炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 10月9日，中芯国际午后大跳水，盘中跌幅超过10%。从消息面看，东方财富证券将中芯国际从折算率 由0.7调整为0，引起市场关注。 中芯国际盘中跳水 10月9日午后，中芯国际股价大幅走弱，中芯国际A股从上午最高上涨超9%，到以下跌0.87%报收。 从中芯国际H股走势看，同样经历了大幅调整。上午最高涨幅超4%，下午14：50时大跌近8%。 从消息面看，有投资者收到东方财富证券通知：2025年10月09日起，您信用账户持有的中芯国际 （688981）的折算率由0.70调整为0.00、佰维存储（688525）的折算率由0.50调整为0.00。 在东方财富证券App上，中芯国际折算率已经调整为0，生效日期为10月9日。 从机构观点看，北美云厂商业绩高速增长，国产半导体产业链持续攻关，芯片行业有望持续受益于AI 算力需求的指数级扩张，受益于AI算力建设、周期复苏以及消费电子旺季，行业未来的景气度或迎来 跃升。 东方财富证券客服回复上海证券报记者称，中芯国际折算率调整为0，原因是其该公司的静态市盈率超 过300倍。在10月9日下跌0.87%后，中芯国 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 记者丨江佩佩 张嘉钰 编辑丨谭婷 视频丨许婷婷 陈泽锴 10月9日，三大指数集体高开，涨幅持续扩大。截至11：16，上证指数涨1.19%，深证成指涨1.84%，创 业板指涨1.99%。上证指数突破3900点，为2015年8月以来首次。两市超3200家个股上涨，成交额1.65万 亿，预计较上一交易日增长5257亿元。 科创50指数涨幅超5%，成份股中，半导体产业链涨势扩大，芯原股份涨超16%，芯联集成、中微公 司、澜起科技、拓荆科技涨幅居前。 | 行情 | 资金净流入 | 涨跌分布 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | 3928.79 | 13776.00 | 1531.68 | | +46.01 +1.19% +249.49 +1.84% +3.06 +0.20% | | | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 1582.95 | 3302.45 | 6442.11 | | +87.67 +5.86% +64.29 +1.99% +93.17 +1.47% | | | ...

记者丨江佩佩 张嘉钰 编辑丨谭婷 视频丨许婷 婷 陈泽锴 10月9日，三大指数集体高开，涨幅持续扩大。截至11:16，上证指数涨1.19%，深证成指涨1.84%，创业板指涨1.99%。上证指数突破3900点， 为2015年8月以来首次。 两市超 3200 家个股上涨， 成交额1.65万亿，预计较上一交易日增长5257亿元。 科创50指数涨幅超5%，成份股中， 半导体产业链涨势扩大，芯原股份涨超16%，芯联集成、中微公司、澜起科技、拓荆科技涨幅居前。 截至11：05，富时中国A50指数期货大涨1.37％，报15302。 板块方面，GPU、可控核聚变、稀土涨幅居前，房地产、短剧等跌幅居前。中兴通讯A股涨停，成交额超120亿元，H股涨近12%创历史新高。 | | | Wind热门概念指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 核聚变 | GPU | 铜产业 | 错矿 | 核电 | | 6.65% | 6.54% | 6.06% | 5.87% | 5.71% | | HBM | 镇矿 | 锂电电解液 | 稀土 | ASIC芯片 | | 5.68% | 5.33% | 5.2 ...

其次是，2024年中国芯片出口量达到2981.1亿块，出口金额突破1万亿元人民币大关，达到1594.991亿美 元(约合人民币1.156万亿元)，同比增长18.7%。这不仅标志着中国芯片出口迈上新台阶，更使其超越服 装、纺织品和手机等传统强项，成为中国出口额最高的单一商品。 最后是，在关税制裁的和国家大基金扶持的大背景之下，倒闭国产替代加速，像国家大基金三期首次出 手晶圆制造、光刻机等卡脖子环节。 彻底瞒不住了。 芯片半导体有望接替人形机器人、深海经济成为主力炒作的下一个超级风口。 尤其是这家业绩暴增5310%，300家机构重仓、且在硅光芯片、服务器、数据中心掌握了核心技术的公 司，值得大家重点关注。 因为它接下来很有可能成为下一个十倍妖王。 不开玩笑，而是有事实依据在支撑。 首先是，芯片半导体经过两年的下行周期，现在已经在逐步复苏，尤其是在AI、人形机器人等前沿产 业快速发展的大背景之下，芯片半导体已经成为国民经济发展不可或缺的一部分。 可以预见的是，国产芯片在技术和需求的共振下，正在逐步构建起自主可控的半导体生态。 但大家必须要明白的是，在技术公关阶段，哪些蹭概念的只会成为过去式，只有业绩保持稳定、技术走 ...

Market Overview - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets have shown strong upward trends as the National Day holiday approaches, alleviating previous concerns about a potential significant correction after nearly three months of gains since late June [1] - The current market is believed to be in the second phase of a bull market, following the "924 market" last year, which was initiated by substantial policy support [1] Bull Market Characteristics - The Shanghai Composite Index is nearing the 3900-point mark, indicating a gradually established bull market driven by both policy and capital [2] - Margin trading balances have surpassed 2.4 trillion, a historical high, but the overall leverage ratio remains low compared to the total market capitalization of 100 trillion [2] Sector Performance - The ongoing market rally is characterized as a "technology bull market," with significant focus on sectors such as humanoid robots, chips, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which have become hot topics this year [4] - Traditional industries have shown mixed performance, with sectors like energy storage, lithium batteries, and new energy vehicles experiencing significant gains, while consumer sectors like liquor and food and beverage have lagged due to declining income growth [4] Future Outlook - The current market is still a structurally driven technology bull market, with expectations for a transition to a comprehensive bull market next year as capital flows into the market increase [5] - The depreciation of the US dollar by approximately 10% has led to the appreciation of non-US currencies, enhancing the attractiveness of Chinese assets [6] - International investment banks are increasingly optimistic about Chinese assets, raising target points for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, indicating a potential influx of international capital [6]

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a state of stagnation, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing minimal fluctuations, resembling a crowded subway during peak hours [1] - There is a significant divergence in market performance, with some sectors surging while others remain flat, indicating a lack of overall market momentum [1][3] Market Sentiment - The market is characterized by a cautious sentiment, with both retail and institutional investors waiting for clearer signals before making moves [3][5] - The current market environment is described as a "pause" where neither buyers nor sellers are willing to take decisive action [1][4] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to maintain a balanced approach, holding both stocks and cash, while closely monitoring key signals such as volume near trend lines and external market changes [6] - The focus should be on sectors that are showing signs of recovery, particularly in technology and semiconductor industries, while avoiding overexposure to volatile stocks [4][6] External Influences - The market remains sensitive to external factors, particularly the actions of the Federal Reserve and fluctuations in the currency and commodity markets [4][6] - Recent inflows from foreign capital have been noted, but the overall investment climate remains cautious as investors prepare for potential volatility [3][4]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on September 26, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 0.17%. Sectors such as power generation equipment, petrochemicals, and soft drinks saw gains, while the internet and computer hardware sectors faced declines [1] - The chip ETF (159995) showed activity, rising by 0.11% as of 10:32 AM. Notable gainers among its constituent stocks included Jinghe Integrated (up 12.44%), Unisoc (up 7.20%), Huahai Qingke (up 5.76%), and OmniVision (up 4.04%). Conversely, companies like Rockchip and Cambricon saw declines of -4.30% and -2.67%, respectively [1] - The Alibaba Cloud Summit held on September 24 introduced several advanced models, including the Qwen3-Max with 36 trillion tokens of pre-training data, the Qwen3-VL visual language model supporting 256K context, and the Qwen3-Omni multimodal model capable of processing text, images, audio, and video inputs with low latency of 234ms [1] - According to招商证券, the evolution of global trade patterns has elevated the importance of self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry as a key strategic focus for China's industrial development. Continuous government support for this sector is expected to enhance the outlook for self-sufficiency amid the AI innovation cycle and tariff considerations, indicating a new upward cycle for the semiconductor industry [1] Group 2 - The chip ETF (159995) tracks the National Chip Index, comprising 30 leading companies in the A-share chip industry across materials, equipment, design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing, including SMIC, Cambricon, Changdian Technology, and Northern Huachuang [2]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant upward trend with major indices closing higher on September 24, 2023, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.83% at 3853.64 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.80% at 13356.14 points, and the ChiNext Index up 2.28% at 3185.57 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 23,474.79 billion yuan, marking a historical record of 31 consecutive trading days with daily trading volumes exceeding 20 trillion yuan since August 13 [1] Trading Volume Insights - The previous record for consecutive days with trading volumes over 20 trillion yuan was 7 days, occurring from November 5 to 13, 2024 [1] - As of September 24, there have been 54 trading days in A-share history where the trading volume surpassed 20 trillion yuan, with 5 days in 2015, 18 days in 2024, and 31 days in the current year [1] Sector Performance - The semiconductor and AI sectors, categorized as "hard technology," have shown sustained activity, with the semiconductor sector rising 28.15% in August and over 12% in September [2] - Notable stocks include Cambrian Technology, which saw a 110.36% increase in August, becoming one of the few stocks to reach the 1,000 yuan mark, alongside Kweichow Moutai [2] - SMIC's stock price has consistently reached new highs, with a total increase of over 50% in the past two months, including nearly a 20% rise in September [2] Market Outlook - The investment director at Hengchuang Tianxia suggests that the Shanghai Composite Index's rise above 3,800 points indicates a potential target of 4,000 points [2] - The market's profitability is attracting more external funds, with expectations that A-shares may transition from a localized bull market to a comprehensive bull market [2] - Investment strategies recommend avoiding previously high-performing sectors and focusing on underperforming stocks with limited gains, while cautioning against chasing high-priced speculative stocks [2]

Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Becerra, publicly expressed dissatisfaction with Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, criticizing the lack of a clear agenda for interest rate cuts, highlighting increasing divergence between the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve on monetary policy [3] - Becerra stated that current interest rates are "restrictively high" and need to be lowered, expressing surprise that Powell did not signal at least a 100 to 150 basis point cut by year-end [3] - Powell's remarks indicated that stock market valuations are "quite high," and he reiterated the dual challenges of rising inflation and declining employment, without clearly stating whether there would be a rate cut in October [6] Group 2 - According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 93% [6] - For December, the probability of maintaining rates is 1.3%, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut probability of 22.5% and a 50 basis point cut probability of 76.2% [6][7] - The market currently anticipates that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points in both October and December, indicating a total potential cut of 50 basis points for the year [7] Group 3 - A-shares experienced a significant rally, with all major indices closing higher, and the ChiNext index rising over 2%, driven by a surge in semiconductor stocks and new energy shares [8] - The total market turnover exceeded 2.34 trillion, with a decrease of nearly 170 billion compared to the previous trading day [7] - Notable stocks included Alibaba, which surged nearly 10%, reaching its highest level since August 2021, and semiconductor stocks like SMIC hitting historical highs [8]

Group 1 - The A-share market has experienced significant changes over the past year, with total market capitalization increasing from 68 trillion to 104 trillion, surpassing the 100 trillion mark [1] - The bull market was initiated by the "924" policy, leading to a rapid rise in the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by nearly 1000 points within a few trading days [1] - The second wave of the bull market began in late June, driven by sectors such as chips, semiconductors, AI, and innovative pharmaceuticals, further solidifying the bull market trend [1][2] Group 2 - The technology sector has become the new market leader, with the total market capitalization of the electronics industry surpassing that of the banking sector [2] - Over a thousand stocks have doubled in value, primarily in industries like machinery, electronics, and biomedicine, indicating a strong performance in the tech sector [2] - The shift of household savings from real estate to the stock market, along with increased foreign investment, has fueled the liquidity-driven bull market [2] Group 3 - Technology innovation is now a core national strategy, with the market capitalization of technology companies exceeding 25% of the A-share market [3] - The number of technology firms among the top 50 companies has increased from 18 to 24, highlighting the growing importance of tech companies in the market [3] - Financial resources are increasingly directed towards technology sectors, particularly in areas benefiting from domestic substitution policies [3] Group 4 - The channels for long-term capital entering the market are expanding, with various types of long-term funds holding approximately 21.4 trillion in A-shares, a 32% increase since the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [4] - Regulatory efforts are being made to accelerate the entry of long-term capital, which is expected to favor stable cash flow and high dividend yield companies [4] Group 5 - Financial support for the real economy has intensified, with banks and insurance companies providing 170 trillion in new funds over five years, particularly for high-end manufacturing [5] - Companies with core technologies aligned with new productive forces are likely to receive more resource support, benefiting sectors like high-end equipment and new energy vehicles [5] Group 6 - The capital market is expected to continue its bull market trajectory, with a significant increase in the proportion of technology companies among newly listed firms [6] - The market has seen a notable increase in companies returning value to investors, with total distributions reaching 10.6 trillion over the past five years, an increase of over 80% compared to the previous period [6] Group 7 - Regulatory bodies are actively improving mechanisms for capital formation and long-term capital entry, enhancing market resilience and risk management [7] - The annualized volatility of the Shanghai Composite Index has decreased from 19% to 15.9%, indicating improved market stability [7]