热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 Bednarik指出，金价在20日均线附近获得支撑并反弹后，从技术面看仍偏多。 周一，现货黄金价格暴涨至一周高点，主因是美国空袭委内瑞拉并抓获委内瑞拉总统马杜罗之后，避险需求激增。此外，美国总统特朗普还暗示可 能就非法毒品流动问题对哥伦比亚采取军事行动。 现货黄金周一收盘暴涨116.61美元，涨幅2.69%，报4448.87美元/盎司。金价曾在12月26日触及4549.71美元/盎司的历史高点。 周一出炉的数据显示，美国ISM制造业PMI在2025年12月降至47.9，低于预期的48.3，显示制造业活动进一步恶化。该数据为连续第十个月处于收缩 区间，较11月的48.2回落，凸显该行业持续疲弱。 文章来源：24K99 周二（1月6日）亚市盘中，现货黄金在昨日惊人暴涨后维持升势，目前金价位于4460美元/盎司附近。FXStreet首席分析师Valeria Bednarik撰文，对 黄金技术前景进行分析。 Bednarik写道，在地缘政治动荡之际、美国数据疲软的背景下，黄金重拾看涨态势。美国对委内瑞拉的干预引发避险需求升温，推动黄金走强。美 国12月 ...

摘要周二(12月30日)欧洲时段，现货黄金亚市小幅上行，一度触及4380美元/盎司，现交投于4360美元附 近。前一交易日金价重挫4.5%，创10月以来最大单日跌幅，主因CME上调黄金、白银期货保证金，引 发大规模获利回吐与仓位调整。不过，美联储2026年或进入宽松周期，低利率降低持有黄金机会成本， 叠加全球经济与地缘不确定性，令金价下行风险受限。假期前流动性下降或放大波动，市场紧盯周二晚 间FOMC会议纪要寻短线指引 周二(12月30日)欧洲时段，现货黄金亚市小幅上行，一度触及4380美元/盎司，现交投于4360美元附近。 前一交易日金价重挫4.5%，创10月以来最大单日跌幅，主因CME上调黄金、白银期货保证金，引发大 规模获利回吐与仓位调整。不过，美联储2026年或进入宽松周期，低利率降低持有黄金机会成本，叠加 全球经济与地缘不确定性，令金价下行风险受限。假期前流动性下降或放大波动，市场紧盯周二晚间 FOMC会议纪要寻短线指引。 【基本面解析】 周二，避险资金流入推动黄金买盘增加，金价突破4350美元/盎司。前一交易日，现货黄金重挫202.31 美元，跌幅4.46%，收于4331.99美元/盎司，创下去年 ...

周二(12月16日)亚洲交易时段尾盘，现货黄金突然遭遇抛售，目前金价跌至4274美元/盎司附近，日内重挫逾30美元。FXStreet分析师Haresh Menghani撰文，对金价技术走势进行分析。 美国零售销售数据素有"恐怖数据"之称，因其通常对金融市场有较大的影响，因此很可能对美元、黄金等资产走势产生影响。 黄金技术分析 Menghani指出，隔夜金价在4350美元/盎司附近受阻，在小时图上形成看跌双顶形态。此外，若维持在4300美元/盎司下方，则预示着金价可能进一 步下跌。然而，4小时图上震荡指标的混合走势提醒激进的空头交易者需谨慎。这反过来表明，金价更有可能在4260-4255美元/盎司的水平附近找 到较强支撑。 Menghani写道，周二亚洲交易时段，黄金吸引一些卖家，金价延续隔夜自4350美元/盎司区域(上周触及的10月21日以来最高水平附近)以来的回落 势头。日内下跌的原因是市场对俄乌和平协议的乐观情绪，这被认为会削弱对这种传统避险商品的需求。美国总统特朗普周一表示，结束这场持续 四年战争的协议比以往任何时候都更接近达成。 Menghani补充道，此外，部分投资者在周二晚些时候公布的美国10月份 ...

12月4日凌晨，当投资者打开行情软件，黄金价格仿佛被按下了暂停键。 伦敦金现报4207.76美元/盎司，仅仅下跌了4.73美元，跌幅只有0.11%。 国内黄金T D的价格停留在950.2元/克，波动微弱到可以忽略不计。 这种表面平静背后，市场正在进行一场激烈的多空拉锯战。 仅仅几天前，金价还曾触及4264美元的高点，随后迅速回落至4163美元附近，如今在4200美元 这个关键整数关口反复争夺，让无数投资者陷入犹豫不决的境地。 导致这种僵持局面的直接原因，是获利了结的卖压与强劲底部支撑的正面相遇。 从3800美元起步的这轮上涨中，累积了大量获利盘，这些资金选择在关键 点位附近锁定收益，自然给金价带来了调整压力。 除了经济数据，政治层面的变量也在影响市场预期。 交易员开始对美联储领导层可能发生的变化进行布局，特别是围绕凯文·哈塞特可能上任的预期。 如果 新主席倾向于维持更宽松的货币政策，将进一步强化黄金的吸引力。 全球央行的实际行动为金价提供了另一层支撑。 数据显示，全球央行持续购金趋势明显，中国央行已经连续12个月增持黄金。 这种机构级别的买入行为， 为金价下跌设置了天然缓冲。 从技术分析角度看，4200美元关 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in spot gold prices is attributed to a rebound in dollar demand and a reduction in expectations for further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, particularly ahead of key U.S. employment data [3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Spot gold experienced a significant sell-off, dropping from an intraday high of $4110.22 per ounce to a low of $4046.14 per ounce [1]. - The CME's FedWatch tool indicates that traders currently estimate only a 30% chance of a rate cut in December [3]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The focus is shifting to U.S. economic data, with the September non-farm payroll report expected to show an increase of 50,000 jobs and an unemployment rate stable at 4.3% [4]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Short-term outlook for gold is mildly bearish, with the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) trending downwards and converging with the 200-period SMA around $4080 per ounce [5]. - The daily chart indicators suggest limited downside potential for gold, with the 20-day SMA providing dynamic support near $4045.67 per ounce [6]. - If gold prices fall below $4045.67 per ounce, they may test the 100-day SMA at $3676.62 per ounce and the 200-day SMA at $3427.08 per ounce [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent rebound in gold prices, driven by geopolitical risks and anticipation of the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to influence market movements significantly [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - As of October 24, gold prices are around $4,139 per ounce, showing a rebound after a two-day decline [1]. - On October 23, gold closed at $4,125.93 per ounce, up by $27.58, following a drop to a near two-week low [1]. - The rebound is attributed to renewed geopolitical risks after U.S. sanctions on two major Russian oil companies, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold [1]. Group 2: Upcoming Economic Data - The U.S. CPI data for September is set to be released, which is considered a crucial indicator of inflation ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting [2]. - Analysts predict that the core CPI will show a month-on-month increase of 0.3% and a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [3]. Group 3: Market Expectations - Investors have largely priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the upcoming meeting, which typically benefits non-yielding assets like gold [4]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices may continue their recent upward trend, having bounced off the bullish 20-day simple moving average (SMA) [5]. - The 4-hour chart shows that gold has successfully expanded its recovery, breaking above the bullish 100-period SMA, but remains below the bearish 20-period SMA, which acts as a resistance at around $4,173 per ounce [5]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4,115.75, $4,000.00, and $3,986.45 per ounce [6].

Core Viewpoint - The demand for safe-haven assets, particularly gold, is being driven by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and ongoing global trade tensions [1][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Outlook - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that a sharp slowdown in hiring poses risks to the U.S. economy, suggesting the possibility of two more rate cuts this year [3]. - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming October meeting, followed by another cut in December, and three additional cuts next year [3]. Group 2: Trade Tensions Impact - The escalation of trade tensions is expected to increase shipping costs and disrupt logistics, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3]. - Analyst Fawad Razaqzada noted that renewed trade tensions provide investors with more reasons to hedge against stock market risks by allocating to gold [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The market is closely monitoring speeches from Federal Reserve officials, as hawkish signals could strengthen the dollar and exert pressure on gold prices [3]. - Despite potential pullback risks, the strong upward trend in gold prices suggests that market participants do not expect a significant drop after reaching new highs [3]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - The current gold price chart shows a clear bullish trend, with prices consistently breaking historical highs and minor pullbacks [5]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that gold is in an overbought state, which typically suggests a phase of consolidation or slight correction may occur [5]. - Key support levels are identified at $4,117, $4,059, $4,023, and the $4,000 round number, while upward targets are set at $4,300 and $4,400 [5]. Group 5: Market Sentiment and Strategy - Gold retains upward potential due to multiple favorable factors, but investors should remain cautious of short-term volatility risks [7]. - The market will continue to look for key signals regarding gold's next phase of movement through Federal Reserve officials' speeches and developments in trade relations [7].

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent performance of gold and silver, highlighting a significant drop in gold prices after failing to maintain the 4035 level, leading to a decline to 3944 [1][3] - Gold's daily analysis indicates that if it closes above the 5-day moving average of 3989, it may continue to rise next week, while a close below could signal further downward pressure [1][3] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of the 4010 resistance level for gold, suggesting that a breakthrough could lead to a strong upward trend, while failure to do so may result in a pullback [3][5] Group 2 - Silver experienced a rapid increase to 51.2 but faced a pullback, maintaining support above the 5-day moving average, indicating a potential for further upward movement after consolidation [5] - The article notes that the volatility in silver's price requires a period of consolidation to stabilize before any significant upward movement can occur [5] - The outlook for crude oil remains bearish unless it can break above the 63 level, indicating a lack of upward momentum in that market [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the fluctuating nature of gold prices, with a focus on the importance of technical analysis and market trends [1][3] - Gold prices experienced a significant rise from 3311 to 4059, marking an increase of over 700 units, but there has been a lack of substantial correction, raising concerns about potential downward movements [1] - The article highlights the importance of timing and market sentiment, noting that missed opportunities at lower price points can lead to hesitation in pursuing higher prices [1] Group 2 - The analysis of the hourly chart indicates a sharp decline in gold prices, breaking below the 10-day moving average, with a potential for further downward movement if the 4035 level is breached [3] - The silver market showed stronger performance compared to gold, with expectations of breaking historical highs, while caution is advised due to significant bearish divergence in the MACD indicator [5] - The article suggests monitoring oil prices, particularly the 63 level, for potential rebounds, indicating a broader market analysis beyond precious metals [5]

Group 1 - Gold prices are stabilizing around $3631 per ounce after significant volatility, with buyers aiming for higher peaks despite potential corrections from record highs [1] - A federal judge temporarily blocked President Trump's attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook, which may lead to a Supreme Court review, raising concerns about the Fed's independence [2] - The U.S. government reported a potential reduction of 911,000 jobs created over the past 12 months, indicating stagnation in job growth prior to Trump's tariffs on imports [2] Group 2 - Technical analysis shows gold prices are extremely overbought, with momentum indicators retreating from extreme levels while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains around 80 [3] - Support levels for gold are identified at $3625.85 and $3608.40 per ounce, while resistance levels are at $3650.00, $3675.00, and $3690.00 per ounce [3] - Upcoming economic data releases include U.S. PPI year-on-year and month-on-month figures, wholesale sales, and EIA crude oil inventory reports [3]