Group 1 - The company is a leading integrated circuit wafer foundry, ranking fifth globally and is a leader in China's semiconductor manufacturing industry, offering 8-inch and 12-inch wafer foundry and technology services [1] - The Chinese semiconductor market is expected to grow steadily, with a projected market size of $185.11 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20% and a CAGR of 7.29% from 2014 to 2024 [1] - The wafer foundry industry benefits from the growth trend in the semiconductor sector and the increasing demand for localized production from clients, which accelerates the layout of overseas companies in domestic capacity [1] Group 2 - The company focuses on the research and development of integrated circuit process technology, successfully developing multiple technology nodes for 8-inch and 12-inch wafers, with mass production capabilities across various technology platforms [2] - The company has established long-term collaborations with well-known domestic and international clients, enhancing its industry recognition and supporting capacity and revenue expansion [2] - The company plans to acquire a 49% stake in SMIC North, which is expected to improve asset quality, enhance business synergy, and promote long-term development [2] Group 3 - Revenue projections for the company are $9.26 billion, $10.82 billion, and $12.63 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of $679 million, $895 million, and $1.22 billion for the same years [2] - The corresponding price-to-book ratios are expected to be 3.38, 3.24, and 3.06 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][56]. Core Views - The company is a leading global foundry in integrated circuit manufacturing, ranking fifth in global market share and is a leader in China's semiconductor industry [8]. - The semiconductor market in China is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of $185.11 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20% [33]. - The company has a comprehensive process platform that meets diverse customer needs, benefiting from the localization of chip manufacturing [41]. - Revenue and profit forecasts indicate a steady growth trajectory, with expected revenues of $9.26 billion, $10.82 billion, and $12.63 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [51][52]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was founded in 2000 and has established itself as a major player in the foundry market, providing 8-inch and 12-inch wafer foundry services [12]. - It has a strong management team with extensive industry experience and no single controlling shareholder [21][24]. Market Dynamics - The Chinese semiconductor market is experiencing robust growth, driven by local production demands and geopolitical factors that favor domestic foundries [34]. - The foundry industry has high entry barriers due to significant capital requirements, leading to a concentrated market structure [38]. Financial Performance - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.53% from 2018 to 2024 [26]. - The first half of 2025 saw a revenue increase of 22.04% year-on-year, indicating a return to profitability [26]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of $9.26 billion in 2025, with a net profit of $679 million, reflecting a profit margin improvement [51][54]. - The projected gross margins for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 21.17%, 23.31%, and 26.14% respectively, indicating a positive trend in profitability [52]. Competitive Position - The company maintains a diverse customer base across various sectors, including telecommunications and consumer electronics, which supports its revenue expansion [43]. - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with a current monthly capacity of 991,300 equivalent 8-inch wafers [46].

Domestic Macro - Demand Side - As of July 4, 2023, the passenger car sales in June reached 2.032 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%[2] - The average number of domestic flights executed this week was 14,200, a month-on-month increase of 11.46%[2] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) averaged 1,442.75, a month-on-month decrease of 13.9% and a year-on-year decrease of 24.6%[2] Domestic Macro - Production Side - As of July 4, 2023, the operating rate of blast furnaces was recorded at 83.44%, a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points[3] - The operating rate for PTA production was 79.13%, maintaining a high level[3] - The operating rate for automotive semi-steel tires was 70.41%, a month-on-month decrease of 7.64 percentage points[3] Price Performance - As of July 4, 2023, the average wholesale price of pork increased by 0.75% week-on-week, while the futures settlement price rose by 2.43%[2] - Brent crude oil prices fell by 0.25%, while WTI crude oil prices increased by 0.90%[3] - The prices of rebar and iron ore increased by 1.36% and 0.99% respectively this week[3] Fiscal Policy - This week, the issuance of ordinary government bonds reached 199.9 billion, with an issuance progress of 55.5%[3] - New special bonds (excluding debt replacement) amounted to 45.8 billion, with an issuance progress of 48.7%[3] Overseas Macro and Market - The "Big and Beautiful" Act is expected to increase the deficit by $3.4 trillion over ten years, potentially pushing the U.S. deficit rate to 7%[4] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls in June added 147,000 jobs, exceeding expectations, primarily due to a significant increase in state and local government education jobs[4] - The ISM manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.0, slightly better than the expected 48.8, indicating a contraction in manufacturing[4]