10月债市出现反弹，股市行情出现分化，科创50指数10月下跌5.33%，而大盘股权重占比较高的上证指数上涨1.85%。 一、信托产品发行：10月发行量环比减少16% 数据显示，以产品成立日统计，10月发行信托产品1124只，环比减少15.87%。其中证券投资信托发行877只，占比78.02%，环比上升0.24个百分点。其他投 资信托发行222只，占比19.75%，贷款类信托发行19只，占比1.69%。 证券投资信托无论数量占比还是规模占比均相比9月出现上升，规模占比也由9月的36.43%上升至10月的42.37%。 从发行机构来看，10月发行信托产品最多的还是对外经济贸易信托，中粮信托发行数量排第二，华鑫信托发行数量排第三。 二、证券投资类产品表现：股票型信托10月回报缩水 具体产品来看，前10个月回报最高的债券型信托为"华鑫信托慧智投资154号"，该产品10月净值出现快速攀升，10月回报达42.55%，贡献了前10个月大部分 收益。前9个月净值波动较小，收益率仅3.11%。 "启航12号"前10个月回报排第二，但近1个月表现一般，回报为0.38%。"华鑫信托慧智投资153号"排第三，前10个月回报为39.5 ...

Core Insights - Overseas long-term investors are intensively conducting due diligence on Chinese asset managers, indicating a renewed interest in the Chinese market after a three-year hiatus [1][2] - The shift in focus towards Chinese investment opportunities is driven by the changing dynamics within China, which are deemed crucial for global investors [1][10] Group 1: Due Diligence Activities - Numerous Chinese asset managers, both domestic and overseas, have been undergoing due diligence from foreign long-term funds in the past quarter [2] - APS, a Singapore-based asset management firm, has seen significant inflows from both domestic and Singaporean investors, including family offices and high-net-worth individuals [2] - Overseas institutions are particularly interested in the historical holdings and trading decisions of asset managers to understand their investment style and sources of returns [2][3] Group 2: Investment Process and Preferences - Establishing a long-term partnership with asset managers requires a scalable and repeatable investment process, as many overseas investors remain cautious despite strong performance [3] - Key areas of focus during due diligence include investment management systems, risk management capabilities, organizational structure, alignment of interests, fee structures, macroeconomic outlook, and geopolitical risk assessments [4] - There is a growing interest among overseas investors in diversifying away from U.S. assets and increasing exposure to the Chinese market, particularly in long/short equity strategies [3][4] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Despite the interest from family offices and funds of funds, pension funds and sovereign wealth funds have not yet made significant adjustments to their allocations [5] - As of mid-2023, overseas mutual funds have a low allocation to China, with only 11% of the total global fund assets being allocated to the Chinese market [6] - Factors contributing to the cautious stance of global funds include market volatility, economic uncertainties, and concerns over the real estate sector and trade disputes [6][7] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Technology - There is a notable shift towards hard technology investments, with a focus on sectors such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and biotechnology, which are seen as key growth areas for China [9][10] - Companies like SMIC are highlighted for their potential, with expectations of significant improvements in return on equity (ROE) over the next few years [9][10] - The changing landscape in China, including a decline in the importance of real estate and adjustments in industrial policy, presents new opportunities for global investors [10]

Group 1 - The private equity industry is witnessing a trend of limiting new client subscriptions, signaling a strategic shift towards managing fund sizes to protect existing investors' interests [2][3][4] - Quantitative private equity firms, such as Yuanfu Investment and Longqi Technology, have announced plans to close certain products to new investors, while allowing existing clients to continue investing [2][3] - The rationale behind these actions includes preventing dilution of investment returns and ensuring that fund managers can maintain performance amid market volatility [4][5] Group 2 - The trend of limiting subscriptions reflects a cautious approach by private equity firms in response to current market uncertainties, indicating a focus on long-term performance rather than rapid growth [5][6] - Recent data shows that retail investor sentiment is improving, with significant net inflows into the A-share market, suggesting a potential recovery in market conditions [6][7] - Private equity firms are increasingly focusing on sectors such as semiconductors and medical devices, with a notable increase in research activity in these areas [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the survival rate and performance of "civilian stock gods" transitioning into private equity, highlighting their low overall survival rate and significant performance divergence. Group 1: Survival Rate and Performance - The overall survival rate of civilian stock gods in private equity is low, characterized by clear "polarization" and "high elimination rates" [2] - Civilian stock gods often exhibit flexible strategies and aggressive positions, which can lead to significant gains in bull markets but severe losses in bear markets [3][4] - Notable examples include Liao Maolin, who saw a tenfold increase in value from 2019 to 2021 but suffered substantial losses afterward, and Yun Meng, who lost 81% of his net worth after heavily investing in bank stocks during a downturn [2][4] Group 2: Risk Management and Strategy - Civilian stock gods tend to have strong explosive performance in bull markets but reveal significant risk management shortcomings during bear markets [3][4] - In 2014, the average return for civilian stock gods was 16.32%, outperforming public and brokerage funds, but they faced severe drawdowns during the 2015 stock market crash [3][4] - The performance of civilian stock gods is often tied to their personal experiences rather than formal investment theories, leading to a wide disparity in fund performance [5] Group 3: Growth and Challenges - As some civilian stock gods transitioned to larger private equity firms, they struggled to maintain their previous success due to reduced flexibility and increased complexity in managing larger funds [6] - Despite the low survival rate, some individuals have successfully adapted and continue to thrive in the private equity space, such as Feng Liu and Liang Hong, who have integrated personal investment strategies with institutional capabilities [6][7][8] Group 4: Selection Criteria for Investors - Investors are advised to look for signs of genuine capability in fund managers, such as consistent performance, transparency in holdings, and reasonable fund sizes [9][10] - Key indicators of a fund manager's reliability include significant personal investment in their funds, clear communication, and adherence to their investment capabilities [10]