华西宏观 （四）票据市场：利率转为上行，大行转为净卖出 截止11月21日，1M票据较前一周上行28bp至1.08%，3M上行18bp至0.58%，6M上行14bp至0.77%。在此 期间（11月17-20日），大行净卖出235亿元，11月累计净买入774亿元（去年同期累计净买入2058亿 元）。 （五）政府债：11月24-28日，净缴款2237亿元 （一）概况：税期，资金面起波澜 11月17-21日，资金面波澜再起，周初（17-18日）受税期、政府债缴款及北交所打新等因素影响，资金 面显著承压，R001迅速攀升至1.57%，R007也升至1.53%。周三起，随着央行持续加力投放，且税期走 款即将结束，资金利率迎来下行。直至周五，资金利率才回归合理定价，R001回落至1.39%，低于 OMO利率，R007也逐步下行至1.50%水平。 （二）展望：跨月周，资金面风浪依旧未平 下周（11月24-28日）进入跨月周，资金面风浪依旧未平。周一（24日）起，拆借7天利率可跨月。参考 今年二季度以来季中月（5月、8月）资金利率在跨月周的变化情况，R007最大上行幅度分别为11、 8bp，而R001多在跨月当日显著上行，幅度 ...

Group 1: Liquidity and Interest Rates - The funding rates remain low, with R001 averaging around 1.35% and R007 around 1.47% during the week of October 13-17, 2025[1][12] - Despite nearly 2 trillion in open market maturities, liquidity achieved self-balancing due to central bank support and low government debt payment pressure[1][11] - The overnight rate is expected to continue fluctuating around OMO-5bp, with R007 likely to stay below 1.50%[2][17] Group 2: Open Market Operations - From October 20-24, the reverse repo maturity will be 789.1 billion, significantly lower than the average of 1.1 trillion since 2025[2][17] - The central bank net drained 581.9 billion in the week of October 13-17, with reverse repos maturing at 1.021 trillion[3][22] - The net reverse repo balance as of October 17 was 789.1 billion, down from 1.137 trillion on October 11[3][24] Group 3: Government Bonds and Payments - Government bond net payments for October 20-24 are projected at 158.4 billion, up from 140.2 billion the previous week[5][30] - The increase in net payments is primarily due to a rise in local government bond issuance, which increased by 177.6 billion[5][32] - The net issuance of treasury bonds decreased from 181.1 billion to 21.6 billion, influenced by a significant increase in maturity amounts[5][32] Group 4: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The pressure from maturing interbank certificates of deposit is expected to remain manageable, with 616.7 billion maturing from October 20-24[6][38] - The weighted issuance rate for one-year CDs was 1.63%, a slight increase from the previous week[6][36] - The net financing from CDs turned positive at 234 billion, with total issuance at 727.6 billion during the week of October 13-17[6][41]