风险提示：房地产走势不确定性仍存；政策力度不及预期。 "破局"通胀：反内卷与扩内需 [Table_Authors] 2025 年 6 月物价数据点评 本报告导读： 今年以来，"以旧换新"补贴政策持续支撑耐用消费品价格，带动核心 CPI 同比小幅 修复，而其中服务价格方面仍有待提振，指向了居民部门资产负债表的修复进展有 限，需要后续稳增长政策接续。 投资要点： 宏 观 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 宏 观 专 题 宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.09 2025-07-13 [Table_Summary] 6 月 CPI 同比转正。食品价格拖累减弱；国际油价上涨输入带动能 源价格；核心 CPI 环比持平，核心消费品 CPI 环比表现显著好于 2023、 2024 年，"618"提前促销影响过去后，"以旧换新"政策支持的相关品 类价格仍相对偏强，而服务相关价格继续稳中偏弱。 6 月 PPI 同比跌幅继续扩张，一是受高温降雨天气影响，房地产、基 建项目施工进度有所放缓。二是"反内卷"具体政策和效果仍待观察， 尤其是对光伏、水泥、钢铁等行业实际供需格局的影响。三 ...

黄金市场今日上演了一场令人瞠目结舌的"飙升秀"！ | 全店名称 | 首饰名称 | 黄金饰品 | 首饰名称 | 铂金饰品 | 报价时间 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 周大福 | 黄金饰品 | 998元/克 | 铂金饰品 | 548元/克 | 07月10日 | | 老凤祥 | 黄金饰品 | 1000元/克 | 铂金饰品 | 470元/克 | 07月10日 | | 周六福 | 黄金饰品 | 978元/克 | 铂金饰品 | 582元/克 | 07月10日 | | 周生生 | 黄金饰品 | 999元/克 | 铂金饰品 | 548元/克 | 07月10日 | | 周大生 | 黄金饰品 | 998元/克 | 铂金饰品 | 552元/克 | 07月10日 | | 六福珠宝 | 黄金饰品 | 998元/克 | 铂金饰品 | 548元/克 | 07月10日 | | 老庙 | 黄金饰品 | 996元/克 | 铂金饰品 | 470元/克 | 07月10日 | | 菜白 | 黄金饰品 | 978元/克 | 铂金饰品 | 412元/克 | 07月10日 | 推动金价上涨的因素错综复杂 ...

来源：杨易君黄金与金融投资 今年最强贵金属不是金银 黄金美元技术与基本面矛盾 2025年07月13日 威尔鑫投资咨询研究中心 （文） 首席分析师 杨易君 来源：杨易君黄金与金融投资 1 一周市场小结 上周国际现货金价3334.45美元开盘，最高上试3368.57美元，最低下探3282.62美元，报收3355.09美元， 上涨20.09美元，涨幅0.60%，振幅2.58%，周K线呈先抑后扬，震荡上行小阳线。 上周美元指数以96.97点开盘，最高上试97.96点，最低下探96.88点，报收97.85点，上涨870点，涨幅 0.90%，振幅1.12%，周K线呈震荡反弹小阳线。 上周wellxin贵金指数（金银钯铂）以6869.55点开盘，最高上试7062.24点，最低下探6695.16点，报收 7036.32点，上涨169.48点，涨幅2.48%，振幅5.35%，周K线呈先抑后扬，再创历史新高的中阳线。 上周： 现货银价上涨3.97%，振幅6.46%，报收38.38美元； 现货铂金价格上涨0.60%，振幅4.99%，报收1399.35美元； 伦镍下跌0.16%，振幅2.65%，报收15235.00美元； 伦锡下跌0 ...

现货铂金 现货铂金日内涨3%，现报1401.63美元/盎司。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - Platinum has gained significant attention, with a notable increase in demand and interest compared to the previous year, as evidenced by the activities during the Shanghai Platinum Week [2] - As of July 11, 2023, NYMEX platinum futures were priced at $1432.8 per ounce, reflecting a 51% increase since the beginning of the year [2] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange reported a closing price of 322.54 yuan per gram for platinum, marking a 45% rise from the start of the year [2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The World Platinum Investment Council forecasts a supply deficit of 966,000 ounces for the platinum market in 2023, which is expected to persist until 2029 [4] - Current mining supply is at a historical low due to previous price declines, leading to reduced capital expenditures by miners [4] - Recycling of platinum, particularly from used catalytic converters, is anticipated to increase significantly, with projections of 72 tons of platinum group metal recovery in China by 2028, an 84% increase from 2024 [5] Group 3: Investment Trends - Demand for platinum jewelry has surged, contributing to the price increase, with significant growth in imports noted in China [6][7] - The share of platinum investment demand in China has risen dramatically, from 11% in 2019 to 64% currently, with a notable increase in demand for platinum bars and coins [7] - Companies are shifting focus from gold to platinum due to lower acquisition costs and growing consumer interest in platinum jewelry [6][7] Group 4: Future Price Outlook - Experts suggest that while platinum prices may continue to rise, there are uncertainties due to various factors, including U.S. tariff policies [8][10] - Short-term price corrections are anticipated, with projections indicating that platinum prices may fluctuate between $1200 and $1500 per ounce [10] - The potential for price support exists due to safe-haven demand, but the market remains cautious about the sustainability of current price levels [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - GAC Group has entered a "wartime state" to tackle the challenges of the automotive industry's transformation and aims to reinvent itself through three major battles [2] Group 1: User Demand Battle - User demand is identified as the core variable in the evolution of the automotive industry, with a shift towards smart, connected, and emotional vehicles [4] - GAC Group is enhancing its customer insight capabilities and restructuring its user operation system to meet core user needs and create emotional value [5] - The company aims to improve product acceleration performance, targeting a 0-100 km/h acceleration in 3 seconds for household products, and aims for an energy efficiency of 12 km per kWh [6] Group 2: Product Value Battle - GAC Group has invested heavily in R&D, mastering leading technologies in the new energy vehicle sector, including high-safety battery systems and advanced hybrid systems [8] - The company plans to launch its first L4 level autonomous driving vehicle by 2025, leveraging advanced AI and electronic architectures [8] - GAC Group emphasizes safety with a comprehensive safety system, including dual redundancy for eight key systems, ensuring user safety [8] Group 3: Service Experience Battle - GAC Group is implementing an integrated product marketing and sales (IPMS) system to enhance customer experience and satisfaction [10] - The company aims to resolve 93% of customer issues within two hours and is enhancing its service capabilities through a comprehensive service process [11] - GAC Group is focusing on online and offline integration, with a 24/7 online service and over 2000 sales service points nationwide [10][11]

【导读】广汽集团董事长冯兴亚称，全面进入 " 战时状态 " 中国基金报记者 邱德坤 广汽集团是燃油车时代的头部车企之一，面对汽车行业的大变革时代，以广汽集团为代表的 车企正在努力寻求破局之道。 打好用户需求战 " 用户需求是汽车产业演进的核心变量。 " 冯兴亚表示，随着智能网联新能源汽车的兴起， 用户需求发生了根本性的变化，汽车成为承载个性和情感的移动伙伴。 为此，广汽集团在确保汽车安全和功能价值底线的同时，全面提升对客户需求的洞察能力、 重构用户运营体系、拥抱和满足用户核心需求，着力打造情绪价值。 冯兴亚介绍，广汽集团重构了产品、造型、整车、平台技术等资源及相关配套职能，构建了 " 从用户洞察为起点到产品交付 " 的广汽集团大研发体系，确保车型开发在满足功能价值的基 础上，精心锻造让客户心动的情绪价值。 具体来看，针对未来个性化的汽车消费市场，广汽集团将以核心科技创新为支撑，针对性强 化性能长板。 以充分发挥在电驱领域的技术优势为例，广汽集团基于广汽昊铂在 SSR 超跑技术的积累，将 大力提升产品的加速性能，使家用产品的加速性能迈进 3 秒大关。冯兴亚称： " （广汽集 团）将为用户带来怦然心动的驾驶体验。 ...

现货钯金涨幅超5 %，铂金大涨超3 % 7月11日，美股开盘后全线下跌，黄金、比特币大涨。消息面上，据央视新闻，特朗普再度怒 批鲍威尔，市场中，又有机构预测美联储降息时间推迟。 黄金、铂金、白银集体大涨！现货白银创1 4年新高 贵金属行情爆发，黄金、白银明显上涨，截至23:30发稿，现货黄金涨超1%，站上3364美元/ 盎司，被誉为"黄金平替"的白银和铂金涨幅更大，目前均涨逾3%。 | | W | | --- | --- | | . | | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | | NYMEX铝 | 1277.50 | 6.69% | | PA.NYM | | | | 现货把金(美元/ | 1199.69 | 5.62% | | SPTPDUSDOZ.IDC | | | | COMEX白银 | 38.870 | 4.20% | | SI.CMX | | | | COMEX M-B | 38.8630 | 4.19% | | QI.CMX | | | | NYMEX铝 | 1463.5 | 3.61% | | PL.NYM | | | | 伦敦银现 | 38.312 | ...

Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1372.340, up by 11.790 or 0.87% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1244.836, up by 50.257 or 4.21% [2] - Gold (COMEX) is priced at 3365.400, up by 32.400 or 0.97% [2] - Silver (COMEX) is priced at 38.415, up by 0.790 or 2.10% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to USD (EURUSD) is at 1.170, increasing by 0.04% [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) is at 1.351, decreasing by 0.48% [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) is at 147.015, increasing by 0.53% [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) is at 0.658, decreasing by 0.07% [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) is at 0.796, decreasing by 0.13% [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin is priced at 117453.350, up by 1443.350 or 1.24% [4] - Litecoin is priced at 96.000, up by 1.150 or 1.21% [4] - Ethereum is priced at 2985.910, up by 34.610 or 1.17% [4] - Ripple is priced at 2.727, up by 0.180 or 7.08% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.895, up by 0.027 or 0.70% [6] - The yield on the 5-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.971, up by 0.040 or 1.02% [7] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.398, up by 0.041 or 0.94% [7] - The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.920, up by 0.058 or 1.19% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is 4.628, up by 0.027 or 0.59% [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is 2.683, up by 0.021 or 0.79% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is 3.411, up by 0.020 or 0.59% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond is 3.605, up by 0.024 or 0.67% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is 1.529, up by 0.038 or 2.55% [7]

Group 1 - Han Gao Group has officially launched its IPO on July 11, aiming to issue up to 40.01 million new shares to raise approximately 420 million yuan, with the goal of overcoming production capacity bottlenecks and enhancing R&D and smart manufacturing capabilities [1] - The company focuses on the R&D, design, production, and sales of home hardware and outdoor furniture products, integrating diverse original design concepts with high-quality manufacturing [1] - Han Gao Group's revenue has shown significant growth, with projected revenue increasing from 1.62 billion yuan in 2022 to 2.86 billion yuan in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.78% [2] Group 2 - The home hardware industry in China is experiencing structural opportunities, with the market size expected to grow from 226.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 324.45 billion yuan by 2028, at a CAGR of 7.6% [3] - The company plans to invest the raised funds into three main projects: an automated manufacturing base for smart home hardware (37 million yuan), a R&D center (3 million yuan), and information technology construction (2 million yuan) [3][4] - The implementation of these projects aims to enhance R&D design capabilities, strengthen production automation and intelligence, and ultimately drive the company's operational performance to new heights [4]