值得注意的是，消费者对家庭当前财务状况的评估近4年来首次跌入负面区间，即认为状况"糟糕"的比 例超过"良好"比例。但消费者对家庭未来财务状况的预期达到今年1月以来最积极水平。 新华社纽约12月23日电（记者刘亚南）美国研究机构世界大型企业研究会23日发布的初步调查数据显 示，由于对商业环境看法负面，对就业和收入的担忧加剧，美国12月份消费者信心指数从11月份修订后 的92.9进一步下滑至89.1，连续第五个月走低，为今年4月以来的最低水平。 在该指数的组成部分中，12月消费者对当前商业和就业市场条件的评估指数显著下降9.5，至116.8。反 映短期收入前景、商业和就业市场环境的消费者预期指数维持在70.7的低位，连续11个月低于80这一通 常显示将出现经济衰退的临界点。 数据显示，消费者认为当前商业条件"良好"的比例从11月的21%降至18.7%，而认为"糟糕"的比例则从 前月的15.8%升至19.1%。消费者认为就业岗位"充足"的比例从28.2%降至26.7%，认为"难以找到工 作"的比例则从前月的20.1%升至20.8%。 世界大型企业研究会首席经济学家达娜·彼得森表示，尽管11月的数据因联邦政府"停摆" ...

格隆汇12月23日｜美国12月谘商会消费者信心指数降至89.1；消费者现况指数在12月骤降至116.8；消费 者预期指数则持稳于70.7，但预期指数现已连续11个月处于80以下，该门槛是预示经济衰退即将来临的 信号。谘商会首席经济学家Dana M Peterson表示："尽管因政府停摆结束而对11月数据进行了向上修 正，但12月消费者信心再次下降，且远低于今年1月的峰值。总体指数的五个组成部分中有四个下降， 而其中一个处于表明显著疲软的水平。"Peterson还表示，消费者在开放式回答中提到的经济影响因素， 仍然主要集中在价格和通胀、关税和贸易以及政治方面。然而，12月提及移民、战争以及与个人财务相 关话题的比例有所增加。这些回答继续偏向悲观，但程度较11月有所减轻，可能是因为关于价格和通 胀、政治的负面评论减少，以及关于利率的正面回应出现反弹。 ...

馬斯克 竟然後悔了？ 那個鋼鐵俠 親口承認 如果時間能倒流 我就 絕不碰政治！ 手裡有特斯拉 股票的朋友 這可能是 你們今年聽到的 最好消息 在最新的訪談裡 老馬罕見 流露悔意 他說搞 DOGE 代價太慘重 甚至導致了 特斯拉被攻擊 車子被點燃！ 他直言 如果重回 1月20日 他絕對不會 做同樣的選擇 但這場冒險 真的失敗了嗎？ 不！ 他順手砍掉了 美國政府 2000億美元的 「殭屍支付」！ 現在 當他意識到 政治泥潭 深不見底 這意味著什麼？ 意味著 那個全職的 專注造 汽車和火箭 的馬斯克 要回來了！ 政治的 遊戲結束了 特斯拉的狂飆 才正要開始！. ...

11月30日播出的一段采访中，美国亿万富翁马斯克坦言，他发现自己"只要参与政治，结果通常都挺糟 糕"，所以他觉得自己还是"少掺和为好"。 ...

李筠教授在书中设想了一个思想实验——"令狐冲退出江湖项目"。 在朋友圈里，为什么有些人一句话就能带节奏？ 恋爱中，为什么有的人总是"掌握主动权"？ 谣言为什么比真话更容易扩散？ 不懂政治，真的会在生活里吃亏吗？ 生活中，我们真的能逃开"政治"吗 B站千万播放的爆款付费课实体书全新呈现！ 什么是权力？ 在《笑傲江湖2：东方不败》的结尾，令狐冲带着师弟师妹离开华山，打算远离是非，归隐山林。然而路上 遇见任我行，后者笑声如雷："只要有人，就有恩怨；有恩怨，就有江湖。人就是江湖，你怎么退出？" 这句台词讲述了人类社会的底层逻辑。我们以为政治属于庙堂与宫廷，属于国家大事，和我们普通人无 关。 其实江湖不是一个地理空间，而是一种人际状态。只要人与人共处，政治就无法退出。 "退出江湖"为什么不可能 假设令狐冲真的找到了桃花源，一个与世隔绝的小村落。这里有良田美池、鸡犬相闻，人人怡然自乐，似 乎是个没有权力、没有争斗、没有政治的乐土。 但这样的乐土注定不会长久。不提外部世界迟早会发现它，其内部也会滋生裂隙。 人一旦聚在一起，就要面对 "谁得到什么、何时得到、怎么得到" 的问题。哪怕只是分配一块地、一桶水、 一顿饭，也会有人不 ...

Group 1 - The core idea of the article emphasizes that escaping from the "jianghu" (the social realm) is impossible, as political dynamics are inherent in human interactions [2][3][4] - The concept of power is explored, highlighting that it arises from human relationships and the need to resolve disputes, making it a fundamental aspect of society [4][7] - The article discusses the paradox of power, where the absence of power leads to disorder, while the presence of power can create new forms of authority [4][8] Group 2 - The article argues that political roots lie in human emotions and desires, rather than external systems, suggesting that power is defined by our internal conflicts and competition [7][8] - It critiques the notion of "thick black theory," which promotes self-serving behavior, and contrasts it with political science's goal of fostering coexistence and mutual respect [8][10] - The article concludes that understanding power dynamics is essential for navigating social interactions, emphasizing that political awareness can lead to better human coexistence [10][11]

Group 1 - The US consumer confidence index for November dropped to 88.7, marking a seven-month low and falling short of market expectations [1] - The index decreased by 6.8 from the revised October figure, with the present situation index at 126.9, down 4.3, and the expectations index at 63.2, down 8.6 [1] - A reading below 80 typically indicates a potential recession [1] Group 2 - Consumers under 35 showed an increase in confidence, while those aged 35 and above experienced a decline, with the largest drop among those aged 55 and older [1] - The confidence index for consumers earning less than $15,000 increased, while other income groups saw declines [1] - Inflation and prices remain the primary concerns for consumers, followed by tariffs, trade, and political issues [2] Group 3 - Retail sales in September rose by 0.2% month-on-month, but the growth rate slowed compared to August and fell below market expectations [2] - Economists project a 3% growth for the US economy in Q3, with a slowdown expected in Q4, primarily due to the impact of the government shutdown [2]

Group 1 - The core idea of the article emphasizes that politics is an inherent part of human interaction and cannot be escaped, as illustrated by the metaphor of "江湖" (the rivers and lakes) which represents social dynamics and conflicts [2][4][11] - The concept of power is explored, highlighting that it arises from human relationships and the need to resolve disputes, making it a fundamental aspect of society [4][7][10] - The article discusses the paradox of power, where the absence of power leads to chaos, while the presence of power can lead to tyranny, indicating that humans are trapped in a cycle of power dynamics [4][8] Group 2 - The article argues that political understanding is rooted in human emotions and desires, suggesting that power struggles originate from innate feelings of hostility and competition [7][10] - It critiques the notion of "厚黑学" (thick black theory), which promotes self-serving behavior, and contrasts it with political science that seeks to establish cooperative frameworks for coexistence [8][10] - The text posits that the goal of political science is to manage power effectively, ensuring it is bounded, balanced, and transparent, rather than merely seeking to win power [8][10][11]

Industry Perspective - The tech industry faces political headwinds that can significantly impact business operations and innovation [1] - Companies like Tesla and SpaceX navigate political landscapes to secure subsidies and launch permits [1] - Established corporations, such as General Motors, Ford, and major oil companies, invest hundreds of millions of dollars annually in political lobbying [1] Elon Musk's Actions - Elon Musk views political involvement as essential for removing obstacles to technological advancement and societal progress [1] - Musk's engagement in politics is framed as an effort to clear the path for human civilization's "rocket" [1] - Musk's actions are interpreted as an attempt to address political "drag" that hinders progress [1]