来源：市场资讯 （来源：今日金价行情） 24K99讯 周四(11月20日)亚市盘中，现货黄金突然遭遇猛烈抛售，金价自日内高点4110.22美元/盎司大幅下挫，刚刚最低触及4046.14美元/盎司。 FXStreet首席分析师Valeria Bednarik撰文，对黄金技术前景进行分析。 黄金本身不生息，在低利率环境和经济不确定时期，往往表现良好。 美联储周三公布10月28-29日的会议纪要显示，尽管美联储上个月决议降息，但决策官员意见分歧，并警告降低借贷成本可能会破坏为平抑通胀所 做的努力。 Bednarik表示，美联储会议纪要公布后，市场焦点将迅速转向美国经济数据，9月份非农就业报告定于周四发布。这份报告预计将显示，美国9月新 增就业岗位5万个，失业率预计维持在4.3%的稳定水平。 黄金技术前景 Bednarik指出，黄金短期走势温和看跌。在4小时图上，20周期简单移动平均线(SMA)向下倾斜，与200周期SMA收敛于4080美元/盎司附近，而略高 于持平的100周期SMA。更广泛的SMA形态表明市场处于盘整阶段，其中长期均线构成动态阻力。与此同时，动量指标走低，略低于其中线，表明 买盘兴趣减弱。最后，相对 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：今日金价行情） 24K99讯 周五(10月24日)亚市盘中，现货黄金维持日内反弹走势，目前金价位于4139美元/盎司附近。FXStreet首席分析师Valeria Bednarik撰文，对 黄金技术前景进行分析。 投资者几乎已经完全消化美联储下周会议将降息25个基点的预期。黄金本身不生息，往往会在低利率环境中受益。 黄金技术前景 Bednarik指出，黄金日走势图显示，金价可能延续最近的反弹。在周三从看涨的20日简单移动平均线(SMA)反弹后，金价成功保持在该水平之上。 与此同时，在修正了极端超买状况后，技术指标已在远高于中线的水平企稳。 Bednarik补充道，4小时走势图显示，金价成功扩大其复苏态势，突破了看涨的100周期SMA，但仍低于看跌的20周期SMA，后者在4173美元/盎司 附近充当阻力位。与此同时，动量指标在负值水平内走高，而相对强弱指数(RSI)徘徊在47左右。 Bednarik并指出，金价的重要支撑在4115.75美元/盎司、4000.00美元/盎司和3986.45美元/盎司。 Bednarik写道，美国9月份CPI将于周五公布，黄金目标是在CPI数据出炉前延续复苏 ...

Core Viewpoint - The demand for safe-haven assets, particularly gold, is being driven by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and ongoing global trade tensions [1][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Outlook - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that a sharp slowdown in hiring poses risks to the U.S. economy, suggesting the possibility of two more rate cuts this year [3]. - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming October meeting, followed by another cut in December, and three additional cuts next year [3]. Group 2: Trade Tensions Impact - The escalation of trade tensions is expected to increase shipping costs and disrupt logistics, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3]. - Analyst Fawad Razaqzada noted that renewed trade tensions provide investors with more reasons to hedge against stock market risks by allocating to gold [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The market is closely monitoring speeches from Federal Reserve officials, as hawkish signals could strengthen the dollar and exert pressure on gold prices [3]. - Despite potential pullback risks, the strong upward trend in gold prices suggests that market participants do not expect a significant drop after reaching new highs [3]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - The current gold price chart shows a clear bullish trend, with prices consistently breaking historical highs and minor pullbacks [5]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that gold is in an overbought state, which typically suggests a phase of consolidation or slight correction may occur [5]. - Key support levels are identified at $4,117, $4,059, $4,023, and the $4,000 round number, while upward targets are set at $4,300 and $4,400 [5]. Group 5: Market Sentiment and Strategy - Gold retains upward potential due to multiple favorable factors, but investors should remain cautious of short-term volatility risks [7]. - The market will continue to look for key signals regarding gold's next phase of movement through Federal Reserve officials' speeches and developments in trade relations [7].

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent performance of gold and silver, highlighting a significant drop in gold prices after failing to maintain the 4035 level, leading to a decline to 3944 [1][3] - Gold's daily analysis indicates that if it closes above the 5-day moving average of 3989, it may continue to rise next week, while a close below could signal further downward pressure [1][3] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of the 4010 resistance level for gold, suggesting that a breakthrough could lead to a strong upward trend, while failure to do so may result in a pullback [3][5] Group 2 - Silver experienced a rapid increase to 51.2 but faced a pullback, maintaining support above the 5-day moving average, indicating a potential for further upward movement after consolidation [5] - The article notes that the volatility in silver's price requires a period of consolidation to stabilize before any significant upward movement can occur [5] - The outlook for crude oil remains bearish unless it can break above the 63 level, indicating a lack of upward momentum in that market [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the fluctuating nature of gold prices, with a focus on the importance of technical analysis and market trends [1][3] - Gold prices experienced a significant rise from 3311 to 4059, marking an increase of over 700 units, but there has been a lack of substantial correction, raising concerns about potential downward movements [1] - The article highlights the importance of timing and market sentiment, noting that missed opportunities at lower price points can lead to hesitation in pursuing higher prices [1] Group 2 - The analysis of the hourly chart indicates a sharp decline in gold prices, breaking below the 10-day moving average, with a potential for further downward movement if the 4035 level is breached [3] - The silver market showed stronger performance compared to gold, with expectations of breaking historical highs, while caution is advised due to significant bearish divergence in the MACD indicator [5] - The article suggests monitoring oil prices, particularly the 63 level, for potential rebounds, indicating a broader market analysis beyond precious metals [5]

Group 1 - Gold prices are stabilizing around $3631 per ounce after significant volatility, with buyers aiming for higher peaks despite potential corrections from record highs [1] - A federal judge temporarily blocked President Trump's attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook, which may lead to a Supreme Court review, raising concerns about the Fed's independence [2] - The U.S. government reported a potential reduction of 911,000 jobs created over the past 12 months, indicating stagnation in job growth prior to Trump's tariffs on imports [2] Group 2 - Technical analysis shows gold prices are extremely overbought, with momentum indicators retreating from extreme levels while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains around 80 [3] - Support levels for gold are identified at $3625.85 and $3608.40 per ounce, while resistance levels are at $3650.00, $3675.00, and $3690.00 per ounce [3] - Upcoming economic data releases include U.S. PPI year-on-year and month-on-month figures, wholesale sales, and EIA crude oil inventory reports [3]

Group 1 - The international gold price experienced a decline due to a stronger dollar, but concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, triggered by President Trump's threats, provided some support for gold [3] - Trump's new round of tariffs against China and a 50% tariff on India are raising economic growth concerns, which may weaken the attractiveness of the dollar and other U.S. assets, benefiting gold [3] - Technical analysis indicates that gold still has bullish potential as long as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, with a "golden cross" formation observed between the 21-day and 50-day moving averages [5] Group 2 - The suggested trading strategy for gold includes buying near 3376 with a stop loss at 3365 and targets at 3393 and 3400, while selling near 3401 with a stop loss at 3410 and a target at 3380 [6] - Despite a late surge in gold prices, the market remains cautious due to the potential for a bearish daily close, indicating a need for flexible trading positions [6]

Group 1: Market Reaction - Gold prices experienced a sharp drop to around 3351 before quickly rebounding above 3386, followed by a period of fluctuation, maintaining a range between 3380 and 3367 during the European session, and ultimately closing above 3393 in the US session, forming a bullish candlestick with a lower shadow [1][2]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - President Trump dismissed Federal Reserve Board member Cook, citing "improper conduct" in mortgage applications, which is seen as a direct challenge to the Fed's independence. Cook plans to sue, asserting that the President lacks the authority to dismiss her [2]. - Market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September have surged to over 87%, driven by comments from Powell regarding rising risks in the labor market, with institutions like Morgan Stanley predicting a rate cut [2]. - Economic data showed a 2.8% decline in July durable goods orders, better than the expected 4% drop, while consumer confidence fell in August, indicating a deteriorating labor market assessment. Upcoming GDP and PCE inflation reports will be critical for the Fed's September decision [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Gold is currently trading within a converging triangle pattern, with a clear trend structure. The recent price action shows alternating bullish and bearish candles, indicating that the overall upward momentum remains intact [4]. - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 3415 and 3426, while support is focused at 3323, which is the lower boundary of the triangle. The daily moving averages are in a bullish configuration, suggesting continued upward momentum [5]. - On a four-hour basis, gold's price action displayed a pattern of "bottoming out and recovering," with critical levels to watch being 3367 for support and 3409 for resistance. A break above 3409 could indicate a larger upward trend [5][6].

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance, as indicated by Chairman Powell, has led to increased expectations for interest rate cuts, which may support gold prices [3] - Gold prices experienced a significant rebound last Friday, currently trading around $3365 per ounce, following Powell's remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium [3] - Investors are closely monitoring upcoming high-impact economic data from the U.S. to reassess the Fed's policy outlook [3] Group 2 - Technical analysis shows that gold's Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above 50, and prices have broken above the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) [5] - Despite the formation of a bullish crossover in the MACD, it is not sufficient to support further price increases, indicating that gold is currently in a wide-ranging consolidation pattern [5] - Short-term analysis suggests that gold still has upward momentum, with a recommendation for a bullish bias in trading strategies [5] Group 3 - Suggested trading strategies include short positions near $3373 with a stop loss at $3381 and a target around $3350, as well as long positions near $3350 with a stop loss at $3340 and a target around $3368 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The current gold price is experiencing a mild rebound, trading around $3337 per ounce, with technical analysis indicating potential support and resistance levels [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is providing dynamic resistance at $3352 per ounce, while the longer-term moving averages maintain a bullish slope below the current price level [1]. - The 100-day moving average is acting as support at $3307.10 per ounce, indicating a potential floor for prices [1]. - Technical indicators are in a neutral zone but are trending slightly lower, suggesting that sellers are still in control of the market without an imminent expectation of a significant downturn [1]. Short-term Outlook - The 4-hour chart indicates that the gold price may retest the earlier low of $3323.60 per ounce, with bearish potential increasing [1]. - Currently, gold is trading below all its moving averages, which converge in a narrow range around $3348 per ounce [1]. - Technical indicators are developing below the midline with a neutral to bearish slope, supporting the view that lower lows may be recorded [1]. Key Support and Resistance Levels - Support levels identified are $3323.60 per ounce, $3307.10 per ounce, and $3295.80 per ounce [3]. - Resistance levels identified are $3352.00 per ounce, $3372.30 per ounce, and $3389.85 per ounce [3].