Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [12] Core Views - The company possesses strong R&D and manufacturing capabilities in the metal forging sector, being one of the few private enterprises in China that can provide precision ring forgings and precision die forgings for high-end equipment such as aircraft engines, aerospace rockets, and deep-sea equipment [3][22] - The company is expected to improve its product structure and profitability due to the rising demand for high-precision and high-performance die forgings driven by high-end market needs [4][40] - The company is well-positioned to capture overseas market share due to its cost advantages in electricity and natural gas compared to other countries [5][54] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 772 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.95%, and a net profit of 76.62 million yuan, up 5.55% year-on-year [4][23] - The total revenue for 2024 is projected to be 3.213 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.21% year-on-year, with a net profit of 264 million yuan, down 46.37% year-on-year [4][23] - The company forecasts net profits of 366 million yuan, 506 million yuan, and 700 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.02, 4.18, and 5.78 yuan [12][86] Market Position and Strategy - The company has established a solid supply chain relationship with leading domestic enterprises and has been certified by international high-end equipment manufacturers [3][22] - The company is expanding its production capacity for high-end special alloy forgings, which is expected to enhance its competitiveness and market share [12][60] - The company is focusing on high-potential businesses such as nuclear power and aerospace, which are anticipated to improve profitability [36][76] Industry Trends - The global demand for large forgings is increasing, driven by the aerospace, nuclear, and wind power sectors, which presents significant growth opportunities for the company [60][81] - The commercial space launch market in China is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to increase from 124 billion yuan in 2024 to 346 billion yuan by 2030 [61][64] - The deep-sea equipment market is also expanding, with investments in the sector expected to rise, further driving demand for specialized forgings [66][70]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 24.5 yuan [2][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 14.5-15.0 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.91-11.63%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 950-1000 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.2-25.48% [2][4]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue growth exceeding expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 10.05%-16.67%, and net profit growth of 14.88%-21.25% [2][8]. - The company benefits from demand in special industries, including new energy vehicles, aerospace, and integrated circuits, leading to rapid growth in technology innovation-related business orders [8]. Financial Performance Summary - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 36.24 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 4.08 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.9% [8]. - The financial indicators show a steady increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with expected revenue of 40.10 billion yuan in 2026 and 44.30 billion yuan in 2027 [4][8]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.60 yuan in 2024 to 0.97 yuan in 2027, indicating a positive growth trajectory [4][8]. Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on high-growth sectors such as reliability and environmental testing, integrated circuits, and data science analysis, positioning itself as a leader in these fields [8]. - The management reform and shift towards a profit-centered strategy are expected to enhance profitability, with profit growth anticipated to outpace revenue growth [8].

Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 167 million, a year-on-year increase of 17.57% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.14% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 34 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60.72% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.97% [1] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to the parent company was 33 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 70.18% and a quarter-on-quarter rise of 1.65% [1] - The gross profit margin increased by 6.14 percentage points year-on-year, with the sales gross margin rising to 30.62% and the net profit margin to 20.31% [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The hydraulic cylinder business is experiencing a recovery driven by the resurgence in excavator sales, which reached 61,400 units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.8% [2] - The oil-gas spring segment is benefiting from the growth in new energy vehicle markets, with a compound annual growth rate of 116% expected from 2022 to 2024 [2] - The company is expanding its research and development into electric cylinders and intelligent suspension systems, aiming to diversify its product offerings beyond hydraulic components [2] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively developing planetary roller screw technology for robotic applications and exploring new fields such as industrial automation and aerospace [3] - A strategic cooperation project with Pangu Intelligent in the wind power sector has been accepted, focusing on hydraulic systems for wind turbine pitch and yaw control [3] - Research and development efforts are underway for high-end marine equipment hydraulic technologies, including specialized hydraulic cylinders for deep-sea platforms [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast - The company maintains profit forecasts for the years 2025 to 2027, estimating net profits of 137 million, 170 million, and 193 million respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 30.94, 25.06, and 22.03 [3]