to remain above 300,000 yuan [7] - Tungsten prices continue to reach new highs, with black tungsten concentrate prices rising to 430,000 yuan/ton. Supply constraints and strong demand from sectors like defense and controlled nuclear fusion are expected to maintain upward pressure on prices [8] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 1.16%, ranking 14th among industry indices [17] Price Movements - Basic metals: LME copper up 2.75%, aluminum up 2.80%, zinc down 1.94%, lead up 0.94%, tin up 4.50% - Precious metals: COMEX gold up 0.90%, silver up 8.55%, NYMEX palladium up 16.03%, platinum up 14.27% - New energy metals: LME nickel up 1.92%, cobalt up 1.21%, lithium carbonate up 3.33% [20] Inventory Levels - Global visible inventories increased: copper by 19,262 tons, aluminum by 6,978 tons, zinc by 31,871 tons, lead by 21,368 tons, tin by 1,575 tons, nickel by 3,870 tons [34]

Investment Highlights - Precious metals are recommended to hold firmly, with COMEX gold rising by 2.42% and COMEX silver by 5.59%. The volatility of silver is high, and the rebound in London inventory may temporarily pause the short-term squeeze logic. The long-term trend of de-dollarization will not reverse, and with the inflow of ETF funds under short-term rate cut trades, the precious metals sector is expected to perform well [1] - Copper prices experienced fluctuations due to market risk appetite adjustments, with LME copper down by 0.96%. This decline is primarily driven by a decrease in risk assets linked to the U.S. market. However, the inventory relocation logic remains, and due to the downward adjustment of production expectations from Freeport and Teck Resources for 2026, a supply-demand tightness is anticipated. The expectation of increased fiscal spending by the U.S. government further reinforces this outlook, suggesting that adjustments present buying opportunities [1] - Aluminum prices fell by 0.88%, following copper price trends. Despite being in a traditional consumption off-season in December, demand from the automotive, power, and electronics sectors remains resilient. The inventory of electrolytic aluminum was reported at 584,000 tons, a decrease of 11,000 tons, indicating a relatively low level that supports aluminum prices. Overall, the decline in aluminum prices is linked to copper, and buying opportunities are suggested amid supply disruptions and surging energy storage demand in 2026 [2] - Tin prices surged past 330,000 yuan/ton, driven by strong market sentiment and continuous capital inflow. The rise in tin prices is attributed to ongoing supply issues, with expectations of supply chain disruptions due to large-scale evacuations in the Bisie mine area. Additionally, supply risks in Nigeria and slow recovery in Myanmar's tin mines contribute to the challenges. The macroeconomic benefits from the Federal Reserve's rate cuts amplify the upward potential for tin prices, with expectations that the price center will remain above 300,000 yuan in 2026 [2] - Tungsten prices continue to rise, with black tungsten concentrate reaching 370,000 yuan/ton. The decline in mine output and increased maintenance by APT companies have tightened upstream raw material supplies. In Europe, severe raw material shortages and pre-Christmas production halts have led to stagnant market trading. Traders expect European APT prices to exceed 1,000 USD/ton, with end-users accepting this price level. The short-term supply-demand imbalance in tungsten is expected to persist, with attention on next year's quota issuance and overseas mine production [3] Investment Recommendations - Companies to focus on include Shengda Resources, Xingye Silver Tin, Chifeng Gold, Shenhuo Co., and Zijin Mining [4]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The report suggests that the recent adjustments in risk preferences have led to a pullback, recommending to accumulate positions in the non-ferrous metal sector on dips [4] - Precious metals are advised to be held firmly, with COMEX gold rising by 2.42% and silver by 5.59%, despite short-term adjustments [4] - Copper prices have shown volatility due to market adjustments, with LME copper down by 0.96%, but a supply-demand tightness is expected in 2026 [5] - Aluminum prices are supported by low inventory levels, with LME aluminum down by 0.88% [5] - Tin prices have surged past 330,000 yuan/ton, driven by supply chain concerns and market optimism [6] - Tungsten prices continue to rise, with black tungsten concentrate reaching 370,000 yuan/ton, amid supply constraints [7] - Investment suggestions include companies such as Shengda Resources, Xingye Silver Tin, Chifeng Gold, Shenhuo Co., and Zijin Mining [8] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced a weekly decline of 0.51%, ranking 14th among sectors [16] - The top five gainers in the sector were Xibu Materials, Zhongzhou Special Materials, Yinbang Co., Huaguang New Materials, and Xinxin Co. [18] Prices - Basic metals saw LME copper down by 0.96%, aluminum down by 0.88%, zinc up by 1.31%, lead down by 2.14%, and tin up by 2.36% [20] - Precious metals experienced increases with COMEX gold up by 2.42% and silver up by 5.59% [20] Inventory - Global visible inventory changes included a copper increase of 18,742 tons, aluminum decrease of 6,323 tons, zinc decrease of 2,897 tons, lead decrease of 8,184 tons, tin increase of 1,146 tons, and nickel increase of 402 tons [36]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The report emphasizes a bullish outlook on copper, driven by warehouse cancellations and supply-demand dynamics, suggesting that adjustments in price should be seen as buying opportunities [6] - The report also highlights the performance of precious metals, particularly silver, which has shown volatility but is expected to perform well in the long term due to ongoing de-dollarization trends and ETF inflows [5] - The aluminum market is following copper's upward trend, although it is experiencing seasonal demand weakness [7] - Tin prices are influenced by geopolitical factors, with expectations of long-term supply tightness despite recent price corrections [8] - Tungsten prices are reaching new highs due to supply constraints and export controls, indicating a persistent upward trend in the industry [9] - Investment suggestions include companies such as Shengda Resources, Xingye Silver Tin, Chifeng Gold, Shenhuo Co., and Zijin Mining [10] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 4.30%, ranking second among industry sectors [18] Prices - LME copper rose by 4.38%, aluminum by 1.24%, zinc by 1.56%, lead by 1.41%, and tin by 2.23% during the week [21] Inventory - Global visible copper inventories increased by 8,709 tons, while aluminum saw a decrease of 10,852 tons, indicating varied inventory trends across metals [35][37]