Core Insights - Global gold demand is expected to remain resilient in Q4, with a potential seasonal rebound in the Chinese market driven by holidays [1] - The World Gold Council (WGC) indicates that geopolitical uncertainties and anticipated interest rate cuts in Q4 will continue to support global gold demand [1] - Investment demand remains dominant, with record high global gold demand in Q3 2025, primarily driven by gold bars and coins [1][2] Group 1: Global Gold Demand - In Q3 2025, global gold demand reached a record high of 1,313 tons, a 3% year-on-year increase, with total demand value rising 44% to $146 billion [1] - Investment demand accounted for 40.9% of total gold demand, with gold bar and coin demand exceeding 300 tons for the fourth consecutive quarter, totaling 316 tons [1] - Central bank gold purchases remained high at 220 tons in Q3, a 28% increase quarter-on-quarter, despite a slowdown in cumulative purchases compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Chinese Gold Market - In Q3 2025, China's retail gold investment and consumption demand totaled 152 tons, a 7% year-on-year decline, marking the weakest Q3 since 2009 [3] - However, the monetary value of this demand reached 120.4 billion RMB (approximately $16.9 billion), a 29% year-on-year increase, indicating a "volume drop, price rise" trend [3] - Gold jewelry demand saw a seasonal rebound, with a quarterly demand of 84 tons, down 18% year-on-year but up 21% quarter-on-quarter, driven by seasonal factors and consumer willingness to purchase despite high prices [3] Group 3: Gold Supply Dynamics - Global gold supply increased only 3% year-on-year to 1,313 tons, with gold mine production and recycled gold contributing 73.8% and 26.2% respectively [2] - The average gold price in Q3 2025 reached $3,457 per ounce, a 40% year-on-year increase, reflecting the disparity between strong demand and limited supply growth [2] Group 4: Gold ETFs in China - In Q3, China's gold ETFs experienced a slight outflow of 3.8 billion RMB (approximately $540 million), ending three consecutive quarters of net inflow [4] - Despite the outflow, the total assets under management (AUM) for gold ETFs grew 11% year-on-year to 168.8 billion RMB (approximately $23.7 billion), reaching a new monthly high [4] - The Chinese official gold reserves increased by 24 tons in the first nine months of the year, with a quarterly increase of 5 tons, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of growth [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Report's Core View - In Q3 2025, global gold demand reached a record high, driven by strong investment demand, while China's gold demand showed a "volume decline but value rise" pattern. Looking ahead to Q4, global gold allocation demand is expected to remain resilient, and China's market may see a holiday-driven uptick [2][8][9] Summary by Related Catalogs Global Gold Demand - In Q3 2025, total global gold demand (including OTC investment) rose about 3% YoY to 1,313 tonnes, with the total value up 44% YoY to $146 billion. Investment demand was the main driver, with bar and coin demand exceeding 300 tonnes for the fourth consecutive quarter and global gold ETF holdings increasing sharply. Central bank gold purchases remained high at 220 tonnes, up 28% QoQ [2] - The breakdown of global gold demand shows that investment/gold jewelry manufacturing/central banks and other institutions/technology use/OTC and other institutions accounted for 40.9%/31.9%/16.7%/6.2%/4.2% respectively. Gold jewelry consumption volume declined 19% YoY to 371 tonnes but the consumption value rose 13% YoY to $41 billion due to high gold prices [2] Global Gold Supply - Amid high prices, total global gold supply rose only 3% YoY to 1,313 tonnes, with mine production and recycled gold accounting for 73.8% and 26.2% respectively, up 2% and 6% YoY. The contrast between demand growth and supply expansion drove prices higher. In Q3 2025, the LBMA average gold price reached $3,457/oz, up 40% YoY and 5% QoQ [4] China's Gold Market - In Q3 2025, China's total retail gold investment and consumption demand was 152 tonnes, down 7% YoY and 38% QoQ, but the value reached RMB 120.4 billion ($16.9 billion), up 29% YoY. Gold jewelry demand accounted for 55.3%, with a volume of 84 tonnes, down 18% YoY but up 21% QoQ, and the retail sales reached RMB 66.5 billion (+14% YoY / +25% QoQ) [8] - Gold bar and coin investment demand rose 19% YoY to 74 tonnes, though down 36% QoQ, and the cumulative 9M25 purchases reached 313 tonnes (+24% YoY). China's gold ETFs had a small outflow of RMB 3.8 billion ($540 million) in Q3 2025, but the AUM still rose 11% QoQ to RMB 168.8 billion. The official gold reserves increased by 24 tonnes YTD, with a 5-tonne increase in Q3 2025, reaching 2,304 tonnes, or 7.7% of foreign exchange reserves [8] Outlook - The World Gold Council believes that geopolitical uncertainty and Q4's rate cut expectations will support global gold allocation demand. In China, Q4 gold jewelry consumption may improve seasonally, but if gold prices remain high, the end - market recovery may be limited. The later Lunar New Year in 2026 may push back retailer restocking and consumer purchases [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that global gold demand reached 1249 tons in Q2 2025, a 3% year-on-year increase, driven primarily by strong investment demand [1] - Global gold ETF net inflows totaled 170 tons in Q2, with Asia contributing 70 tons and North America 73 tons, leading to a record total of 397 tons for the first half of the year, the highest since 2020 [1] - Investment demand for gold bars and coins in Q2 was 307 tons, an 11% increase year-on-year, with China seeing a significant surge of 44% to 115 tons, while the US experienced a 53% decline [1] Group 2 - Global jewelry demand fell by 14% year-on-year in Q2, nearing 2020's low levels, although the value of global jewelry consumption increased [1] - Central banks continued to purchase gold, adding 166 tons in Q2, despite a slowdown in the pace of purchases, with 95% of surveyed central banks expecting further increases in gold reserves over the next 12 months [1] - On the supply side, total gold supply reached 1249 tons in Q2, a 3% year-on-year increase, with recycled gold supply rising by 4% [2] Group 3 - The price of gold increased by 26% in USD terms in the first half of the year, with expectations of potential price stability in the second half due to uncertain macroeconomic conditions [2] - The attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset may increase if global economic or geopolitical situations worsen, potentially driving prices higher [2]

Group 1 - The European Central Bank's report indicates that by 2024, gold's share in global central bank reserves will rise to 20%, surpassing the euro's 16%, making it the second-largest reserve asset after the US dollar [1] - Central banks' demand for gold is projected to account for over 20% of global gold demand in 2024, significantly higher than the 10% average from 2010 to 2020 [1] - The net purchases of gold by central banks are expected to exceed 1000 tons for the third consecutive year in 2024, setting a historical record [1] Group 2 - Jewelry and investment in gold continue to dominate global gold demand, accounting for approximately 70%, remaining stable over the past three years [1] - A survey by the World Gold Council reveals that central banks primarily hold gold for diversification and as a hedge against economic risks such as inflation, cyclical downturns, and debt defaults [1] - Geopolitical factors have increasingly influenced central bank investments in gold, with one-quarter of emerging market central banks citing these factors as a primary driver for their gold holdings [1] Group 3 - Gold prices are expected to surge by approximately 30% in 2024, with the inflation-adjusted price exceeding the peak during the 1979 oil crisis [1] - Traditionally, gold is viewed as a hedge against fluctuations in real interest rates; however, since the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, the correlation between gold prices and real interest rates has been disrupted, with geopolitical risks becoming a significant factor affecting gold prices [1] Group 4 - Changes in gold supply are identified as a crucial variable for future gold price trends, with historical data suggesting that gold supply has previously responded elastically to rising demand [2] - An increase in official sector demand for gold reserves may lead to a further rise in global gold supply [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that global gold demand reached 1206 tons in Q1 2025, marking a 1% year-on-year increase and the highest level for a first quarter since 2016 [1] - Global gold investment demand surged to 551.9 tons, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 170% [1] - The demand for gold bars and coins was 325.4 tons, up 3% year-on-year, exceeding the five-year quarterly average by 15% [1] Group 2 - The net inflow into global gold ETFs was 226.5 tons, a substantial increase from 18.7 tons in the previous quarter, making it the primary driver of investment demand in Q1 [1] - In April alone, gold ETF inflows in Asia surpassed the total for the entire first quarter, indicating strong investor interest [1] - Despite the growth in ETF holdings, they remain 10% below the peak levels seen in 2020 [1] Group 3 - Global gold jewelry consumption fell by 21% year-on-year to 380.3 tons, the lowest level since 2020, despite a 9% increase in spending on gold jewelry [1] - Demand for technology gold remained stable at 80 tons compared to the same quarter last year [1] Group 4 - Central banks globally continued to increase their gold reserves, adding 244 tons in Q1 2025, marking the 16th consecutive year of net gold purchases [2] - Although this demand was down 21% year-on-year, it remained consistent with the average levels of the past three years [2] Group 5 - Total gold supply in Q1 was 1206 tons, with gold mine production at 855.7 tons, remaining flat year-on-year, and recycled gold totaling 345.3 tons, down 1% [2]