证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 电子化学品Ⅱ 金宏气体(688106) 报告日期：2025 年 08 月 26 日 营收稳步增长， 特气短期盈利承压拖累业绩 ——金宏气体 25H1 点评报告 事件： 公司发布 2025 中报，实现营收 13.14 亿元，同比增 6.65%，归母净利润 0.82 亿元， 同比降 48.65%。其中 25Q2 单季度营收 6.91 亿元，同比增 7.60%，环比增 11.07%， 归母净利润 0.38 亿元，同比降 54.30%，环比降 13.19%。 点评： ❑ 内生增长+外延并购，看好公司长期发展 公司严守纵横发展战略，近年来沿"大宗零售-电子特气-电子大宗-现场制气"的 发展路径持续稳步推进，形成多业务协同发展局面，依托一站式供气服务能力， 具备了对标海外气体龙头的产业基础。25 年以来公司持续寻求收购整合优质标 的，2 月 7 日完成收购 CHEM-GAS，进一步加速拓展东南亚大宗零售市场，进一 步提高公司的市场占有率，巩固公司的行业地位；2 月 15 日完成收购汉兴气体为 公司现场制气业务注入新的动力。内生发展方面，25H1 公司电子特气新增导入 18家半导体客户，电子 ...

Group 1 - The company achieved profitability in H1 2023, with a revenue of 310 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.52%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 55.8461 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - The improvement in performance is attributed to increased sales of main products and a significant reduction in stock incentive expenses, which were 87.4036 million yuan in the same period last year due to the termination of the 2022 restricted stock incentive plan [1] - The gross profit margin for H1 2023 was 36.11%, an increase of 13.7 percentage points year-on-year, with notable growth in the gross profit margins of hydrogen, carbon dioxide, and fuel products [1] Group 2 - The company is focusing on its competitive advantage in the electronic specialty gas sector, having received supplier certification from GIGAPHOTON for its photolithography gas products [2] - The company plans to gradually expand production capacity based on market demand, targeting high-tech fields such as semiconductor, aerospace, and medical aesthetics [2] - In H1 2023, revenue from specialty gases was 6.021 million yuan, an increase of 8.74% year-on-year, accounting for 1.94% of total revenue [3] Group 3 - The Yizhang Kaimeite specialty gas project, which produces electronic-grade hydrogen bromide and iodine, has faced delays, with the expected operational status now pushed to April 30, 2026, due to land transfer delays [3] - As of June 30, 2023, the investment progress for this project was 67.07% [3]

Group 1 - The company has maintained growth in the production of major gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, and argon, while leveraging resources and technological advantages to innovate and upgrade its supply chain [3] - The company has invested over 3 billion yuan to establish two electronic specialty gas industrial parks in Yichang and Qianjiang, focusing on six business areas including electronic specialty gases and industrial chemicals [3] - As of the first half of the year, the Qianjiang electronic specialty gas industrial park has achieved stable production of high-purity ammonia, hydrogen, and carbon monoxide, with sales of high-purity hydrogen showing growth [3] Group 2 - The Yichang electronic specialty gas and functional materials industrial park has reached stable operation for its main production lines, with all planned products expected to be in stable production by the end of the year [3] - The company anticipates steady growth in operations due to the gradual production ramp-up of the two industrial parks and an increase in industrial gas projects [3] - Investors are encouraged to focus on the company's long-term value as it continues to expand its production capabilities [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that 弘尚资产 has conducted research on 和远气体, highlighting the company's recent developments in the electronic specialty gas industry and its investment in two major production parks [1] - 和远气体 has maintained growth in the production of major gases like oxygen, nitrogen, and argon, while also leveraging its technological advantages in gas synthesis, separation, and purification [1] - The company has invested over 3 billion yuan to establish the 宜昌 and 潜江 electronic specialty gas industrial parks, which are now entering stable production and increasing output [1] Group 2 - The 潜江 electronic specialty gas park has begun mass production of high-purity ammonia, hydrogen, and carbon monoxide, with high-purity hydrogen sales showing growth [1] - The production of electronic-grade hydrogen chloride, chlorine, and carbonyl sulfide is expected to stabilize in the third quarter, with certification for semiconductor and panel enterprises starting in the fourth quarter [1] - The 宜昌 electronic specialty gas and functional materials park has achieved stable operation of its main production lines, with all planned products expected to be in stable production by the end of the year, contributing to revenue generation in the second half [1]

Group 1: Company Restructuring and Financial Performance - The company has no major restructuring related to Yihua Group; it is focused on acquiring shares of Hubei Hongyi Chemical Technology Co., Ltd. with a project approved by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and submitted to the CSRC for registration [1] - The company reported a loss in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, primarily due to a significant decline in market prices of its main products [3] Group 2: Investment and Development Plans - The company is investing CNY 1.366 billion to upgrade its soda ash production facility, which is currently in trial production [2] - A thermal system upgrade project costing CNY 199 million is in trial operation, expected to reduce costs by approximately CNY 11 million per year once fully operational [2] - The company is developing sodium-ion battery cathode materials, currently in small-scale testing, with plans for pilot testing soon [2] - A new 1.5 million tons vacuum salt project and a 400,000 tons/year value-added nitrogen fertilizer project are in preliminary stages [2] - The company is exploring the decomposition of its main product, ammonium chloride, to recover ammonia for soda ash production and extract chlorine for other chemicals, enhancing product value [2] Group 3: Market Strategy and Cost Management - The company aims to improve profitability through small-scale production adjustments and enhanced management to control production costs and expenses [2] - The company is also researching electronic specialty gases as a potential development direction [2]

Group 1: Company Overview and Production Capacity - The company has established production capacity values of approximately 1.2-1.5 billion CNY for the Qianjiang Industrial Park and 2.5-4 billion CNY for the Yichang Industrial Park [3] - The Yichang Industrial Park's first phase is currently undergoing trial production for high-purity nitrogen trifluoride and tungsten hexafluoride, with validation expected to begin in Q3 [2] Group 2: Product Development and Market Strategy - The company primarily produces silicon-based, fluorine-based, and hydrocarbon series electronic specialty gases, with no involvement in the production of ethane and butane [2] - The second phase of the Yichang Industrial Park is planned to include 15,000 tons of electronic-grade silane and related storage and filling facilities, with adjustments to the project timeline based on market demand [4] Group 3: Financial and Investment Insights - The company is in the normal process of advancing its private placement, with ongoing efforts to meet funding requirements [3] - Dividend plans will be considered based on securities laws, shareholder return planning for 2024-2026, and current operational conditions [3] Group 4: Risk Management and Investor Communication - Investors are advised to refer to official disclosures for specific project progress and performance forecasts, emphasizing the importance of rational judgment and awareness of investment risks [4]

Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 355 million, which remained flat year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 25.2 million, a decrease of 16.47% [4] - The decline in profit was primarily due to the recognition of employee stock incentive expenses and increased depreciation from new projects [4] - The company's asset-liability ratio rose to over 70% in Q1 2025, but short-term solvency is not expected to be affected due to sufficient liquidity and strong asset turnover [4] Group 2: Strategic Goals and Market Position - The company aims to enhance market share and sales volume in the industrial gas sector by launching new projects and focusing on two major specialty gas industrial parks [2][3] - The long-term strategic goals remain unchanged despite short-term challenges, aligning with national development needs for emerging industries [3] - The company is targeting a revenue goal of 5 billion for the 14th Five-Year Plan period, although progress has been slower than planned [3] Group 3: Industry Outlook and Growth Drivers - The industrial gas market in China is projected to grow from 238.1 billion in 2024 to 284.2 billion by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10% [9] - The company is focusing on the semiconductor, display panel, and photovoltaic sectors, which are expected to drive demand for specialty gases [9] - The company has signed a nitrogen supply contract with Yichang Bangpu Times for 40,000 cubic meters per hour, which is anticipated to positively impact 2025 performance [8] Group 4: Operational Challenges and Responses - The company is addressing the challenges of declining prices in the bulk industrial gas market by enhancing customer service and optimizing operational processes [7] - The management is committed to improving profitability and operational efficiency through the stable production of products from the two major industrial parks [5][8] - The company plans to increase R&D expenditure to approximately 50 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.71% [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [12] Core Views - The company's project construction is progressing steadily, with the PO/MTBE unit reaching the expected operational status. The focus on research and innovation has opened up a new track in electronic specialty gases, which is expected to contribute to future performance [3][12] - The company achieved a revenue of 10.228 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 40.00%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 42.77% to 219 million yuan. The revenue growth was primarily driven by the operation of the PDH unit and increased sales of propylene, propane, and butane. However, the decline in profit was due to a significant drop in the prices of main products, while the decrease in raw material and energy costs was relatively small, leading to a decline in gross profit margin [12] Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company reported a revenue of 7.306 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 10.228 billion yuan for 2024A, reflecting a 40.00% increase. The net profit for 2023A was 383 million yuan, with a projected decrease to 219 million yuan for 2024A [11][12] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is expected to be 0.11 yuan, with projections of 0.16 yuan for 2025 and 0.21 yuan for 2026. The net asset return rate (ROE) is projected to be 1.9% for 2024, increasing to 5.9% by 2027 [11][12] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 22.956 billion yuan in 2024A to 27.308 billion yuan in 2027E, while total liabilities are expected to increase from 11.574 billion yuan in 2024A to 13.970 billion yuan in 2027E [13] Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 8.767 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 4.26 yuan and a target price adjusted to 4.86 yuan [6][12] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 0.8 based on the current price, and the price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is projected to be 38.30 for 2024 [12][14]