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欧元区经济数据边际改善
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-01 02:58
周一与英镑联动走强的是欧元兑美元汇率,在美元指数震荡下行与欧元区政策预期稳定的双重推动下, 12月1日欧元兑美元呈现偏强盘整态势。截至亚太市场午盘,欧元兑美元报1.1607,较前一交易日收盘 价1.1592上涨0.1035%,盘中最高触及1.1615,最低下探1.1590,振幅收窄至0.22%,显示市场在关键政 策节点前保持谨慎观望姿态。这一走势既受益于美联储降息预期升温带来的美元压制,更源于欧洲央行 明确的政策稳预期及欧元区经济数据的边际改善。 技术分析显示,欧元兑美元当前处于多空博弈的平衡区间。日线级别已形成以1.1502为底部的"双重 底"形态,颈线位锁定在1.1625,当前汇率运行于1.1580-1.1620区间,且处于20日均线上方,5日与10日 均线形成金叉,短期偏多信号明显。4小时图则呈现箱体震荡特征,成交量萎缩至均值的70%,RSI指标 维持在49-52的中性区间,MACD零轴上方红柱减弱,显示多头动能不足,需等待突破信号确认。 机构对后续走势判断分化。富达国际认为,若2026年美欧央行同步完成宽松周期,美联储政策转向叠加 欧央行降息收尾,欧元兑美元有望升至1.25的长期目标。而荷兰国际集团则 ...
15分钟血洗30%!美股崩盘,加密货币竟被腰斩
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-11 16:53
Group 1 - The Nasdaq index experienced a significant drop of 3.56%, marking its largest decline since April of this year, with major tech companies like Nvidia losing $229 billion in market value in a single day [1] - Chinese stocks also faced severe losses, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index plummeting by 6.1%, and companies like Alibaba and Baidu seeing declines exceeding 8% [1] - The S&P 500 technology sector's static P/E ratio has risen to 28 times, placing it in the 95th percentile since 2008, indicating a high valuation level [8] Group 2 - Concerns over a global economic slowdown have intensified, as consumer spending decreases and companies cut production, leading to a sharp decline in oil demand expectations [2] - Bitcoin and Ethereum saw drastic declines of 13% and over 17% respectively, while alternative cryptocurrencies experienced drops exceeding 30% [4] - The direct trigger for the market sell-off was Trump's threat to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods and implement key software export controls, which could increase average annual household spending by $4,000 [6] Group 3 - The U.S. consumer confidence index fell to its lowest level since May, with 63% of respondents expecting an increase in unemployment next year, indicating a potential contraction in future consumer spending [6] - Companies are prioritizing cash flow protection and pausing non-essential investments, with energy firms reducing oil extraction budgets and shifting focus to renewable energy [8] - Regulatory bodies have failed to provide stabilizing signals amid market volatility, leading to a 200% increase in insider trading reports [10]
乱成一锅粥了!关键时刻,特朗普连收三大噩耗,白宫罕见披露,博弈正在升级,事情果然不简单
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 02:21
据中国青年网消息,特朗普的政治野心正遭遇爱泼斯坦事件、美联储政策分歧与健康问题三重冲击。这三个危机几乎同时爆发,让这 位79岁的总统面临执政以来最严峻的考验。 《华尔街日报》日前披露,特朗普在2003年曾向爱泼斯坦发送带有暗示意味的生日贺信,信中手绘女性胸部图案并附"愿每一天都是另 一个美妙的秘密"字样。 特朗普(资料图) 尽管特朗普立即否认并起诉该媒体,但这一爆料彻底颠覆了他此前塑造的"反爱泼斯坦斗士"形象。 这场风波的政治杀伤力远超预期。特朗普曾在竞选期间承诺揭露爱泼斯坦案真相,甚至暗示民主党高层涉案。如今司法部却宣布没有 证据表明存在"客户名单",这让他的支持者感到被背叛。 7月17日众议院议事因共和党内部争议被迫中断数小时,多名原本坚定的MAGA议员公开要求政府公开更多信息。 更危险的是,马斯克在与特朗普决裂后宣称"特朗普就在爱泼斯坦名单上",尽管随后删除推文并道歉,但这一言论已在社交媒体引发 病毒式传播。 特朗普(资料图) 更深层的矛盾在于制度设计。美联储的独立性是美国金融稳定的基石,而特朗普试图通过人事干预施压的做法,被批评为"破坏经济治 理的根基"。 目前参议院休会期导致新主席提名受阻,若强行罢 ...
因对美担忧加剧,投资者蜂拥欧洲寻求稳定
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-07-22 13:50
Group 1 - The article highlights a shift in investor focus from the US to Europe due to increasing uncertainty in US trade policies and the desire for a more stable investment environment [1] - European infrastructure and defense spending plans are attracting capital inflows, providing policy continuity and predictability, contrasting with the erratic nature of US policies under Trump [1] - Data from LSEG indicates that European equity funds have seen inflows exceeding $100 billion this year, three times the amount from the same period last year, while US equity funds have experienced outflows of nearly $87 billion [1] Group 2 - Germany, as the largest economy in the EU, has seen foreign direct investment double to €46 billion in the first four months of 2025, marking a new high since 2022 [2] - There are warnings from investors that Europe must act quickly to maintain this momentum, with KfW's head emphasizing the need for Europe to view current sentiment as both a warning and an incentive [2] - Deutsche Bank's CEO confirmed strong investor interest in Europe and Germany but stressed the necessity for long-term stable conditions to sustain this interest [2]
探索设立民营企业政策观察员制度,加快落实“负面清单”制度
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-20 03:31
Core Viewpoint - The current stage of high-quality development in China emphasizes the importance of private capital as a core driver of market vitality, with its investment willingness directly impacting economic stability and growth [1][4]. Group 1: Investment Environment - The ongoing "streamlining administration and delegating power" reforms have faced challenges, including abrupt policy changes and hidden barriers that hinder private enterprise investment [1][2]. - The 2022 version of the "Negative List for Market Access" has been reduced to 117 items, yet private enterprises still face entry barriers in sectors like energy, communications, and finance, with actual entry rates below 30% [1]. - A survey indicates that 32% of private enterprises have encountered market access barriers, particularly in sectors with high hidden costs for qualification approvals [1]. Group 2: Financial and Operational Challenges - Private enterprises are currently under pressure from financing, costs, and transformation, with average loan rates for small and micro enterprises being 1.5-2 percentage points higher than state-owned enterprises [1][6]. - The social security contributions for manufacturing enterprises exceed 20% of profits, and the costs associated with digital transformation are rising [1][6]. Group 3: Policy Recommendations - To stabilize the economy and support private enterprises, a combination of policy tools and long-term mechanisms is recommended, including targeted monetary policy adjustments and the establishment of a national private enterprise development fund [6][7]. - Suggestions include enhancing tax incentives, increasing the R&D expense deduction rate to 150%, and promoting a "technology commissioner" system to support innovation [6][7]. Group 4: Legal and Competitive Environment - Establishing a fair competitive market environment is crucial, with recommendations to eliminate hidden barriers and ensure equal treatment for all types of enterprises [5][8]. - The construction of a unified national market and the promotion of competitive allocation mechanisms in public services and infrastructure are essential for breaking regional monopolies [5][8]. Group 5: Trust and Communication - Building a "clear and friendly" government-business relationship is vital, with a focus on establishing a negative list for government-business interactions to clarify roles and responsibilities [8]. - Strengthening the legal framework and improving public perception of private enterprises are necessary to foster a supportive environment for business development [8].