黄金技术分析

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郑氏点银:黄金日线出阴回踩5日完毕,今晚留意4010一线得失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 15:27
郑氏点银:黄金日线出阴回踩5日完毕,今晚留意4010一线得失 回顾昨日行情走势及出现的技术点: 第一,黄金日线级别:前两日一直脱离短期5均线持续连阳逼空,也提示过有些小加速迹象;而一般加速过后,容易出现一波回落修正;那么昨日后半夜砸 盘打压一波,也终于回踩确认了5均线,修复完毕后,后市就容易企稳而进一步强势推高,继续刷历史新高;一旦今日收阳,收盘价还处于5日3989之上(包 括5日附近),那么下周一基本会连阳拉升,昨日阴就是作为单阴短暂修正; 但若收盘于5日之下较远,那么下周一5均线就会拐头向下承压,就得考验10均 线得失;只要一直维持5日,极限10日之上运行,这轮3311启动的单边拉升就还处于逼空上涨阶段;一旦收盘于10日之下,那么调整会扩大,逐步去靠拢中 轨再进行企稳单边拉升;所以,趋势多头始终无法改变,任何回调,深蹲都是为了进一步刷历史新高做准备,能给到相对较低位的话,则会是不错的炒底机 会; 第二,黄金4小时级别:当前10日和中轨共振承压于4000关口, 5均线支撑于3981, 今晚要留意它们中间的争夺;能重新站稳4000之上运行,则有望进一步 走高;反之,跌破3981向下,那还要进行一些时间震荡来整 ...
郑氏点银:今日黄金欧盘反复横跳,留意小时线10日得失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 13:42
回顾昨日行情走势及出现的技术点: 郑氏点银:今日黄金欧盘反复横跳,留意小时线10日得失 黄金方面:昨日早间直接强势续涨,连阳发力冲到4035出现一些承压,当时也是短期通道的上轨阻力位,另外日线开始脱离5均线,则高位不太敢继续追 涨,依托上轨阻力,轻仓逆势尝试看一波回踩,再等待4005之上继续顺势看涨,可惜回踩力度不佳,最终继续上破出局; 而美盘一直围绕4030-4050区间横 盘,则强调日内已拉升70米,随时谨防一波跳水修正,等了几个小时一直高位运行不跌,因为只有小时线10日失守,才能看一波下行,结果收盘前最后一个 小时才失守,今日开盘直接下挫40米; 今日行情分析解读: 第一,黄金日线级别:这一波从3311一路单边拉升至4059高度,涨幅已超700米,还未出现像样的一波回调修正,基本依托短期均线5日,唯一9月18日依托 了10日都企稳不断拉升走高;而前两日继续连阳,但价格开始不断脱离5均线,就开始担心会走类似9月23日、10月1日的循环走法,突袭承压冲高回落去修 复至5均线靠拢或刺破它后再进行企稳,因此这两日一路拉高不回踩,的确跟随高位看涨的勇气比前期少了很多,因而也从3980到4050这一波拉升也就踏空 ...
美联储惊魂72小时! 黄金多头严阵以待通胀夜
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-10 11:08
摘要周三(9月10日)亚市盘中,现货黄金在上一交易日后剧烈波动后基本持稳,目前金价位于3631美 元/盎司附近。金价可能在触及纪录高位后出现修正,但买家的目标是更高的高点。 周三(9月10日)亚市盘中,现货黄金在上一交易日后剧烈波动后基本持稳,目前金价位于3631美元/盎 司附近。金价可能在触及纪录高位后出现修正,但买家的目标是更高的高点。 【要闻速递】 一名联邦法官周二暂时阻止特朗普总统解除美联储理事库克的职务,此案最终可能提交美国最高法院审 理。市场对此没有太大反应。 市场正密切关注这场史无前例的法律战,因为它可能会颠覆美联储长期以来坚持的独立性。 美国政府周二表示,截至3月的12个月内,美国经济创造的就业岗位总数可能比之前的估计少91.1万 个,这表明在总统特朗普对进口产品大范围加征关税之前,就业增长已经停滞。 虽然这份报告凸显了劳动力市场的裂痕,但降息的押注依然未变,因市场淡化这些向后看的数据,指称 这些数据并未提供任何有关自3月以来创造就业岗位的信息。 【黄金技术分析】 黄金日线图显示,金价仍然极度超买。动量指标正从极端水平适度回落,而相对强弱指数(RSI)继续在 80左右的高位徘徊。与此同时,金价 ...
張晶霖:伦敦金多头畏畏缩缩能否追?8.27现货黄金走势分析操作建议!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 13:05
Group 1 - The international gold price experienced a decline due to a stronger dollar, but concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, triggered by President Trump's threats, provided some support for gold [3] - Trump's new round of tariffs against China and a 50% tariff on India are raising economic growth concerns, which may weaken the attractiveness of the dollar and other U.S. assets, benefiting gold [3] - Technical analysis indicates that gold still has bullish potential as long as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, with a "golden cross" formation observed between the 21-day and 50-day moving averages [5] Group 2 - The suggested trading strategy for gold includes buying near 3376 with a stop loss at 3365 and targets at 3393 and 3400, while selling near 3401 with a stop loss at 3410 and a target at 3380 [6] - Despite a late surge in gold prices, the market remains cautious due to the potential for a bearish daily close, indicating a need for flexible trading positions [6]
黄金今日行情走势要点分析(2025.8.27)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 01:37
Group 1: Market Reaction - Gold prices experienced a sharp drop to around 3351 before quickly rebounding above 3386, followed by a period of fluctuation, maintaining a range between 3380 and 3367 during the European session, and ultimately closing above 3393 in the US session, forming a bullish candlestick with a lower shadow [1][2]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - President Trump dismissed Federal Reserve Board member Cook, citing "improper conduct" in mortgage applications, which is seen as a direct challenge to the Fed's independence. Cook plans to sue, asserting that the President lacks the authority to dismiss her [2]. - Market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September have surged to over 87%, driven by comments from Powell regarding rising risks in the labor market, with institutions like Morgan Stanley predicting a rate cut [2]. - Economic data showed a 2.8% decline in July durable goods orders, better than the expected 4% drop, while consumer confidence fell in August, indicating a deteriorating labor market assessment. Upcoming GDP and PCE inflation reports will be critical for the Fed's September decision [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Gold is currently trading within a converging triangle pattern, with a clear trend structure. The recent price action shows alternating bullish and bearish candles, indicating that the overall upward momentum remains intact [4]. - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 3415 and 3426, while support is focused at 3323, which is the lower boundary of the triangle. The daily moving averages are in a bullish configuration, suggesting continued upward momentum [5]. - On a four-hour basis, gold's price action displayed a pattern of "bottoming out and recovering," with critical levels to watch being 3367 for support and 3409 for resistance. A break above 3409 could indicate a larger upward trend [5][6].
張晶霖:8.25伦敦金多头能否延续?黄金走势分析操作建议!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 10:50
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance, as indicated by Chairman Powell, has led to increased expectations for interest rate cuts, which may support gold prices [3] - Gold prices experienced a significant rebound last Friday, currently trading around $3365 per ounce, following Powell's remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium [3] - Investors are closely monitoring upcoming high-impact economic data from the U.S. to reassess the Fed's policy outlook [3] Group 2 - Technical analysis shows that gold's Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above 50, and prices have broken above the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) [5] - Despite the formation of a bullish crossover in the MACD, it is not sufficient to support further price increases, indicating that gold is currently in a wide-ranging consolidation pattern [5] - Short-term analysis suggests that gold still has upward momentum, with a recommendation for a bullish bias in trading strategies [5] Group 3 - Suggested trading strategies include short positions near $3373 with a stop loss at $3381 and a target around $3350, as well as long positions near $3350 with a stop loss at $3340 and a target around $3368 [6]
警惕黄金抛售潮突袭!FXStreet首席分析师金价技术分析 关注重要支撑和阻力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 09:46
Core Viewpoint - The current gold price is experiencing a mild rebound, trading around $3337 per ounce, with technical analysis indicating potential support and resistance levels [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is providing dynamic resistance at $3352 per ounce, while the longer-term moving averages maintain a bullish slope below the current price level [1]. - The 100-day moving average is acting as support at $3307.10 per ounce, indicating a potential floor for prices [1]. - Technical indicators are in a neutral zone but are trending slightly lower, suggesting that sellers are still in control of the market without an imminent expectation of a significant downturn [1]. Short-term Outlook - The 4-hour chart indicates that the gold price may retest the earlier low of $3323.60 per ounce, with bearish potential increasing [1]. - Currently, gold is trading below all its moving averages, which converge in a narrow range around $3348 per ounce [1]. - Technical indicators are developing below the midline with a neutral to bearish slope, supporting the view that lower lows may be recorded [1]. Key Support and Resistance Levels - Support levels identified are $3323.60 per ounce, $3307.10 per ounce, and $3295.80 per ounce [3]. - Resistance levels identified are $3352.00 per ounce, $3372.30 per ounce, and $3389.85 per ounce [3].
黄金交易提醒:非农报告势必引爆行情!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 05:24
Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are stabilizing around $3288 per ounce, with expectations of potential declines following the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report [1][2]. Group 1: Market Analysis - On Wednesday, gold prices hit a low of $3268.08 per ounce after the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement, marking a new low for July [1]. - The U.S. is set to release the July non-farm employment report, with expectations of 110,000 new jobs, a decrease from June's 147,000 [1][2]. - Analysts suggest that if the non-farm employment data exceeds expectations, the U.S. dollar may strengthen further, negatively impacting gold prices [2]. Group 2: Technical Outlook - The daily chart indicates that gold is near the $3290 per ounce level, with the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) losing bullish momentum and providing dynamic support around $3268.00 [3]. - The 4-hour chart suggests that gold may continue its downward trend, with a bearish 20-period SMA acting as intraday resistance [3]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3281.90, $3268.00, and $3246.20, while resistance levels are at $3311.15, $3328.60, and $3345.00 [5].
伦敦金延续隔夜涨势 美国商业活动再次萎缩
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-01 06:40
Group 1 - Gold prices continued to rise, opening at $3302.59 per ounce and reaching a high of $3332.09, with a current price of $3326.54, reflecting a 0.72% increase [1] - The Chicago PMI for June decreased slightly to 40.4 from 40.5 in May, indicating a contraction in economic activity for the 19th consecutive month, which is the lowest level since January [3] - The report highlighted that 70% of respondents reported price increases in June, up from 57% in May, indicating rising inflationary pressures [3] Group 2 - Technical analysis suggests that gold may face resistance below $3310.00 and could target a decline towards the range of $3285.00 to $3260.00 if it encounters resistance below $3323.00 [4] - Short-term resistance levels for gold are identified at $3322.00 to $3323.00, with significant resistance at $3347.00 to $3348.00, while support levels are at $3285.00 to $3286.00 and important support at $3260.00 to $3261.00 [4]
黄金惨遭重挫关注晚间PRC数据
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-27 08:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates a significant drop in spot gold prices, currently around $3288.70 per ounce, with a decline of over $38 in a single day [1] - The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis is set to release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for May, with expectations of a year-on-year increase to 2.3% from April's 2.1% [1] - The U.S. Commerce Department reported a contraction in the first quarter GDP to an annualized rate of -0.5%, with consumer spending growing at the slowest pace since 2020 [2] Group 2 - Despite a decrease in initial jobless claims, the number of continuing claims has reached a nearly four-year high, indicating insufficient recovery in the job market [2] - The upcoming May core PCE price index is expected to show a month-on-month increase of 0.1% and a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, which could influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on assessing tariff impacts before deciding on rate cuts have drawn criticism from President Trump, raising concerns about the Fed's independence [2] Group 3 - Technical analysis suggests that gold prices have fallen below the 200-period simple moving average, which may signal a new trigger point for bearish sentiment [3] - Analysts predict that gold prices could accelerate downwards towards the $3245 per ounce region, with potential support levels at $3210-$3200 and $3175 per ounce [3] - Resistance levels for gold are identified at $3324-$3325 per ounce, with further resistance at approximately $3368-$3370 per ounce, which could limit any upward movement [3]