汽车/商用车 江淮汽车（600418.SH） 尊界 S800 销量持续爬坡，35 亿定增注册获同意 2026 年 01 月 09 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2026/1/8 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 49.95 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 58.81/28.26 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,090.91 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,090.91 | | 总股本(亿股) | 21.84 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 21.84 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 117.69 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 江淮汽车 沪深300 相关研究报告 《9 月尊界 S800 交付量快速爬坡，有 望支撑订单积累—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.10.14 《尊界开启科技豪华新时代，S800 大 定表现迎开门红—公司首次覆盖报 告》-2025.8.28 | 邓健全（分析师） | 赵悦媛（分析师） | 徐剑峰（分析师） | | --- | --- | --- | | d ...

Core Insights - The ultra-luxury automotive market in China is transitioning from a "single narrative" to a "systematic engineering" approach, indicating a shift in how products are developed and delivered [2] - The performance of the ZunJie S800 highlights the importance of stable delivery capabilities and user trust in a highly competitive market, rather than just sales figures [3][4] - The ZunJie S800 has achieved significant delivery milestones, with over 2,200 units delivered in November and a record daily delivery of over 200 units on December 25 [3][6] Market Dynamics - The ultra-luxury segment is driven by "trust costs" rather than just demand, with user decisions based on brand reputation and manufacturing reliability [4][6] - The user base for the ZunJie S800 is evolving, with an increasing number of customers transitioning from traditional luxury brands, indicating a shift in consumer perception and acceptance [4][16] Manufacturing and Delivery - The ZunJie S800's growth reflects a highly industrialized manufacturing process, characterized by stable order conversion and consistent production rhythms, rather than explosive sales spikes [6][7] - The manufacturing system is designed for high-quality output without compromising delivery standards, ensuring low variability in product quality [6][11] Safety and Technology - In the context of electric vehicles, battery safety is a critical concern, requiring a systematic approach to mitigate risks associated with complex operational environments [9][12] - The Huawei Whale Battery Platform 2.0 emphasizes a comprehensive safety design, integrating multiple protective measures to enhance overall vehicle safety [11][12] Collaborative Model - The ZunJie S800 employs a "deep co-creation" collaboration model with Huawei, which enhances efficiency and redefines responsibility boundaries in product development [14][16] - This collaborative approach aligns well with the ultra-luxury market's demand for low error rates and high consistency in product delivery [14][16] Consumer Perception - The "ZunJie Effect" reflects a growing consumer trust in the ZunJie S800, transitioning from initial curiosity to a broader acceptance among high-end users [16][17] - The luxury perception in the new energy era is increasingly based on system reliability and engineering capabilities, rather than historical brand prestige [17]

中国超豪华汽车， 开始从"单点叙事"走向"系统工程"。 在70万元以上的超豪华汽车市场，销量往往并不具备决定性说服力。真正值得被反复拆解的，通常是交付节奏是否稳定、履约能力是否可靠，以及用户是否 愿意持续把信任交付给同一套体系。 尊界S800的表现，恰恰集中体现在这些"非显性指标"上。自2025年5月上市以来，这款国产超豪华新能源轿车的终端交付能力持续爬坡，11月单月交付超过 2200台，并已连续三个月位居70万级以上豪华轿车销量榜首。进入年末，其月度交付进一步抬升至3000台区间，单日交付能力也在12月25日首次突破200 台，刷新了历史交付纪录。 从交付节奏来看，整个过程没有明显的爆点，也未出现短期冲高后的快速回落，更像是一条逐步抬升并迅速趋稳的曲线。 在一个对稳定性要求极端苛刻、对"试错"几乎零容忍的市场中，这样的表现并不常见。它所释放的信号，也远不止"卖得不错"这么简单，而是指向一个更底 层的问题：中国汽车工业，是否已经具备在超豪华领域持续、系统输出产品的能力。 一条不同于 传统超豪华的增长曲线 如果只从结果看，尊界S800的市场表现很容易被简单归因为"新能源红利"或"科技标签"。但放回70万级以上的 ...

今年下半年以来，玛莎拉蒂迎来多轮大降价，主要集中在Grecale格雷嘉这款车型。官方信息显示，玛莎 拉蒂Grecale格雷嘉的指导价为65.08-103.88万元；优惠后裸车价降为38.88万元，起售价低了超26万元， 相当于打了六折。 而纯电版Grecale格雷嘉折扣力度更大，官方指导价为89.88万元，降价后裸车价格只 要35.88万，大降价54万元，相当于打了四折。 据北京商报，在售的Grecale格雷嘉等车型大幅度降价清库存。北京一家玛莎拉蒂经销商证实，低配版 Grecale格雷嘉全国已售罄。 一位接近玛莎拉蒂的知情人士表示，此前受疫情影响，这批进口车晚了整整一年半才在中国市场卖，与 后面的新款车型上市时间重叠了。对于厂家而言，快速去库存是当前营销策略的当务之急，所以出现了 罕见的大降价。 本文转载自界面新闻 值班 编辑｜ 宝珠 视觉 | 顾芗 "跑车皇后"、意大利超豪华汽车品牌玛莎拉蒂打"骨折"促销受到追捧。 据第一财经，近日，上海一家大型玛莎拉蒂经销商管理人员许昕表示，"30多万的Grecale格雷嘉卖 得'飞'起来。"许昕表示，降价后，纯电版Grecale格雷嘉落地价不到40万元，总体折扣非常大 ...

Core Insights - The luxury brand ZunJie plans to expand its product lineup by introducing SUV and MPV models next year, adding to its existing S800 model, resulting in a total of three series and six models [1][4][24] - The new models will be positioned slightly below the S800, indicating a strategy to lower price barriers in the ultra-luxury market [4][5] - ZunJie aims to create a comprehensive product strategy that includes both upward and downward market coverage, with the S800 high-end version pushing price limits further [4][5] Product Strategy - ZunJie is completing its product category layout by covering sedans, SUVs, and MPVs, thereby solidifying its position in the ultra-luxury market [4][5] - The pricing strategy for the new models will be below 700,000 yuan, breaking the traditional pricing barriers of ultra-luxury brands [4][5] - The introduction of the high-end version of the S800 is expected to elevate the brand's market presence and pricing strategy [4][5] Market Dynamics - The aggressive expansion into multiple vehicle categories reflects a shift in the luxury market, where brands are compelled to diversify their offerings [5][24] - ZunJie's S800 has achieved significant sales, with over 18,000 units sold within 175 days of launch, outperforming traditional luxury models [6][7] - The brand's success is attributed not only to pricing but also to understanding the core needs of ultra-luxury consumers, such as advanced technology and unique user experiences [9][11] Financial and Technical Foundations - ZunJie's rapid product rollout is supported by a solid market foundation established by the S800, which has generated substantial sales and brand trust [6][7] - The company has a robust production capacity, with plans for a new factory capable of producing 200,000 electric vehicles annually, backed by significant investment [12][13] - The technological capabilities of the platform used for the S800 allow for the development of various vehicle types, ensuring feasibility for the new models [12][13] Challenges and Risks - There are concerns regarding product differentiation, as the new models may risk becoming too similar, potentially leading to a lack of unique identity in the ultra-luxury market [14][15][19] - The brand's ability to maintain premium pricing across its new models is uncertain, especially in a competitive market with established luxury brands [22][24] - The success of ZunJie's strategy will depend on its ability to create distinct value propositions for its new offerings, beyond just price [22][24]

Core Viewpoint - The German luxury car trio, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Audi (BBA), is losing market share in China due to the rapid rise of domestic electric vehicle brands, particularly in the entry-level and mid-range luxury segments [4][8]. Market Dynamics - The entry-level luxury sedan market, represented by models like the BMW 3 Series, Audi A4L, and Mercedes-Benz C-Class, has seen significant price reductions, with the Mercedes-Benz C260L's price dropping to around 25 million yuan after subsidies [4]. - Despite price cuts, sales have not improved significantly, with Mercedes-Benz C-Class and Audi A4L sales dropping by 16% and 27% respectively in the first half of 2025, while BMW 3 Series saw a slight increase [4][5]. - The market share of new energy vehicles in the 200,000 to 300,000 yuan price range has increased from 60% to 63.3% year-on-year, further squeezing traditional luxury entry-level cars [4]. Financial Impact - BMW reported a 24.6% decline in deliveries for its popular models X3/X4 and a staggering 70.8% drop for i3/i4 in the first half of the year [5]. - In Q3 2023, BMW's sales in China were 147,100 units, down 0.4% year-on-year, while Mercedes-Benz's sales fell by 27% to 125,100 units [5]. - The financial performance of BBA has been adversely affected, with Mercedes-Benz's net profit plunging 55.8%, Audi's down 37.5%, and BMW's decreasing by 29% in the first half of 2025 [6]. Competitive Landscape - The mid-size luxury sedan market is also experiencing price competition, with the BMW 5 Series seeing a price drop of 40% from 439,900 yuan to approximately 260,000 yuan [6]. - Domestic electric vehicle brands are now targeting the ultra-luxury segment, with models like BYD's Yangwang U8 and NIO's ET9 directly competing with BBA's high-end offerings [6][7]. - NIO's ET9 surpassed BMW 7 Series and Audi A8L in sales in its first month, while Huawei's Zun Jie S800 received over 14,000 pre-orders within 109 days, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [7][11]. Historical Context - The Chinese luxury car market has undergone a significant transformation from 2010 to 2020, with market size growing from approximately 300,000 units to 2.2 million units, while BBA's market share dropped from 94.03% in 2012 to 63% in 2020 [8][9]. - Domestic brands have increasingly penetrated the luxury market, with Li Auto capturing nearly 10% market share and NIO holding a 40% share in the pure electric vehicle segment above 300,000 yuan by 2024 [9][10]. Challenges for Domestic Brands - While domestic brands have made strides in the ultra-luxury market, they face challenges in brand recognition and consumer trust compared to established players like BBA [16][18]. - The international market presence of these brands remains limited, and their success in the ultra-luxury segment will depend on their ability to enhance brand perception globally [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant shift in the Chinese luxury car market, highlighting the decline of traditional German brands (BBA: BMW, Benz, Audi) due to the rapid rise of domestic electric vehicle brands, particularly in the entry-level and mid-range luxury segments [3][4][10]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Over the past two decades, BBA has established itself as a symbol of luxury in China, but is now losing market share in the entry-level luxury sedan segment, where prices have dropped significantly [3][4]. - In the first half of 2025, the sales of Benz C-Class and Audi A4L fell by 16% and 27% respectively, while BMW 3 Series saw a slight increase [3]. - The market share of new energy vehicles in the 200,000 to 300,000 yuan price range has increased from 60% to 63.3% year-on-year, further squeezing the market for traditional luxury entry-level cars [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Impact - BBA's financial performance has been adversely affected, with Benz's net profit dropping by 55.8%, Audi's by 37.5%, and BMW's by 29% in the first half of 2025 [4]. - The mid-range luxury sedan market is also experiencing price cuts, with the entry-level BMW 5 Series seeing a price reduction of 40% [4]. Group 3: Competition from Domestic Brands - Domestic brands like NIO and BYD are increasingly targeting the ultra-luxury market, with models like the NIO ET9 and BYD's Yangwang U8 directly competing with BBA's offerings [4][5]. - NIO's ET9 surpassed BMW 7 Series and Audi A8L in sales shortly after its launch, indicating a shift in consumer preference [5]. - The Huawei-backed ZunJie S800 received over 14,000 pre-orders within 109 days, suggesting a strong market response that could challenge BBA's dominance [5][19]. Group 4: Historical Context and Future Outlook - The luxury car market in China has evolved significantly from 2010 to 2020, with BBA's market share dropping from 94.03% in 2012 to 63% in 2020 [7][10]. - By 2024, BBA's combined market share is projected to fall to 35%, while domestic brands like Li Auto and AITO are gaining traction [10]. - The competition in the ultra-luxury segment remains challenging for domestic brands, as they must overcome brand perception issues and establish a strong market presence [24][26].

Core Viewpoint - Maserati, known as the "Queen of Sports Cars," is reportedly not for sale despite rumors, as confirmed by Stellantis Group officials [2][4]. Group 1: Maserati's Sales Performance - Maserati's global sales significantly declined in 2024, dropping from 26,689 units in 2023 to 14,725 units, a decrease of over 40% [2][4]. - In China, Maserati's sales fell from 4,680 units in 2022 to 1,209 units in 2024, with its market share dropping from 20% to 8.2% during the same period [4]. - The decline in sales is attributed to decreased demand for Western luxury imports, a drop in Grecale model sales, and inventory reduction measures [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Maserati's adjusted operating income and net income also saw declines in 2024, influenced by reduced sales and product mix [4]. - Stellantis Group reported a net revenue of €156.9 billion in 2024, a 17% decrease from 2023, with net profit dropping by 70% to €5.5 billion [7]. Group 3: Leadership Changes - Stellantis Group appointed a new CEO, Antonio Filosa, on June 23, 2025, as part of a management restructuring aimed at reversing the company's declining performance [3][7]. - Filosa's leadership experience in North and South America is expected to bring a new direction to the company [8]. Group 4: Market Trends - The overall luxury car market is experiencing a downturn, with Maserati's sales reflecting a broader trend of weakened demand among high-end consumers [5][6]. - In contrast, other luxury brands like Ferrari, Bentley, and Rolls-Royce are performing relatively better despite facing some sales declines [6].