贵金属、石油等板块升温主要源自地缘政治风险催化，消息面上，据新华社报道，美国近期在中东地区 大规模集结兵力。美国总统特朗普近日承认，他在考虑对伊朗进行"有限军事打击"。同时，美国已开始 从中东地区一些军事基地撤离部分人员。 华西证券研报认为节后A股的"红包行情"值得期待。其一，春节期间，伊朗局势、特朗普关税政策等外 部不确定性在一定程度上压制了市场风险偏好，推动避险资产走强，但在科技板块亮眼表现的带动下， 全球股市普遍实现上涨；其二，在美元指数反弹的背景下，人民币汇率稳中有升、持续温和升值，有助 于强化中长期资金增配中国资产的预期；其三，春节期间，机器人、AI大模型、存储等科技领域催化 因素密集释放，提振市场对节后科技行情的预期。 （文章来源：南方都市报） 2月24日，A股迎来马年首个交易日，三大指数早盘集体上涨，截至午盘，沪指报4129.78点，涨 1.17%，深成指报14356.88，涨1.82%，创业板指报3333.62，涨1.76%，半日成交额15210亿元，市场超 4200只个股上涨。 板块题材上，油气开采及服务、贵金属、光纤概念等板块涨幅居前，具体来看，油气开采及服务板块 中，科力股份涨超20%领 ...

Core Insights - The market is poised for significant investment activity with over 90 billion yuan waiting to enter, driven by new ETF funds and active equity funds [1][3][4] - Two main investment themes for 2026 have been identified: technology growth, particularly in AI, and Chinese manufacturing [4][5][7] Group 1: Investment Funds - Over 90 billion yuan is ready to enter the market, primarily from newly listed stock ETFs and active equity funds that were raised before the Spring Festival [3][4] - Three new ETFs are set to launch post-holiday, expected to contribute over 1 billion yuan in direct buying power, with additional ETFs in the pipeline totaling around 3 billion yuan [3][4] - A total of 112 active equity funds are waiting to be established, collectively raising approximately 88.75 billion yuan, with 29 of these funds exceeding 1 billion yuan each [4] Group 2: Investment Themes - The first investment theme is technology growth, focusing on AI and related sectors such as robotics and smart driving, which are expected to see significant advancements [5][7] - The second theme is Chinese manufacturing, highlighting the country's strong position in sectors like new energy vehicles and electronics, which are anticipated to drive economic growth [5][7] Group 3: Market Conditions - The market has shown a relatively stable performance leading up to the Spring Festival, with the index fluctuating around 4100 points, indicating a cautious investor sentiment [8][9] - Historical data suggests a high probability of market gains in the days following the Spring Festival, with past trends showing an 70% to 80% chance of the Shanghai Composite Index rising [11] - The upcoming earnings reports from listed companies will be crucial in determining the sustainability of stock prices that have been driven up by recent fund inflows [11]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 国泰君安期货市场分析师 张驰宁 Z0020302 本周开盘，A股市场主要指数显著上扬，成功收复4100点整数关口。股指期货市场同样表现强劲，截至 今日早盘10时50分，四大股指期货主力合约涨幅均超过1%，呈现普涨格局。 近期逻辑： 外围市场的回暖为A股提供了积极的开局环境，尤其是美股道指历史性突破5万点大关，显著提振了全 球市场的风险偏好。与此同时，市场内部也显现出一些积极迹象，例如部分宽基ETF在盘初出现资金流 入，这对稳定市场情绪起到了关键作用。 除了外部因素，地缘政治层面的积极信号也为市场注入了信心。近期中美高层对话释放出关系缓和的明 确信号，双方均表现出以务实合作推动经济发展的共同意愿。大国关系的这一积极动向，有助于缓解外 部不确定性，改善全球经济增长预期，从而对A股市场情绪产生带动。 此外，随着春节临近，市场对传统的"红包行情"有所期待，近十年节前上涨概率较高的统计规律，也一 定程度上增强了投资者的乐观情绪。 综合来看，今天的反弹更像是市场情绪在经历前期调整后的一次集中修复。 分析师观点： 今日，中证1000股指期货主力合约呈现技术性 ...

点击按钮▲立即预约 " 节前 5 个交易日胜率仅 33% ， 10 个交易日胜率 25% ，而节后胜率高达 100% 。 " 文 /巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 各位，多久没有在牛市里过春节了？ 打开行情软件，上一次经历"牛市+春节"的，还是在2015年，再上一次，就要追溯到2007年，是实打实的"十年一遇"。 考虑到如今的投资者里，有不少是95后、00后萌新，对他们而言，"牛市春节"显然是个陌生事物。 据 上交所最新的数据 ： 2026 年 1 月 A 股新开户 491.58 万户 ，环比增长 89% ，同比和去年 1 月份的 157 万户相比，同比增长 213%——存款 搬家，新人入场，热闹的行情也到了个科普的节点：牛市怎么过春节？ 今天的文章，我们就结合当前的一些机构判断，以及需要注意的交易常识，为大家接下来的决定做个参考。 在此之前，不妨先做个也能成为参考的调查：无论是炒股还是买基金等，这个春节，各位是准备"持股过节""空仓过节""半仓过节"? 需要了解的"规则差" 对投资们来说，未来一周，不仅是辞旧迎新，更是迎来了一个决定时刻。 原因首先在于"规则"，据沪深北三大交易所发布的公告，2月14日 （ ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a strong upward trend on September 29, with all three major indices rising. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.90%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.05%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.74% [2] - Over 3,500 stocks in the market saw gains, with a total trading volume of 2.16 trillion yuan, an increase of 14.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - The securities, non-ferrous metals, and solid-state battery sectors led the gains, while the education, pork, and coal sectors faced declines [2] - The securities sector saw a significant increase of 4.40%, marking its second major rise this month, although it remains down 2.67% for the month overall [7][9] Market Sentiment and Expectations - The market is expected to experience a "red envelope" rally as the trading burden lightens after the end of September and the upcoming holiday [4][13] - Analysts suggest that the recent performance of the securities sector, which has acted as a market "rhythm regulator," may signal a shift in market sentiment [10][13] Economic and Policy Context - A meeting of the Central Political Bureau on September 29 focused on the 15th Five-Year Plan for national economic and social development, with a key meeting scheduled for October 20-23 [12] - There are indications of a phase of improvement in China-U.S. relations since September, which may gradually be priced into the market in the fourth quarter [13] Investment Opportunities - Analysts recommend focusing on sectors with concentrated catalytic events, including semiconductors, new energy, humanoid robots, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-ferrous metals [14] - The new energy sector, particularly in storage and photovoltaic directions, continues to show strong performance, with significant gains reported [15] Solid-State Battery and Energy Storage Market - The solid-state battery and energy metal sectors have shown strong performance, with solid-state batteries gaining traction due to technological advancements and market demand [17] - The energy storage market is experiencing robust demand, with leading battery companies operating at full capacity and orders extending into early next year. By 2027, China's new energy storage capacity is expected to reach over 180 million kilowatts, driving an estimated investment of 250 billion yuan [17]