| 指标 | CNF到岸价: | | | 申万期货品种策略日报- | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 马来西亚棕 榈油:连续 | | 2026/2/12 | 油脂油料 | | | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 | | | | 李霁月（从业编号:F03119649；交易咨询号:Z0019570） | | | | | | | | lijy@sywgqh.com.cn | | | | | | | 豆油主力 | 棕榈油主力 | 菜油主力 | 豆粕主力 | 菜粕主力 | 花生主力 | | | 前日收盘价 | 8110 | 8906 | 9131 | 2773 | 2394 | 8844 | | 国 | 涨跌 | 12 | -34 | 35 | 39 | 26 | 26 | | 内 | 涨跌幅(%) | 0.15% | -0.38% | -3.15% | 1.43% | 1.10% | 0.29% | | 期 | 价差 | Y9-1 | P9-1 | OI9-1 | Y-P09 | OI-Y09 | OI-P09 | | 货 ...

| | 申银万国期货研究所 | | | | 李霁月（从业编号:F03119649；交易咨询号:Z0019570） | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | lijy@sywgqh.com.cn | | | | | | | 豆油主力 | 棕榈油主力 | 菜油主力 | 豆粕主力 | 菜粕主力 | 花生主力 | | | 前日收盘价 | 8098 | 8940 | 9096 | 2734 | 2368 | 8844 | | 国 | 涨跌 | -16 | -74 | -41 | 5 | 22 | 26 | | 内 | 涨跌幅(%) | -0.20% | -0.82% | -3.15% | 0.18% | 0.94% | 0.29% | | 期 | 价差 | Y9-1 | P9-1 | OI9-1 | Y-P09 | OI-Y09 | OI-P09 | | 货 | 现值 | 40 | 112 | 68 | -946 | 1057 | 111 | | 市 场 | 前值 | 56 | 134 | 90 | -1000 | 971 | - ...

| 指标 | CNF到岸价: | | | 申万期货品种策略日报- | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 马来西亚棕 榈油:连续 | | 2026/2/9 | 油脂油料 | | | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 | | | | 李霁月（从业编号:F03119649；交易咨询号:Z0019570） | | | | | | | | lijy@sywgqh.com.cn | | | | | | | 豆油主力 | 棕榈油主力 | 菜油主力 | 豆粕主力 | 菜粕主力 | 花生主力 | | | 前日收盘价 | 8102 | 9026 | 9144 | 2735 | 2342 | 8844 | | 国 | 涨跌 | -2 | -16 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 26 | | 内 | 涨跌幅(%) | -0.02% | -0.18% | -3.15% | 0.15% | 0.39% | 0.29% | | 期 | 价差 | Y9-1 | P9-1 | OI9-1 | Y-P09 | OI-Y09 | OI-P09 | | 货 | 现 ...

| 指标 | CNF到岸价: | | | 申万期货品种策略日报- | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 马来西亚棕 榈油:连续 | | 2026/2/6 | 油脂油料 | | | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 | | | | 李霁月（从业编号:F03119649；交易咨询号:Z0019570） | | | | | | | | lijy@sywgqh.com.cn | | | | | | | 豆油主力 | 棕榈油主力 | 菜油主力 | 豆粕主力 | 菜粕主力 | 花生主力 | | | 前日收盘价 | 8104 | 9042 | 9144 | 2731 | 2333 | 8844 | | 国 | 涨跌 | -36 | -96 | -99 | 8 | -16 | 26 | | 内 | 涨跌幅(%) | -0.44% | -1.05% | -3.15% | 0.29% | -0.68% | 0.29% | | 期 | 价差 | Y9-1 | P9-1 | OI9-1 | Y-P09 | OI-Y09 | OI-P09 | | ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - For protein meals, night - session soybean and rapeseed meals fluctuated and closed lower. Chinese procurement plans are advancing steadily, providing support for US soybean futures prices. In the domestic market, the expectation of tight supply in the imported soybean market has pushed up the price of soybean meal, but the abundant long - term supply will continue to pressure the price [2]. - For oils and fats, night - session oils and fats fluctuated. The improvement of Malaysian palm oil export data boosted the palm oil market, but concerns about the implementation progress of Indonesia's B50 plan have emerged. Soybean oil is under pressure due to the expected high yield, and the short - term fundamental improvement of oils and fats is limited. The inventory pressure in Southeast Asian palm oil producing areas is difficult to relieve significantly in the short term, so the rebound of oils and fats is restricted and they are expected to continue to fluctuate [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Domestic Futures**: The previous day's closing prices of domestic futures for soybean oil, palm oil, rapeseed oil, soybean meal, rapeseed meal, and peanuts were 7818, 8512, 9040, 2774, 2465, and 8844 respectively. The price changes were - 18, - 56, - 6, - 16, 6, and 26, with percentage changes of - 0.23%, - 0.65%, - 3.15%, - 0.57%, 0.24%, and 0.29% respectively. There were also changes in spreads and price - ratio spreads [1]. - **International Futures**: The previous day's closing prices of international futures for BMD palm oil, CBOT soybeans, CBOT US soybean oil, and CBOT US soybean meal were 4058, 1064, 49.26, and 304 respectively. The price changes were 48, - 8, 0, and - 4, with percentage changes of 1.20%, - 0.75%, 0.12%, and - 1.27% respectively [1]. Spot Market - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The spot prices of various oils, meals, and peanuts in different regions had different percentage changes. The spot basis also varied, such as 456 for Tianjin first - grade soybean oil and 300 for Nantong soybean meal [1]. - **Spot Spreads**: The spot spreads between different products, like the spread between Guangzhou first - grade soybean oil and 24° palm oil, and between Zhangjiagang third - grade rapeseed oil and first - grade soybean oil, changed compared to the previous values [1]. Import and Profit - The import profit and loss of various agricultural products, such as Malaysian palm oil, US soybeans, and Canadian rapeseed, had different values compared to the previous ones [1]. Warehouse Receipts - The current values of warehouse receipts for soybean oil, palm oil, rapeseed oil, soybean meal, rapeseed meal, and peanuts were 28,264, 0, 3,786, 24,830, 0, and 0 respectively, with some changes compared to the previous values [1]. Industry Information - From December, the domestic soybean crushing volume of oil mills has remained above 2 million tons. As of December 26, the soybean crushing volume of major domestic oil mills was about 7.7 million tons, and it is expected to be about 8.9 million tons for the whole month of December, an increase of about 700,000 tons year - on - year and about 600,000 tons compared to the average of the past three years [2]. - A US private exporter reported selling 100,000 tons of soybeans to Egypt for delivery in the 2025/2026 fiscal year [2]. - As of December 27, the soybean sowing rate in Brazil was 97.9%, up from 97.6% last week, compared to 98.2% last year and a five - year average of 96.7%. The soybean harvesting rate was 0.1%, the same as last year and the five - year average [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Protein meal: Night trading of soybean meal oscillated and closed lower, while rapeseed meal closed slightly higher. Brazilian soybean sowing rate reached 94.1% as of the week of December 13. US soybean exports are still slightly slow. With concerns over US soybean export demand and increasing expectations of a bumper harvest in South America, US soybean futures prices have been weak recently. In China, continuous auctions of imported soybeans have made up for the supply gap, and the cost support for Dalian oil and meal has weakened. With sufficient long - term supply expected to continue to pressure prices, Dalian meal is expected to continue to oscillate within a range [2]. - Oils: Night trading of oils showed a strong oscillation. Malaysia's reduction of palm oil export tax rates and reference prices boosted export expectations, leading to a rise in palm oil futures prices. However, the inventory pressure in the producing areas is still significant. Although in the production - reduction period, the inventory inflection point may not appear until December. For rapeseed oil, with Australian rapeseeds arriving at ports and about to enter the crushing process, market supply is expected to gradually increase. With no improvement in the short - term fundamentals of palm oil producing areas, oils are expected to oscillate and consolidate [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Data - **Domestic Futures**: For domestic futures, the previous day's closing prices of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil were 7772, 8414, and 8864 respectively, with price changes of 60, 122, and 120 and percentage changes of 0.78%, 1.47%, and - 3.15%. The price differences and ratios of various contracts also showed different changes [1]. - **International Futures**: The previous day's closing prices of BMD palm oil, CBOT soybeans, CBOT US soybean oil, and CBOT US soybean meal were 3958 (Ringgit/ton), 1064 (cents/bu), 49 (cents/lb), and 302 (dollars/ton) respectively, with price changes of 9, 15, 1, and 0 and percentage changes of 0.23%, 1.43%, 1.49%, and 0.13% [1]. 3.2 Spot Market Data - **Domestic Spot**: In the domestic spot market, the spot prices of various oils and meals showed different degrees of increase or decrease. For example, the spot prices of Tianjin and Guangzhou first - grade soybean oil increased by 0.61%, and the spot prices of Zhangjiagang and Guangzhou 24° palm oil increased by 0.24%. The spot price differences and basis also changed compared with the previous values [1]. - **Import and Processing Profit**: The current values of import and processing profits for near - month Malaysian palm oil, near - month US Gulf soybeans, near - month Brazilian soybeans, near - month US West soybeans, and near - month Canadian crude rapeseed oil were - 391, - 314, - 103, - 300, and - 335 respectively, showing different degrees of improvement compared with the previous values [1]. 3.3 Industry Information - **Soybean Export**: A US private exporter reported selling 396,000 tons of soybeans to China, with 330,000 tons for delivery in the 2025/2026 season and the remaining 66,000 tons for delivery in the 2026/2027 season [2]. - **Palm Oil Export**: According to AmSpec, Malaysia's palm oil exports from December 1 - 20 were 821,442 tons, a 0.87% decrease compared to the same period last month [2].

| 指标 | CNF到岸价: | | | 申万期货品种策略日报- | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 马来西亚棕 榈油:连续 | | 2025/12/19 | 油脂油料 | | | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 | | | | 李霁月（从业编号:F03119649；交易咨询号:Z0019570） | | | | | | | | lijy@sywgqh.com.cn | | | | | | | 豆油主力 | 棕榈油主力 | 菜油主力 | 豆粕主力 | 菜粕主力 | 花生主力 | | | 前日收盘价 | 7802 | 8368 | 8945 | 2747 | 2406 | 8844 | | 国 | 涨跌 | -20 | 26 | -5 | -9 | 5 | 26 | | 内 | 涨跌幅(%) | -0.26% | 0.31% | -3.15% | -0.33% | 0.21% | 0.29% | | 期 | 价差 | Y9-1 | P9-1 | OI9-1 | Y-P09 | OI-Y09 | OI-P09 | | 货 ...

| 指标 | CNF到岸价: | | | 申万期货品种策略日报- | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 马来西亚棕 榈油:连续 | | 2025/12/11 | 油脂油料 | | | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 | | | | 李霁月（从业编号:F03119649；交易咨询号:Z0019570） | | | | | | | | lijy@sywgqh.com.cn | | | | | | | 豆油主力 | 棕榈油主力 | 菜油主力 | 豆粕主力 | 菜粕主力 | 花生主力 | | | 前日收盘价 | 8230 | 8706 | 9502 | 2778 | 2395 | 8844 | | 国 | 涨跌 | -36 | -64 | -116 | -43 | -2 | 26 | | 内 | 涨跌幅(%) | -0.44% | -0.73% | -3.15% | -1.52% | -0.08% | 0.29% | | 期 | 价差 | Y9-1 | P9-1 | OI9-1 | Y-P09 | OI-Y09 | OI-P0 ...

Group 1: Report Core Views Palm Oil - International market: Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures declined under fundamental bearish pressure. SPPOMA data showed a production increase of over 10% from the 1st to the 20th. With concerns about weak exports, palm oil prices dropped significantly, breaking below the 4,100 ringgit support. There is short - term downward pressure towards 4,000 ringgit, with a chance of a brief rebound. If the production growth issue persists, prices may fall to the 3,950 - 3,960 range [3]. - Domestic market: Dalian palm oil futures were weak. Affected by the decline in Malaysian palm oil, prices broke below 8,600 yuan and hit a new low. They are expected to test the 8,500 - yuan support. There is a risk of falling to 8,200 yuan if Malaysian palm oil briefly breaks below 4,000 ringgit, which is also supported by the 250 - week moving average [3]. Soybean Oil - Domestic soybean oil futures declined due to international market trends, including a possible delay in the US reducing biofuel import subsidies, weak Malaysian export data, and optimistic prospects for Russia - Ukraine peace talks. Domestic demand is poor, and supply is sufficient, pressuring the futures market. The January contract of Dalian soybean oil fell to 8,170 yuan, close to the 8,150 - yuan semi - annual moving average. There is a chance of testing this support level [4]. Bean Meal - Dalian bean meal futures showed narrow - range fluctuations. Hedging pressure and weak US soybean prices limited upward movement, while cost support restricted downward space. The short - term range is expected to be between 2,980 - 3,030 yuan. Spot prices are expected to range from 2,950 - 3,200 yuan/ton [14]. Group 2: Price Data Oil Price Data - Palm oil: Palm oil 01 was at 8,550 yuan/ton (-1.11%), palm oil 05 at 8,668 yuan/ton (-1.19%), palm oil 09 at 8,532 yuan/ton (-1.14%), BMD palm oil at 4,149 ringgit/ton (-0.14%), Guangzhou 24 - degree palm oil at 8,600 yuan/ton (-70), and its basis at 24 yuan/ton (+96) [6]. - Soybean oil: Soybean oil 01 was at 8,190 yuan/ton (-0.17%), soybean oil 05 at 7,982 yuan/ton (-0.28%), soybean oil 09 at 7,926 yuan/ton (-0.38%), CBOT soybean oil at 51.07 cents/pound (-0.74%), Shandong first - grade soybean oil at 8,330 yuan/ton (-100), and its basis at 206 yuan/ton (-268) [10]. Oilseed Price Data - Bean meal: Bean meal 01 was at 3,012 (-0.17%), bean meal 05 at 2,803 (-0.28%), bean meal 09 at 2,915 (-0.38%), and CBOT soybeans at 1,123 (0%) [15]. - Rapeseed meal: Rapeseed meal 01 was at 2,431 (+0.79%), rapeseed meal 05 at 2,367 (-0.42%), and rapeseed meal 09 at 2,435 (-0.37%) [15]. Spread Data - Oil spreads: P 1 - 5 was -126 yuan/ton (-36), P 5 - 9 was 142 yuan/ton (-8), P 9 - 1 was -16 yuan/ton (+44), Y - P 01 was -422 yuan/ton (+74), etc. [5]. - Oilseed spreads: M01 - 05 was 209 (+3), RM01 - 05 was 64 (+29), M05 - 09 was -112 (+3), etc. [16][19]

Report Date - The report is dated November 5, 2025 [1] Core Views Palm Oil - International market: Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures are oscillating around 4,100 ringgit. Affected by potential negative factors such as MPOA production growth and a significant drop in exports in the first five days of November, there is pressure for the futures to weaken further to 4,000 ringgit, with a possibility of briefly falling below this level. After the release of the MPOB supply - demand report, the futures are expected to gradually stop falling, stabilize, and then start a slow upward trend. The overall view is near - term weakness and long - term strength, and it is advisable to closely monitor whether it can effectively hold above 4,000 ringgit [3] - Domestic market: Dalian palm oil futures are in a weak oscillating pattern. Dragged down by the weakening trend of Malaysian palm oil and the continuous decline in domestic port inventories, there is pressure to repeatedly test the 8,500 - yuan support level in the short term. After stabilizing through oscillations around 8,500 yuan, with the boost of the rebound of Malaysian palm oil, Dalian palm oil futures also have the opportunity to follow the upward trend. The overall view is near - term weakness and long - term strength, and it is advisable to closely monitor whether it can effectively hold above 8,500 yuan [3] Soybean Oil - The domestic soybean oil fundamentals have not changed significantly, with sufficient supply and limited demand. Internationally, CBOT soybeans have stopped rising and are adjusting, CBOT soybean oil is oscillating narrowly, and BMD palm oil is also showing signs of stopping the decline. Affected by factors such as limited US soybean exports, uncertainty about the industrial use of US soybean oil, and the expected increase in Malaysian palm oil inventories, all three varieties may decline, which will impact the domestic oil market. Although the government has lowered the import tariff on US soybeans today, the market feedback indicates that US soybeans still do not have a price advantage, so it has little impact on the current trend of Dalian soybean oil. In the short term, Dalian soybean oil will maintain a narrow - range oscillating adjustment pattern. The January contract will oscillate narrowly between 8,050 yuan (lower daily - line track) and 8,200 yuan (middle - line track), and there is a possibility of falling to 8,000 yuan or even lower as the Bollinger Bands move downward [4] Bean Meal - The mill's fixed - price for bean meal first fell and then rose with the market. With the clarity of the US soybean import tariff, the mills are holding up prices slightly due to cost support. Some traders raised their quotes in the afternoon. Feed enterprises have relatively sufficient contracts, having purchased contracts for November - January earlier. In addition, the cost - effectiveness of bean meal remains obvious, so the overall trading rhythm is stable. Under the restraint of high - priced US soybeans, the pace of some forward purchases is slow, which may lead to a tight supply situation from January to February 2026. Therefore, some traders are entering the market to build some bottom positions, and the price is prone to rise and difficult to fall [14] Price Information Oil Futures Price Spreads | Spread | Unit | Price | Today's Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | P 1 - 5 | yuan/ton | - 80 | - 22 | | P 5 - 9 | yuan/ton | 90 | - 46 | | P 9 - 1 | yuan/ton | - 10 | 68 | | Y 1 - 5 | yuan/ton | 170 | - 20 | | Y 5 - 9 | yuan/ton | 88 | 8 | | Y 9 - 1 | yuan/ton | - 258 | 12 | | OI 1 - 5 | yuan/ton | 363 | - 23 | | OI 5 - 9 | yuan/ton | 7 | 11 | | OI 9 - 1 | yuan/ton | - 370 | 12 | | Y - P 01 | yuan/ton | - 508 | 46 | | Y - P 05 | yuan/ton | - 758 | 44 | | Y - P 09 | yuan/ton | - 756 | - 10 | | Y/M 01 | - | 2.6892 | 0.34% | | Y/M 05 | - | 2.8169 | 0.62% | | Y/M 09 | - | 2.6746 | 0.61% | | OI/RM 01 | - | 3.7817 | - 0.53% | | OI/RM 05 | - | 3.8183 | 0.04% | | OI/RM 09 | - | 3.6792 | - 0.01% | [5] Palm Oil Spot and Futures Prices | Variety | Unit | Price | Today's Change (Rate) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Palm Oil 01 | yuan/ton | 8590 | - 0.3% | | Palm Oil 05 | yuan/ton | 8696 | 0% | | Palm Oil 09 | yuan/ton | 8616 | 0.12% | | BMD Palm Oil Main Contract | ringgit/ton | 4148 | 0.12% | | Guangzhou 24 - degree Palm Oil | yuan/ton | 8520 | 20 | | Guangzhou 24 - degree Basis | yuan/ton | - 116 | - 2 | | POGO | US dollars/ton | 449.57 | - 1.168 | | International Soybean Oil - Palm Oil | US dollars/ton | - 2.81 | - 21.39 | [7] Soybean Oil Spot and Futures Prices | Variety | Unit | Latest Price | Change (Spread) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Soybean Oil 01 | yuan/ton | 8138 | 1.92% | | Soybean Oil 05 | yuan/ton | 7950 | 0.21% | | Soybean Oil 09 | yuan/ton | 7882 | 0.1% | | CBOT Soybean Oil Main Contract | cents/pound | 49.93 | 2.69% | | Shandong First - grade Soybean Oil Spot | yuan/ton | 8320 | 50 | | Shandong First - grade Soybean Oil Basis | yuan/ton | 212 | 52 | | BOHO (Weekly) | US dollars/barrel | 44.654 | - 10.122 | | Domestic First - grade Soybean Oil - 24 - degree Palm Oil | yuan/ton | - 30 | 100 | [11] Oilseed Futures Prices | Variety | Closing Price | Today's Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Bean Meal 01 | 3073 | 58 | 1.92% | | Bean Meal 05 | 2824 | 6 | 0.21% | | Bean Meal 09 | 2938 | 3 | 0.1% | | Rapeseed Meal 01 | 2537 | 40 | 1.6% | | Rapeseed Meal 05 | 2405 | 27 | 1.14% | | Rapeseed Meal 09 | 2478 | 12 | 0.49% | | CBOT Yellow Soybeans | 1120.25 | 0 | 0% | | Off - shore RMB | 7.133 | 0.006 | 0.08% | [14] Bean and Rapeseed Meal Spreads | Spread | Price | Today's Change | Spread | Price | Today's Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | M01 - 05 | 197 | 0 | RM01 - 05 | 119 | 8 | | M05 - 09 | - 117 | 3 | RM05 - 09 | - 88 | 2 | | M09 - 01 | - 80 | - 3 | RM09 - 01 | - 31 | - 10 | | Bean Meal Rizhao Spot | 3040 | 0 | Bean Meal Rizhao Basis | 25 | 11 | | Rapeseed Meal Fujian Spot | 2580 | 0 | Rapeseed Meal Fujian Basis | 83 | - 6 | | Bean and Rapeseed Meal Spot Spread | 460 | 0 | Bean and Rapeseed Meal Futures Spread | 518 | - 17 | [15][18]