Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown a mixed performance recently, with all sub-sectors underperforming the CSI 300 index over the last five trading days [4][9] - The report highlights significant improvements in trading volumes and regulatory developments in the securities sector, alongside a new health insurance policy in Shanghai aimed at supporting commercial insurance and innovative medical products [4][26] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Performance - Over the last five trading days (August 4-8, 2025), the non-bank financial sector overall increased by 0.70%, while the CSI 300 index rose by 1.23% [9] - Year-to-date performance shows the insurance sector leading with a 12.38% increase, followed by multi-financial at 5.70%, and securities at 2.65% [10] Securities Sector - Trading volume has significantly increased, with the average daily trading amount for August reaching 19,575 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 183.62% [14] - The margin financing balance reached 20,131 billion yuan, up 41.10% year-on-year [14] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities sector is projected at 1.3x for 2025, indicating potential for quality brokers like CITIC Securities and Dongfang Wealth [19] Insurance Sector - The report notes a reduction in the preset interest rate to 1.99%, triggering conditions for further adjustments [20] - The Shanghai health insurance policy aims to enhance cooperation between commercial insurance and innovative medical products, potentially expanding the market [26][27] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently between 0.60-0.92 times the expected present value (P/EV) for 2025, suggesting a low historical valuation and maintaining an "Accumulate" rating [28] Multi-Financial Sector - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 29.56 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 23.58% [31] - The futures market recorded a trading volume of 740 million contracts in June 2025, with a transaction value of 52.79 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.91% [34] - The report suggests that the futures sector may pivot towards innovative risk management services as a key growth area [39] Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The recommended ranking for investment is insurance > securities > other multi-financial sectors, with key companies including China Ping An, New China Life, and CITIC Securities highlighted for their growth potential [44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown significant performance, with the securities and insurance sub-sectors outperforming the CSI 300 index recently. The securities sector rose by 4.90%, while the insurance sector increased by 1.81% [10][11] - The report highlights a substantial increase in trading volume in the securities market, with July's average daily trading volume reaching 18,191 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 139.92% [16][21] - The insurance sector is benefiting from a reduction in predetermined interest rates, leading to improved liability costs. The second quarter saw a strong growth in life insurance premiums, with a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [25][27] - The multi-financial sector is entering a stable transformation phase, with trust assets growing but profits declining significantly [31][32] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - In the last five trading days, the non-bank financial sector overall rose by 3.65%, outperforming the CSI 300 index which increased by 1.69% [10] - Year-to-date, the insurance sector has shown the best performance with a 12.07% increase, followed by the multi-financial sector at 9.79% and the securities sector at 5.05% [11] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased, with a year-on-year rise of 139.92% in July [16] - The average margin balance reached 19,420 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.34% [16] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected at 1.4x for 2025 [21] 2.2 Insurance - The predetermined interest rate has been lowered to 1.99%, triggering a reduction in actual rates for various insurance products [22][23] - Life insurance premiums for the first half of 2025 reached 29,606 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [25] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently between 0.61-0.94 times the expected present value (P/EV) for 2025, indicating a historical low [28] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 29.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 23.58%, but profits fell by 45.5% [31] - The futures market experienced a trading volume of 740 million contracts in June, with a year-on-year increase of 28.91% [33] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the insurance sector as the most favorable, followed by securities and other multi-financial services [27] - Recommended companies include China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Tonghuashun [27]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong performance, with securities firms expected to report high growth in mid-2025, and the insurance sector also showing promising results [1][4] - The report highlights the significant increase in trading volume and the positive outlook for brokerage firms, driven by an active capital market [4][18] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from long-term investment strategies and regulatory changes that enhance the allocation of insurance funds to equity assets [22][29] - The multi-financial sector is transitioning into a stable growth phase, with trust assets continuing to grow despite a decline in profits [31][36] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Subsector Performance - In the recent five trading days (July 14-18, 2025), all non-bank financial subsectors underperformed the CSI 300 index, with the securities and insurance sectors both down by 1.00% [9] - Year-to-date, the multi-financial sector has performed the best, with an increase of 11.63%, followed by the insurance sector at 10.07% [10] Securities Sector - Trading volume has significantly increased, with the average daily trading amount for July 2025 reaching 17,090 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 125.40% [14] - The mid-2025 earnings forecast for brokerage firms is optimistic, with 27 out of 29 listed brokerages expected to report profit increases, and 12 firms anticipating at least a 100% growth in net profit [18] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities sector is projected at 1.3x for 2025E, indicating potential for growth [21] Insurance Sector - The introduction of long-term assessment guidelines for state-owned insurance companies is expected to enhance the allocation of insurance funds to equity investments [22] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at 0.60-0.93 times the 2025E P/EV, which is considered low historically, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating [29] - The sector is anticipated to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, with a significant increase in the sales of savings-type products [51] Multi-Financial Sector - The trust industry is experiencing a stable transition, with total trust assets reaching 29.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 23.58% [31] - The futures market has seen a significant increase in trading volume and value, with June 2025 figures showing a 28.91% increase in volume and a 17.40% increase in value year-on-year [37] - Regulatory measures are being implemented to strengthen the management of local asset management companies, promoting healthy industry development [48] Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the non-bank financial sectors as follows: insurance > securities > other multi-financial [51] - Key companies recommended include China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings [51]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in trading volume in the securities industry, with a year-on-year rise of 120% in daily stock fund trading amount as of July 11, reaching 16,688 billion yuan [1] - The China Securities Association has issued 28 measures aimed at enhancing self-regulatory management and promoting high-quality development in the securities industry, including improving self-regulatory systems and strengthening compliance and risk control [1] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange has revised the compilation scheme for the ChiNext Composite Index, introducing mechanisms for the exclusion of risk warning stocks and negative ESG stocks, with seven fund companies having reported related ETF products [1] Group 2 - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is currently at 1.3 times (2025E), benefiting from market recovery and policy support, with improvements expected in brokerage, investment banking, and capital intermediary businesses [1] - The securities ETF tracks an index compiled by China Securities Index Co., which selects listed companies related to securities firms from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, primarily focusing on large-cap value stocks [1] - Investors without stock accounts are encouraged to consider the Guotai CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF Link A (012362) and Guotai CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF Link C (012363) [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong performance recently, with all sub-sectors outperforming the CSI 300 index in the last five trading days [9] - The report highlights the significant increase in trading volume in the securities sector, with a year-on-year increase of 120% in daily average stock trading volume as of July 11, 2025 [15] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from long-term capital advantages due to new assessment criteria for state-owned insurance companies [23] - The multi-financial sector is entering a stable transition period, with trust assets continuing to grow but profits declining significantly [31] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - In the last five trading days (July 7-11, 2025), the multi-financial sector rose by 11.89%, the securities sector by 4.58%, and the insurance sector by 1.72%, while the overall non-bank financial sector increased by 3.94% compared to a 0.82% rise in the CSI 300 index [9][11] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased, with a daily average stock trading amount of CNY 16,688 billion, up 120% year-on-year as of July 11, 2025 [15] - The China Securities Association has implemented measures to strengthen self-regulation and promote high-quality development in the securities industry [19] 2.2 Insurance - New long-term assessment criteria for state-owned insurance companies have been introduced, focusing on net asset return and capital preservation over a five-year period [23] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at 0.62-0.95 times the 2025E P/EV, which is considered historically low, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating [28] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach CNY 29.56 trillion in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 23.58%, but profits dropped significantly by 45.5% [31] - The futures market experienced a trading volume of 740 million contracts in June 2025, with a transaction value of CNY 52.79 trillion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 28.91% and 17.40%, respectively [34] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the insurance sector highest, followed by securities and other multi-financial sectors, recommending companies such as China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Tonghuashun [44]

Group 1 - The Lujiazui Forum will be held on June 18, 2025, where significant financial policies are expected to be announced by central financial management departments [1] - The forum has become a platform for the national financial management departments to release important signals and policies since its inception in 2008, influencing the financial and capital markets [1] - Donghai Securities predicts that with the introduction of more active capital market policies, the quality of listed companies, market activity, and investor returns will improve, further advancing the construction of Shanghai as an international financial center [1] Group 2 - Securities firms are expected to benefit directly from the new "National Nine Articles" guiding the top-level design for cultivating first-class investment institutions [1] - The new "National Ten Articles" focuses on high-quality development under a strong regulatory and risk prevention framework for the insurance sector, optimizing product design and enhancing channel value [1] - Financial technology is set to accelerate with the introduction of revolutionary stablecoins, presenting layout opportunities for the financial IT sector as major financial policies are anticipated [1] Group 3 - The recent issuance of opinions by the Central Office and State Office allows enterprises in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] - Shenzhen is reportedly developing listing rules to facilitate a trial for red-chip companies to have secondary listings, providing a more efficient channel for tech companies [2] - The dual listing path will likely lead to more technology companies listed in Hong Kong returning to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which is expected to boost the investment banking business of leading securities firms [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The securities industry has seen significant profit growth, with a notable increase in trading volume and net profits for listed brokers in 2024 and Q1 2025 [4][15] - The insurance sector is experiencing a continuous increase in new business value (NBV) and a recovery in life insurance premiums as of March [4][29] - The multi-financial sector is transitioning into a stable phase, with trust assets showing growth but overall profits under pressure [4] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Industries - All sub-industries in the non-bank financial sector underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index in the recent three trading days, with declines of 0.73% for securities, 1.06% for multi-financial, and 1.68% for insurance [9][10] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Industry Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased, with April's average daily trading amount reaching 12,361 billion yuan, a 23% year-on-year increase [15] - Listed brokers reported a 7% increase in operating revenue and a 16% increase in net profit for 2024 [20] - In Q1 2025, operating revenue for listed brokers grew by 24% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 80% [25] 2.2 Insurance - The insurance sector's net profit for Q1 2025 showed a 1.4% year-on-year increase, with significant growth in NBV for major companies [29] - Life insurance premiums showed signs of recovery, with a 0.2% year-on-year increase in original premiums for the first three months of 2025 [4] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry reported a total asset scale of 27 trillion yuan as of Q2 2024, a 24.5% year-on-year increase, although profits are under pressure [4] - The futures market saw a trading volume of 734 million contracts in March, with a 17.28% year-on-year increase [4] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The non-bank financial sector is currently valued at a low average, providing a safety margin [4] - The insurance industry is expected to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, with a focus on health and pension insurance [4] - Recommended companies include China Life, China Pacific Insurance, China People’s Insurance, and leading securities firms like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities [4][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong performance recently, with all sub-sectors outperforming the CSI 300 index over the last five trading days [3][8] - The securities industry has seen a significant increase in trading volume, with April's average daily trading amount reaching 14,525 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.59% [13] - The insurance sector is facing stricter regulations on universal insurance, but there are signs of recovery in life insurance premiums [26][30] - The multi-financial sector is transitioning to a stable growth phase, with trust assets showing a notable increase, while the futures market continues to maintain high transaction volumes [34][40] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - All non-bank financial sub-sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index in the recent five trading days, with the insurance sector rising by 1.31% and the overall non-bank financial sector increasing by 1.02% [3][8] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased, with April's average daily trading amount at 14,525 billion yuan, up 44.59% year-on-year [13] - The net profit of 19 listed securities firms in Q1 2025 increased by 43.6% year-on-year, totaling 74.2 billion yuan [17] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected to be 1.2x for 2025E, indicating potential for growth [23] 2.2 Insurance - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission has implemented stricter regulations on universal insurance, which may impact new business but not existing policies [26] - Life insurance premiums showed a slight recovery in March, with total premiums reaching 17,878 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [30] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at historical lows, with a projected P/EV of 0.50-0.81 for 2025E [32] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry is entering a stable transition phase, with total trust assets reaching 27 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5% [34] - The futures market saw a transaction volume of 7.34 billion contracts in March 2025, with a transaction value of 61.59 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.28% [40] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The recommended ranking for the non-bank financial sector is insurance > securities > other multi-financial services, with key companies including New China Life Insurance, China Pacific Insurance, China Life Insurance, and CITIC Securities [52]