中国重汽涨超2%，截至发稿，涨2.57%，报24.72港元。 消息面上，据中国重汽官微消息，近日，在中国重汽2025年全球合作伙伴大会上，据公司公布统计数据显示，1-9月，中国重汽实现汇总收入228.9亿美元， 同比增长14.9%；整车销量33.5万辆，同比增长22.8%。其中，重卡出口销量11.1万辆，同比增长24.5%。 据介绍，中国重汽的产品已遍布6大洲、150多个国家和地区，全球市场保有量超100万辆。中国重汽9月重卡出口量达到1.5万辆，再度刷新由自己保持的纪 录，创下国内重卡行业单月出口新高。此外，在会上，中国重汽预计，今年重卡出口销量将突破15万辆，再创历史新高。 ...

Core Insights - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (CNHTC) achieved the highest global sales volume of heavy-duty trucks in collaboration with global partners since 2025 [1] Financial Performance - For the period of January to September, CNHTC reported a total revenue of $22.89 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.9% [1] - The total vehicle sales reached 335,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.8% [1] Export Performance - Heavy-duty truck export sales amounted to 111,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.5% [1] - In September, CNHTC's heavy-duty truck exports exceeded 15,000 units for the first time in a single month, setting a new record for the Chinese heavy-duty truck industry [1] - The company anticipates that the total heavy-duty truck export volume for the year will surpass 150,000 units, further solidifying its leading position in the Chinese heavy-duty truck export sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The heavy truck industry is expected to experience a "not-so-dull off-season" in Q3 2025, primarily due to the implementation of local "old-for-new" policies for National IV trucks concentrated in Q2 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Sales Forecast and Trends - The forecast for heavy truck sales in Q3 and Q4 2025 is approximately 270,000 and 240,000 units, representing year-on-year growth rates of +51% and +10% respectively [2] - The total expected sales for 2025 is around 1.05 million units, with domestic sales projected at 730,000 units (+20% YoY) and exports at 320,000 units (+10% YoY) [8] Group 2: Export Dynamics - In H1 2025, heavy truck exports reached 156,000 units, with a significant increase of 33% in non-Russian regions, indicating a shift in export structure towards Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa [3] - The average export price for heavy trucks in H1 2025 was 301,000 yuan, showing only a slight decline, suggesting stable profitability for manufacturers [4] Group 3: Market Structure and Competition - The concentration of the heavy truck industry has increased, with the top five companies holding a market share of 91% in H1 2025, indicating a stable industry structure [7] - The market share of traditional leaders in the new energy truck segment has risen significantly, from 27% in 2022 to 52% in H1 2025, reflecting a competitive landscape [7] Group 4: Policy Impact and Economic Factors - Local policies for "old-for-new" trucks are expected to drive retail sales growth in the heavy truck sector, particularly from March to June 2025 [1] - The economic viability of natural gas trucks has declined due to narrowing price differentials with diesel, while new energy trucks have seen increased market penetration due to favorable policies [5][6]

证券代码：000951 证券简称：中国重汽 中国重汽集团济南卡车股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：20250604 | 投资者关系活动 | ■特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 类别 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他 （请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位名称 | 华创证券李昊岚 蔡依林 | | 及人员姓名 | 工银瑞信基金 万力实 郭照阳 | | 时 间 | 2025 年 6 月 4 日 13:30-14:30 | | 地 点 | 公司会议室 | | 上市公司 | 董事会秘书助理兼证券事务代表 张欣 | | 接待人员姓名 | 投关专员 胡啸 | | | 公司董事会秘书助理兼证券事务代表张欣女士简要介绍 | | | 了公司情况，并就投资者关心的问题进行了沟通和交流。主 | | | 要内容如下： | | 投资者关系活动 | 1、请介绍下公司近期的生产经营情况。 | | | 根据第一商用车网数据，2025 年 1-5 月我国重卡市场累 | | 主要内容介绍 | 计销量约为 43.55 万辆，同比 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q1 2025 results, showing revenue growth and profitability, indicating a positive outlook for the future [2][4]. Revenue Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 12.908 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.97% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.80, meeting expectations [4]. - The wholesale sales of heavy trucks in China were 265,000 units, down 2.71% year-on-year but up 20.99% quarter-on-quarter, with the company's sales of 74,200 units, down 3.17% year-on-year but up 32.34% quarter-on-quarter, indicating the company's revenue growth outperformed the industry [4]. Profitability Analysis - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 310 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.26% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 43.13%, attributed to seasonal effects [4]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 7.05%, down 0.82 percentage points year-on-year and 4.49 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, due to changes in export business proportion and product structure [4]. - The net profit margin was 3.33%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.12 percentage points despite the decline in gross margin, indicating effective cost control measures [4]. Cost Management - The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs in Q1 2025 were 0.72%, 0.60%, 1.54%, and -0.47%, respectively, showing a year-on-year decline across the board, reflecting successful cost reduction and efficiency improvement efforts [4]. Export Performance - Heavy truck exports in Q1 2025 showed both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth, with a total export volume of 74,100 units, up 0.10% year-on-year and 7.51% quarter-on-quarter, indicating strong demand in the overseas market [5][6]. - The group’s export volume was 33,000 units, down 2.98% year-on-year but up 12.33% quarter-on-quarter, outperforming industry growth rates [6]. Policy Impact - The recent expansion of the old-for-new vehicle replacement policy is expected to boost domestic demand, with the inclusion of natural gas heavy trucks in the subsidy program, benefiting the company as a leading player in the heavy truck industry [7]. Investment Outlook - The industry demand is recovering, and the company is expected to benefit from high export demand. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 56.16 billion, 64.02 billion, and 71.71 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.77 billion, 2.03 billion, and 2.34 billion yuan, respectively [8].