10月16日，美国白宫新闻秘书莱维特受访称，民主党的支持者是非法移民、罪犯和哈马斯等，被指荒 谬。此前纽约市市长候选人、民主党人未直接回答是否支持哈马斯放弃武装。莱维特在受访时观看这名 民主党人发言，并发表指责民主党的言论。2024年美国大选民主党副总统候选人就此称，"白宫说了些 令人发指的话"。 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the memorial service for Charlie Kirk, a prominent conservative activist, held in Glendale, Arizona, attended by Elon Musk, marking the first public appearance of Musk and Trump together since their fallout [2][3] - Charlie Kirk was shot and killed on September 10 at Utah Valley University, at the age of 31, and Trump mentioned that significant progress is being made in the investigation to find the shooter [3] - The memorial service is expected to attract over 100,000 attendees, with reports indicating that security measures are extremely tight [3] Group 2 - Elon Musk has expressed support for Trump and the Republican Party in the upcoming 2024 U.S. elections, having previously served as the head of Trump's "Office of Government Efficiency" [3] - Following a fallout over the "Big and Beautiful" bill, Musk announced plans to establish a new "American Party" and stated that he has not visited Washington, D.C. since leaving the government efficiency role [3] - In a recent interview at a tech conference in Los Angeles, Musk commented on his experience in the government efficiency office, stating that "the U.S. government is basically beyond repair" [3]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced weak fluctuations on September 3, with the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices collectively retreating, while sectors such as power equipment, new energy, media, and pharmaceuticals saw gains [1] - The gold ETF (159834.SZ) rose by 1.28% as of 1:30 PM, indicating a positive market sentiment towards gold investments [1] - The long-term allocation logic for gold ETFs is supported by concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and easing inflation data, which strengthen expectations for a rate cut in September, potentially boosting gold prices [1] Group 2 - Global geopolitical conflicts and ongoing trade friction risks enhance the safe-haven appeal of gold, leading to sustained demand [1] - The trend of global central banks purchasing gold continues, providing structural support for gold prices due to ample long-term allocation momentum [1] - The uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election cycle is expected to increase market volatility, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold as a risk-averse asset [1] Group 3 - The gold sector benefits from an upward shift in price levels and the logic of resource scarcity, alongside deepening expectations of global monetary easing, which enhances the asset allocation value of gold [1] - In the context of intensified short-term competition in industrial and energy metals, the gold ETF (159834.SZ) is prioritized as a tool that combines liquidity and defensiveness [1]

Core Viewpoint - Taylor Swift's engagement to NFL player Travis Kelce has garnered significant media attention, highlighting her influence and status in both the music and cultural landscape [1][2]. Group 1: Taylor Swift's Career and Influence - Taylor Swift, known as "霉霉," has evolved from a country music singer to a global music icon, winning 14 Grammy Awards and achieving the highest global sales among musicians [3]. - In 2022, Forbes reported that Taylor Swift's net worth reached $1.6 billion, surpassing Rihanna to become the world's richest female singer [3]. - A Harvard University professor has introduced a course titled "Taylor Swift and Her World," which has attracted nearly 300 students, indicating her cultural impact [3]. Group 2: Record-Breaking Tour - Taylor Swift's "Eras Tour" concluded with a total gross exceeding $2 billion, setting a record for the highest-grossing tour globally [4]. - After paying all staff their base salaries, Swift distributed bonuses totaling approximately $197 million, equivalent to about 1.4 billion RMB [4]. - The tour, which began on March 18, 2023, in Arizona, included 149 shows across over 50 cities worldwide, with every performance sold out [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political maneuvering by former President Trump regarding the Federal Reserve, highlighting concerns over the potential loss of the Fed's independence and the implications for the U.S. economy and global markets [1][7][15]. Group 1: Trump's Actions and Motivations - Trump's attempt to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, who was appointed for a 14-year term, is likened to a landlord trying to evict a tenant with a long lease, illustrating the absurdity of his actions [3][5]. - The urgency behind Trump's actions is linked to the upcoming elections, as he seeks to lower interest rates to alleviate housing costs and gain voter support [5][12]. - Trump's desire to replace Fed officials with those aligned with his policies indicates a strategy to exert control over the Fed to implement his economic agenda [5][12]. Group 2: Implications for the Federal Reserve and the Economy - The potential interference in the Fed's operations threatens its independence, which has historically been crucial for maintaining economic stability and managing crises [7][8]. - If the Fed becomes a tool for political agendas, it could lead to market panic, a loss of confidence in the dollar, and increased yields on government bonds, undermining the U.S. economy's credibility [8][10]. - The risk of inflation resurgence is highlighted, as pushing for lower interest rates could reignite inflationary pressures, negatively impacting consumers despite short-term benefits [10][12]. Group 3: Political Calculations and Consequences - Trump's strategy to manipulate the Fed for electoral gain may backfire legally and politically, as courts are likely to uphold the Fed's independence [12][13]. - The public's concern over inflation may overshadow any immediate benefits from lower interest rates, leading to voter dissatisfaction if economic conditions do not improve as expected [12][13]. - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining the Fed's independence for long-term economic health, warning against the dangers of prioritizing short-term political gains over sound economic policy [15][17].

Core Viewpoint - A U.S. federal judge has ordered Elon Musk to respond to a class-action lawsuit regarding a "$1 million lottery" campaign that allegedly misled voters into providing personal information [1] Group 1: Legal Issues - The lawsuit was initiated by Arizona voter McCafferty, who claims Musk and his political action committee misrepresented the lottery, leading voters to believe they had a chance to win $1 million [1] - The campaign aimed to attract signatures from voters in seven key swing states, but participants were required to provide personal information without a real chance of winning [1] Group 2: Political Context - During the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Musk has been a strong supporter of Republican candidate Trump, launching initiatives in critical swing states like Pennsylvania [1] - Musk's campaign involved daily random drawings for $1 million among participants, which has raised legal concerns regarding its legitimacy [1] Group 3: Legal Proceedings - In October 2024, the Philadelphia District Attorney filed a lawsuit against Musk and the America PAC, accusing them of attempting to influence voters in the presidential election [1] - A Pennsylvania judge ruled that the lottery campaign could continue despite the legal challenges [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential political future of Vice President Vance, who has been labeled as a likely successor to President Trump for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, despite his controversial past remarks about Trump [3][10]. Group 1: Vance's Political Position - Vance has rapidly transformed from a critic of Trump to a favored candidate, winning a Senate seat in 2022 and being positioned for the vice presidency in 2024 [3]. - His alignment with Trump's "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) policies has garnered him support, but his lack of extensive political experience raises concerns about his governance capabilities [10][12]. Group 2: Competition within the Republican Party - Florida Governor DeSantis is a significant rival, boasting a strong political record and a substantial following among conservative voters, which makes him a formidable contender against Vance [5][9]. - Senator Rubio, also mentioned as a potential running mate for Vance, has a solid political foundation and could pose a challenge due to his established connections and experience [7][9]. Group 3: Challenges and Risks for Vance - Traditional Republican establishment figures express skepticism towards Vance's extreme political stance and limited experience, favoring more moderate candidates like DeSantis and Rubio [9]. - Vance's controversial views, particularly on foreign policy, may alienate certain voter segments, complicating his path to securing broader support [10][12]. - The Democratic Party is preparing to leverage Vance's past statements against him, potentially branding him as inconsistent or elitist, which could hinder his appeal to moderate voters [12]. Group 4: Future Uncertainties - The political landscape is unpredictable, and while Trump's endorsement provides Vance with an initial advantage, his future success will depend on his performance in office and ability to navigate challenges [12][13]. - The article suggests that the political race is akin to a reality show, where the ultimate winner is uncertain until the end, emphasizing the dynamic nature of political competition [13].

Core Points - The investigation into former special prosecutor Jack Smith is based on allegations of "illegal political activity" related to his investigation of Trump [1] - Smith was appointed to investigate Trump shortly after he announced his candidacy for the 2024 election, raising concerns about the political motivations behind the investigation [1][2] - The special prosecutor's office is facing internal turmoil and leadership changes, which may affect its independence and effectiveness [2][3] Group 1 - The special prosecutor's office is an independent oversight body established by Congress, lacking criminal enforcement authority [1] - Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton has called for an investigation into Smith's activities, suggesting they are politically motivated to aid Biden's campaign [1] - Smith's investigations include allegations against Trump for attempting to overturn the 2020 election results and mishandling government documents [1] Group 2 - Trump has denied any wrongdoing and claims that Smith's investigation is a weaponization of federal agencies [2] - Following Trump's potential victory in the 2024 election, Smith may have to drop charges against him due to the customary practice of not prosecuting sitting presidents [2] - The special prosecutor's office is reportedly divided and facing leadership instability, with recent changes in its head [2][3] Group 3 - The Department of Justice has publicly stated it is investigating Smith and other prosecutors involved in cases against Trump through a "weaponization task force" [3] - Smith is not the first former government official under investigation during Trump's second term; former FBI Director James Comey is also being investigated [3] - Allegations against Comey and former CIA Director John Brennan involve providing false statements to Congress [3]

Group 1 - Elon Musk announced the formation of a new political party called the "American Party" to liberate citizens from the two-party system in the U.S. [1] - A poll conducted by Musk showed that 65.4% of over 1.24 million participants supported the establishment of the "American Party" [1] - The U.S. electoral system operates on an indirect election basis, where the president is elected by an electoral college rather than by direct popular vote [1][2] Group 2 - The "winner-takes-all" principle in U.S. elections means that the candidate with the most votes in a state receives all of that state's electoral votes [2] - Historically, the two-party system has been stable in the U.S., with the Democratic and Republican parties dominating due to their established voter bases and resources [3] - Third parties have existed in the U.S., but they often struggle to gain significant traction, with many candidates participating primarily to raise their profile rather than to win [3] Group 3 - Musk's political activities have negatively impacted Tesla's stock price, which fell nearly 7% following his announcement about the new party, resulting in a market cap loss of approximately $68 billion [4] - Analysts have downgraded Tesla's stock rating from "buy" to "hold" due to concerns over Musk's political involvement and its potential adverse effects on the company [5] - Musk's high compensation package has drawn criticism, and there are calls for more oversight regarding his political activities and their impact on Tesla [5]

Group 1 - The United States is currently limited to using economic methods such as trade wars and tariffs to confront China due to complex considerations and various influencing factors [2] - The U.S. economy exhibits structural vulnerabilities, with consumer spending accounting for approximately 30% of global household final consumption, leading to a high dependency on imports [2] - The manufacturing sector's contribution to GDP has decreased from 17% in 1991 to 10.2% in 2023, indicating a hollowing out of domestic manufacturing [2] Group 2 - The political environment in the U.S. is characterized by high levels of partisanship and polarization, with figures like Trump leveraging a tough stance on China to gain electoral support [3] - This strategy diverts public attention from domestic issues, focusing blame on China and consolidating political backing, particularly in regions like the Rust Belt [3] Group 3 - From the perspective of international law and order, the U.S. recognizes that direct military confrontation would violate international laws and norms [4] - Trade disputes and tariff adjustments provide a framework within international rules, allowing the U.S. to express dissatisfaction and exert influence without resorting to military action [4] Group 4 - The U.S. military strategy is complex, with a global network of alliances and strategic positioning, maintaining a dominant military presence [5] - Direct military confrontation could provoke a strong response from China, leading to significant casualties and economic losses, as well as potential global economic repercussions [5]