新兴市场股票正逐渐成为今年以来全球股票市场最热门的投资与交易主题之一，并且全球最顶级基金经理们愈发偏好广义上的新兴市场资 产——包含新兴市场股票、债券以及主权货币类资产。花旗集团的股票分析师团队表示，来自全球最大规模的那些资产管理机构的基金经 理们已大幅增加对亚洲、拉丁美洲以及欧洲、中东和非洲新兴市场股票资产的多头仓位。 华尔街金融巨头花旗集团(Citigroup Inc.)的分析师们在审阅投资型基金们已公开发布的展望后表示，全球最大规模的那些资产管理机构—— 累计管理着逾20万亿美元资产，正在大举买入新兴市场股票标的/新兴市场ETF、本币债券甚至某些信用类资产，押注强劲的全球经济增长 态势、受益于全球AI基建狂潮的算力链高度集中和持续走弱的美元将利好新兴市场资产。 花旗集团的股票分析师团队表示，基金经理们已大幅增加对亚洲、拉丁美洲以及欧洲、中东和非洲新兴市场股票资产的多头仓位。新兴市 场债券则是他们最偏好的久期资产押注，与基金经理们对于美国国债和核心欧洲主权债券的空头仓位形成鲜明对比。花旗表示，在信用市 场中，新兴市场公司债务获得最大幅度的超配，而美国投资级债券仍是热门的低配或者减持对象。 即使本周全球市场 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Supreme Court's ruling against Trump's tariffs has led to a strong rally in emerging market assets, with a benchmark index for emerging market currencies reversing weekly losses and an emerging market ETF reaching a historical high [1][5] - Michael Hartnett, a strategist at Bank of America, emphasizes that emerging markets are likely to outperform the U.S. market amid the decline of "American exceptionalism" and a shift in global growth focus [1][7] - The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF has seen a rare "ten consecutive days of gains," reaching a historical peak, with trading volume significantly above its 20-day average [1][4] Group 2 - The strong performance of key stocks like TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix has contributed to the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF's rise, which has increased by 14% in 2026, outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 [4] - The ongoing global AI boom and the "sell America" narrative have positioned the Korean stock market as one of the best-performing markets globally, with a 40% increase in its benchmark index this year [4][8] - The Supreme Court's tariff decision is seen as a catalyst for emerging market currencies, highlighting significant uncertainty in U.S. government policies and driving diversification trends [5][8] Group 3 - Recent U.S. economic data indicates weakness, with GDP growth falling short of expectations and inflation measures exceeding forecasts, creating mixed signals for the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook [6] - Despite geopolitical tensions, most Wall Street strategists believe that these will not escalate into a full-scale war, allowing emerging markets to maintain their strong upward momentum [6][7] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal policies and high valuations in the U.S. market are prompting large investors to seek diversification in emerging markets, which are seen as more attractive in terms of valuation and growth expectations [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the US stock market, highlighting the impact of President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on EU goods, which led to significant gains in major indices and tech stocks like Tesla [1][3][6]. Group 1: Stock Market Performance - On May 27, the US stock market saw a notable increase, with the Dow Jones rising by 1.78%, the S&P 500 by 2.05%, and the Nasdaq by 2.47% [1]. - Major tech stocks experienced substantial gains, with Tesla's stock price increasing by nearly 7%, adding approximately $75.9 billion (around ¥546.1 billion) to its market capitalization [3][4]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - The US economy has been developing in an environment of high interest rates, high growth, and elevated inflation, leading to increased financing costs for companies [6]. - Analysts predict that the return rate of US stocks may decline from the previous range of 15%-20% to 5%-10% over the next five years due to high valuations and potential shifts in investor preference towards other assets [6][7]. - Current valuations of US stocks are above 21 times earnings, which is considered high compared to other countries, suggesting limited short-term upside unless trade negotiations progress [6][7]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - A survey conducted at the JPMorgan Global Markets Conference indicated that 36% of investors expect European markets to outperform by 2025, while only 17% favor the US market [7]. - Emerging markets are anticipated to enter a "new bull market," driven by a weaker dollar, peak US bond yields, and a recovering Chinese economy [7].

美国银行知名策略师哈内特最近将新兴市场称为全球市场中的"下一个牛市"。 全球市场向来牵一发而动全身。此前，穆迪调降美国信用评级仅导致美国"股债汇三杀"一日游，不少华尔街大机构高管开始警示美元资产投资者过于自满的 风险，并认为全球金融系统正在发生一些"更深层次"的事情。 话音刚落，被视为传统避险资产的日债、美债拍售相继遇冷，后者导致美国周三再度遭遇"股债汇三杀"。同时，黄金、比特币价格却升至历史新高。此外， 随着更多投资者选择"卖出美国"交易，分析师认为新兴市场有望开启一轮牛市。 美债、日债吸引力下降的逻辑 周三，美国再度遭遇股债汇三杀：美股三大股指遭遇四月以来最严重抛售、长期美债收益率出现两位数基点单日涨幅、美元指数再现将近50点的大跌单日， 失手关键点位100。其中，美债再度成为大跌的"风暴眼"。当日拍售的20年期美债的最高中标利率达到5.047%，史上第二次超过5%，并录得近6个月来最大 尾部利差，投标倍数也从近六个月平均水平2.57降至2.46。如此惨淡的拍售数据发生在穆迪调降美国信用评级后的首场长债拍售中。本应是避险资产的长期 美债需求遇冷，再度引发了投资者恐慌情绪，带动美股美元同步大跌。 对美国高债 ...