以下文章来源于中国宏观经济论坛 CMF ，作者梁明 中国宏观经济论坛 CMF . 创立于2006年，由中国人民大学国发院、经济学院、中诚信国际信用评级有限公司联合主办。依托人大经济学一级学科排名全国第一的优秀研究力量，诚 邀社会知名专家，集中从事中国宏观经济动态和重大经济问题研究，定期发布分析与预测报告。 文/ 商务部对外贸易研究所所长 梁明 "十五五"时期是中国式现代化建设承上启下的关键阶段，系统性、准确地 研判这一时期的全球化形势，显得格外重要。基于当前我们对"十五五"时 期全球化形势的深入研究，我将围绕全球化新形势、世界贸易增速是否低 于经济增速、"十五五"时期国际市场需求是否会出现明显放缓、中国经济 增长新动能以及相关政策建议等问题，进行分析与探讨 。 "十五五"时期的全球化形势，是机遇还是挑战？ 关于"十五五"时期的外部环境，我们的规划建议中已有清晰论述。在"十五五"时期，我们的发展既有有利的因素也有不利的环境。总体来看，我认为有利 的因素主要是两点：首先，新一轮科技革命和产业变革正在加速突破，这为全球经济增长提供了新的技术引擎；其次，我国运筹国际空间、塑造外部环境 有利因素的能力正在增强，这将为我 ...

Core Points - The fifth round of trade negotiations between China and the United States was marked by intense confrontation, lasting five hours, highlighting the ongoing severity of the trade war [3][5] - Key issues discussed included U.S. measures against China's shipping and shipbuilding industries, the extension of the tariff suspension period, fentanyl export disputes, and restrictions on U.S. agricultural exports to China [3][5] - China's confidence in negotiations stems from its strategic preparations over the past seven years, including leveraging its rare earth resources and agricultural exports as bargaining chips [6][11] Summary by Categories Negotiation Atmosphere - The atmosphere during the negotiations was tense, with a stark contrast between the confident demeanor of the Chinese representative and the stressed appearance of the U.S. representatives [6][11] - The U.S. government displayed a strong stance but failed to acknowledge its own shortcomings regarding domestic issues related to the opioid crisis, instead blaming China for the fentanyl problem [5][11] Key Issues Discussed - The discussions included critical topics such as the U.S. 301 measures against China's shipping and shipbuilding sectors, which reflect unfair trade practices [5][11] - Fentanyl was a recurring issue in negotiations, with the U.S. using it as a significant bargaining chip despite its own failures in addressing the root causes of the crisis [5][11] Outcomes and Implications - The negotiations resulted in a preliminary consensus on several issues, indicating that despite the confrontational nature, some progress was made [6][12] - China's success in these negotiations is seen as a significant victory against U.S. hegemony, providing hope to other nations resisting similar pressures [12]

Core Points - The 65th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and Cuba is highlighted, marking a significant milestone in their partnership [1] - The relationship is characterized as being at its best historical period, with both countries supporting each other amidst global challenges [2] - There is a strong emphasis on cultural exchanges and cooperation, with various events and initiatives enhancing bilateral ties [3] Group 1: Diplomatic Relations - China and Cuba have maintained a cooperative relationship for 65 years, serving as a model for solidarity among socialist countries and mutual assistance among developing nations [1] - The two countries have reached important agreements on bilateral relations, including the consensus to build a community with a shared future [1][2] Group 2: Economic Cooperation - In 2024, trade between China and Cuba is expected to grow by 6.7% year-on-year, with the establishment of direct cargo flights providing new momentum for cooperation [2] - Chinese enterprises are actively involved in Cuba's energy transition, with widespread use of Chinese equipment in local photovoltaic parks [2] Group 3: Cultural Exchange - Cultural exchanges between China and Cuba have flourished, with significant participation in events such as the "Happy Spring Festival" in Havana and the Cuban National Ballet's tour in China [3] - The resumption of direct flights has facilitated easier travel between the two countries, with a nearly 50% increase in Chinese visitors to Cuba expected in 2024 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of upholding common values for humanity, defending international fairness and justice, and promoting a just and reasonable global governance system in the face of unilateralism and hegemonic actions [1]. Group 1 - The significance of the victory in the Chinese People's Anti-Japanese War and the World Anti-Fascist War is highlighted as a testament that justice, light, and progress will ultimately triumph over evil, darkness, and reaction [1]. - The current global landscape is described as a period of turmoil and transformation, where the dangers of unilateralism and hegemonic behavior are pronounced [1]. - A call to action is made for collective efforts to maintain fairness and justice, opposing all forms of hegemonism and power politics [1].

Core Points - The event commemorated the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People's Anti-Japanese War and the World Anti-Fascist War, highlighting the contributions of China and Myanmar [1] - Chinese Ambassador to Myanmar, Ma Jia, emphasized the importance of Taiwan's return to China as a significant outcome of World War II and a crucial part of the post-war international order [1] - The event called for the promotion of a correct understanding of World War II history and the maintenance of the post-war international order, advocating for the construction of a community with a shared future for mankind [1] Group 1 - The meeting was attended by nearly 100 representatives from over 30 media outlets, think tanks, and scholars from China and Myanmar [1] - Ma Jia's speech included a call to uphold historical truths and the legacy of Sino-Myanmar cooperation against fascist aggression [4] - The event facilitated in-depth discussions on the role of the Eastern Front, the preservation of historical truths, and media cooperation between China and Myanmar [4] Group 2 - Myanmar's Deputy Minister of Information, Ye Din, reiterated the country's firm support for the One China principle and called for international opposition to hegemonism and power politics [4] - The discussions aimed at fostering a peaceful, stable, and prosperous world under the framework of the United Nations [4]

Core Viewpoint - The event commemorates the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People's Anti-Japanese War and the World Anti-Fascist War, emphasizing the importance of historical perspective and international order [1] Group 1: Event Details - The Chinese Embassy in Myanmar hosted a seminar attended by nearly 100 representatives from over 30 Chinese and Myanmar media, think tanks, and scholars [1] - The seminar featured speeches from Chinese Ambassador Ma Jia and Myanmar's Deputy Minister of Information Ye Din [1] Group 2: Statements and Positions - Ambassador Ma Jia highlighted that Taiwan's return to China is a significant outcome of World War II and part of the post-war international order [1] - Ye Din reaffirmed Myanmar's support for the One China principle and called for international efforts to oppose hegemonism and build a peaceful, stable, and prosperous world within the framework of the United Nations [1]

Group 1 - The event commemorated the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People's Anti-Japanese War and the World Anti-Fascist War, highlighting the historical contributions of the Chinese people [1][2] - Cuban officials emphasized the importance of China's development, viewing it as a source of stability and opportunity for the world, particularly for developing countries and the Latin American and Caribbean regions [1] - Cuba reaffirmed its commitment to the One China principle and expressed gratitude for China's opposition to the U.S. embargo and sanctions against Cuba [1] Group 2 - The Chinese ambassador to Cuba stressed the importance of remembering the painful lessons of World War II and the need to oppose all forms of hegemony and power politics [2] - Both China and Cuba, as significant forces from the Global South, aim to strengthen cooperation and contribute to global peace and international justice [2] - A commemorative short film about the Anti-Japanese War was shown at the event, and multiple media outlets, including Cuban national television, reported on the gathering [3]