——黄金技术面分析，晚间还会涨吗—— 黄金从日线上看，多头潜力依旧存在，只要14日相对强弱指数（RSI）维持在50上方。目前该指标正小 幅下滑，接近55.50。21日均线（SMA）已在周一上穿50日均线，形成"金叉"。与此同时，技术指标转 向上行，尽管动量指标仍处于中性水平，反映出有限的上行力量。黄金从4小时线上看，金价从看涨的 20周期SMA反弹，该移动均线在已经突破200周期SMA之后，目前正越过平坦的100周期SMA。与此同 时，技术指标恢复上涨势头，进入积极区间，支撑金价后市录得更高的高点。整体来看，今晚黄金操作 上張晶霖建议震荡偏多对待。 晚间黄金操作策略： 多单策略：下方3376附近可多，止损3365，目标3393、3400附近； 长时间的交易中，不少朋友发现：明明看了不少分析报告，算清了支撑位阻力位，最后却栽在了"心 态"上：方向对了总嫌赚太少，忍不住追单；浮亏了又慌着"是不是要崩"，匆匆割肉；甚至听人说"现在 该抄底"，就不管自己的风险承受力，跟着往里冲。其实交易过程中，技术分析是"武器"，策略是"路 线"，而心态才是握着武器、走好路线的"手"。它未必能让你精准踩对每一波涨跌，却能帮你在价格震 ...

黄金周二（8月26日）早盘急跌3351附近后又快速拉升至3386上方，随后回落震荡，欧盘维持在3380-3367区间震荡，美盘开始震荡上涨，凌晨收盘前最高上 涨3393上方，日线收出一根带有下影线的光头阳线。 一、基本面 1、特朗普解雇美联储理事触发市场震荡 这一事件背后，是特朗普长期对美联储货币政策的不满——他曾多次批评美联储主席鲍威尔"降息太慢"，甚至威胁将其解职（目前鲍威尔任期仅剩9个 月）。 2、经济数据与政策预期 降息预期飙升：市场对美联储9月降息的预期已升至87%以上，摩根士丹利等机构因鲍威尔上周提及"就业市场风险上升"，纷纷预测9月将实施降息。 经济数据：7月美国耐用品订单仅下降2.8%，远好于预期的-4%，企业设备支出仍显韧性；8月美国消费者信心下滑，劳动力市场评估恶化。 关键数据临近：本周四的GDP数据、周五的PCE通胀报告将成为美联储9月决策的核心依据，若数据确认经济疲软，将进一步推升降息概率。 3、今日关注 今日没有重要数据发表，重点关注次日00:45美联储巴尔金发表讲话 二、技术面 1、日线级别：当前黄金价格运行于三角收敛震荡区间内，趋势结构明确。上周三，价格在靠近三角收敛区间下沿支撑 ...

也许不是每一天都那么美好，但每一天都会有一些美好的东西存在。人人都懂大道理，却难以控制小情 绪，没有永远的晴天，也没有永远的雨季。不是因为困难重重,所以我们心生畏惧,而是因为我们心生畏 惧,所以事情变得困难重重，有时候谨慎是件好事，但过度谨慎往往会发现看准的行情你没做，做了坚 持的基本都是错误的，越是这样越被动，交易起来越累，不是市场辜负了谁，而是在没有看明白之前， 急于的入场! ——美联储降息预期高涨，能否持续支撑金价？——. 周一(8月25日)欧市盘中，现货黄金维持日内温和回落走势，目前金价位于3365美元/盎司附近。因美联 储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔采取鸽派语气，黄金多头觉醒。金价上周五大幅回升。展望本周，美国发布 的高影响力经济数据将受到密切关注，在鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上发表讲话后，投资者将重新评估 美联储的政策前景。 黄金从日线上看，相对强弱指数(RSI)攀升至50上方，金价上周五突破20日简单移动平均线(SMA)和50 日SMA所在的3350。不过MACD仍在中线运行，虽然形成金叉，但不能支撑价格进一步走高，这些技 术发展表明，黄金目前仍处于宽幅震荡的格局。黄金从4小时线上看，一根大阳单K逆转前 ...

Group 1 - Gold prices continued to rise, opening at $3302.59 per ounce and reaching a high of $3332.09, with a current price of $3326.54, reflecting a 0.72% increase [1] - The Chicago PMI for June decreased slightly to 40.4 from 40.5 in May, indicating a contraction in economic activity for the 19th consecutive month, which is the lowest level since January [3] - The report highlighted that 70% of respondents reported price increases in June, up from 57% in May, indicating rising inflationary pressures [3] Group 2 - Technical analysis suggests that gold may face resistance below $3310.00 and could target a decline towards the range of $3285.00 to $3260.00 if it encounters resistance below $3323.00 [4] - Short-term resistance levels for gold are identified at $3322.00 to $3323.00, with significant resistance at $3347.00 to $3348.00, while support levels are at $3285.00 to $3286.00 and important support at $3260.00 to $3261.00 [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates a significant drop in spot gold prices, currently around $3288.70 per ounce, with a decline of over $38 in a single day [1] - The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis is set to release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for May, with expectations of a year-on-year increase to 2.3% from April's 2.1% [1] - The U.S. Commerce Department reported a contraction in the first quarter GDP to an annualized rate of -0.5%, with consumer spending growing at the slowest pace since 2020 [2] Group 2 - Despite a decrease in initial jobless claims, the number of continuing claims has reached a nearly four-year high, indicating insufficient recovery in the job market [2] - The upcoming May core PCE price index is expected to show a month-on-month increase of 0.1% and a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, which could influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on assessing tariff impacts before deciding on rate cuts have drawn criticism from President Trump, raising concerns about the Fed's independence [2] Group 3 - Technical analysis suggests that gold prices have fallen below the 200-period simple moving average, which may signal a new trigger point for bearish sentiment [3] - Analysts predict that gold prices could accelerate downwards towards the $3245 per ounce region, with potential support levels at $3210-$3200 and $3175 per ounce [3] - Resistance levels for gold are identified at $3324-$3325 per ounce, with further resistance at approximately $3368-$3370 per ounce, which could limit any upward movement [3]

周四（6月12日）欧市盘中，现货黄金小幅走高，最高触及3377.50美元/盎司，目前交投于3371.19美元/ 盎司，涨幅0.48%。日内将可关注美国至6月7日当周初请失业金人数(万人)、美国5月PPI年率及月率等 数据。 路透技术分析师这次，现货黄金预计将测试每盎司 3391 美元的阻力位，突破该阻力位则可能上涨至 3413 美元。 纳西尔扎德说："我真诚希望不会走到那一步，希望谈判能够达成解决方案。但是，如果不能如此，冲 突被强加于我们，对方无疑将遭受更大的损失。我们将毫不犹豫地瞄准驻在国的所有美国基地。" 美国Axios网站报道称，据美国国务院和五角大楼两名官员当地时间周三称，由于对安全局势的担忧日 益加剧，美国正在撤离驻巴格达大使馆的非必要工作人员以及海湾地区多个军事基地的军人家属。 美国国务院表示，减少驻伊拉克人员的决定"以我们的最新分析为依据"。美国五角大楼声明称，国防部 长皮特·海格塞斯已批准驻扎在中东各地的美军家属撤离。 【黄金技术分析】 【要闻速递】 伊朗与美国将于6月15日在阿曼首都马斯喀特就伊朗核问题协议举行新一轮间接谈判。伊朗国防部长阿 齐兹·纳西尔扎德周三说，如果伊美谈判最终失败，伊 ...

Group 1: Fundamental Analysis - Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties are driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, particularly due to the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict and warnings from the World Bank about potential global trade stagnation [2]. - The progress of US-China trade negotiations is influencing gold price corrections, as market expectations of a potential agreement could ease trade tensions and reduce demand for safe-haven assets [3]. - Key economic indicators to watch include the US CPI data, with expectations of a rise in core CPI to 2.9% year-on-year, which could impact Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and subsequently affect gold prices [4]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - On the daily chart, gold showed a doji candlestick pattern, indicating a struggle between bulls and bears around current price levels, with significant support at 3293 and resistance at 3349 [5]. - The four-hour chart indicates that gold has completed a three-wave structure in its recent price movements, with critical levels at 3293 for support and 3349 for resistance, suggesting potential for further downward movement if these levels are breached [7].

Core Viewpoint - The recent easing of US-China trade tensions has led to a significant drop in gold prices, with the market sentiment shifting away from safe-haven assets like gold [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Gold prices fell nearly 3% on Monday, closing at $3234.95 per ounce, marking a drop of $90.49 [1]. - The price of gold reached a record high of $3500.05 per ounce last month before the recent decline [2]. - The US and China have agreed to reduce tariffs, with the US cutting tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, and China reducing tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10% for a period of 90 days [2]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The focus is now on the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to show a year-on-year increase of 2.4% and a month-on-month rise of 0.3% for April [2][3]. - A stronger-than-expected CPI could lead to a further strengthening of the US dollar, potentially triggering another round of gold sell-offs [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The technical outlook for gold remains bearish as long as optimistic sentiment prevails, with gold prices having recently broken below the flat 20-day simple moving average (SMA) [4]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3202.00, $3187.20, and $3176.45 per ounce, while resistance levels are at $3234.40, $3248.50, and $3263.85 per ounce [6][7]. - The momentum indicators are showing a downward trend, and if gold prices fall below the Monday low, they may target the May low of $3202.03 per ounce [4].

Group 1 - The geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East issues, have significantly increased the investment value of gold as a traditional safe-haven asset [1] - Gold prices are currently holding above the key level of $3,300 per ounce, demonstrating resilience amid rising geopolitical risks [1] - Recent market sentiment is characterized as "cautiously optimistic," with increased funds flowing into the gold market due to global macro uncertainties and safe-haven demand [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that gold has formed a clear bottoming pattern on the daily chart, alleviating previous downward pressure [2] - Key support level is identified at $3,300 per ounce, which serves as a critical dividing line for bullish and bearish sentiment [2] - The 4-hour Bollinger Band upper limit at $3,338 per ounce represents short-term resistance, with potential upward targets near $3,350 per ounce if bullish momentum continues [2] Group 3 - The 4-hour chart suggests that the recent price action indicates the end of a corrective wave, initiating a new upward trend [4] - The first upward wave is identified between $3,201 and $3,269, with a potential target for the third wave projected at around $3,332 [4] - Suggested trading strategy includes buying on dips in the $3,280-$3,285 range, with a stop loss at $3,272 and a target of $3,315-$3,325 [4]